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ECA

Encana

$8.10

-0.315 (-3.75%)

, AAPL

Apple

$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

08:56
11/14/18
11/14
08:56
11/14/18
08:56

Notable open interest changes for November 14th

Tuesday's total option volume of 19.9 million contracts resulted in net open interest growth of 2.99 million calls and 2.41 million puts. Encana (ECA), Apple (AAPL), General Electric (GE) and Macy's (M) saw the greatest growth. Top five new positions opened include 33k Discovery (DISCA) Dec-18 40 calls, 33k Discovery (DISCA) Dec-18 40 puts, 29k Encana (ECA) Apr-19 5 puts, 25k Encana (ECA) Apr-19 9 calls and 25k General Electric (GE) Jan-19 6 puts.

ECA

Encana

$8.10

-0.315 (-3.75%)

AAPL

Apple

$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

GE

General Electric

$8.61

0.625 (7.83%)

M

Macy's

$35.77

-1.27 (-3.43%)

  • 14

    Nov

  • 14

    Nov

ECA Encana
$8.10

-0.315 (-3.75%)

11/05/18
11/05/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Starbucks (SBUX) downgraded to Sell from Hold at DZ Bank. 2. Encana (ECA) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley and to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital. 3. Hilton (HLT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst John Staszak saying that while the company is seeing success from its franchised business model, some of its markets are facing more challenging economic conditions and competition from other hoteliers and Airbnb is growing tighter. 4. Motorola Solutions (MSI) downgraded to Hold on valuation at Gabelli with analyst Hendi Susanto citing valuation. 5. UMC (UMC) downgraded to Sell from Underperform at CLSA with the firm's analyst citing the U.S. federal grand jury indictment into the company's potential involvement in IP-theft from Micron (MU). This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/05/18
WOLF
11/05/18
DOWNGRADE
WOLF
Peer Perform
Encana downgraded to Peer Perform from Outperform at Wolfe Research (pre-open)
11/05/18
11/05/18
DOWNGRADE

Equal Weight
Encana downgraded to Equal Weight on Newfield deal risk at Morgan Stanley
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Benny Wong downgraded Encana (ECA) to Equal Weight from Overweight, stating that he gives 50% credit to the targeted $250M in synergies the company outlined in its announcement of its deal to buy Newfield Exploration (NFX), but not the other half since Encana's Cube approach has not been tried before in the STACK/SCOOP play. The OKC play comes with concern around inventory quality and higher gas-oil ratios, added Wong, who now views Encana as a "show me" story. He lowered his price target on Encana shares to $15 from $19 and also raised his price target on Newfield shares to $31 to $23.
11/05/18
BMOC
11/05/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $12
BMOC
Market Perform
Encana downgraded to Market Perform at BMO Capital on Newfield deal
As reported earlier, BMO Capital analyst Randy Ollenberger downgraded Encana (ECA) to Market Perform from Outperform and lowered his price target to $12 from $18. The analyst says the company's "solid" Q3 results were "overshadowed" by its proposed $7.7B acquisition of Newfield Exploration (NFX) that produced a "material selloff" in its stock price, reflecting investors concerns over the "asset base and a shift in the underlying investment thesis" of the latter. Ollenberger contends that while the sell-off may be overdone, he expects the stock price to trade range-bound until more visibility over the benefits of the deal emerge.
AAPL Apple
$192.23

-1.925 (-0.99%)

11/14/18
GUGG
11/14/18
DOWNGRADE
GUGG
Neutral
Guggenheim sees 5% iPhone drop next year, downgrades Apple to Neutral
Guggenheim analyst Robert Cihra downgraded Apple to Neutral from Buy and removed his prior $245 price target for the shares. The stock closed yesterday down $1.94 to $192.23. The average selling price of the iPhone has increased a "dramatic" $220, or 40%, over the past 10 years, reflecting its "growing value to both consumer and business markets," Cihra tells investors in a research note. The analyst points out, however, that nearly half of that increase came in fiscal 2018 alone. This makes a "period of digestion now likely," Cihra writes in a note partially titled "ASPs No Longer Enough." The analyst believes Apple's growth via average selling price is now "widely known." The iPhone's nearly 60% contribution to revenue and profits is "looking like a headwind again," says Cihra. Following early supply chain cuts, exemplified by Corning's (GLW) "softer" Q4 gorilla glass guidance back in October and this week's warnings from 3D sensing laser supplier Lumentum (LITE) and LCD supplier Japan Display, the analyst now estimates iPhone units will decline 5% year-over-year in fiscal 2019. He cut his fiscal 2019 earnings per estimate for Apple to $12.97 from $13.41 and revenue estimate to $273B from $281B.
11/14/18
UBSW
11/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $53
UBSW
Buy
Lumentum price target lowered to $53 from $80 at UBS
UBS analyst Tejas Venkatesh lowered his price target on Lumentum (LITE) to $53 from $80 after the change in Qorvo (QRVO) guidance, which gave more evidence of Apple (AAPL) demand weakness being the underlying cause of Lumentum's change in expectations. The analyst lowered his estimates but said he does not see further inventory risk unless demand weakens further. Venkatesh maintained his Buy rating on Lumentum shares.
11/14/18
ADAM
11/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $83
ADAM
Buy
Qorvo price target lowered to $83 from $90 at Canaccord
Canaccord analyst T. Michael Walkley lowered his price target on Qorvo (QRVO) to $83 from $90 after the company lowered its guidance, as several Apple (AAPL) suppliers have done. He expects Qorvo to continue focusing on developing integrated solutions to drive dollar content growth faster than the slow growing smartphone market and anticipates improving growth trends as 5G ramps long-term. Walkley reiterated his Buy rating on Qorvo shares.
11/14/18
DADA
11/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $72
DADA
Neutral
Qorvo price target lowered to $72 from $81 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Thomas Diffely lowered his price target on Qorvo (QRVO) to $72 and kept his Neutral rating after the company cut its Q3 earnings guidance to reflect the expectations of a weaker high-end smartphone demand. The analyst believes that the "softer than expected" launch of the new iPhones by Apple (AAPL) has " triggered a rapid change in order flow over the past couple of weeks" and anticipates similar announcements from other Apple suppliers to track reduced guidance by Qorvo and Lumentum (LITE).
GE General Electric
$8.61

