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AAPL

Apple

$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

, LITE

Lumentum

$38.95

1.445 (3.85%)

05:42
11/14/18
11/14
05:42
11/14/18
05:42

UBS drops Apple price target to $225 from $240 on supply chain cuts

UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri lowered his estimates for Apple citing cuts in the company's supply chain. The analyst believes Apple in the past week has cut 6M-7M out of the original 63M build for new iPhone models, with the cut evenly split between the XS Max and XR models. On a net basis, however, this cut is slightly offset by a few million more older phones, Arcuri tells investors in a research note. The analyst's overall calendar Q4 estimate for iPhone units for sell-in go from 75M to 73.5M along with a slight reduction in average selling price. He also dropped his calendar Q1 unit estimate to 46.7M from 53.3M and Q2 estimate to 37.5M from 41.7M. The analyst notes that these cuts are "significantly" less than Lumentum's (LITE) negative preannouncement would imply and still a little less than the 10M implied by Qorvo (QRVO). Nonetheless, Arcuri thinks there is an "inventory component that is still negatively affecting the supply chain." The analyst dropped his price target for Apple to $225 from $240 while keeping a Buy rating on the shares. The iPhone maker closed yesterday down $1.94 to $192.23.

AAPL

Apple

$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

LITE

Lumentum

$38.95

1.445 (3.85%)

QRVO

Qorvo

$63.68

-0.12 (-0.19%)

  • 14

    Nov

AAPL Apple
$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

11/13/18
MKMP
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $86
MKMP
After Qorvo warns, MKM says Apple risk 'largely' factored into supply chain
MKM Partners analyst Ruben Roy noted that Qorvo (QRVO) followed Lumentum (LITE) in reducing its December quarter outlook due to recent demand forecast changes for Apple's (AAPL) iPhone. He also noted that Qorvo expects March quarter revenues to be down less than 10%, sequentially, which he points out is better than the seasonal declines in the previous two fiscal years and likely due to content increases across a number of upcoming Samsung handsets. Roy said he remains positive on Qorvo given his continued expectations for market share gains, but lowered his price target on the stock to $86 from $95. In terms of other Apple supply chain companies, he believes that Skyworks' (SWKS) guidance likely considered the demand changes at Apple, but thinks Cirrus Logic (CRUS) provided December quarter guidance ahead of Apple changes. Roy also notes that Broadcom (AVGO) will report on December 6. While seeing some risk to near-term wireless estimates, Roy concluded that he believes Apple risk is "largely incorporated" into supply chain expectations at this point.
11/13/18
JPMS
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan sees 'significant upside' in Qorvo shares as expectations reset
JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson notes that following other announced cuts in the Apple (AAPL) supply chain, Qorvo (QRVO) also reset near-term revenue expectations as a result of lower demand from Apple. The analyst believes that not only is Qorvo seeing weaker unit demand, but likely is seeing reduced demand for the iPhone XR model in particular. Nonetheless, Peterson expects Qorvo to outperform through his modeling period on content gains in mobile, broad-based across smartphone makers, compensating for weaker smartphone unit demand and on strong double-digit percentage year over year revenue growth in non-mobile on infrastructure, 5G, and GaN. As expectations have been reset, and with investors becoming more comfortable with the content growth story in mobile and outsized growth in non-mobile, the analyst sees "significant upside" in Qorvo shares over the mid-term, and reiterates an Overweight rating on the stock.
11/13/18
KEYB
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $80
KEYB
Overweight
Qorvo price target lowered to $80 from $95 at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst John Vinh noted that Qorvo (QRVO) lowered its Q3 outlook due to recent iPhone demand changes, which he believes is largely related to disappointing demand for Apple's (AAPL) iPhone XR. He lowered his Qorvo estimates and cut his price target on the stock to $80 from $95, but keeps an Overweight rating on Qorvo shares, citing his belief that the company will benefit from RF content gain during the 5G transition.
11/13/18
MKMP
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $60
MKMP
Buy
Lumentum price target lowered to $60 from $78 at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Michael Genovese lowered his price target on Lumentum (LITE) to $60 after its negative pre-announcement reflecting an order cut from Apple (AAPL), adding that his average selling price assumptions suggest that the company is anticipating shipments of 30M 3D VCSELs vs. its original view of 50M. The analyst keeps his Buy rating on Lumentum however and contends that the 33% decline in its stock price on the news is overextended. Genovese further states that Lumentum remains the "strong technology and market share leader in the 3D VCSELs" and does not expect its market share to decline.
LITE Lumentum
$38.95

1.445 (3.85%)

11/13/18
11/13/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Lumentum (LITE) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Samik Chatterjee saying yesterday's negative pronouncement underscored the challenges likely to be faced by Apple (AAPL) supply chain companies in delivering to investor expectations as Apple continues to prioritize its premium pricing strategy on iPhones relative to volumes. 2. Best Buy (BBY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Curtis Nagle citing expectations for slowing industry growth, difficult comps in key products and cost inflation. 3. Perrigo (PRGO) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Berenberg with analyst Patrick Trucchio saying although the key reason to own Perrigo shares remains intact, namely the U.S. government's push to shift more products from prescription to nonprescription, "too much uncertainty in generics has placed us on the sidelines." 4. Sabra Health Care (SBRA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho with analyst Richard Anderson saying he wants to a take a "pause" until the earnings reset from the "surprise news" of Senior Care stopping rent payments since May becomes better understood. 5. Infinera (INFN) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley with analyst Meta Marshall saying she sees "no reason to race in" until there are signs that the revenue base has stabilized. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/13/18
CHLM
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $60
CHLM
Buy
Lumentum price target lowered to $60 from $85 at Craig-Hallum
Craig-Hallum analyst Richard Shannon lowered his price target for Lumentum (LITE) to $60 from $85 saying its reduced Q2 guidance reflects lower Apple (AAPL) volumes, likely due to issues in China as well as the high ASP of those devices. The analyst believes 3DS remains an excellent area of growth with strong operating margins but the volatility of a single large customer and questions about its unit sell-through have clearly impacted the stock. Until he sees stronger unit demand from Android and Lumentum captures a strong share of that market, Shannon thinks the volatility will remain high. He reiterates a Buy rating on Lumentum shares.
QRVO Qorvo
$63.68

-0.12 (-0.19%)

11/12/18
SBSH
11/12/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $85
SBSH
Neutral
Citi downgrades Skyworks to Neutral, cuts targets on Nvidia, Qorvo
Citi analyst Atif Malik downgraded Skyworks Solutions (SWKS) to Neutral from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $85 from $116. The company is being impacted by broad smartphone weakness, disappointing unit sales of Apple's (AAPL) iPhone XR, and a high Apple concentration, which represented 39% of sales in fiscal 2019, Malik tells investors in a research note. Further, the analyst thinks 5G radio frequency is a 2020 story versus his prior view of 2019. Malik also lowered his price target for Buy-rated Nvidia (NVDA) to $270 from $300 to reflect recent market multiple compression. In addition, the analyst dropped his price target for Neutral-rated Qorvo (QRVO) to $75 from $86. Weak iPhone XR units, where Qorvo won incremental mid-high band dollar content, will have a negative impact on the company's gross margins in 2019, says Mailk.

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