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ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$45.07

-6.28 (-12.23%)

, TTWO

Take-Two

$110.33

0.33 (0.30%)

10:03
01/11/19
01/11
10:03
01/11/19
10:03

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations

Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Take-Two (TTWO), Electronic Arts (EA), Glu Mobile (GLUU) were initiated with an Overweight at Stephens, while the analyst also initiated Zynga (ZNGA) and Ubisoft (UBSFY) with an Equal Weight. 2. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) initiated with an Outperform at Cowen. 3. Okta (OKTA) and Zscaler (SZ) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray. 4. Lennar (LEN), D.R. Horton (DHI) and NVR (NVR) initiated with a Buy and KB Home (KBH), PulteGroup (PHM), Hovnanian (HOV) and Toll Brothers (TOL) initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham. 5. VMware (VMW) reinstated with a Neutral at Goldman SachsThis list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$45.07

-6.28 (-12.23%)

TTWO

Take-Two

$110.33

0.33 (0.30%)

EA

Electronic Arts

$90.57

-0.48 (-0.53%)

GLUU

Glu Mobile

$9.36

0.26 (2.86%)

ZNGA

Zynga

$4.25

-0.03 (-0.70%)

UBSFY

Ubisoft

$0.00

(0.00%)

DPZ

Domino's Pizza

$248.48

2.14 (0.87%)

OKTA

Okta

$69.75

0.93 (1.35%)

ZS

Zscaler

$44.82

-0.61 (-1.34%)

LEN

Lennar

$46.48

1.31 (2.90%)

DHI

D.R. Horton

$39.97

0.84 (2.15%)

NVR

NVR

$2,580.41

7.81 (0.30%)

PHM

PulteGroup

$28.75

0.14 (0.49%)

HOV

Hovnanian

$0.82

-0.0153 (-1.84%)

TOL

Toll Brothers

$36.35

0.21 (0.58%)

KBH

KB Home

$21.51

0.5 (2.38%)

VMW

VMware

$145.57

-3.37 (-2.26%)

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ATVI Activision Blizzard
$45.07

-6.28 (-12.23%)

01/11/19
BMOC
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
Target $52
BMOC
Market Perform
Activision Blizzard price target lowered to $52 from $60 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Gerrick Johnson lowered his price target on Activision Blizzard to $52 after its announcement that it will turn the development rights to Destiny franchise to Bungie. The analyst also lowers his FY19 EPS view by 5c to $2.60 to reflect the decision while keeping his Market Perform rating on the stock. Johnson adds that while the economics of publishing Destiny games may have turned, he ponders whether the move is "too soon on what, just a few years ago, seemed a crown jewel in the Activision Publishing portfolio."
01/11/19
MKMP
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
Target $48
MKMP
Neutral
Activision Blizzard price target lowered to $48 from $68 at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Eric Handler lowered his price target on Activision Blizzard to $48 and kept his Neutral rating, citing the company's "reduced financial visibility and limited capital appreciation potential" for 2019. The analyst notes that the company's portfolio is "in need of being reinvigorated, especially with Live Service", but expects 2019 to be a year of transition for Activision Blizzard as it scales down its "non-franchise games". Handler further warns that the company's earnings could decline by high-single to low-double digits in FY19, which would require a "significant downward revision in Street estimates."
01/11/19
MSCO
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Overweight
More pipeline uncertainty to weigh on Activision multiple, says Morgan Stanley
After Activision Blizzard announced that Bungie would be taking over full publishing rights and responsibilities for the Destiny franchise, Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak said he views this as in part due to a decision to reallocate resources away from Destiny, which has been recently underperforming the company's and his expectations. He estimates the impact to 2019 EPS to be only about 3%, but thinks that higher pipeline uncertainty, recent execution missteps and management departures will weigh on the stock's multiple. Nowak keeps an Overweight rating on Activision Blizzard shares, but said his model in under review.
01/11/19
WBLR
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
WBLR
Outperform
Activision likely decided to end Bungie agreement, says William Blair
William Blair analyst Ralph Schackart believes the end of the Bungie partnership was likely an Activision Blizzard-driven decision, as Destiny 2 had been underperforming commercial expectations. Despite solid unit sales, it appears the game did not meet expectations on reach and in-game monetization, Schackart tells investors in a research note. He imagines Activision will redeploy developers earmarked to Destiny to existing or new intellectual property that is fully owned. However, the analyst believes last night's announcement, which follows recent management departures, will create more near-term uncertainty. Looking forward, three Blizzard games, Overwatch, Hearthstone, and World of Warcraft are likely to decline in 2019, which made Activision's performance during the year particularly important, says Schackart. Nonetheless, he believes Activision "will ultimately manage through the recent near-term headwinds." He keeps an Outperform rating on Activision Blizzard.
TTWO Take-Two
$110.33

0.33 (0.30%)

