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DG

Dollar General

$114.69

-0.63 (-0.55%)

15:55
11/14/18
11/14
15:55
11/14/18
15:55

Dollar General put volume heavy and directionally bearish

Bearish flow noted in Dollar General with 3,462 puts trading, or 2.0x expected. Most active are Dec-18 120 puts and Nov-18 113 puts, with total volume in those strikes near 2,200 contracts. The Put/Call Ratio is 5.44, while ATM IV is up over 1 point on the day. Earnings are expected on December 6th.

  • 06

    Dec

DG Dollar General
$114.69

-0.63 (-0.55%)

10/17/18
WELS
10/17/18
NO CHANGE
Target $104
WELS
Outperform
Survey shows pressing need of ramp investment or sell Family Dollar, says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly notes The New York Post reported that Carl Icahn is building a significant stake in Dollar Tree (DLTR), which could be clear opportunity to unlock value. The analyst believes Dollar Tree remains materially undervalued, but is in desperate need of change. Family Dollar looks to be suffering from underinvestment and execution issues, and his new proprietary work suggests there is a pressing need to either ramp investment to better compete with Dollar General (DG) or sell. The analyst argues that the core is a good business, but breaking the buck represents a compelling opportunity to extend growth and enhance profitability. He reiterates an Outperform rating and $104 price target on Dollar Tree's shares.
10/16/18
LOOP
10/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $107
LOOP
Buy
Reported Icahn stake in Dollar Tree a positive development, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba views the New York Post's report of Carl Icahn taking a "significant" stake in Dollar Tree (DLTR) as "unsurprising" and a "positive development." Icahn previously acquired a stake in Family Dollar, pressured management to seek a buyer, and reportedly made a $200M profit on his investment when the company was acquired by Dollar Tree in 2015 for $8.5B, Chukumba tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes it was just a matter of time before an activist became involved given the Family Dollar segment's continued struggles while the core Dollar Tree segment "remains one of the best performers in deep discount retailing." He thinks Icahn is likely to pressure Dollar Tree management to quickly improve the performance of Family Dollar significantly or sell the division. There would be several interested parties if Dollar Tree put Family Dollar on the block, including Dollar General (DG), Amazon.com (AMZN) and private equity firms, Chukumba predicts. He reiterates a Buy rating on Dollar Tree shares with a $107 price target. The stock in afternoon trading is up 6.5%, or $5.23, to $86.20 following the New York Post's report.
10/15/18
UBSW
10/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $120
UBSW
Buy
Dollar General price target raised to $120 from $110 at UBS
UBS analyst Michael Lasser raised his price target on Dollar General to $120 from $110 following meetings with management. The analyst believes the company can sustain high-single digit sales growth and low-double digit earnings growth for an extended period. He said same store sales should benefit from new store maturation along with a healthy economy, providing a good set up for the shares. Lasser reiterated his Buy rating on Dollar General shares.
10/02/18
ARGS
10/02/18
NO CHANGE
ARGS
Hold
Dollar General shares 'near fair value', says Argus
Argus analyst Chris Graja kept his Hold rating on Dollar General but nudged his FY19 EPS view to $6.15 from $6.03. The analyst anticipates the company to grow its earnings by an annualized 11% over the next 5 years with a combination of opening new stores and continued offering of "everyday low prices". Graja also sees Dollar General successfully navigating the margin pressures by "managing the mix of consumable and discretionary merchandise, making promotions more effective, increasing the mix of higher-margin private brands". Longer term, the analyst keeps his Hold rating on the shares, stating that after a 35% rise in the stock price over the last 12 months, Dollar General is "near fair value".

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