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JCP

J.C. Penney

$1.30

0.045 (3.60%)

, JWN

Nordstrom

$46.51

0.93 (2.04%)

11:32
02/27/19
02/27
11:32
02/27/19
11:32

Fly Intel: What to watch in J.C. Penney earnings report

J.C. Penney (JCP) is scheduled to report results of its fourth fiscal quarter before the market open on Thursday, February 28, with a conference call scheduled for 8:30 am EDT. What to watch for: 1. TURNAROUND EFFORTS: Analysts and investors will listen for comments from the retailer on its cost cutting moves. Last year, J.C. Penney reduced payroll, froze overtime and took other major cost cutting steps as it faced "an expense challenge." J.C. Penney management has said the company would continue to be "aggressive" on cost cutting. In August, J.C. Penney said it plans to cut $250M in inventory by 2019. 2. STRATEGY SHIFT: J.C. Penney announced in early February that it will stop selling major appliances in order to improve financial performance and drive profitable growth. Additionally, the struggling retailer said it will mostly stop selling furniture, and that furniture will now only be available online and in select Puerto Rico stores. Instead, the company plans to prioritize and focus on its "legacy strengths" in apparel and "soft" home furnishings, which it said represents higher margin opportunities. Former CEO Marvin Ellison, who left the company last May to become CEO of Lowe's (LOW), made the move into appliances in 2016, but the company faced challenges from expanded offerings from Lowe's and Home Depot (HD). Under Ellison, J.C. Penney moved appliances into about 600 stores. 3. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE: Mall-based retailers, including J.C. Penney, have been hurt by the increasing popularity of fast-fashion retailers like Zara, Forever 21 and H&M. The current promotional environment as well as tourism sales and a shift to e-commerce has been a focus for many retailers as of late. In October, Sears (SHLD) filed for bankruptcy. At the time, the company said it intends to stay in business, keeping open stores that are profitable. Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti says J.C. Penney is best positioned to gain share in 2019 due to close proximity. Binetti does not see this as sustainable customer acquisition for J.C. Penney given the increased risk of closing destabilized malls, limited visibility to an improved merchandise strategy, and leverage constraints to growth investing. Overall, the analyst believes that while there may be some near-term share benefit, a Sears liquidation could be a bigger tipping point that will accelerate closures of already weakening U.S. C&D malls. 4. OUTLOOK: J.C. Penney has struggled more than some of its peers, including Nordstrom (JWN) and Macy's (M), and in November, withdrew its earnings guidance for FY18 given the recent appointment of a new CEO and interim CFO. Prior to the withdrawal, the company had again cut its FY18 outlook as it continued to deal with too much inventory. New CEO Jill Soltau, the former president and CEO of Joann Stores, said on J.C. Penney's Q3 earnings conference call in November that restoring the company to profitable growth will be a "lengthy" process. In January, J.C. Penney said its comparable store sales for the nine-week period ending January 5 fell 3.5% on a shifted basis, with sales falling 5.4% on an "unshifted" basis. The retailer said it still expects to "generate positive free cash flow in FY18, reduce inventory in excess of $225M, or 8%, and expects to end the year with liquidity in excess of $2B."

JCP

J.C. Penney

$1.30

0.045 (3.60%)

JWN

Nordstrom

$46.51

0.93 (2.04%)

M

Macy's

$25.31

0.59 (2.39%)

SHLD

Sears

$0.00

(0.00%)

LOW

Lowe's

$106.23

1.33 (1.27%)

HD

Home Depot

$185.03

-3.27 (-1.74%)

  • 27

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    Feb

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    Feb

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    Mar

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    Mar

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    Mar

JCP J.C. Penney
$1.30

0.045 (3.60%)

