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BJRI

BJ's Restaurants

$46.34

0.05 (0.11%)

, CAKE

Cheesecake Factory

$47.33

-0.62 (-1.29%)

11:25
04/11/19
04/11
11:25
04/11/19
11:25

Wedbush restaurants analyst to hold a luncheon

Restaurants Analyst Setyan hold a quarterly restaurant preview luncheon in New York on April 11 hosted by Wedbush.

BJRI

BJ's Restaurants

$46.34

0.05 (0.11%)

CAKE

Cheesecake Factory

$47.33

-0.62 (-1.29%)

CHUY

Chuy's

$21.14

(0.00%)

CMG

Chipotle

$707.42

-11.425 (-1.59%)

DENN

Denny's

$17.72

-0.02 (-0.11%)

DIN

Dine Brands

$93.05

0.36 (0.39%)

DNKN

Dunkin' Brands

$74.89

0.43 (0.58%)

DRI

Darden

$116.22

-0.74 (-0.63%)

HABT

Habit Restaurants

$10.52

(0.00%)

JACK

Jack in the Box

$78.45

-1.12 (-1.41%)

SBUX

Starbucks

$75.92

0.43 (0.57%)

SHAK

Shake Shack

$58.71

0.08 (0.14%)

TACO

Del Taco

$10.07

0.03 (0.30%)

TXRH

Texas Roadhouse

$61.02

-0.29 (-0.47%)

WEN

Wendy's

$18.25

0.27 (1.50%)

WING

Wingstop

$77.22

0.61 (0.80%)

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BJRI BJ's Restaurants
$46.34

0.05 (0.11%)

02/22/19
SPHN
02/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $70
SPHN
Overweight
BJ's Restaurants price target lowered to $70 from $80 at Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh noted that BJ's Restaurants reported in-line Q4 results and even though the company pointed to slightly softer-than-expected quarter-to-date comps he expects investors to take a "wait and see" approach. He keeps an Overweight rating on BJ's Restaurants shares, but lowered his price target on the stock to $70 from $80 to account for his lowered estimates.
01/07/19
STFL
01/07/19
UPGRADE
STFL
Buy
BJ's Restaurants upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel
01/07/19
01/07/19
UPGRADE
Target $65

Buy
BJ's Restaurants upgraded to Buy following pullback at Stifel
As previously reported, Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull upgraded BJ's Restaurants to Buy from Hold as he believes the 22% pullback since late October presents a good opportunity to buy at a reasonable valuation. He believes same restaurant sales drivers remain in place and projects 2019 SRS growth of 3.0-3.5% and also sees operating margins improving in 2019, O'Cull tells investors. However, he lowered his price target on BJ's Restaurants shares to $65 from $70.
02/22/19
MAXM
02/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $72
MAXM
Buy
BJ's Restaurants price target lowered to $72 from $84 at Maxim
Maxim analyst Stephen Anderson lowered his price target on BJ's Restaurants to $72 after its Q4 earnings miss, saying that while revenues were better than expected, higher operating costs were an issue. The analyst is also anticipating a "likely weak Q1" and believes that investors are "rightly concerned" about the company's "muted early-quarter sales trends and higher costs related to internal initiatives." Longer term, Anderson keeps his Buy rating on BJ's Restaurants and expects the management's multiple initiatives to produce comps growth at or better than 4%.
CAKE Cheesecake Factory
$47.33

-0.62 (-1.29%)

02/21/19
MAXM
02/21/19
NO CHANGE
Target $60
MAXM
Buy
Cheesecake Factory price target raised to $60 from $55 at Maxim
Maxim analyst Stephen Anderson raised his price target on Cheesecake Factory to $60 and kept his Buy rating after its Q4 results, saying that while earnings missed expectations, its blended 1.9% comps were above consensus of 0.8% and his forecast of 1.5%. The analyst also cites the company's pending acquisition of the North Italia concept that is expected to be completed in Q3 of this year and become accretive to earnings in 2020.
01/08/19
01/08/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Voya Financial (VOYA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs analyst Alex Scott saying the company is well positioned to manage through the pullback in equity markets and still hit its targets of 10%-plus earnings growth. 2. Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James with analyst Brian Vaccaro citing better than expected industry sales. 3. Union Pacific (UNP) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen, to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital and Scotiabank, and to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global. 4. Monster Beverage (MNST) upgraded to Buy from Hold at SunTrust with analyst William Chappell saying after the recent declines in input costs and the "successful U.S. pricing actions," consensus expectations for the stock are too low, while the concerns over its partnership with Coca-Cola (KO) and challenges around growth in China are "overblown." 5. Molina Healthcare (MOH) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at both JPMorgan and MUFG. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
01/08/19
RAJA
01/08/19
UPGRADE
RAJA
Outperform
Cheesecake Factory upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James
01/08/19
RAJA
01/08/19
UPGRADE
Target $50
RAJA
Outperform
Cheesecake Factory upgraded to Outperform, concerns overdone, says Raymond James
As previously reported, Raymond James upgraded Cheesecake Factory to Outperform from Market Perform and established a $50 price target. Analyst Brian Vaccaro raised Cheesecake's Q4 earnings estimate to 63c from 61c to reflect a comp of 1.5%, versus 1% prior, due to better than expected industry sales. The analyst believes sentiment is overly negative and that initial 2019 earnings guidance could be a positive catalysts for shares into the Q4 earnings season.
CHUY Chuy's
$21.14