12/14/18
PIPR
12/14/18
NO CHANGE
PIPR
NPD video game sales fell 10% in November, says Piper Jaffray
Overall November NPD video game sales fell 10% year-over-year due to a difficult compare with last year's November launch of Call of Duty: WWII, Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst points out that Red Dead Redemption 2 from Take-Two (TTWO) and Activision Blizzard's (ATVI) Black Ops 4 were the top titles for November. Olson keeps Overweight ratings on those two names along with Electronic Arts (EA).
12/18/18
BUCK
12/18/18
INITIATION
Target $130
BUCK
Buy
Take-Two assumed with a Buy at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Matthew Harrigan assumed coverage on Take-Two with a Buy and $130 price target. The analyst said shares are off 26% from its 12 month highs despite what looks like high IP durability.
01/10/19
SPHN
01/10/19
INITIATION
Target $138
SPHN
Overweight
Take-Two initiated with an Overweight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jeff Cohen initiated coverage of the video game sector, starting Take-Two with an Overweight rating and $138 price target. Grand Theft Auto V is still sells a significant amount of units, GTA Online "is a cash cow" and Red Dead Redemption 2 and its online mode should take in-game revenues up significantly, Cohen tells investors.
12/07/18
OPCO
12/07/18
NO CHANGE
OPCO
Outperform
Video game publishers 'struggling' to keep up with innovation, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Andrew Uerkwitz tells investors in a research note that he believes the video game industry is "still healthy," but that the larger publishers -- primarily Outperform-rated Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (EA) -- are struggling to keep up with innovation and are not enjoying the same growth rates. He notes that Activision is expected to see just 4% growth in 2H18, while EA is down 5% y/y, while Take Two (TTWO) is estimated to be up about 69% for the same period due to Red Dead Redemption 2. He says EA has "several shots" on goal with three AAA titles coming in 2019, but says Activision has "a little work to do" on the Blizzard side.
EA Electronic Arts
$90.57

-0.48 (-0.53%)

01/10/19
SPHN
01/10/19
INITIATION
Target $125
SPHN
Overweight
Electronic Arts initiated with an Overweight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jeff Cohen initiated coverage of the video game sector, starting Electronic Arts initiated with an Overweight rating and $125 price target. He believes the company's sports IP makes it the best positioned publisher for a subscription plus streaming future, Cohen tells investors.
12/14/18
NEED
12/14/18
NO CHANGE
Target $100
NEED
Buy
Electronic Arts price target lowered to $100 from $150 at Needham
Needham analyst Laura Martin lowered her price target on Electronic Arts (EA) to $100 given the company's less inspiring game release slate in FY20 relative to FY19, noting that the margins on the Star Wars title expected next year are lower than this year's Battlefield because of Disney (DIS) royalties. The analyst also attributes the lower target to the market repricing of stocks "valued at over 4-times enterprise value to sales". Martin is keeping her Buy rating on Electronic Arts given the ownership of its own IP assets, loyalty of "super-fans", lower risk based on its dependence on title "sequels", and the under-40 age demographic of its target market. The analyst adds that while the company does not have a "Sports game creation problem", the same may not be said about action/adventure game creation.
12/21/18
WEDB
12/21/18
NO CHANGE
Target $275
WEDB
Outperform
Apple, EA, Nordstrom, SLM removed from Wedbush's Best Ideas List
GLUU Glu Mobile
$9.36

0.26 (2.86%)

01/10/19
SPHN
01/10/19
INITIATION
Target $10.5
SPHN
Overweight
Glu Mobile initiated with an Overweight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jeff Cohen initiated coverage of the video game sector, starting Glu Mobile with an Overweight rating and $10.50 price target. Glu has successfully transformed itself and he is bullish on the slate of 3 games that it has planned for the second half of 2019, Cohen tells investors.
12/10/18
COWN
12/10/18
NO CHANGE
Target $9.5
COWN
Outperform
Glu Mobile price target raised to $9.50 from $8 at Cowen
Cowen analyst Doug Creutz maintained an Outperform rating on Glu Mobile and raised his price target to $9.50, telling investors in a research note that Glu is his Best Idea for 2019. In a research note to investors, Creutz says execution on the core business has been "excellent" for the last two years, the company has an exciting 2019 product pipeline, and valuation remains reasonable given significant earnings leverage against expected revenue growth.
11/07/18
PIPR
11/07/18
NO CHANGE
Target $8
PIPR
Overweight
Glu Mobile target raised to $8 on 'strong' Q3 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson raised his price target for Glu Mobile to $8 from $7.50 citing the company's "strong" Q3 results with bookings and adjusted EBITDA ahead of Street expectations. Glu Mobile is positioned for a "favorable ongoing trajectory," with management reducing dependence on new and celebrity content, along with improving revenue visibility and cost containment, Olson tells investors in a post-earnings research note. He sees a path to multiple expansion and margin improvement and keeps an Overweight rating on Glu Mobile.
10/22/18
PIPR
10/22/18
NO CHANGE
PIPR
Teen survey positive for console publisher group, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says his firm's 36th semi-annual survey of 8,600 teens shows that video game console ownership was up, with 83% claiming to own a current gen console or expecting to buy one. Spending on video games also increased, from 13% of male teen budgets in spring 2018 to 14% currently, Olson tells investors in a research note. Further, he points out that a growing number of teens watch others play games via YouTube and Twitch, while the number of teens who play mobile games fell from the spring survey. The analyst views the data as positive for the console publisher group Activision Blizzard (ATVI), Electronic Arts (EA) and Take-Two (TTWO), and neutral for mobile game companies Zynga (ZNGA) and Glu Mobile (GLUU).
ZNGA Zynga
$4.25

