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JPM

JPMorgan

$102.10

-0.38 (-0.37%)

, PYPL

PayPal

$90.34

-0.18 (-0.20%)

11:29
01/17/19
01/17
11:29
01/17/19
11:29

Fly Intel: What to watch in credit card space earnings reports

American Express (AXP), Visa (V), and MasterCard (MA) are scheduled to report quarterly results on January 17, 30, and 31, respectively. What to watch for: 1. OUTLOOKS: During the company's last earnings call, American Express raised its FY18 earnings per share view to $7.30-$7.40 from $6.90-$7.30, and its FY18 revenue up to 9%-10%. Back in October, Visa said its sees FY19 revenue growth of low double-digits, annual operating expense growth of mid-to-high single digit increase, and effective tax rate in the 20.0%-20.5% range. During MasterCard's last earnings call, the company said it sees FY18 adjusted revenue growth in the "high-teens," and FY18 adjusted operating expenses in the "mid-teens." 2. HOSTILE MARKET: Late last month, BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Kenneth Bruce downgraded American Express to Neutral from Buy as he anticipates weaker sentiment for the stock to emerge given the broader market volatility and elevated uncertainty relating to the macroeconomic environment. While he sees AmEx continuing to "deliver its somewhat unique brand of top-line and bottom line growth," Bruce expects valuation to be restrained following the stock's recent outperformance. Back in November, his peer at Buckingham also downgraded American Express to Neutral from Buy. Analyst Chris Brendler said American Express is not expensive based on relative historical norms, but shares have outperformed other payment stocks year-to-date. Brendler views shares considerably more balanced at these levels given late-cycle credit concerns and an increasingly "blurry" macro outlook. 3. CHINESE ENTRY DELAYED: The People's Bank of China declined to acknowledge Visa and MasterCard's applications to process renminbi payments, according to a report by The Financial Times on Sunday, citing people familiar with the matter. The application delays highlight complaints by overseas companies and White House trade negotiators that China uses informal barriers to block foreign competition in the domestic market, the publication noted. 4. NEAR-TERM CONCERNS: Earlier this month, BofA/Merrill analyst Jason Kupferberg downgraded MasterCard to Neutral from Buy on near-term concerns regarding a deceleration in cross-border and high FY19 estimates. The analyst said that while he remains positive on MasterCard's long-term outlook, he views catalysts as limited near-term. 5. PARTNERSHIPS: When the company reported quarterly results, American Express also announced an expanded strategic partnership with PayPal (PYPL) to improve the digital payments experience for U.S. American Express Card Members paying with PayPal and Venmo. Back on November 16, Chase (JPM) announced that is teaming up with Visa to bring tap to pay to the industry's largest portfolio of credit cards. All Chase Visa credit cards, including all co-brand cards, will have tap to pay functionality by the first half of 2019. Chase debit cards will offer the tap to pay feature in the second half of 2019. Last month, MasterCard and Microsoft (MSFT) also announced a strategic collaboration to improve how people manage and use their digital identity. Working together, MasterCard and Microsoft aim to give people a secure, instant way to verify their digital identity with whomever they want, whenever they want.

JPM

JPMorgan

$102.10

-0.38 (-0.37%)

PYPL

PayPal

$90.34

-0.18 (-0.20%)

MA

MasterCard

$198.34

0.56 (0.28%)

V

Visa

$137.01

-0.31 (-0.23%)

AXP

American Express

$99.38

-0.02 (-0.02%)

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JPM JPMorgan
$102.10

-0.38 (-0.37%)