(0.00%)

09/26/18
SPHN
09/26/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $43.5
SPHN
Equal Weight
Sonic downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh downgraded Sonic (SONC) to Equal Weight from Overweight, stating that given the premium valuation that Inspire Brands has agreed to pay he does not expect any competing bids. The analyst, who raised his price target on Sonic shares to $43.50 from $40, added that he views Roark's acquisition of the company as "somewhat unique" and does not expect the "floodgates of restaurant M&A to open." His previously published list of potential takeout targets in the restaurant space includes Red Robin (RRGB), Chuy's (CHUY) and BJ's Restaurants (BJRI).
09/25/18
BARD
09/25/18
NO CHANGE
BARD
M&A interest could put near-term floor under restaurant valuations, says Baird
Baird analyst David Tarantino said Sonic's (SONC) agreement to be acquired by Inspire Brands, which also bought Buffalo Wild Wings last year, underscores that private equity firms continue to have interest in putting money to work in the restaurant sector, which he thinks could help to put a floor on the valuations of publicly-traded restaurant stocks. Among the stocks in the sector that he covers, Tarantino views Jack in the Box (JACK), El Pollo Loco (LOCO), Chuy's (CHUY), Habit Restaurants (HABT) and Potbelly (PBPB) as among those that theoretically could attract buyout interest at their current multiples, he tells investors.
09/24/18
BMOC
09/24/18
DOWNGRADE
BMOC
Underperform
Brinker, Darden, Chuy's Holdings downgraded to Underperform at BMO Capital
As reported earlier, BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik also downgraded Brinker (EAT), Darden (DRI), and Chuy's Holdings (CHUY) to Underperform from Market Perform as part of his broader casual dining sector report and lowered their respective price target to $40 from $43, $96 from $105, and $23 from $28. The analyst cites expected deceleration of industry comps starting in Q4 of this year as a result of wider food-at-home/food-away-from-home gap coming from food commodity deflation. Strelzik says all of the downgraded companies have a tight correlation between comps and commodity prices and sees their EBITDA multiple expansions coming under pressure. The analyst adds that the widening gap will make the recent multiple expansion in the industry unsustainable in spite of recent sequential comps improvement at Brinker, strong brand positioning and value options at Darden, and "attractive" long term growth potential of new unit openings at Chuy's.
09/24/18
BMOC
09/24/18
DOWNGRADE
BMOC
Market Perform
Chuy's downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital
CMG Chipotle
$707.42

-11.425 (-1.59%)

04/08/19
PIPR
04/08/19
NO CHANGE
PIPR
Piper survey of 8,000 teens positive for Ulta, Chipotle, Amazon and Netflix
Piper Jaffray analysts Erinn Murphy, Michael Olson and Nicole Miller Regan say their firm's 37th semi-annual survey of 8,000 teens is more positive for Ulta Beauty (ULTA), VF Corp. (VFC), Lululemon (LULU), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG), Amazon.com (AMZN), Netflix (NFLX) and Electronic Arts (EA). The survey results were most cautious for department stores, mid-priced accessories, Ralph Lauren (RL) and eBay (EBAY), the analysts tell investors in a research note. Broadly speaking, the casualization of fashion remains strong, footwear is gaining wallet share, and beauty "remains dynamic" with several indie brands hitting new highs in the survey, say the analysts. They note that Ulta surpassed Sephora as the preferred beauty destination.
04/11/19
04/11/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Chipotle (CMG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies with analyst Andrew Barish saying after rallying 65% in Q1, Chipotle's valuation is full and reflects improved visibility for "powerful" same-store-sales and margin drivers. 2. Eli Lilly (LLY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim with analyst Seamus Fernandez saying while he expects updates at the American Diabetes Association meeting to be broadly positive, he sees limited upside for the stock from current levels until Lilly's overall immunology portfolio and competition from Novo Nordisk's (NVO) semaglutide franchise is more fully understood. 3. U.S. Steel (X) downgraded to Underperform from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Timna Tanners citing worse near-term U.S. market conditions than she anticipated. 4. Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley with analyst Dara Mohsenian saying she sees a negative risk-reward despite a "well telegraphed" Q1 earnings beat on strong pricing at heritage Dr. Pepper Snapple. 5. Waste Management (WM) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with analyst Michael Hoffman saying he factors in incrementally weaker paper prices and the impact of wet weather. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/11/19
JEFF
04/11/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $700
JEFF
Hold
Chipotle downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Andrew Barish downgraded Chipotle Mexican Grill to Hold from Buy while raising his price target for the shares to $700 from $600. The stock closed yesterday up $8.01 to $718.85. After rallying 65% in Q1, Chipotle's valuation is full and reflects improved visibility for "powerful" same-store-sales and margin drivers, Barish tells investors in a research note. While the analyst expects "strong" Q1 results on April 24, he sees potential headwinds from beef and marketing costs.
04/10/19
PIPR
04/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $755
PIPR
Overweight
Chipotle price target raised to $755 from $725 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan raised her price target for Chipotle Mexican Grill to $755 from $725 and keeps an Overweight rating on the name following March channel checks. The analyst increased her Q1 same-store sales estimate to up 7.5%, above the consensus at up 6.7%, as her checks suggest "steady momentum" for Chipotle in March. She admits, however, that investors' comp expectations are well ahead of consensus estimates for Q1, "which could create some volatility when the company reports results in late April." Nonetheless, Regan reiterates her conviction in Chipotle's long-term investment case.
DENN Denny's
$17.72