-0.03 (-0.70%)

12/21/18
PIPR
12/21/18
NO CHANGE
Target $5
PIPR
Overweight
Zynga provided favorable update to Q4 bookings, EBITDA, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says that in addition to the acquisition of Small Giant Games, Zynga last night provided a favorable upside for its Q4 bookings and EBITDA, Zynga is seeing stronger than expected performance of existing titles in Q4, Olson tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes the company's pipeline is building for 2019 and 2020 and he reiterates an Overweight rating on the shares with a $5 price target.
01/10/19
SPHN
01/10/19
INITIATION
Target $4.75
SPHN
Equal Weight
Zynga initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jeff Cohen initiated coverage of the video game sector, starting Zynga with an Equal Weight rating and $4.75 price target, citing his concerns that Zynga is still too highly levered to the Social Casino genre, which he sees facing future headwinds.
12/21/18
UBSW
12/21/18
NO CHANGE
Target $5
UBSW
Buy
Zynga acquisition highlights turnaround is complete, says UBS
UBS analyst Eric Sheridan noted Zynga allocated capital toward the acquisition of Small Giant Games, signaling their turnaround efforts are completed and new titles will be a key driver of growth through 2019. He noted the company raised its Q4 guidance and sees some balance sheet flexibility remaining after a mix of buybacks and M&A. Sheridan reiterated his Buy rating and $5 price target on Zynga shares.
12/11/18
12/11/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. AT&T (T) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi with analyst Michael Rollins saying he expects AT&T to further benefit from the "measured" promotional environment in wireless, while improving its competitive position from FirstNet and the marketing of its network enhancements, branded 5G Evolution. 2. Sanofi (SNY) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies with analyst Peter Welford saying he believes European large-cap pharmaceuticals are entering a period of sustained earnings momentum which should justify valuations above the historic average for the sector. 3. Total (TOT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill. 4. Zynga (ZNGA) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie. 5. Allstate (ALL) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Edward Jones. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
UBSFY Ubisoft
$0.00

(0.00%)

09/13/18
MSCO
09/13/18
INITIATION
MSCO
Equal Weight
Ubisoft initiated with an Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Julia Matoshchuk initiated Ubisoft with an Equal Weight rating and EUR100 price target. She sees the company being positioned to benefit from the digital transition and its improving franchise breadth, but also notes the stock is valued at a 16% premium to U.S. video game peers.
09/11/18
JPMS
09/11/18
UPGRADE
JPMS
Overweight
Ubisoft upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Daniel Kerven upgraded Ubisoft to Overweight and raised his price target for the shares to EUR 130 from EUR 71. The shift to digital and player recurring investment drives higher margins and improves the visibility and quality of the company's earnings, the analyst contends. He believes Ubisoft has a strong portfolio of established franchises with recurring revenue.
09/19/18
KEYB
09/19/18
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Overweight
KeyBanc says buy shares of Take Two, Activision Blizzard into holiday season
KeyBanc analyst Evan Wingren says he remain positives on video games into what should be a strong holiday. In a research note to investors, Wingren says his favorite ways to play the holiday season are Take Two (TTWO) and Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and that he would be buying shares. Though he acknowledges that fundamentals softened in Q2 as competition impacted upside to estimates, he expects fundamentals to improve into 2019, driven by strong games, new content and new growth opportunities. The analyst expects Take Two's Red Dead Redemption 2 to be "one of the biggest releases this holiday," and Activision's Call of Duty: Black Ops III, WoW and Destiny expansions should drive earnings above consensus. He has Overweight ratings on both Take Two and Activision Blizzard, as well as EA (EA).
01/10/19
SPHN
01/10/19
INITIATION
SPHN
Equal Weight
Ubisoft initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Jeff Cohen started Ubisoft with an Equal Weight rating and EUR 75 price target. Uncertainty around the company's fiscal 2020 slate increases risk that unit sales could be down year-on-year, Cohen tells investors in a research note. Further, he believes Ubisoft's further margin expansion will be slower than what is being priced into shares.
DPZ Domino's Pizza
$248.48

2.14 (0.87%)