01/09/19
FBCO
01/09/19
NO CHANGE
FBCO
J.C. Penney looks best positioned to gain share from Sears, says Credit Suisse
Looking at potential near-term same-store sales lift Softlines Retail peers could see from share gains based on proximity to Sears (SHLD) stores amid a possible liquidation, Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti says J.C. Penney (JCP) and Burlington Stores (BURL) seem best positioned to gain share in 2019 due to close proximity. And while J.C. Penney looks best positioned to gain share from Sears, the analyst thinks the recent stock run-up is "a short-term bounce." Binetti does not see this as sustainable customer acquisition for J.C. Penney given the increased risk of closing destabilized malls, limited visibility to an improved merchandise strategy, and leverage constraints to growth investing. Overall, the analyst believes that while there may be some near-term share benefit, a Sears liquidation could be a bigger tipping point that will accelerate closures of already weakening U.S. C&D malls.
01/16/19
FBCO
01/16/19
NO CHANGE
Target $50
FBCO
Neutral
Nordstrom price target lowered to $50 from $55 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti lowered his price target for Nordstrom (JWN) to $50 from $55 on weak full-price holiday adding to already clearance filled January. With Nordstrom adding to industry markdown issues, the analyst sees negative reads for J.C. Penney (JCP), Kohl's (KSS), Gap (GPS), but positive for Burlington Stores (BURL), Ross Stores (ROST), and TJX (TJX). Binetti reiterates a Neutral rating on Nordstrom shares.
11/16/18
ARGS
11/16/18
DOWNGRADE
ARGS
Sell
J.C. Penney downgraded to Sell from Hold at Argus
Argus analyst John Eade downgraded J.C. Penney to Sell, anticipating continued losses for the stock for the next two years while also warning that at a current share price below $2, the company is operating with a more elevated risk. The analyst states that while J.C Penney has made efforts to "restructure its merchandise assortment, close underperforming stores, and bolster its Omnichannel business, its operating results continue to deteriorate." Eade cites the company's margin deterioration coming from store closings, poor inventory management, and "steep discounting" intended to clear excess inventory. The analyst also sees J.C. Penney operating against "intense" competition from a wide range of retailers and suffering from weak mall traffic, while also facing a very expensive "arms race" to improve e-commerce capabilities.
11/16/18
11/16/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Home Depot (HD) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Elizabeth Suzuki saying peak growth has passed. 2. J.C. Penney (JCP) downgraded to Sell from Hold at Argus with analyst John Eade saying he anticipates continued losses for the stock for the next two years while also warning that at a current share price below $2, the company is operating with a more elevated risk. 3. Nvidia (NVDA) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at B. Riley FBR and to Buy from Conviction Buy at Goldman Sachs. 4. Michael Kors (KORS) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer with analyst Brian Nagel saying he is "concerned" that ongoing challenges with inventory management and replenishment at the company's namesake brand and softness within fashion watches will weigh on top-line trends and potentially margins, just as management begins the integration of Versace. 5. TSMC (TSM) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley while UMC (UMC) was downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
JWN Nordstrom
$46.51

0.93 (2.04%)

02/22/19
02/22/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Kraft Heinz (KHC) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays, to Hold from Buy at Berenberg and Stifel, and well as to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill, UBS, Piper Jaffray, and JPMorgan. 2. Broadcom (AVGO) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen with analyst Matthew Ramsay saying he sees the shares as fairly valued at current levels. 3. Stamps.com (STMP) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Roth Capital and to Hold from Buy at Maxim. 4. Nordstrom (JWN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Paul Trussell saying while Nordstrom "continues to operate unique assets," he no longer anticipates an inflection in EBIT dollar growth near-term. 5. Roku (ROKU) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Wedbush with analyst Michael Pachter saying Roku has built an "exceptional" platform and has positioned itself as best-in-class for OTT advertising, but lowered his long-term EPS estimate on lower operating margin assumption given a greater likelihood of higher spending levels than he previously modeled. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
02/20/19
WEDB
02/20/19
NO CHANGE
Target $65
WEDB
Neutral
Dillard's price target lowered to $65 from $70 at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Jen Redding lowered his price target for Dillard's (DDS) to $65 from $70 as she leans cautiously into earnings, with her data models showing revenues a touch below consensus, elevated e-commerce inventories, and lackluster consumer spending fueled by a late tax return season, likely compounding pressures for the beleaguered department store group. Though shares depreciated less than Macy's (M), Nordstrom (JWN), and Kohl's (KSS) for the period November 5 through January 31, the analyst attributes relative outperformance compared to the peer group as owing to Dillard's low profile presence on the street, and limited availability of data points versus investor expectations for an upcoming positive catalyst. Redding reiterates a Neutral rating on Dillard's shares.
01/16/19
JPMS
01/16/19
DOWNGRADE
JPMS
Underweight
Nordstrom downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
01/16/19
01/16/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $41