0.625 (7.83%)

11/02/18
GDHS
11/02/18
NO CHANGE
Target $10
GDHS
Underperform
GE may still have to raise equity capital due to tax issues, says Gordon Haskett
Gordon Haskett analyst John Inch believes GE's near-term tax liabilities could be about to significantly increase, stating that "it could have been surmised that GE might have owed up to $9B in taxes per the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act," but the company took a much lesser $3.3B charge while pointing to plans to use a variety of "offsets." If even some of these "offsets" are disallowed, the company could wind up owing possibly billions more in incremental cash taxes over the coming months, said Inch. While GE took an equity capital raise off the table, Inch believes the company may make a "future change to this decision" due to ongoing cash and liability pressures, including rising taxes. Inch keeps an Underperform rating on GE shares with a $10 price target.
11/13/18
GDHS
11/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $10
GDHS
Underperform
General Electric liquidity risks could be escalating, says Gordon Haskett
Gordon Haskett analyst John Inch said that despite GE's assurances and those of other analysts that liquidity does not pose a risk, he believes liquidity issues could be escalating given the rapidly raising spreads in GE CDS, which he tells investors "could portend additional GE credit rating downgrades." GE's CEO asserted in interview yesterday that the company has no plans for an equity capital raise, but added "as conditions change in the future we might come back and reconsider that," noted Inch, who thinks that at current GE share price levels the "window to raise equity capital appears to have largely shut." Inch maintains an Underperform rating and $10 price target on GE shares.
11/09/18
JPMS
11/09/18
NO CHANGE
Target $6
JPMS
Underweight
General Electric price target lowered to $6 from $10 at JPMorgan
In a research note wrapping up the company's Q3 results, JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa cut his price target for shares of General Electric to $6 from $10. The stock closed yesterday down 8c to $9.10. The outcome of GE's results was worse than expected "on almost all fronts," with forecasts for free cash flow and EBITDA "moving materially lower," Tusa writes. Further, a "material change" in language from the quarterly filing "suggests a negative step down in the leverage situation," he adds. The analyst believes, however, that the story is "not really about liquidity, it's about a deterioration in run rate fundamentals." On that front. Tusa expects the "anchor" on earnings, free cash flow and the dividend to all be down ~85% as "the dust continues to settle. He keeps an Underweight rating on General Electric shares.
11/05/18
GDHS
11/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $10
GDHS
Underperform
Gordon Haskett sees potential downside to $5 for General Electric shares
Gordon Haskett analyst John Inch, who maintains an Underperform rating and $10 price target on General Electric shares, estimates the stock could trade down to about $5 per share, assuming that GE Capital does not ultimately face insolvency, if the market were to value the stock increasingly on a free cash basis. Right now, it seems to him that most of the bullish analysts and investors are basing their upside views on a sum-of-the-parts valuation, Inch noted. However, he sees this as "academic" as GE cannot completely dismantle due to the fact it must maintain a sufficient base to support all of GE Capital's tens of billions of dollars of debt securities, Inch tells investors.
M Macy's
$35.77

-1.27 (-3.43%)

08/16/18
RBCM
08/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $39
RBCM
Sector Perform
Macy's sell-off is 'the function of profit taking', says RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Brian Tunick kept his Sector Perform rating and $39 price target on Macy's after its Q2 results, saying the earnings were "solid" and the outlook for the rest of FY18 was encouraging. The analyst believes that the selloff after the results was a "function of profit taking", with the stock having risen about 70% year-to-date, along with a more challenging comparisons in the second half of the year. Tunick states that he expects Macy's business momentum and initiatives to allow it to achieve its FY18 guidance.
09/03/18
GSCO
09/03/18
INITIATION
Target $33
GSCO
Sell
Macy's initiated with a Sell at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs started Macy's with a Sell rating and $33 price target. The firm initiated the Apparel & Accessories space with an Attractive view on department stores and off-price retailers.
09/04/18
GSCO
09/04/18
INITIATION
Target $73
GSCO
Conviction Buy
Goldman starts Nordstrom with Conviction Buy, Macy's with Sell
Goldman Sachs analyst Alexandra Walvis initiated coverage of the Apparel & Accessories Retail sector with an Attractive coverage view. The analyst sees an "ongoing role for select best-in-class brick and mortar retailers" and feels "underappreciated business models" offer upside in select stocks. Walvis initiated coverage of Nordstrom (JWN) with a Buy rating and $73 price target and added the shares to her firm's Conviction List. The company offers a "full price business with a strong omnichannel offer and premium curated product," the analyst tells investors in a research note. On the other side, Walvis started Macy's (M) with a Sell rating and $33 price target. The company's strategic initiatives are insufficient to offset traffic headwinds for its portfolio of large, mall-based stores, Walvis contends. The analyst also put Buy ratings on Kohl's (KSS) and TJX (TJX), and Neutral ratings on Burlington Stores (BURL) and Ross Stores (ROST).
11/02/18
CLVD
11/02/18
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Macy's comp trends improved in October, says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Rusty Wilson said Neutral rated Macy's owned comp trends appear to have improved in October driven by cold-weather seasonal product. The analyst raised his Q3 owned comp estimate to 2.5% from 2%-2.5%, versus consensus of 2.6%.

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