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TGT

Target

$78.22

-1.45 (-1.82%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,541.22

-52.37 (-3.29%)

11:59
11/19/18
11/19
11:59
11/19/18
11:59

Fly Intel: What to watch in Target's earnings report

Target (TGT) is scheduled to report results of its third fiscal quarter before the market open on Tuesday, November 20, with a conference call scheduled for 8:00 am EDT. What to watch for: 1. COMPETITION WITH ONLINE RETAILERS: Retailers like Target have been hurt by the trend toward online shopping on sites like Amazon (AMZN) rather than at brick-and-mortar stores. Last December, Target acquired same-day delivery platform Shipt last December, stepping up its challenge to Walmart (WMT) and Amazon. Among other locations, Target and Shipt recently announced plans to start same-day delivery of over 55,000 groceries and other products to Pennsylvania and Maryland residents. In September, The Wall Street Journal said Amazon Prime has caused a competition among larger retailers and forced smaller retailers to follow suit. Despite having different prerequisites to be eligible for free two-day shipping, vendors like Target and Walmart now have its own version of the convenience. In October, Target said it would offer same-day delivery and drive up service coast to coast and said it would also offer free 2-day shipping to all guests with no minimum purchase and no membership. Amazon, which currently has four "AmazonGo" stores and is experimenting with the direction for the concept, is also considering a plan to open as many as 3,000 of the cashierless stores in the next few years, according to Bloomberg. KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma said Target's investments and improved execution are driving stronger comps that he thinks are sustainable in the current environment. Rather than viewing Target as a participant in the Amazon vs. Walmart battle, Yruma thinks Target's unique mix of consumables and high-margin apparel/home decor leave it well-positioned to take share from at-risk retailers. 2. GUIDANCE: In August, Target forecast Q3 EPS of $1.00-$1.20, against analysts' consensus at the time of $1.08, forecasting comp sales growth for both Q3 and the second half of the year in line with the 4.8% growth delivered in 1H. For FY18, Target raised its EPS view to $5.30-$5.50 from $5.15-$5.45, against estimates at the time of $5.28. Buckingham analyst Bob Summers said he expects SSS strength to continue at least for the next few quarters, seeing 4.5% in Q3 and Q4, conservatively. Summers also sees Target benefiting from strong holiday spending and the recent bankruptcy at Toys-R-Us. Baird analyst Peter Benedict predicted a 5.1% increase in Q3 comps and said the company's investments in stores, brands, service, and fulfillment should continue to scale, helping Target capture displaced baby/toys market share. 3. STORE REMODELS, OTHER INITIATIVES: Target is expanding its plans to remodel supercenters and open smaller stores in cities. In August, Target said its drive-up service had expanded to 800 stores and said it hoped to have up to 1,000 by the holiday season. In October, the company announced the introduction of Smartly, a new lower-priced owned brand comprised of more than 70 items, such as hand soap, paper plates, household cleaners and razors, with most items less than $2.00.

TGT

Target

$78.22

-1.45 (-1.82%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,541.22

-52.37 (-3.29%)

WMT

Walmart

$97.07

-0.63 (-0.64%)

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    Mar

TGT Target
$78.22

-1.45 (-1.82%)

11/16/18
11/16/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Adobe (ADBE) initiated with a Buy at Nomura Instinet. 2. Target (TGT) was initiated with a Buy at Buckingham and an Overweight at KeyBanc. 3. Viad (VVI) initiated with a Buy at Janney Montgomery Scott. 4. Selective Insurance (SIGI) initiated with a Market Perform at JMP Securities. 5. Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) initiated with an Underperform at Bernstein. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/15/18
BUCK
11/15/18
INITIATION
Target $102
BUCK
Buy
Target initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
Buckingham initiated Target with a Buy and $102 price target.
11/15/18
BUCK
11/15/18
INITIATION
BUCK
Buy
Target initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Bob Summers initiated Target with a Buy rating and $102 price target. The analyst expects comparable store sales strength to continue at least for the next few quarters, seeing 4.5% in Q3 and Q4, conservatively. Summers also sees Target benefitting from strong holiday spending and the recent bankruptcy at Toys-R-Us.
11/16/18
KEYB
11/16/18
INITIATION
Target $110
KEYB
Overweight
Target initiated with an Overweight at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma initiated Target (TGT) with an Overweight rating and $110 price target. The analyst says Target's investments and improved execution are driving stronger comps, telling investors in a research note that he thinks this is sustainable in the current environment. Rather than viewing Target as a participant in the Amazon (AMZN) vs. Walmart (WMT) battle, Yruma thinks its unique mix of consumables and high-margin apparel/home decor leave it well-positioned to take share from at-risk retailers.
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,541.22

-52.37 (-3.29%)