10/22/18
10/22/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) initiated with a Neutral at UBS. 2. Arco Platform (ARCE) initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley, an Outperform at Itau BBA, and a Buy at Goldman Sachs. 3. Arvinas (ARVN) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs and an Overweight at Piper Jaffray. 4. Ra Medical Systems (RMED) initiated with a Buy at SunTrust as well as an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald and Piper Jaffray. 5. SurveyMonkey (SVMK) initiated with a Buy at SunTrust and BofA/Merrill, an Overweight at JPMorgan, and a Neutral at Credit Suisse and UBS. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/11/19
COWN
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $290
COWN
Outperform
Domino's Pizza initiated with an Outperform at Cowen
Cowen analyst Andrew Charles started Domino's Pizza with an Outperform rating and $290 price target, stating that he views it as a beneficiary of the consumer trend toward restaurant delivery. His restaurant delivery survey of 2,500 respondents leads him to believe eaters are not positioned to materially sacrifice pizza delivery occasions for third-party delivery of non-pizza foods, Charles added.
11/30/18
LBOW
11/30/18
NO CHANGE
Target $325
LBOW
Buy
Pizza Hut $5 offer not having impact on Domino's, says Longbow
Longbow analyst Alton Stump said that his checks with U.S. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) franchisees lead him to believe domestic franchised same-store sales are up 7.5%-8% quarter-to-date in Q4, which he notes is just above the consensus forecast of 7.4% growth for Q4. The franchisees he contacted said they have not seen any noticeable impact from Pizza Hut's (YUM) mid-October launch of its new $5 value platform, Stump noted. He keeps a Buy rating on Domino's shares with a $325 price target.
11/15/18
SPHN
11/15/18
NO CHANGE
SPHN
Stephens says Domino's supply chain tour reinfores long-term thesis
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh remained Overweight on Domino's Pizza, with a $310 price target, after touring Domino's supply chain in Edison, New Jersey. The analyst is "optimistic that this location, along with the likely continuation of supply chain investments/optimization and fortressing in domestic markets can further improve its already industry leading unit economics over time."
OKTA Okta
$69.75

0.93 (1.35%)

12/19/18
12/19/18
INITIATION

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Ulta Beauty (ULTA) initiated with a Buy at Citi. 2. Match Group (MTCH) initiated with a Hold at SunTrust. 3. ShotSpotter (SSTI) initiated with an Outperform at Baird. 4. Okta (OKTA) initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson. 5. Cellectis (CLLS) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/11/19
PIPR
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $80
PIPR
Overweight
Okta initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski started Okta with an Overweight rating and $80 price target. The analyst believes the "Single Sign-On" market is the top security spending priority in 2019. Further, Okta's integration network is a sustainable competitive advantage, which the company can leverage to drive growth for the next five-plus years. Nowinski tells investors in a research note.
12/10/18
GUGG
12/10/18
INITIATION
Target $79
GUGG
Buy
Okta initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Imtiaz Koujalgi started Okta with a Buy rating and $79 price target. The analyst also added the shares to Guggenheim's Best Idea List.
12/18/18
DADA
12/18/18
INITIATION
Target $62
DADA
Neutral
Okta initiated with a Neutral at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Rishi Jaluria initiated Okta with a Neutral rating and a price target of $62. The analyst is positive on the "value proposition" of the company, along with its "market leadership position and rapid growth", but believes that its stock price is "fully valued" at 12-times enterprise value to expected 2020 revenue. Jaluria adds that he awaits a "better entry point" before becoming more constructive on Okta stock.
ZS Zscaler
$44.82

-0.61 (-1.34%)

10/19/18
WEDB
10/19/18
NO CHANGE
Target $140
WEDB
Outperform
Wedbush sees cybersecurity spending up 20% y/y in 2019
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives tells investors in a research note that, based on his initial survey work, he sees cybersecurity spending up 20% y/y in 2019 vs. a 16% increase in 2018, a "very positive" data for the sector. His favorite cybersecurity stocks heading into the end of the year and into 2019 are Check Point (CHKP), Zscaler (ZS), Fortinet (FTNT), Tenable (TENB), Qualys (QLYS) and CyberArt (CYBK), and says overdue M&A could be another positive catalyst for the sector.
12/10/18
GUGG
12/10/18
INITIATION
Target $40
GUGG
Neutral
Zscaler initiated with a Neutral at Guggenheim
Guggenheim analyst Imtiaz Koujalgi started Zscaler with a Neutral rating and $40 price target.
10/19/18
WEDB
10/19/18
INITIATION
Target $48
WEDB
Outperform
Zscaler initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Daniel Ives initiated Zscaler with an Outperform rating and $48 price target, telling investors in a research note that the company is a "disruptive first mover" in cloud security which has essentially created a new market in the cyber security world under an innovative product umbrella and strategic focus disrupting the competitive landscape for years to come. Ives believes Zscaler is one of the best plays in the cloud security arena, which he believes is still in the very early innings of success.
01/11/19
PIPR
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $50
PIPR
Overweight
Zscaler initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Andrew Nowinski started Zscaler with an Overweight rating and $50 price target. The analyst believes the migration of data and applications to the cloud is driving sustainable, long-term demand for Zscaler. Further, the ramping adoption of SD-WAN should increase the need for cloud-based security such as Zscaler, Nowinski tells investors in a research note.
LEN Lennar
$46.48