-0.02 (-0.11%)

04/03/19
KERI
04/03/19
INITIATION
KERI
Buy
Denny's initiated with a Buy at Kalinowski
02/13/19
SPHN
02/13/19
NO CHANGE
Target $20
SPHN
Overweight
Stephens says Denny's should continue to 'grind higher,' ups target to $20
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh kept his Overweight rating on Denny's shares following the company's in-line to better Q4 results, stating that he expects the stock to "continue to grind higher" given the company's brand momentum, consumer positioning, and aggressive stance on share repurchases. He raised his price target on Denny's shares to $20 from $17 in a post-earnings research note.
02/12/19
SPHN
02/12/19
NO CHANGE
Target $17
SPHN
Overweight
Denny's Q4 benefited from strong consumer backdrop, says Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh kept his Overweight rating and $17 price target on Denny's after its in-line Q4 results, saying the strength in its top-line and lower labor costs offset higher occupancy and other expenses. The analyst sees the company continuing to benefit from a strong consumer backdrop and sees Denny's as "one of the better positioned full-service restaurants" thanks to its "innovative value and convenience strategy" and "market-share opportunities".
12/11/18
12/11/18
INITIATION

On The Fly: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) initiated with a Sell at DZ Bank. 2. Coherent (COHR) initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs. 3. SMTC Corp. (SMTX) initiated with a Buy at B. Riley FBR. 4. Denny's (DENN) initiated with a Buy at Maxim. 5. Roche (RHHBY) assumed with a Buy at Jefferies. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
DIN Dine Brands
$93.05

0.36 (0.39%)

02/01/19
WEDB
02/01/19
INITIATION
Target $120
WEDB
Outperform
Dine Brands initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
As previously reported, Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan initiated Dine Brands with an Outperform rating and $120 price target and added shares to the Best Ideas List. In a research note to investors, Setyan said he expects continued SSS growth momentum at Applebee's and IHOP to drive margin upside and improvement in net unit growth, resulting in upward revisions in expectations and valuation expansion towards franchised multiples. He sees a "breakout" year ahead for the company.
01/31/19
WEDB
01/31/19
INITIATION
Target $120
WEDB
Outperform
Dine Brands initiated with an Outperform at Wedbush
Wedbush started Dine Brands with an Outperform rating and $120 price target. The firm sees a "breakout" 2019 for the company.
11/01/18
11/01/18
UPGRADE
Target $108

Strong Buy
Dine Brands upgraded to Strong Buy on valuation at Raymond James
As previously reported, Raymond James upgraded Dine Brands to Strong Buy from Outperform and maintained a $108 price target following "strong Q3 results" and positive Q4 comp momentum at Applebee's. Analyst Brian Vaccaro has increased confidence Applebee's can sustain positive comps in 2019 and said recent weakness in restaurant stocks has created another "compelling" buying opportunity.
11/01/18
RAJA
11/01/18
UPGRADE
RAJA
Strong Buy
Dine Brands upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James
DNKN Dunkin' Brands
$74.89

0.43 (0.58%)

04/03/19
04/03/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Caterpillar (CAT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Chad Dillard saying the biggest risk to the bull case for Caterpillar is if its backlog growth turns negative, "and it is becoming increasingly clear that it will within this next quarter." 2. Dunkin' Brands (DNKN) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Andrew Strelzik saying that while he remains positive on the company's underlying fundamentals over the long term, he sees risk/reward at current levels as "less persuasive." 3. Tallgrass Energy (TGE) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Michael Lapides citing the stock's recent outperformance and also warns that its Rockies Express Pipeline natural gas pipeline and Pony Express crude oil pipeline contract roll-offs pose "overhangs," even though the "volume growth out of Bakken, Niobrara, and Powder River Basin could offset this over time." 4. Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Loop Capital with analyst Andrew Wolf citing the company's disappointing Q2 earnings and FY19 guidance announced yesterday "driven by significantly lower-than-forecasted gross margin resulting from increased pharmacy reimbursement rate pressure in the U.S." 5. Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Timna Tanners saying she now sees limited free cash flow payments by Alcoa to upstream AWAC joint-venture partner Alumina Ltd, potential excess alumina/bauxite supply, and potential price risks from the Alunorte refinery restarting, the world's largest refinery. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/03/19
BMOC
04/03/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $75
BMOC
Market Perform
Dunkin' Brands downgraded to Market Perform at BMO Capital on valuation
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik downgraded Dunkin' Brands to Market Perform with a price target of $75, saying that while he remains positive on the company's underlying fundamentals over the long term, he sees risk/reward at current levels as "less persuasive". The analyst believes that the company is "taking appropriate steps" to re-position its brand for solid same-store sales growth over the next several years, and contends that the progress is becoming evident "through updated brand presentation elements, successful new product launches, greater value orientation, and streamlined operations."
04/03/19
BMOC
04/03/19
DOWNGRADE
BMOC
Market Perform
Dunkin' Brands downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital
03/26/19
03/26/19
INITIATION

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Dunkin' Brands (DNKN) initiated with a Perform at Oppenheimer. 2. Dow (DOW) initiated with an Outperform at Bernstein. 3. Nvidia (NVDA) initiated with an Overweight at Piper Jaffray. 4. Pan American Silver (PAAS) initiated with a Sector Perform at National Bank. 5. Inovio (INO) initiated with an Overweight at Cantor Fitzgerald. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
DRI Darden
$116.22