11/19/18
JEFF
11/19/18
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Jefferies uncovers signs of Amazon expanding prescription drug presence
Jefferies analyst Brian Tanquilut says his proprietary checks of Amazon.com's (AMZN) moves in the pharmacy space indicate that the online retailer has finally made moves to expand PillPack. However, the initial expansion phase appears focused on offering pharmacy services to Amazon employees in Washington. In his most recent webscrape, Tanquilut came across a new prescription license in WA, two pending Rx licenses in New Mexico and Indiana, and pharmacy technician and packaging/shipping job postings all linked to PillPack's Phoenix facility. These new developments signal the beginning of Amazon's prescription expansion via PillPack, Tanquilut tells investors in a research note. If Amazon were to rollout a more extensive PillPack offering to its own employee base, Rite Aid (RAD) could be most exposed to potential script transfers with Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) the least exposed among the public drugstores, says the analyst. He still believes that the impact of Amazon's pharmacy entry will take a while to materialize for drug stores CVS Health (CVS) and Walgreens.
11/15/18
PIPR
11/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $2050
PIPR
Overweight
Amazon shares offer 'opportunity for material appreciation,' says Piper Jaffray
The downdraft in technology names has driven valuations to "opportunistic levels for certain stocks," Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson tells investors in a research note partially titled "Champagne Stock on a Beer Budget." In particular, Amazon "presents an opportunity for material appreciation in the coming 12-24 months," says the analyst. His analysis of Amazon's valuation suggests the company's core retail business is trading in-line with low single digit growth brick and mortar retailers. While some investors were disappointed with Amazon's revenue growth deceleration in Q3, Olson says he's encouraged by potential for ongoing margin expansion and bottom line upside. Amazon has beaten Q4 operating income guidance by an average of 94% in the past three years, suggesting that a typical beat would exceed where consensus Q4 expectations were going into the Q3 report, says the analyst. He reiterates an Overweight rating on the shares with a $2,050 price target. Amazon closed yesterday down 2%, or $32.16, to $1,599.01.
11/16/18
MKMP
11/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $415
MKMP
Buy
Netflix, Amazon price targets raised at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Rob Sanderson raised his price targets on Buy rated Netflix (NFLX) and Amazon (AMZN) to $415 from $395 and $2,240 from $2,215 respectively as part of his broader research note titled "Victims of Risk-off Environment; Recommend Buying Weakness". The analyst states that these stocks have been among the weaker performers in the underperforming Internet sector, but should become "excellent performers" over the next 12 months if his view attributing the recent correction in the broader market to a late-cycle pause amidst geo-political uncertainty and Fed concerns proves to be correct. As part of this research note, Sanderson also keeps his Buy rating on Spotify (SPOT) but lowers its price target to $200 from $245, applying a 25-times forward earnings multiple in rolling out his valuation to 2022, with added currency related pressure against the "much less contentious" expected renewal rates in 2019.
WMT Walmart
$97.07

-0.63 (-0.64%)

11/08/18
BARD
11/08/18
NO CHANGE
Target $110
BARD
Outperform
Walmart headed for 'solid Q3 results' says Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict kept his Outperform rating and $110 price target on Walmart ahead of its Q3 results, saying he has an upward bias to its U.S. comps expectations after the management's "bullish" tone at last month's investor meeting. The analyst adds that the prospects for sustained momentum also appear to be good given the "multiple in-store and online initiatives converging" and the backdrop for consumer spending remaining firm.
11/15/18
BARD
11/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $110
BARD
Outperform
Walmart reported 'high-quality beat' in Q3, says Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict called Walmart's Q3 results a "high-quality beat." He said its e-commerce growth remains impressive and cited its disciplined price investment, pursuit of operational excellence, and accelerating innovation. Benedict reiterated his Outperform rating and $110 price target on Walmart shares.
11/16/18
DBAB
11/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $116
DBAB
Buy
Walmart price target raised to $116 from $112 at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell raised his price target for Walmart to $116 citing the company's same-store-sales beat in Q3 an strength across international. The analyst keeps a Buy rating on the shares.

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EEI

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LBC

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MYND

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$1.33

0.01 (0.76%)

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RLGT

Radiant Logistics

$4.76

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KALV

KalVista

$22.62

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SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

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$260.61

-4.8 (-1.81%)

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RTN

Raytheon

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EOG

EOG Resources

$100.08

-2.73 (-2.66%)

17:15
12/14/18
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17:15
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17:15
Syndicate
Breaking Syndicate news story on EOG Resources »

EOG Resources files…

03/08/13
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FNCB

First National Community Bancorp, Inc.

$9.35

0.04 (0.43%)

17:14
12/14/18
12/14
17:14
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17:14
Hot Stocks
First National Community Bancorp names R. Gregory Collins as new EVP »

FNCB Bancorp announced…

03/08/13
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TXT

Textron

$49.49

-0.48 (-0.96%)

17:14
12/14/18
12/14
17:14
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17:14
Hot Stocks
Textron awarded $314.29M Navy contract modification for LLTM procurement »

Textron has been awarded…

03/08/13
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FLDM

Fluidigm

$7.79

-0.39 (-4.77%)

17:14
12/14/18
12/14
17:14
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17:14
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Fluidigm »

Levin Capital lowers…

03/08/13
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  • 12

    Dec

WTFC

Wintrust Financial

$67.41

-0.88 (-1.29%)

17:06
12/14/18
12/14
17:06
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17:06
Hot Stocks
Wintrust Financial acquires Elektra Holding in roughly $51.9M deal »

Wintrust Financial…

03/08/13
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AMC

AMC Entertainment

$14.51

-0.35 (-2.36%)

17:04
12/14/18
12/14
17:04
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17:04
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Breaking Syndicate news story on AMC Entertainment »

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