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X

U.S. Steel

$22.30

0.98 (4.60%)

15:34
01/30/19
01/30
15:34
01/30/19
15:34

US Steel options imply 13.2% move in share price post-earnings, above median historical move

Pre-earnings options volume in US Steel is 2.0x normal with calls leading puts 10:9. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 13.2%, or $2.94, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 7.5%.

  • 31

    Jan

X U.S. Steel
$22.30

0.98 (4.60%)

01/22/19
JEFF
01/22/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $24
JEFF
Hold
Jefferies downgrades U.S. Steel to Hold on guidance risk
Jefferies analyst Seth Rosenfeld downgraded U.S. Steel to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $24 from $38. "Poor" Q4 earnings and Q1 guides will begin to reflect the extent of recent steel margin weakness, Rosenfeld tells investors in a research note. The analyst, while remaining "constructive" on the broader Steel sector, downgraded U.S. Steel to reflect guidance risk and "increasingly challenged" long-term prospects. With both U.S. and European flat steel margins drifting lower, drivers for a "meaningful recovery" at the company are "hard to identify," says the analyst. As such, he believes U.S. Steel's 2019 EBITDA guidance risks disappointing consensus expectations. Rosenfeld's top picks in the U.S. are Nucor (NUE), Commercial Metals (CMC), Steel Dynamics (STLD), Reliance Steel (RS) and Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF).
01/22/19
01/22/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Gap (GPS) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs while Tiffany (TIF) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy. 2. U.S. Steel (X) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst Seth Rosenfeld saying "poor" Q4 earnings and Q1 guides will begin to reflect the extent of recent steel margin weakness. 3. Fortinet (FTNT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Keith Bachman saying he is not bearish on the stock, expecting the firewall market to remain healthy for several years given the changing throughput requirements, but sees the rating change as reflective of its more balanced risk-reward. 4. Crispr Therapeutics (CRSP) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Yigal Nochomovitz saying Crispr's near-term valuation driver and lead program in related blood disorders "substantially lags" more advanced competitors. 5. AMC Entertainment (AMC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley FBR with analyst Eric Wold saying the ramp of the company's subscription service Stubs A-List clouds its EBITDA visibility. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/28/19
MSCO
01/28/19
UPGRADE
MSCO
Equal Weight
U.S. Steel upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley
01/28/19
01/28/19
UPGRADE
Target $21

Equal Weight
Morgan Stanley ups U.S. Steel to Equal Weight on near-term steel price bounce
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Piyush Sood upgraded U.S. Steel (X) to Equal Weight from Underweight as he thinks the market has sufficiently priced in operational and pricing concerns given the stock's 20% underperformance compared to "mini mills" Steel Dynamics (STLD), Nucor (NUE) and Commercial Metals (CMC) over the last six months. While he thinks a seasonal pickup in U.S. demand should help put a floor under steel pricing, he would look to fade any 3-6 month steel price and sentiment rally, Sood added. He lowered his price target on U.S. Steel shares to $21 from $30.

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