-0.74 (-0.63%)

03/22/19
BTIG
03/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $134
BTIG
Buy
Darden price target raised to $134 from $119 at BTIG
BTIG analyst Peter Saleh raised his price target on Darden to $134 and kept his Buy rating, calling the company a "casual dining outlier" with expanding margin in the most recent quarter in spite of the labor cost headwinds. The analyst notes Darden's same-store sales gains, but notes that he is particularly impressed with its "restaurant-level margin expansion that is materially outpacing the peer group", adding that the top-line and margin growth are indicative of the company being "increasingly unique" in casual dining category.
03/22/19
BMOC
03/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $99
BMOC
Underperform
Darden Q3 earnings driven by stronger margins and comps, says BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik nudged his price target on Darden to $99 from $97 after its Q3 earnings beat that reflected the company's stronger same-store sales and margins and led the management to boost its FY19 projections for the 3rd straight quarter. The analyst also raises his FY19 and FY20 EPS outlook by 11c and 6c to $5.78 and $6.35 respectively, but keeps his Underperform rating for the stock. Strelzik maintains that he expects "slowing casual dining trends to pressure valuations across the group" and believes that risk/reward for Darden shares "favors the downside".
03/22/19
RHCO
03/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $141
RHCO
Buy
Darden price target raised to $141 from $136 at SunTrust
SunTrust analyst Jake Bartlett raised his price target on Darden to $141 and kept his Buy rating after its "strong" Q3 results, saying its earnings beat and higher than expected comps gave him greater confidence in the company's ability to sustain traffic and drive margin expansion. The analyst attributes the quarter to Darden's "strong operating execution and value proposition" as well as "solid restaurant demand" suggesting that the industry has the pricing power to offset cost inflation. Bartlett adds that while FY20 unit openings forecast was lower than he expected, he sees acceleration in new restaurants the following year.
03/22/19
LOOP
03/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $140
LOOP
Buy
Darden price target raised to $140 from $130 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Lynne Collier raised her price target on Darden to $140 and kept her Buy rating after its "solid" Q3 earnings and increased guidance. The analyst cites the company's better than expected margins and comps of 2.8% that came in spite of its reduced incentives and promotions across the portfolio. Collier adds that while still negative, the same-store sales of Darden's Cheddar's concept have also improved sequentially. The analyst continues to view the company as one of her "favorite ideas" thanks to its "best-in-class management, continued market share gains, economies of scale and an attractive return of cash to shareholders."
HABT Habit Restaurants
$10.52

(0.00%)

10/05/18
PIPR
10/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $16
PIPR
Overweight
Habit Restaurants price target raised to $16 from $13 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan raised her price target for Habit Restaurants to $16 to reflect a "more favorable sector backdrop." Habit is illustrating the benefits of a disciplined approach to price, development, and overall investments, Miller Regan tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes menu innovation, digital/delivery and drive-thru openings provide catalysts for the shares.
10/31/18
MAXM
10/31/18
UPGRADE
MAXM
Buy
Habit Restaurants upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim
10/31/18
SPHN
10/31/18
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SPHN
Equal Weight
Habit Restaurants price target raised to $16 from $14 at Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh raised his price target on Habit Restaurants shares to $16 from $14 after the company reported Q3 same-store sales growth and adjusted earnings that were ahead of his and the consensus estimates, as the top-line strength and lower cost of goods more than offset higher labor costs. While noting that this was the second consecutive quarter of positive comps, he continues to watch the negative traffic trends and keeps an Equal Weight rating on Habit shares.
02/28/19
SPHN
02/28/19
NO CHANGE
Target $16
SPHN
Equal Weight
Habit Restaurants Q4 labor, COGS were better than expected, says Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh kept his Equal Weight rating and $16 price target on Habit Restaurants after its Q4 results, saying the company's same store sales and earnings exceed expectations and were also helped by better than expected labor and COGS expenses. The analyst says he is positive on the top-line momentum for Habit Restaurants with its 3rd consecutive quarter of positive comps, but worries about the traffic trends after negative traffic print in 11 of the past 12 quarters.
JACK Jack in the Box
$78.45

-1.12 (-1.41%)