1.31 (2.90%)

01/10/19
DBAB
01/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $56
DBAB
Buy
Lennar price target raised to $56 from $51 at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Nishu Sood raised his price target for Lennar to $56 saying the company's Q4 results show "steady through the storm." The analyst believes the stock's rally on the operating flexibility that Lennar has demonstrated through "this period of turmoil" makes sense. He keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
01/10/19
RBCM
01/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $53
RBCM
Outperform
Lennar price target lowered to $53 from $58 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl lowered his price target on Lennar to reflect the impact of the "sales of Rialto and parts of financial services" along with the "core weakness in orders and margins." The analyst keeps his Outperform rating however, noting that the valuation on Lennar shares remains reasonable while also citing the market's willingness to look past the near term weakness after the stock rallied on a worse Q1 pre-announcement.
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $56
BUCK
Buy
Lennar initiated with a Buy, valuation compelling, says Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated Lennar with a Buy and $56 price target telling investors she is more optimistic on the U.S. housing market due to the pull back in mortgage rates. McGrath said Lennar's valuation remains well below long-term averages despite recent strength and notes management has appropriately re-set 2019 expectations, continues to deleverage while using excess cash to buyback shares, and is pursuing a less land-heavy strategy.
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Buy
Lennar initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
DHI D.R. Horton
$39.97

0.84 (2.15%)

01/11/19
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $45

Buy
Buckingham starts 'entry level leader' D.R. Horton at Buy
As previously reported, Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated D.R. Horton with a Buy rating and $45 price target, as she believes the "entry level leader" can outperform its peers this year given its established focus on affordable product and conservative land positioning. While she is forecasting a difficult year for U.S. housing, with sales and starts expected to decline slightly for the full year, McGrath has optimism that near-term weakness could stabilize given the recent retreat in mortgage rates.
01/09/19
KBWI
01/09/19
UPGRADE
Target $45
KBWI
Outperform
D.R. Horton upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette
Keefe Bruyette analyst Jade Rahmani upgraded D.R. Horton to Outperform and raised her price target for the shares to $45 from $41. The homebuilding stocks "could soon rally," Rahmani tells investors in a research note.
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Buy
D.R. Horton initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
12/24/18
JMPS
12/24/18
NO CHANGE
Target $44
JMPS
Outperform
D.R. Horton checks point to continued buyer hesitance, says JMP Securities
JMP Securities analyst Peter Martin said his calls and visits indicate that demand has continued to slow in D.R. Horton's markets of Seattle, Dallas, Orange County, and Northern California as buyers remain hesitant during this seasonally slow period, though he also noted he is not seeing signs of industry overbuilding as seen in previous cycles. Martin also remarked on D.R. Horton's deal for Terramor Homes, noting that it makes D.R. a top five builder in the Raleigh-Durham MSA. Martin maintains an Outperform rating and $44 price target on D.R. Horton shares.
NVR NVR
$2,580.41

7.81 (0.30%)

01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $3030
BUCK
Buy
NVR initiated with a Buy on cash flow growth at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated NVR with a Buy and $3,030 price target telling investors she is more optimistic on the U.S. housing market due to the pull back in mortgage rates. McGrath sees advantages to NVR's land light strategy and aggressive buybacks, which will drive continued free cash flow.
10/18/18
BOFA
10/18/18
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Neutral
NVR downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Buy
NVR initiated with a Buy at Buckingham
10/18/18
BOFA
10/18/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $2850
BOFA
Neutral
NVR downgraded to Neutral at BofA/Merrill on housing headwinds
As reported earlier, BofA/Merrill analyst John Lovallo downgraded NVR to Neutral from Buy and lowered his price target to $2,850 from $3,060 as part of his broader research note that also lowered the 2018-2019 outlook for housing starts and new home sales. The analyst sees the company growing its orders at a below peer average rate of about 6.1% in 2019, with added headwinds coming from the company's exposure to the slowdown in Mid-Atlantic markets. Despite the downgrade, the analyst states that he remains positive on NVR's "consistent execution, asset-light strategy and superior return profile" that warrant its "above-average valuation multiple".
PHM PulteGroup
$28.75

0.14 (0.49%)

01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Neutral
PulteGroup initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham
01/11/19
RBCM
01/11/19
DOWNGRADE
RBCM
Underperform
PulteGroup downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $30
BUCK
Neutral
PulteGroup initiated with a Neutral, valuation at a premium, says Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated PulteGroup with a Neutral and $30 price target citing premium valuation and slowing growth.
01/11/19
01/11/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $25

Underperform
PulteGroup downgraded to Underperform at RBC Capital on valuation
As previously reported, RBC Capital analyst Mike Dahl downgraded PulteGroup to Underperform with a price target of $25, saying that while the stock has been the best performer in his homebuilder coverage universe, its current trading multiple has reached "overextended: levels. The analyst further cites his expectations of a decline in the company's earnings and a "meaningful contraction" in its ROE over the next two years, with risk on gross margin expectations suggesting a contraction of up to 150bps.
HOV Hovnanian
$0.82

