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AMTD

TD Ameritrade

$54.70

-0.64 (-1.16%)

15:34
01/22/19
01/22
15:34
01/22/19
15:34

TD Ameritrade options imply 5.3% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move

Pre-earnings options volume in TD Ameritrade is 2.9x normal with calls leading puts 8:3. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 5.3%, or $2.92, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 2.2%.

  • 23

    Jan

  • 11

    Feb

  • 13

    Feb

AMTD TD Ameritrade
$54.70

-0.64 (-1.16%)

01/22/19
MSCO
01/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $57
MSCO
Overweight
Charles Schwab target raised to $57 ahead of winter update at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys said he has increased conviction in Charles Schwab (SCHW) shares after the company saw stronger organic deposit growth and broadly strong underlying growth metrics in Q4. He expects Charles Schwab to provide2019 guidance at the company's upcoming Winter Update on February 5 that should meet consensus expectations, but he also expects Schwab to beat those expectations over the course of 2019, as they havve done in prior years. He also expects Charles Schwab to give "more rational" pricing commentary this late in the cycle, which should support the stock and peers TD Ameritrade (AMTD) and E-Trade (ETFC), Cyprys tells investors. He raised his price target on Charles Schwab shares to $57 from $55 ahead of the update call and keeps an Overweight rating on the stock.
01/04/19
MSCO
01/04/19
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley says buy TD Ameritrade ahead of earnings, negative on Virtu
Morgan Stanley analyst Michael Cyprys lowered his Q4 EPS estimates by 11% for the Asset Manager and Broker group given that the S&P 500 fell nearly 14% in the quarter, upending what had been a positive year for equity markets up until that point. For 2019, he favors the discount brokers - TD Ameritrade (AMTD), E-Trade (ETFC) and Charles Schwab (SCHW) - given their more defensive earnings profiles. Ahead of the Q4 earnings season he sees TD Ameritrade as "compelling" given its greater skew to trading revenues among the eBrokers, greater derivative mix and rising client cash levels, Cyprys tells investors. He also views concerns around commission price cuts as overdone as doe not expect Charles Schwab to cut, the analyst added. Ahead of Q4 reporting, Cyprys is negative on Virtu Financial (VIRT), as he thinks expectations are too high and notes the stock has recently outperformed.
11/30/18
GSCO
11/30/18
INITIATION
Target $60
GSCO
Neutral
TD Ameritrade initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Will Nance initiated coverage of the Online Brokers with an Attractive coverage view, stating that for the group on the whole he believes cyclical factors will drive fundamentals and valuation in the near term despite organic growth and pricing concerns. He started TD Ameritrade with a Neutral rating and $60 price target, stating that his estimates are roughly in-line with consensus. The bull thesis, that TD Ameritrade benefits the most in the group from more volatile markets and should see a multi-year increase in spread-based income, is largely reflected in consensus expectations, Nance believes.
11/19/18
11/19/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. TD Ameritrade (AMTD) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS with analyst Brennan Hawken saying he believes "misperceptions about late cycle risk" has created an attractive entry point for shares. 2. Helmerich & Payne (HP) upgraded two notches to Buy from Sell at SunTrust, to Buy from Neutral at Citi, and to Neutral from Underperform at Credit Suisse. 3. Viking Therapeutics (VKTX) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James with analyst Steven Seedhouse saying he thinks TR-B remains one of the most promising mechanisms with proof-of-concept in NASH based on VK2809 and MGL-3196 data presented and conversations with physicians. 4. Big Lots (BIG) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Peter Keith saying he expects a "strong" tax refund season in early 2019 for lower/moderate-income families. 5. Booking Holdings (BKNG) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Robert Coolbrith saying he believes current valuation offers a favorable entry point. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

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BBBY

Bed Bath & Beyond

$13.87

0.17 (1.24%)

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RTN

Raytheon

$180.58

-0.82 (-0.45%)

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WHD

Cactus

$36.03

1.225 (3.52%)

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CCL

Carnival

$56.67

-0.065 (-0.11%)

, MKC

McCormick

$143.88

1.58 (1.11%)

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CCL

Carnival

$56.67

-0.065 (-0.11%)

MKC

McCormick

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1.58 (1.11%)

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CRTO

Criteo

$21.99

-3.4 (-13.39%)

20:19
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Downgrade
Criteo rating change at KeyBanc »

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SSNLF

Samsung

$0.00

(0.00%)

20:02
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Periodicals
Samsung sees weaker environment for display, memory in Q1, Bloomberg says »

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BA

Boeing

$370.52

8.37 (2.31%)

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  • 28

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MCD

McDonald's

$185.66

-1.11 (-0.59%)

19:49
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Periodicals
McDonald's purchase price of Dynamic Yield above $300M, Bloomberg says »

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  • 30

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SSNLF

Samsung

$0.00

(0.00%)

19:32
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Periodicals
Breaking Periodicals news story on Samsung »

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AWR

American States Water

$71.51

0.505 (0.71%)

19:22
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Hot Stocks
American States Water CEO sells 12.4K shares of common stock »

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MEOH

Methanex

$56.35

-1.38 (-2.39%)

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BECN

Beacon Roofing

$34.14

0.81 (2.43%)

, SAEX

SAExploration

$4.03

0.13 (3.33%)

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BECN

Beacon Roofing

$34.14

0.81 (2.43%)

SAEX

SAExploration

$4.03

0.13 (3.33%)

IQ

iQIYI

$24.01

-0.86 (-3.46%)

MYOK

MyoKardia

$51.87

-2.44 (-4.49%)

CTMX

CytomX Therapeutics

$10.76

0.33 (3.16%)

03/08/13
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  • 26

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HPQ

HP Inc.

$18.97

-0.4 (-2.07%)

18:48
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Periodicals
HP lawyer tells court Autonomy's Lynch inflated sales data, Reuters says »

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  • 23

    Apr

PEGA

Pegasystems

$63.61

-0.27 (-0.42%)

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  • 22

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SMTC

Semtech

$52.59

-0.38 (-0.72%)

18:32
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Semtech CEO sells 25K shares of common stock »

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  • 25

    Mar

TMO

Thermo Fisher

$268.89

5.015 (1.90%)

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DJX

Dow Jones Industrial Average

$0.00

(0.00%)

, SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

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Periodicals
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DJX

Dow Jones Industrial Average

$0.00

(0.00%)

SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$278.99

-0.56 (-0.20%)

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MCD

McDonald's

$185.66

-1.11 (-0.59%)

18:23
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  • 30

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BA

Boeing

$370.52

8.37 (2.31%)

18:22
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Periodicals
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  • 28

    May

ACHC

Acadia

$29.47

-0.59 (-1.96%)

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AAPL

Apple

$188.78

-2.33 (-1.22%)

17:41
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03/25
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Recommendations
Apple analyst commentary at Piper Jaffray »

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  • 25

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ZFGN

Zafgen

$2.70

-0.15 (-5.26%)

17:38
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Armistice Capital reports 5.6% passive stake in Zafgen »

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NOC

Northrop Grumman

$268.56

0.27 (0.10%)

17:36
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