03/27/19
GDHS
03/27/19
UPGRADE
GDHS
Buy
Jack in the Box upgraded to Buy at Gordon Haskett
12/18/18
OPCO
12/18/18
NO CHANGE
Target $92
OPCO
Outperform
Probability of Jack in the Box deal 'much higher' than 30%, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Bittner notes that Jack in the Box confirmed its pursuit of strategic alternatives, including a possible sale, and argues that the investment opportunity in shares has become binary. Either the company gets sold at a range he estimates to be $90-$110/share, or it fails to be acquired and downside exists to mid-$70s range, Bittner contends. The analyst believes current share price of $82 suggests investors are only placing a 30% probability of a deal occurring, but he believes probability is much higher as private equity likely sees strategic value in Jack in the Box's above-average unit-economics, robust steady-state free cash flow power and ability to execute a bolder operating plan as a private company. Bittner reiterates an Outperform rating and $92 price target on the shares.
11/30/18
JEFF
11/30/18
NO CHANGE
Target $95
JEFF
Hold
Jefferies views buyout of Jack in the Box as unlikely
While a buyout of Jack in the Box (JACK) is possible after Reuters reported yesterday that the chain is exploring options that could include a sale, such a transaction is not likely, Jefferies analyst Alexander Slagle tells investors in a research note. The analyst thinks Sonic (SONC) could be viewed as the closest comp to Jack in Box but he doesn't believe a transaction is likely for the latter given fewer potential synergies and less room for multiple expansion versus current share levels. He adds, however, that the multiple paid by Inspire Brands for Sonic implies a $110 per share value for Jack in the Box. Slagle maintains a Hold rating on the shares with a $95 price target. Many of the biggest opportunities for value creation at Jack in the Box have already been executed or are now well-underway, including refranchising, sale of non-core brands and costs reductions, says the analyst. The stock closed yesterday at $88.54.
11/30/18
WEDB
11/30/18
NO CHANGE
Target $85
WEDB
Neutral
Jack in the Box 'largely fully valued' at current levels, says Wedbush
Following a Reuters report that Jack in the Box (JACK) is exploring a sale, Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan says he does not expect any offers to approach Sonic's (SONC) multiple, telling investors in a research note that he believes Jack in the Box, at current levels, is largely fully valued. He maintains a Neutral rating and $85 price target.
SBUX Starbucks
$75.92

0.43 (0.57%)

04/05/19
STFL
04/05/19
NO CHANGE
Target $700
STFL
Hold
Chipotle price target raised to $700 after restaurant sentiment survey at Stifel
Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull said his recent survey of investors indicated that 33% think restaurant fundamentals deteriorated during Q1 relative to their initial expectations at the beginning of the quarter. McDonald's (MCD) was the only large-cap restaurant stock voted to outperform heading into earnings season while Chipotle (CMG) and Domino's (DPZ) were investors' top small-to-mid-cap picks for earnings outperformance, noted O'Cull. Among large-cap stocks, the largest number of investors surveyed pointed to Starbucks (SBUX) as most likely to underperform in the near-term, the analyst added. O'Cull raised his 2019 and 2020 EPS estimates for Chipotle based on his view that Q4 momentum has likely built in early 2019 and increased his price target on the shares to $700 from $500, but he maintains a Hold rating on Chipotle shares.
04/08/19
UBSW
04/08/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $78
UBSW
Neutral
Starbucks downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS
UBS analyst Dennis Geiger downgraded Starbucks to Neutral from Buy while raising his price target for the shares to $78 from $72. The stock closed Friday up 68c to $75.03. The risk/reward on shares "appears balanced" with the stock up 55% since June, Geiger tells investors in a research note. He believes Starbucks is better positioned going forward with improved same-store-sales momentum and streamlined operations. However, the shares "reflect this and expectations are now elevated," says Geiger. The analyst adds that while repurchase activity and upside to forecasts "could support further multiple expansion," he sees risks from "downside to more elevated sales/earnings expectations as an offset.
04/08/19
04/08/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. General Electric (GE) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Stephen Tusa saying with the stock up 38% year-to-date, many investors are underestimating the severity of the challenges and underlying risks at GE, while overestimating the value of "small positives." 2. Starbucks (SBUX) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS with analyst Dennis Geiger saying the risk/reward on shares "appears balanced" with the stock up 55% since June. 3. Boeing (BA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill with analyst Ronald Epstein citing the company's announcement that it will cut 737 production rates to 42 per month from 52 per month, which he takes to likely mean that the 737 delay could last longer than previously expected. 4. Micron (MU) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen with analyst Karl Ackerman saying his field work indicates Micron's profitability will decline again in calendar year 2020. 5. Roku (ROKU) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Mark May saying the stock is up 110% year-to-date and near all-time highs. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/10/19
PIPR
04/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $70
PIPR
Neutral
Starbucks price target raised to $70 from $60 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan raised her price target for Starbucks to $70 from $60 and keeps a Neutral rating on the name following March channel checks. In March, our Starbucks checks were steady in the positive mid-single-digit range, Regan tells investors in a research note. She notes, however, that her Starbucks checks, on average, have been approximately 120 basis points below actual results over the last four quarters. As such, the analyst is maintaining her positive 3% fiscal Q2 same-store sales estimate for the Americas segment. Regan remains Neutral rated on Starbucks with an "incrementally positive bias." It appears the potential overhang related to sales momentum and/or operational execution in the Americas segment has been partially removed, says the analyst.
SHAK Shake Shack
$58.71

0.08 (0.14%)