-0.0153 (-1.84%)

01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Neutral
Hovnanian initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham
10/09/18
JMPS
10/09/18
UPGRADE
JMPS
Market Perform
Hovnanian upgraded to Market Perform after pullback at JMP Securities
As previously reported, JMP Securities analyst Peter Martin upgraded Hovnanian to Market Perform from Underperform after his price target was achieved following a 53% pullback in the stock year-to-date. He is a proponent of management's decision to cut operations back to key markets where it can better compete and scale and sees the shares being fairly valued at current levels, Martin tells investors.
01/11/19
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $0.9

Neutral
Buckingham starts Hovnanian at Neutral with 90c price target
As previously reported, Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated Hovnanian with a Neutral rating and 90c price target, stating that she has no immediate liquidity concerns given that Hovnanian has no large near-term debt maturities, but she believes it will be difficult for the company to achieve revenue growth or positive earnings before 2020.
10/09/18
JMPS
10/09/18
UPGRADE
JMPS
Market Perform
Hovnanian upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at JMP Securities
TOL Toll Brothers
$36.35

0.21 (0.58%)

01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $40
BUCK
Neutral
Toll Brothers initiated with a Neutral on luxury slowdown at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated Toll Brother with a Neutral and $40 price target citing the "faltering" luxury market.
12/06/18
12/06/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Facebook (FB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with analyst Scott Devitt saying Facebook has made too many enemies, including politicians, regulators, technology leaders, consumers, and employees, to not experience "long-term negative ramifications on its business." 2. Conatus (CNAT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with analyst Stephen Willey saying the Encore-PH trial missed its pre-specified primary endpoint but post-hoc analyses demonstrated a trend towards statistically significant/emricasan-mediated improvements in patients with compensated cirrhosis and elevated baseline hepatic venous pressure gradient values. 3. BHP Billiton (BHP) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Lyndon Fagan saying the stock has outperformed Rio Tinto (RIO) by 10% year-to-date, and is now trading "within range of our valuation." 4. Toll Brothers (TOL) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with analyst Michael Dahl citing a "sharper than expected weakness in orders and likelihood of further near-term declines," with softer margin assumptions attributed to a weaker outlook for orders. 5. Bluebird Bio (BLUE) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray with analyst Tyler Van Buren saying the company is "incredibly innovative" company and bb2121 and LentiGlobin are essentially curing some patients, but the benefits "are not without serious risks." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
12/06/18
WEDB
12/06/18
NO CHANGE
Target $36
WEDB
Neutral
Toll Brothers price target lowered to $36 from $44 at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless lowered his price target for Toll Brothers to $36 from $44 as he shifts to a FY20 valuation from FY19. According to management, sales activity improved sequentially through the quarter but softened from October into November, he contends, adding that he trimmed his order growth expectations for FY19 as a result. McCanless is also adopting a more cautious outlook on community growth for the full year. He reiterates a Neutral rating on the shares.
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Neutral
Toll Brothers initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham
KBH KB Home
$21.51

0.5 (2.38%)

01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
BUCK
Neutral
KB Home initiated with a Neutral at Buckingham
01/11/19
BUCK
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $24
BUCK
Neutral
KB Home initiated with a Neutral on muted sales trends at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Megan McGrath initiated KB Home with a Neutral and $24 price target citing muted sales growth and geographic concentration that provides it with less flexibility.
11/15/18
BTIG
11/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $18
BTIG
Sell
KB Home price target lowered to $18 from $21 at BTIG
BTIG analyst Carl Reichardt lowered his price target on KB Home to $18 and kept his Sell rating after the company's updated guidance on its annual analyst call with reduced expectations for Q4 and FY19 along with below-consensus view of Q1. The analyst states that KB Home's absorption comps are set to become "significantly more challenging", and while the company relies on California to be the driver of overall community growth, he expects the demand conditions in the state to remain challenging amid affordability constraints. Reichardt also lowers his FY18 EPS view to $2.72 from $2.86 following yesterday's update.
11/15/18
11/15/18
DOWNGRADE

Neutral
KB Home downgraded to Neutral on market deterioration at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill downgraded KB Home to Neutral from Buy and lowered its price target to $24 from $26. Analyst John Lovallo said KB Home lowered its FY19 financial outlook to reflect market difficulties that have intensified over the past several weeks. KB Home's exposure to higher priced markets remains an overhang and a lower multiple is warranted given deteriorating market sentiment and absorption risk, Lovallo wrote in a note to investors.
VMW VMware
$145.57

-3.37 (-2.26%)