Underweight
Nordstrom downgraded to Underweight with $41 price target at JPMorgan
As previously reported, JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss downgraded Nordstrom to Underweight from Neutral and lowered his price target on the stock to $41 from $51 after the company reported last night that its brick and mortar comps decelerated to down 5% over the Holiday period. The material deceleration at Full-line stores was "abrupt and broad-based across categories," noted Boss, who said he is concerned that trends will get worse before they get better. His same-store-sales and gross margin assumptions are now below management's analyst day targets and he cut his FY19 and FY20 EPS estimates to below consensus, Boss noted.
M Macy's
$25.31

0.59 (2.39%)

02/12/19
CLVD
02/12/19
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Macy's sales softened in January, says Cleveland Research
02/06/19
OTRG
02/06/19
DOWNGRADE
OTRG
Mixed
Macy's downgraded to Mixed from Positive at OTR Global
01/11/19
RBCM
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
Target $29
RBCM
Sector Perform
Macy's price target lowered to $29 from $36 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Brian Tunick lowered his price target on Macy's to $29 and kept his Sector Perform rating after its "disappointing holiday sales" removed optimism that followed a strong November report. The analyst warns that investors will now turn more "skeptical about sustainable sales improvements and margin expansion potential given competitive environment and elevated investments." Tunick also points to Macy's upcoming harder comps, higher expense deleverage, and rising staffing/delivery costs.
SHLD Sears
$0.00

(0.00%)

10/12/18
MKMP
10/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $31
MKMP
Neutral
L Brands visibility remains low despite better Sept comps, says MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Roxanne Meyer kept her Neutral rating and $31 price target on L Brands (LB), saying that while the company reported better than expected same store sales in September and its Victoria's Secret brand comps turned positive, its visibility remains low. The analyst lists potential catalysts for L Brands being a "strong performance of pajamas in Q4 and the reintroduction of swimwear" at VS, but also points to her "newest concern" being the likelihood of a Sears (SHLD) liquidation, which would then reduce traffic at malls where the company also has retail presence.
10/16/18
LOOP
10/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $88
LOOP
Buy
Best Buy to be major beneficiary of likely Sears liquidation, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba kept his Buy rating and $88 price target on Best Buy (BBY) after Sears Holdings (SHLD) declared bankruptcy over the weekend, saying it should be a "major beneficiary" from the latter's eventual "likely" liquidation. The analyst estimates the liquidation could add as much as 47c or 8.5% accretion to Best Buy FY19 EPS, with the company picking up a "fair share" on the consumer electronics side of the business as the "last man standing" in terms of dedicated national brick-and-mortar retailers.
10/17/18
FBCO
10/17/18
NO CHANGE
Target $125
FBCO
Outperform
Whirlpool price target lowered to $125 from $175 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Susan Maklari lowered her price target for Whirlpool (WHR) to $125 from $175 to reflect continued pressures from inflation and reduced overhead leverage. While international challenges continue to drag on results, pricing in North America could help provide a necessary offset, she contends. The analyst notes that Sears' (SHLD) Chapter 11 filing should result in few changes in long-term appliance trends, though there could be some near-term choppiness as 142 additional stores are closed and liquidated. Maklari reiterates an Outperform rating on Whirlpool shares.
LOW Lowe's
$106.23

1.33 (1.27%)