02/26/19
PIPR
02/26/19
NO CHANGE
Target $59
PIPR
Overweight
Shake Shack shares remain undervalued after Q4 results, says Piper Jaffray
Shake Shack's same-store sales in Q4 were better than expected and its earnings were above consensus, Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan tells investors in a research note. The analyst reiterates an Overweight rating on the name while dropping her price target to $59 from $62. She continues to argue that Shake Shack shares are undervalued when considering the restaurant industry cycle and the scarcity value of double-digit unit development and the one-third of its base that is asset-light.
01/11/19
PIPR
01/11/19
NO CHANGE
PIPR
Piper lays out top restaurant stock recommendations for 2019
Restaurant stocks are back in favor, Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan tells investors in a research note. She believes "we are at the mid-point of the current contraction phase." Fewer stocks, a fundamentally improved supply/demand balance resulting in improved sales performance, and ongoing consolidation lend valuation support, says the analyst. She views restaurant sector as being favorably positioned "as investors shift their perspective to the eventual expansion cycle." Miller Regan's top stock recommendations for 2019 include companies with "operational momentum and strong culture as drivers," namely Darden (DRI), McDonald's (MCD) and Shake Shack (SHAK), as well as companies she has a high level of conviction on recovery situations, like Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG). Those four are her top picks for 2019.
12/19/18
JEFF
12/19/18
UPGRADE
Target $45
JEFF
Hold
Jefferies upgrades Shake Shack to Neutral with valuation 'back to earth'
Jefferies analyst Andy Barish upgraded Shake Shack to Hold from Underperform with an unchanged price target of $45. The burger chain closed yesterday down 67c to $45.08. The analyst believes the stock is now fairly valued and reflects the company's "evolving" margin profile. Shake Shack's valuation "has come back to earth" as its "best-in-class," 20%-plus development and multiple same-store-sales drivers are balanced by "choppy" same-store-sales and "shifting" margin profile, Barish tells investors in a research note.
12/19/18
JEFF
12/19/18
UPGRADE
JEFF
Hold
Shake Shack upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies
TACO Del Taco
$10.07

0.03 (0.30%)

10/17/18
BTIG
10/17/18
DOWNGRADE
BTIG
Neutral
Del Taco downgraded to Neutral at BTIG after FY18 guidance cut
BTIG analyst Peter Saleh downgraded Del Taco to Neutral from Buy after its Q3 results and reduced FY18 outlook yesterday evening. The analyst points to the "combination of negative traffic and rising food and labor inflation" weighing on its prospects for the coming year, adding that while he is optimistic on its promotions and delivery potential, he is also worried about customers being discouraged by the company's higher pricing.
10/17/18
10/17/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Infosys (INFY) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs with analyst Sumeet Jain saying yesterday's Q2 results were in-line but at the expense of "unexpectedly" higher investments. 2. Netflix (NFLX) downgraded to Sector Weight from Overweight at KeyBanc with analyst Andy Hargreaves citing quarterly results. While the analyst maintains a favorable view of Netflix's strategic positioning, he believes improving investment efficiency or significant ancillary opportunities are needed to drive upside from current levels, and he does not anticipate either over the next year. 3. Home Depot (HD), Lowe's (LOW), KB Home (KBH), and Lennar (LEN) were downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse. 4. Del Taco (TACO) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BTIG with analyst Peter Saleh citing the "combination of negative traffic and rising food and labor inflation" weighing on its prospects for the coming year, adding that while he is optimistic on its promotions and delivery potential, he is also worried about customers being discouraged by the company's higher pricing. 5. Scorpio Bulkers (SALT) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Noah Parquette citing the company's related party transactions and recent investment in Scorpio Tankers (STNG) for the downgrade. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
12/03/18
WEDB
12/03/18
NO CHANGE
WEDB
Del Taco, ObsEva added to Best Ideas List at Wedbush
Wedbush expects visibility in 2019 into Del Taco's (TACO) long-term MSD-HSD EBITDA growth algorithm to result in valuation expansion toward its regional Restaurant Brands (QSR) peers, and is adding the stock to its Best Ideas List. Reiterating an Overweight rating on the shares and also adding it to its Best Ideas List, Wedbush says ObsEva (OBSV) continues to deliver stellar clinical results from its drug candidate pipeline. The firm anticipates Linzagolix to be the third entrant in the oral gonadotropin releasing hormone receptor antagonist space, but its differentiated profile and dosing options are likely to be preferred by patients.
02/01/19
WEDB
02/01/19
NO CHANGE
Target $15
WEDB
Outperform
Del Taco removed from Best Ideas List at Wedbush
Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan reiterated an Outperform rating and $15 price target Del Taco but removed shares from the Best Ideas List. In a research note to investors, Setyan says he believes 2019 expectations could prove conservative. He sees an inflection in EBITDA growth in 2020 from an earlier expectation of an inflection in 2019.
TXRH Texas Roadhouse
$61.02

-0.29 (-0.47%)

03/20/19
03/20/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens with analyst Will Slabaugh saying he thinks the company can deliver better than expected same-store sales and EPS growth as it implements a price increase at the beginning of Q2. 2. Cree (CREE) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at JMP Securities with analyst Joseph Osha stating he believes that he has been too conservative on the valuation front given his view that Cree "is positioned squarely at the center of some of the most interesting developments in the electronics business." 3. Nevro (NVRO) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Wells Fargo with analyst Lawrence Biegelsen noting that incoming CEO Keith Grossman has successfully turned around the previous two companies he led and saying he is "highly confident" he will be successful in turning around Nevro. 4. Dollar Tree (DLTR) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Telsey Advisory with analyst Joseph Feldman saying meetings with management gave him increased visibility and confidence in the company's plan and he believes Dollar Tree should see a return to earnings growth in the second half of 2019. 5. Whiting Petroleum (WLL) upgraded to Overweight from Equalweight at Capital One citing an increased oil price deck. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/20/19
SPHN
03/20/19
UPGRADE
Target $70
SPHN
Overweight
Texas Roadhouse upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh upgraded Texas Roadhouse to Overweight from Equal Weight as he thinks the company can deliver better than expected same-store sales and EPS growth as it implements a price increase at the beginning of Q2. The analyst, who expects the company's "impressive" traffic growth trajectory to continue, keeps a $70 price target on Texas Roadhouse shares.
02/20/19
LOOP
02/20/19
NO CHANGE
Target $67
LOOP
Hold
Texas Roadhouse EPS capped by labor costs, says Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Lynne Collier kept her Hold rating and $67 price target on Texas Roadhouse after its Q4 results, saying that while the comps were better than expected, earnings came in line because of the higher labor and SG&A costs. The analyst notes that the traffic growth and same-store sales for the company are "virtually unmatched", but sees the stock trading "range-bound" in the near term because of continued margin pressure.
01/22/19
STFL
01/22/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $70
STFL
Hold
Texas Roadhouse downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel
Stifel analyst Chris O'Cull downgraded Texas Roadhouse to Hold with a price target of $70 based on its premium valuation, saying the stock currently sells "nearly two standard deviations higher than the 10-year historical average". While he sees the price as reflective of the company's long-term growth outlook, he sees its potential for earnings upside as limited in the near term because of his forecast for higher costs.
WEN Wendy's
$18.25

