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TSLA

Tesla

$353.48

-0.98 (-0.28%)

07:46
11/20/18
11/20
07:46
11/20/18
07:46

UBS battery teardown shows Tesla cells cheaper, ahead of competition

UBS analyst Colin Langan raised his price target for Tesla shares to $230 from $190 after his firm's battery teardown indicated the company's cell costs will reach $111/kWh versus his prior estimate of $148/kWh. The stock closed yesterday down 84c to $353.47. The teardown implies the cost of the Model 3 will be $1,960 lower than previous expectations once the cells are at scale, Langan tells investors in a research note. It also suggests Tesla is ahead of the competition on both the chemistry and the battery management system, adds the analyst. Based on the lower cost battery and the inclusion of non-zero emission electric vehicle credits, Langan boosted his fiscal 2019 earnings per share estimate for Tesla by $5.85 to $3.55. Nonetheless, his new price target is still 35% below the current stock price. As a result, the analyst keeps a Sell rating on Tesla.

  • 27

    Nov

  • 13

    Dec

TSLA Tesla
$353.48

-0.98 (-0.28%)

11/20/18
UBSW
11/20/18
NO CHANGE
Target $230
UBSW
Sell
Tesla batteries ahead of competition, says UBS
UBS analyst Colin Langan said a teardown of EV batteries revealed Tesla's are cheaper, suggesting it is ahead of the competition on both chemistry and its battery management system. The analyst raised his estimates on the lower cost and the inclusion of non-ZEV EV credits. The new estimates raise the price target to $230 from $190. However, Langan reiterated his Sell rating on Tesla shares.
11/05/18
UBSW
11/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $190
UBSW
Sell
Tesla earnings helped by EV credits, says UBS
UBS analyst Colin Langan noted Tesla beat his Q3 estimates, but said the quarter was helped by EV credits. He said the 10-Q revealed the size of the credits, which were not in the earnings release, and he said it suggests the underlying operations were not as strong as the original release implied. Langan reiterated his Sell rating and $190 price target on Tesla shares.
11/01/18
11/01/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Tesla (TSLA) initiated with a Neutral at Roth Capital. 2. T-Mobile (TMUS) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim. 3. Kosmos (KOS) initiated with a Buy at Berenberg. 4. Sellas Life Sciences (SLS) initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer. 5. OFS Credit (OCCI) initiated with a Buy at Ladenburg. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/01/18
ROTH
11/01/18
INITIATION
Target $270
ROTH
Neutral
Tesla initiated with a Neutral at Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Craig Irwin started Tesla with a Neutral rating and $270 price target. The analyst argues that economic data from METI in Japan suggests Tesla's battery prices could be 50% higher than Wall Street and industry analysts expect, implying a much smaller competitive moat than many believe. This goes a long way toward explaining the $10,000 difference between planned 65kWh Model 3 pricing, and base pricing today, he contends. The analyst also believes battery costs will likely rise 5%-15% in 2019, increasing potential for margin pressure.

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