01/11/19
GSCO
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $155
GSCO
Neutral
VMware reinstated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Heather Bellini reinstated VMware with a Neutral and $155 price target saying risk/reward is balanced.
01/09/19
LEHM
01/09/19
INITIATION
Target $168
LEHM
Overweight
VMware reinstated with an Overweight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Raimo Lenschow reinstated coverage of VMware with an Overweight rating and $168 price target.
01/10/19
BMOC
01/10/19
INITIATION
Target $170
BMOC
Outperform
VMware resumed with an Outperform at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Keith Bachman resumed VMWare with an Outperform rating and a lower price target of $170, down from $175 prior, based on the "modestly higher estimates, a lower cash balance due to the special dividend payment, and a higher assumed target multiple." The analyst believes that the company can deliver revenue growth rate of 12% this year, adding that investor concerns about slowing datacenter spending may be unwarranted. Bachman adds that he has "greater confidence" regarding the company's ability to "serve as the glue that binds the private and public clouds in a hybrid world."
01/11/19
FBCO
01/11/19
INITIATION
Target $160
FBCO
Neutral
VMware reinstated with a Neutral at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Brad Zelnick reinstated coverage of VMware with a Neutral rating and $160 price target, telling investors that he believes risk/reward is fairly balanced.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

JNPR

Juniper

$27.99

0.16 (0.57%)

21:01
01/23/19
01/23
21:01
01/23/19
21:01
Hot Stocks
Juniper selected by BroadBand Tower to build Japan 5G data center »

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  • 29

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PTC

PTC

$84.73

-1.14 (-1.33%)

20:28
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01/23
20:28
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20:28
Recommendations
PTC analyst commentary  »

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UNP

Union Pacific

$154.20

-0.8 (-0.52%)

, BMY

Bristol-Myers

$49.92

0.21 (0.42%)

20:25
01/23/19
01/23
20:25
01/23/19
20:25
Earnings
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open »

Notable companies…

UNP

Union Pacific

$154.20

-0.8 (-0.52%)

BMY

Bristol-Myers

$49.92

0.21 (0.42%)

LUV

Southwest

$50.97

0.425 (0.84%)

MKC

McCormick

$139.03

0.31 (0.22%)

FCX

Freeport McMoRan

$12.30

-0.08 (-0.65%)

GWW

Grainger

$297.12

-3.29 (-1.10%)

AAL

American Airlines

$31.57

-1.18 (-3.60%)

HBAN

Huntington Bancshares

$13.56

0.05 (0.37%)

TXT

Textron

$49.19

0.76 (1.57%)

JBLU

JetBlue

$17.23

-0.13 (-0.75%)

AEP

American Electric

$77.00

0.65 (0.85%)

TAL

TAL Education

$31.21

-0.01 (-0.03%)

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ADTN

Adtran

$12.25

0.49 (4.17%)

20:14
01/23/19
01/23
20:14
01/23/19
20:14
Earnings
Adtran reports Q4 adjusted EPS (12c), consensus (3c) »

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  • 24

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MSFT

Microsoft

$106.77

0.91 (0.86%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,085.27

6.59 (0.61%)

20:10
01/23/19
01/23
20:10
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20:10
Periodicals
China blocks Microsoft's Bing search engine, FT reports »

China regulators have…

MSFT

Microsoft

$106.77

0.91 (0.86%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,085.27

6.59 (0.61%)

BIDU

Baidu

$163.22

2.81 (1.75%)

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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EBAY

eBay

$32.62

-0.3 (-0.91%)

20:03
01/23/19
01/23
20:03
01/23/19
20:03
Recommendations
eBay analyst commentary  »

eBay should consider…

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  • 03

    Mar

CLR

Continental Resources

$45.30

-0.27 (-0.59%)

20:00
01/23/19
01/23
20:00
01/23/19
20:00
Conference/Events
Continental Resources to host conference call »

Conference call to…

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03/06/13
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  • 23

    Jan

APY

Apergy

$33.20

-0.35 (-1.04%)

19:55
01/23/19
01/23
19:55
01/23/19
19:55
Initiation
Apergy initiated  »

Apergy initiated with a…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 10

    Feb

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    Feb

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,641.50

7.35 (0.45%)

19:15
01/23/19
01/23
19:15
01/23/19
19:15
Hot Stocks
AWS unveils Amazon WorkLink solution »

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SMBK

SmartFinancial

$18.35

0.21 (1.16%)

19:08
01/23/19
01/23
19:08
01/23/19
19:08
Earnings
SmartFinancial reports Q4 operating EPS 43c, consensus 37c »

SmartFinancial Chairman…

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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 24

    Jan

MLRYY

Mail.Ru Group

$0.00

(0.00%)

19:05
01/23/19
01/23
19:05
01/23/19
19:05
Downgrade
Mail.Ru Group rating change  »

Mail.Ru Group downgraded…

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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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BABA

Alibaba

$152.03

-0.1 (-0.07%)

18:58
01/23/19
01/23
18:58
01/23/19
18:58
Periodicals
Zhongnan Group to buy Alibaba-backed EasyHome for CNY38B, Bloomberg says »

Alibaba owns a 15% stake…

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  • 30

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JPM

JPMorgan

$102.72

-0.23 (-0.22%)