0.27 (1.50%)

04/10/19
04/10/19
INITIATION

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Tesla (TSLA) initiated with a Neutral at Nomura Instinet. 2. Community Healthcare (CHCT) initiated with an Outperform at Baird. 3. Community Bank System (CBU) initiated with an Equal Weight at Stephens. 4. Fox Corp re-initiated with a Market Perform at BMO Capital. 5. Wendy's (WEN) initiated with an Outperform at Cowen. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
04/10/19
COWN
04/10/19
INITIATION
Target $21
COWN
Outperform
Wendy's initiated with an Outperform at Cowen
Cowen analyst Andrew Charles initiated Wendy's with an Outperform rating and $21 price target, stating that he believes the company is pursuing the right strategy by returning to the brand's premium roots. The analyst, who expects a less aggressive value environment in the industry in 2019 than seen in 2018, expects in-line results from Wendy's in the first half with greater likelihood for upside in the second half of the year.
03/20/19
MZHO
03/20/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $18
MZHO
Neutral
Wendy's downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Mizuho
Mizuho analyst Jeremy Scott downgraded Wendy's to Neutral from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $18 from $20. After analyzing international master franchise partnerships, the analyst sees a "low survival rate and a much lower success rate," particularly for brands with unproven portability into international markets. He believes consensus estimates for Wendy's are too aggressive.
02/22/19
SPHN
02/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $20
SPHN
Overweight
Wendy's shares remain undervalued, says Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh said he was encouraged to see a positive top-line inflection from Wendy's in Q4 and he is optimistic that improved limited-time offerings and messaging can drive a better menu mix in the short-term. The analyst, who continues to view Wendy's shares as undervalued given the company's improving sales trajectory and strong cash flow, keeps an Overweight rating and $20 price target on the stock.
WING Wingstop
$77.22

0.61 (0.80%)

03/26/19
BMOC
03/26/19
INITIATION
BMOC
Outperform
Wingstop initiated with an Outperform at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik initiated Wingstop with an Outperform rating and $85 price target, citing the company's "desirable combination of long-tailed unit growth and superior operating/growth metrics" with an "asset-light model that enables cash returns to shareholders at levels usually reserved for slower growth mature peers." Strelzik said Wingstop was one of the most attractive long-term growth investment opportunities in the Restaurant sector.
04/02/19
GUGG
04/02/19
DOWNGRADE
GUGG
Neutral
Wingstop downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim
04/02/19
GUGG
04/02/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $72
GUGG
Neutral
Guggenheim downgrades Wingstop to Neutral, cuts target to $72
Guggenheim analyst Matthew DiFrisco downgraded Wingstop to Neutral from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $72 from $80. The analyst sees increased risk to moderating new store growth and the current valuation multiple. Rising wing costs, coupled with a 100 basis point increase to advertising contributions, represent headwinds to Wingstop's 10% franchise development goal, DiFrisco tells investors in a research note. The analyst reduced his below-consensus EBITDA and earnings estimates to reflect lower company store revenue and profit. However, he raised his Q1 same-store-sales estimate from 3% to 3.5% on account of strong wing conversations across Instagram and elevated marketing.
04/02/19
04/02/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. AstraZeneca (AZN) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS with analyst Michael Leuchten saying last week's oncology deal with Japan's Daiichi Sankyo suggests limited cash generation in the near term and is a sign of slow margin recovery. 2. Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse with analyst Curt Woodworth saying China is set to accelerate supply growth over the next several years as capacity swaps convert to new smelters and provincial focus pivots to growth model. 3. Pacific Biosciences (PACB) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Stephens with analyst Drew Jones saying the shares are within 10% of the looming purchase price by Illumina (ILMN). 4. Wingstop (WING) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim with analyst Matthew DiFrisco saying he sees increased risk to moderating new store growth and the current valuation multiple. 5. DowDuPont (DWDP) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi and BofA/Merrill. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

MTSI

Macom

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Gritstone Oncology 6.5M share Secondary priced at $11.50 »

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RTN

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ITW

Illinois Tool Works

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ROK

Rockwell Automation

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Hess Corp.

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FCX

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International Paper

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DHI

D.R. Horton

$46.67

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PBR

Petrobras

$15.34

-0.45 (-2.85%)

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Breaking Periodicals news story on Petrobras »

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British American Tobacco

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BAT faces legal action over giving workers free cigarettes, Bloomberg says »

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POR

Portland General Electric

$51.20

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Portland General Electric raises quarterly dividend 6.3% to 38.5c per share »

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Washington Prime

$4.55

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Washington Prime reports Q1 FFO 31c, consensus 29c »

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AVH

Avianca

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Boston Beer

$276.71

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Boston Beer

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AXTI

AXT Inc.