01/16/19
BMOC
01/16/19
NO CHANGE
Target $123
BMOC
Market Perform
JPMorgan price target lowered to $123 at BMO Capital on credit-driven Q4 miss
BMO Capital analyst James Fotheringham nudges his price target on JPMorgan down to $123 from $124 and kept his Market Perform rating on the shares after the bank posted a fees/credit-driven earnings miss in Q4. The analyst notes that the price decline in bank stocks was "value restoring" for the sector and still sees a " relatively benign system-wide fundamental credit quality over the next two years". Fotheringham adds that better values in financials exist elsewhere, with JPMorgan trading at two-year forward multiples that are "only slightly below its long-term historical average".
01/08/19
JEFF
01/08/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $110
JEFF
Hold
JPMorgan downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Ken Usdin downgraded JPMorgan (JPM) to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target on the stock to $110 from $130, as he believes continued outperformance of the best performer among large cap banks in 2018 "may be more governed" in 2019 as he expects negative EPS revisions and believes that revenues could fall short of consensus expectations for both NII and fees. Among large cap banks, Usdin also downgraded SunTrust (STI) and U.S. Bancorp (USB), both to Hold, this morning.
01/08/19
MSCO
01/08/19
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley cuts large cap bank estimates, but says stocks 'still cheap'
Morgan Stanley analyst Betsy Graseck lowered her large cap bank EPS estimates by an average of 3% and cut her target P/E multiples in the group an average of 2% due to her expectations for lower market-based revenues, slower NIM growth, risks to luxury consumer spending in 2019 and the drop in 2018 M&A volumes. Given this, she lowered her price targets by a median 6%, lowering her target for Bank of America (BAC) to $40 from $42, for Citi (C) to $88 from $94 and for JPMorgan (JPM) to $149 from $153. However, as a group she thinks large cap bank stocks still look cheap, as they are largely pricing a recession, which is not her base case. In terms of her top picks, Graseck identifies Bank of America, JPMorgan and State Street (STT).
01/08/19
01/08/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Unilever (UN, UL) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS. 2. General Dynamics (GD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu saying despite a portfolio of "marquee assets," the company's earnings "lack momentum." 3. Principal Financial (PFG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Alex Scott saying he sees less upside in the shares relative to other names in his life insurance coverage universe. 4. JPMorgan (JPM), SunTrust (STI), and U.S. Bancorp (USB) were downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies. 5. Maxar Technologies (MAXR) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse, to Sell at Veritas, to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital, and to Sector Perform at National Bank. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
PYPL PayPal
$90.34

-0.18 (-0.20%)

01/17/19
MSCO
01/17/19
NO CHANGE
Target $99
MSCO
Overweight
PayPal merchant acceptance lead widened in Q4, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst James Faucette said that PayPal (PYPL) widened its merchant acceptance lead in Q4 as it added a net of 8 of the U.S.'s top 500 internet retailers while the next largest accepted digital wallet, Amazon Pay (AMZN), lost 4 net merchants this quarter. PayPal now has acceptance at 82% of the top 500 U.S. Internet retailers, up from 81% last quarter, while Amazon's acceptance rate slipped to 12% from 13%. MasterCard's (MA) MasterPass gained 1 net new merchant, Visa Checkout (V) gained no net new merchants and Bitcoin acceptance remained unchanged at 4 of the top 500, Faucette added. The analyst, who think PayPal's acceptance lead and consumers' shift toward online purchases should support total payments volume growth at or above the rate of e-commerce, keeps an Overweight rating on PayPal shares and raised his price target to $99 from $97.
01/07/19
LEHM
01/07/19
NO CHANGE
Target $115
LEHM
Overweight
PayPal price target raised to $115 from $110 at Barclays
Barclays analyst Ramsey El-Assal raised his price target for PayPal to $115 and maintains an Overweight rating on the name. The company has released "many important new clues" over the past few months regarding the pace of Venmo monetization, El-Assal tells investors in a research note. He believes Venmo monetization is set to drive "meaningful" upside to consensus earnings estimates in 2020.
01/03/19
BTIG
01/03/19
UPGRADE
Target $94
BTIG
Buy
Green Dot upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BTIG
BTIG analyst Mark Palmer upgraded Green Dot (GDOT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $94, saying the recent 20% decline in its stock price from the early November highs has created an "attractive entry point for an evolving fintech story." The analyst notes that the company looks to have "sustainable momentum" after beating on consensus earnings and revenue for the past 12 quarters, also highlighting Green Dot's consistent progress in "repositioning its core prepaid debit card business". Palmer adds that he is positive on the company's "expanding roster of enterprise-level programs", and that its Banking as a Service partnerships now include Apple Pay Cash Card (AAPL), Intuit's (INTU) TurboTax prepaid card, Uber's Instant Pay and PayPal's (PYPL) cash in and cash out money services.
12/21/18
BARD
12/21/18
NO CHANGE
BARD
U.K. 'yellow flags' could limit Q4 upside for Amazon and PayPal, says Baird
While e-commerce trends in North America remain healthy, there are enough "yellow flags" in the U.K./Europe data to make risks elevated for e-commerce companies with international exposure, Baird analyst Colin Sebastian tells investors in a research note. Reports and commentary from U.K. online spending sources, retailer Asos, FedEx (FDX), Visa (V), and smaller players suggest December e-commerce spending may be tracking below expectations in the region, says the analyst. He points out that PayPal (PYPL), eBay (EBAY) and Amazon.com (AMZN) are most exposed to European e-commerce among the companies he covers. Sebastian believes the possible U.K. slowdown could limit revenue and margin upside for those companies in Q4.
MA MasterCard
$198.34

0.56 (0.28%)