01/23/19
01/23/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Tesla (TSLA) downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with analyst Joseph Spak saying the company's more "tactful messaging" conveys downward pressure to growth expectations and also sees the "realities" of Tesla becoming a volume player highlighting its "challenges to scale and deliver high volume at high ASPs/margins." 2. Lowe's (LOW) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital with analyst Laura Champine saying she thinks she was previously too optimistic on Lowe's likely margin progression. 3. Williams-Sonoma (WSM) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley with analyst Simeon Gutman saying he believes top and bottom-line pressures will intensify in 2019. 4. Merck (MRK) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Alex Arfaei citing the company's over-dependence on Keytruda, the Street's high expectations, and his views on upcoming competitor trials combining for a more balanced risk-reward on Merck. 5. Pfizer (PFE) and Mylan (MYL) were downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/23/19
LOOP
01/23/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $99
LOOP
Hold
Lowe's downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine downgraded Lowe's to Hold and lowered her price target for the shares to $99 from $125. The retailer closed yesterday down 3% to $91.56. The analyst thinks she was previously too optimistic on Lowe's likely margin progression. She still expects the company's fiscal 2019 same-store-sales to rise 3%, but she believes Lowe's will need to be more promotional to achieve this. Further, the analyst expects industry demand to moderate this year. Management's initiatives to drive sales will have a long-term payoff, "but we are not seeing significant progress in stores yet," Champine tells investors in a research note. As such, the analyst believe shares of Lowe's are reasonably priced at current levels.
02/27/19
LOOP
02/27/19
NO CHANGE
Target $102
LOOP
Hold
Lowe's price target raised to $102 from $99 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine maintained a Hold rating on Lowe's and raised her price target to $102 from $99 following the company's Q4 results. In a research note to investors, Champine says she fully expects industry demand to moderate this year and believes management's initiatives to drive sales will continue to move the needle, enabling the company to approximate the guidance it gave in December. The analyst believes shares of Lowe's are reasonably priced at 18x her FY19 operating EPS estimate of $6.00 and 12x EV/EBITDA.
01/16/19
DBAB
01/16/19
NO CHANGE
DBAB
Sherwin-Williams miss negative for Home Depot and Lowe's, says Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Mike Baker views yesterday's negative preannouncement from Sherwin-Williams (SHW) as a net negative for Home Depot (HD) and Lowe's (LOW). Sherwin posted a 3% comp at its North America paint stores versus 5% in Q3 and the fourth worse quarter in a row, Baker tells investors in a research note.
HD Home Depot
$185.03

-3.27 (-1.74%)

02/27/19
TLSY
02/27/19
DOWNGRADE
TLSY
Market Perform
Home Depot downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Telsey Advisory
02/27/19
DZBN
02/27/19
DOWNGRADE
DZBN
Hold
Home Depot downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank
02/27/19
02/27/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Home Depot (HD) downgraded to Hold from Buy at DZ Bank and to Market Perform from Outperform at Telsey Advisory. 2. Chubb (CB) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse with analyst Michael Zaremski saying he thinks the assumed catastrophe load embedded within consensus EPS forecasts is materially too low/optimistic, and as he has less confidence that the company will be able to organically grow policy counts in its peer-leading US high-net-worth personal home/auto businesses due to heightened competition from new entrants, one of whom is led by a spate of former Chubb executives. The analyst also lowered his price target on the shares to $131 from $141. 3. Heska (HSKA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Benchmark wth analyst Bruce Jackson saying he reduced his estimates following the company's Q4 miss and "disappointing" 2019 guidance. 4. WW (WTW) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson, to Hold from Buy at SunTrust and Craig-Hallum, to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc, and to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer. 5. Unilever (UN, UL) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
02/26/19
BARD
02/26/19
NO CHANGE
Target $200
BARD
Outperform
Home Depot supported by 'stronger comp outlook', says Baird
Baird analyst Peter Benedict kept his Outperform rating and $200 price target on Home Depot after its "mixed" Q4 results, saying that despite a softer end to FY18, the company's FY19 initial comp guidance was better than expected. The analyst believes that the macro underpinnings for Home Depot remain supportive, and he anticipates a potentially strong Q1 given the "relatively benign" seasonal compares.

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Visa

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Navidea

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Four Corners Property Trust

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PRK

Park National

$93.98

-2.72 (-2.81%)

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STNE

StoneCo

$26.50

-8.25 (-23.74%)

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

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-0.53 (-1.15%)

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MedMen

$0.00

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Turkcell

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-0.175 (-3.09%)

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1st Constitution Bancorp

$18.07

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Qumu

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  • 01

    May

COTY

Coty

$11.27

0.02 (0.18%)

10:48
04/19/19
04/19
10:48
04/19/19
10:48
Hot Stocks
Coty notes extension of tender offer by affiliate of JAB Holding Company »

Coty notes the extension…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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NTES

NetEase

$265.88

-2.34 (-0.87%)

10:45
04/19/19
04/19
10:45
04/19/19
10:45
Hot Stocks
NetEase announces music license agreement with Nippon Columbia »

NetEase Cloud Music…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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09:10
04/19/19
04/19
09:10
04/19/19
09:10
General news
Today's U.S. housing report revealed March declines »

Today's U.S. housing…

08:45
04/19/19
04/19
08:45
04/19/19
08:45
General news
U.S. housing starts fell 0.3% to 1.139 M in March »

U.S. housing starts fell…

08:15
04/19/19
04/19
08:15
04/19/19
08:15
General news
Housing Starts to be reported at 08:30 »

March Housing Starts will…

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