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09:25
04/17/19
04/17
09:25
04/17/19
09:25

The U.S. trade report revealed a surprising deficit drop

The U.S. trade report revealed a surprising deficit drop in February to an 8-month low of $49.4 B from $51.1 B in January and a cycle-high $59.9 B in December. The narrowing reflected a big 1.1% export gain but a restrained 0.2% import uptick after a big January drop. The trade figures now more clearly reflect 2018 tariff "front-running" followed by an ensuing import unwind, and efforts by China to curtail imports from the U.S. as a negotiating strategy. Analysts now expect net exports to add a full percentage point to GDP growth in Q1 before a partial Q2 reversal, and analysts revised our GDP estimates to 2.0% (was 1.6%) in Q1 and 3.0% (was 3.1%) in Q2. The February trade figures extend last year's pattern of firmness in exports despite trade war fears and a rising dollar, thanks partly to the surge underway in U.S. oil exports. Imports were boosted in 2018 by fiscal stimulus and a U.S. factory sector boom, though analysts're seeing a 2019 downdraft now as tariff "front-running" that boosted 2018 imports unwinds. Analysts do expect a slowing in nominal export and import growth in 2019 after big 2018 gains, though this slowdown has thus far proved modest relative to the trade war rhetoric in the markets over the past year. Analysts expect a narrowing in the current account deficit to $126.8 B in Q1 from a $134.4 B deficit in Q4.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

MMM

3M

$195.55

-23.69 (-10.81%)

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Honeywell

$170.63

-0.63 (-0.37%)

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JPMorgan's Tusa says 3M should trade at discount to Honeywell »

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3M

$195.55

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HON

Honeywell

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-0.63 (-0.37%)

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3M

$195.61

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12:14
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JPMorgan's Tusa says 3M neither 'growthy' nor 'defensive' »

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MAS

Masco

$38.51

-1.47 (-3.68%)

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3K Masco May 37 - 39 put spreads sold at 83c »

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NITE

Nightstar Therapeutics

$25.54

0.01 (0.04%)

, BIIB

Biogen

$230.56

6.24 (2.78%)

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Polygon discloses 7.97% stake in Nightstar, sends letters to board »

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NITE

Nightstar Therapeutics

$25.54

0.01 (0.04%)

BIIB

Biogen

$230.56

6.24 (2.78%)

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FNB

F.N.B.

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0.01 (0.08%)

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First National Bank appoints Samuel Kirsch as chief digitial officer »

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CRC

California Resources

$22.75

-3.55 (-13.50%)

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HZO

MarineMax

$16.59

-3.255 (-16.41%)

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MarineMax falls -16.3% »

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CLS

Celestica

$7.19

-1.42 (-16.50%)

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Celestica falls -16.7% »

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AAN

Aaron's

$58.07

4.745 (8.90%)

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Aaron's rises 9.0% »

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WAB

Wabtec

$71.90

-4.67 (-6.10%)

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Downside put buy in Wabtec as shares wobble after earnings »

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OIS

Oil States

$20.53

2.11 (11.45%)

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Oil States rises 12.4% »

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ASPN

Aspen Aerogels

$3.56

0.36 (11.25%)

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Aspen Aerogels rises 12.7% »

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NWL

Newell Brands

$13.84

-0.4 (-2.81%)

11:55
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Newell Brands put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

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11:50
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General news
U.S. Treasury tax receipts continue to surge »

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GILD

Gilead

$63.57

0.75 (1.19%)

11:48
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Gilead analyst commentary at Piper Jaffray »

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IMMR

Immersion

$9.27

0.03 (0.32%)

11:45
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Immersion call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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11:45
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General news
Treasury's $85 B 4- and 8-week bill auctions were mixed »

Treasury's $85 B 4-…

11:43
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8-Week Bill Auction Total Amount data reported »

8-Week Bill Auction Total…

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4-Week Bill Auction Total Amount data reported »

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FB

Facebook

$193.51

10.87 (5.95%)

, TSLA

Tesla

$251.50

-7.2 (-2.78%)

11:38
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On The Fly
Facebook upgrade, Tesla downgrade among today's top calls »

Check out today's top…

FB

Facebook

$193.51

10.87 (5.95%)

TSLA

Tesla

$251.50

-7.2 (-2.78%)

PTC

PTC

$90.78

-11.16 (-10.95%)

XLNX

Xilinx

$116.64

-23.15 (-16.56%)

GD

General Dynamics

$178.46

-2.21 (-1.22%)

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PAGS

PagSeguro Digital

$26.34

-0.14 (-0.53%)

11:35
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PagSeguro Digital put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

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ZAYO

Zayo Group

$30.67

-1.075 (-3.39%)

11:31
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Zayo Group analyst commentary at Wells Fargo »

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  • 09

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CGI

Symbol changed to CGIP

$0.00

(0.00%)

, CGIP

Celadon Group

$0.00

(0.00%)

11:26
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Celadon Group announces resolutions of DOJ, SEC investigations »

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CGI

Symbol changed to CGIP

$0.00

(0.00%)

CGIP

Celadon Group

$0.00

(0.00%)

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LBTYK

Liberty Global

$26.04

-0.35 (-1.33%)

11:25
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Options
Liberty Global call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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  • 07

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WABC

Westamerica

$62.57

-0.87 (-1.37%)

11:21
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Westamerica increases quarterly cash dividend to 41c from 40c per share »

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