01/09/19
UBSW
01/09/19
UPGRADE
Target $226
UBSW
Buy
MasterCard upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
UBS analyst Eric Wasserstrom upgraded MasterCard to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $226 from $206. The analyst increased his 2019-2021 volume and revenue forecasts primarily to reflect the company's strategic initiatives to expand into the enterprise business-to-business payments space. As a result, he now considers MasterCard's valuation and risk/reward to be attractive. Strong operating performance will drive positive revisions to consensus earnings forecasts over the next few years, Wasserstrom tells investors in a research note.
01/08/19
BOFA
01/08/19
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Neutral
MasterCard downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
01/08/19
01/08/19
DOWNGRADE

Neutral
MasterCard downgraded to Neutral on near-term concerns at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA/Merrill downgraded MasterCard to Neutral from Buy with a $207 price target. Analyst Jason Kupferberg has near-term concerns regarding a deceleration in cross-border and high FY19 estimates. The analyst remains positive on MasterCard's long-term outlook but views catalysts as limited near-term.
V Visa
$137.01

-0.31 (-0.23%)

12/21/18
PIPR
12/21/18
NO CHANGE
Target $178
PIPR
Overweight
Visa price target lowered to $178 from $191 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Jason Deleeuw lowered his price target for Visa to $178 while maintaining an Overweight rating on the shares. The analyst reduced his fiscal 2019/2020 revenue forecasts by 1% as he expects slower consumer spending and payments volume growth amid a "cloudier U.S. and global macro outlook." Deleeuw, however, continues to see Visa as a "multi-vector" long-term growth story with "contained risks."
12/28/18
BARD
12/28/18
NO CHANGE
Target $150
BARD
Outperform
Visa risk/reward remains favorable following acquisition, says Baird
Baird analyst David Koning believes the risk/reward on Visa remains favorable following its acquisition of London-listed Earthport. The company is a cross-border provider for banks and businesses and could add roughly 0.2% to Visa's annual revenue while being less than 1c dilutive to earnings, the analyst says in a research note. Koning maintained his Outperform rating and $150 price target on Visa shares.
AXP American Express
$99.38

-0.02 (-0.02%)

12/19/18
12/19/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $115

Neutral
BofA/Merrill downgrades American Express to Neutral in 'hostile' market
As previously reported, BofA Merrill Lynch analyst Kenneth Bruce downgraded American Express to Neutral from Buy as he anticipates weaker sentiment for the stock to emerge given the broader market volatility and elevated uncertainty relating to the macroeconomic environment. While he sees AmEx continuing to "deliver its somewhat unique brand of top-line and bottom line growth," Bruce thinks valuation will be restrained following the stock's recent outperformance. Bruce cut his price target on American Express shares to $115 from $125 after lowering the multiple applied to his FY20 EPS forecast.
12/19/18
BOFA
12/19/18
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Neutral
American Express downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
12/14/18
WBLR
12/14/18
NO CHANGE
WBLR
William Blair reiterates Outperform rating on American Express
After spending time with CEO Steve Squeri and CFO Jeff Campbell, William Blair analyst Robert Napoli reiterates an Outperform rating on shares of American Express. The analyst believes there is clear visibility into the company "maintaining its accelerated revenue growth in a stable economic environment." American Express has accelerated organic growth into the high single digits through "wise investments," and it positioned to maintain that type of growth rate over the long term, Napoli tells investors in a research note. The analyst also believes American Express should be able to grow earnings at a low-double-digit pace. He notes that despite having outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide amount in 2017 and 2018, the stock remains at a "substantial valuation discount" to the S&P 500, despite faster top-line and bottom-line growth over the long term.
11/29/18
11/29/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. American Express (AXP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham with analyst Chris Brendler saying American Express is not expensive based on relative historical norms, but shares have outperformed other payment stocks year-to-date. 2. Intel (INTC) downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank. 3. Dick's Sporting (DKS) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Christopher Horvers saying he believes the risk/reward is "turning more balanced" following yesterday's Q3 results. 4. Volaris (VLRS) downgraded to Underperform from In-Line at Imperial Capital with analyst Michael Derchin saying the company is unlikely to be profitable in fiscal 2019 if the U.S. dollar/peso exchange rate remains at or above 20. 5. Constellation Brands (STZ) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

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UAL

United Continental

$89.55

0.75 (0.84%)

13:20
02/22/19
02/22
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02/22/19
13:20
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United Continental…

03/08/13
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  • 04

    Mar

SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

, SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$278.89

1.46 (0.53%)

13:20
02/22/19
02/22
13:20
02/22/19
13:20
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U.S, China disusing late March summit between Xi and Trump, CNBC reports »

U.S. and China are…

SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$278.89

1.46 (0.53%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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