18:55
01/23/19
01/23
18:55
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18:55
Periodicals
JPMorgan exec says private bank expands ops in Mexico, Reuters says »

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  • 26

    Feb

SLM

Sallie Mae

$9.49

0.1 (1.07%)

, XLNX

Xilinx

$89.55

-0.89 (-0.98%)

18:53
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Hot Stocks
Fly Intel: After Hours Movers »

UP AFTER EARNINGS: SLM…

SLM

Sallie Mae

$9.49

0.1 (1.07%)

XLNX

Xilinx

$89.55

-0.89 (-0.98%)

AZPN

Aspen Technology

$89.08

0.22 (0.25%)

LRCX

Lam Research

$139.24

-0.58 (-0.41%)

URI

United Rentals

$115.98

-2.21 (-1.87%)

TER

Teradyne

$31.93

0.13 (0.41%)

VAR

Varian Medical

$126.83

1.57 (1.25%)

CP

Canadian Pacific

$195.71

0.02 (0.01%)

TXN

Texas Instruments

$95.49

-1.05 (-1.09%)

F

Ford

$8.34

-0.17 (-2.00%)

BGG

Briggs & Stratton

$13.73

-0.46 (-3.24%)

PTC

PTC

$84.73

-1.14 (-1.33%)

CTXS

Citrix

$108.64

0.4 (0.37%)

LVS

Las Vegas Sands

$57.25

0.26 (0.46%)

FFIV

F5 Networks

$159.65

2.5 (1.59%)

CCI

Crown Castle

$110.28

1.13 (1.04%)

NCNA

NuCana

$14.37

-0.38 (-2.58%)

ADXS

Advaxis

$0.32

-0.0283 (-8.16%)

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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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FB

Facebook

$144.35

-3.45 (-2.33%)

18:41
01/23/19
01/23
18:41
01/23/19
18:41
Periodicals
Advocacy groups pushing FTC to force Facebook breakup, WSJ says »

Multiple advocacy groups…

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  • 24

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    Mar

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,076.04

5.32 (0.50%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,085.27

6.59 (0.61%)

18:38
01/23/19
01/23
18:38
01/23/19
18:38
Periodicals
Devs say Google's Chrome proposal threatens ad blockers, Bloomberg says »

Developers are…

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,076.04

5.32 (0.50%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,085.27

6.59 (0.61%)

03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 24

    Jan

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    Feb

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    Feb

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    Feb

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    Mar

FCPT

Four Corners Property Trust

$26.58

-0.09 (-0.34%)

, BLMN

Bloomin' Brands

$19.15

0.08 (0.42%)

18:36
01/23/19
01/23
18:36
01/23/19
18:36
Recommendations
Four Corners Property Trust, Bloomin' Brands analyst commentary  »

Four Corners Property…

FCPT

Four Corners Property Trust

$26.58

-0.09 (-0.34%)

BLMN

Bloomin' Brands

$19.15

0.08 (0.42%)

03/08/13
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  • 14

    Feb

BAC

Bank of America

$28.91

-0.18 (-0.62%)

18:11
01/23/19
01/23
18:11
01/23/19
18:11
Periodicals
Bank of America appoints Mike Joo as investment operating chief, Reuters says »

Head of global rates and…

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  • 12

    Feb

  • 03

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F

Ford

$8.34

-0.17 (-2.00%)

18:08
01/23/19
01/23
18:08
01/23/19
18:08
Hot Stocks
Ford says Russian alliance 'under review' »

Says won't have to…

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F

Ford

$8.34

-0.17 (-2.00%)

18:04
01/23/19
01/23
18:04
01/23/19
18:04
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Ford »

Ford says 'not…

03/08/13
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  • 23

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CHMG

Chemung Financial

$41.99

-0.11 (-0.26%)

18:04
01/23/19
01/23
18:04
01/23/19
18:04
Earnings
Chemung Financial reports Q4 EPS $1.18, consensus $1.04 »

Reports Q4 loan loss…

03/08/13
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F

Ford

$8.34

-0.17 (-2.00%)

18:03
01/23/19
01/23
18:03
01/23/19
18:03
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Ford »

Ford says 2019 will…

03/08/13
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F

Ford

$8.34

-0.17 (-2.00%)

18:01
01/23/19
01/23
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18:01
Hot Stocks
Ford says 2018 auto EBIT benefited from improvement of market factors »

Says auto EBIT in 2018…

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HSIC

Henry Schein

$76.92

-0.45 (-0.58%)

17:56
01/23/19
01/23
17:56
01/23/19
17:56
Hot Stocks
Henry Schein falls after saying it will not be key supplier to VCA,Pet Partners »

Shares of Henry Schein…

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HSIC

Henry Schein

$76.92

-0.45 (-0.58%)

17:51
01/23/19
01/23
17:51
01/23/19
17:51
Hot Stocks
Henry Schein will no longer be key supplier to VCA and Pet Partners »

Mars, Incorporated has…

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