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FBHS

Fortune Brands

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BCOV

Brightcove

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FB

Facebook

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NOW

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MSFT

Microsoft

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Lam Research

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TILE

Interface

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Churchill Downs

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KN

Knowles

$18.48

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Chipotle

$710.00

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Tesla

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XLNX

Xilinx

$139.79

2.66 (1.94%)

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PTC

$101.94

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Netgear

$35.03

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SAVE

Spirit Airlines

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O'Reilly Automotive

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MMLP

Martin Midstream Partners

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PBFX

PBF Logistics

$21.36

-0.37 (-1.70%)

, PBF

PBF Energy

$33.09

-0.805 (-2.38%)

19:02
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Earnings
PBF Logistics reports preliminary Q1 revenue $78.3M-$79.3M, consensus $78.17M »

Reports preliminary Q1…

PBFX

PBF Logistics

$21.36

-0.37 (-1.70%)

PBF

PBF Energy

$33.09

-0.805 (-2.38%)

03/08/13
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  • 01

    May

  • 01

    May

  • 23

    May

PBFX

PBF Logistics

$21.36

-0.37 (-1.70%)

, PBF

PBF Energy

$33.09

-0.805 (-2.38%)

19:01
04/24/19
04/24
19:01
04/24/19
19:01
Hot Stocks
PBF Logistics acquires remaining 50% interest in Torrance Valley Pipeline Compan »

PBF Logistics (PBFX)…

PBFX

PBF Logistics

$21.36

-0.37 (-1.70%)

PBF

PBF Energy

$33.09

-0.805 (-2.38%)

03/08/13
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  • 01

    May

  • 01

    May

  • 23

    May

NOW

ServiceNow

$242.41

-1.085 (-0.45%)

18:58
04/24/19
04/24
18:58
04/24/19
18:58
Hot Stocks
ServiceNow CEO: We are the IT system of record »

In an interview on…

03/08/13
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  • 24

    Apr

  • 05

    May

PBFX

PBF Logistics

$21.36

-0.37 (-1.70%)

18:57
04/24/19
04/24
18:57
04/24/19
18:57
Syndicate
PBF Logistics announces registered direct offering of 6.59M common units »

PBF Logistics announced…

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  • 01

    May

NFBK

Northfield Bancorp

$14.70

0.09 (0.62%)

18:56
04/24/19
04/24
18:56
04/24/19
18:56
Hot Stocks
Northfield Bancorp raises quarterly dividend to 11c from 10c per share »

The dividend is payable…

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  • 13

    May

  • 22

    May

NFBK

Northfield Bancorp

$14.70

0.09 (0.62%)

18:55
04/24/19
04/24
18:55
04/24/19
18:55
Earnings
Northfield Bancorp reports Q1 EPS 19c, consensus 19c »

Reports Q1 NII $27.3M vs.…

03/08/13
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  • 13

    May

  • 22

    May

ZUO

Zuora

$20.03

0.04 (0.20%)

18:42
04/24/19
04/24
18:42
04/24/19
18:42
Hot Stocks
Zuora CEO: Subscription based business models are on the rise »

In an interview on…

03/08/13
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  • 10

    Jun

TSLA

Tesla

$258.70

-5.15 (-1.95%)

, MXWL

Maxwell

$4.28

-0.095 (-2.17%)

18:31
04/24/19
04/24
18:31
04/24/19
18:31
Hot Stocks
Tesla says 50% of deliveries occurred in last 10 days of quarter »

Says: Overseas volume…

TSLA

Tesla

$258.70

-5.15 (-1.95%)

MXWL

Maxwell

$4.28

-0.095 (-2.17%)

03/08/13
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  • 24

    Apr

OMAB

OMA Airports

$48.34

-0.25 (-0.51%)

18:18
04/24/19
04/24
18:18
04/24/19
18:18
Earnings
OMA Airports reports Q1 EPS 67c, two estimates 73c »

Reports Q1 traffic up…

03/08/13
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  • 25

    Apr

HMC

Honda

$27.70

-0.8 (-2.81%)

18:07
04/24/19
04/24
18:07
04/24/19
18:07
Hot Stocks
Honda to recall roughly 94,000 cars in U.S. over faulty timing belts »

Honda said it will…

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  • 24

    Apr

NTDOY

Nintendo

$0.00

(0.00%)

18:05
04/24/19
04/24
18:05
04/24/19
18:05
Hot Stocks
Nintendo says 'Super Mario Maker 2' coming to Switch June 28 »

Nintendo announced that…

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  • 08

    Jun

ARGO

Argo Group

$74.46

0.515 (0.70%)

18:04
04/24/19
04/24
18:04
04/24/19
18:04
Hot Stocks
Argo Group says Voce making 'false and misleading' statements about company »

Argo Group International…

03/08/13
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  • 11

    Jun

SJW

SJW Corp.

$61.56

0.3 (0.49%)

18:03
04/24/19
04/24
18:03
04/24/19
18:03
Earnings
SJW Corp. reports Q1 EPS 21c with items, consensus 14c »

Reports Q1 revenue 77.7M$…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 24

    Apr

  • 25

    Apr

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