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PCAR

Paccar

$71.53

0.35 (0.49%)

, CNHI

CNH Industrial

$10.75

-0.2 (-1.83%)

06:57
04/25/19
04/25
06:57
04/25/19
06:57

EU commercial vehicle registrations up 4.1% in March

In March, commercial vehicle registrations increased for the third consecutive month, rising 4.1%, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers Association. Three of the five largest EU markets posted positive results: the United Kingdom, up 10.3%, Germany, up 8.7%, and Spain, up 4.9%. By contrast, registrations fell by 3.4% in Italy last month, while French volumes remained more or less similar to last year, the group said. Publicly traded truck makers and suppliers include Daimler AG (DDAIF), Paccar (PCAR), CNH Industrial (CNHI), Navistar (NAV), Cummins (CMI) and Allison Transmission (ALSN).

PCAR

Paccar

$71.53

0.35 (0.49%)

CNHI

CNH Industrial

$10.75

-0.2 (-1.83%)

NAV

Navistar

$35.21

0.3 (0.86%)

CMI

Cummins

$166.18

-0.64 (-0.38%)

ALSN

Allison Transmission

$48.58

0.57 (1.19%)

DDAIF

Daimler AG

$0.00

(0.00%)

  • 30

    Apr

  • 30

    Apr

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    Apr

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    Apr

  • 07

    May

  • 07

    May

  • 08

    May

  • 14

    May

PCAR Paccar
$71.53

0.35 (0.49%)

04/02/19
JPMS
04/02/19
NO CHANGE
JPMS
March Class 8 truck orders drop 66% year-over-year, says JPMorgan
According to ACT Research, Class 8 net orders in March were 15,700 units, down 66% year-over-year, JPMorgan analyst Ann Duignan tells investors in a research note. The analyst points out that truck orders have the largest incremental impact on Navistar (NAV), Paccar (PCAR), Cummins (CMI), Eaton (ETN), Wabco (WBC) and Allison Transmission (ALSN).
02/20/19
BUCK
02/20/19
NO CHANGE
Target $48
BUCK
Buy
Navistar checks 'noticeably more upbeat' than Paccar's, says Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Neil Frohnapple says his recently completed quarterly Navistar (NAV) dealer survey came in "noticeably more upbeat" than his recent conversations with Paccar (PCAR) dealers. Expectation for further Class 8 market share gains in 2019 along with bullishness for the new Class 4-5 vehicle are two factors contributing to a relatively more positive outlook on Navistar, Frohnapple tells investors in a research note. The analyst, who does not suggest Navistar will raise guidance when it reports this quarter as it remains early in the fiscal year, thinks there is a "high probability" of upside to the consensus EBITDA estimate of $876M based on stronger than expected market share gains, incremental synergies from the Traton alliance, and potential tailwinds in the second half of 2019 from lower raw material costs. Further, Frohnapple still sees a "high probability" that Navistar will be purchased this year as he thinks the Traton alliance will lead to a complete takeover by Volkswagen (VLKAY). The analyst says Navistar's risk/reward profile is still attractive despite the stock's 41% year-to-date rally. He keeps a Buy rating on the name with a $48 price target. Navistar in early trading is up 74c to $37.28.
02/07/19
BARD
02/07/19
UPGRADE
Target $80
BARD
Outperform
Baird upgrades Paccar to Outperform, sees better odds of truck cycle bottoming
As reported previously, Baird analyst David Leiker upgraded Paccar to Outperform from Neutral. The analyst said significant declines in truck orders increases the likelihood of the trucking cycle bottoming and the order decline has historically been a catalyst for the stocks. Leiker raised his price target to $80 from $62 on Paccar shares.
02/07/19
BARD
02/07/19
UPGRADE
BARD
Outperform
Paccar upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird
CNHI CNH Industrial
$10.75

-0.2 (-1.83%)

10/17/18
BOFA
10/17/18
DOWNGRADE
BOFA
Neutral
CNH Industrial downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill
10/17/18
BOFA
10/17/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $12.5
BOFA
Neutral
CNH Industrial downgraded to Neutral on cycle peak at BofA/Merrill
As previously reported, BofA BofA/Merrill downgraded CNH Industrial to Neutral from Buy and cut its price target to $12.50 from $14. Analyst Ross Gilardi said slowing growth concerns have already hit markets, but Class 8 truck order numbers haven't been weak yet and believes cancellations could start to pick up. He is forecasting a 6% decline in 2019 global truck orders, and a 10% decline in 2020. Gilardi remains positive on CNH Industrial's Ag exposure but said the IVECO divestiture into a potential global truck downturn could weigh on the multiple.
01/09/19
DBAB
01/09/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $8
DBAB
Sell
CNH Industrial downgraded to Sell from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Chad Dillard downgraded CNH Industrial to Sell and lowered his price target for the shares to $8 from $12. The analyst sees as much as 30% share downside given the company's high exposure to slowing global growth. He points out that foreign markets are 70% of CNH's sales. The analyst believes 2019 will represent peak earnings for the company and that consensus estimates are 10%-15% too high.
01/18/19
OTRG
01/18/19
UPGRADE
OTRG
Positive
CNH Industrial upgraded to Positive from Mixed at OTR Global
OTR Global upgraded Farm Equipment Manufacturers, Agco (AGCO), CNH Industrial (CNHI), and Deere (DE), to Positive from Mixed. The firm's checks indicate strong late-season harvests, tariff-related subsidies and small OEM incentives resulted in U.S. farmers increasing year-end purchases, boosting dealers' orders and sales outlooks.
NAV Navistar
$35.21

0.3 (0.86%)

03/06/19
BARD
03/06/19
NO CHANGE
Target $53
BARD
Outperform
Navistar guidance likely to move higher given market share gains, says Baird
Baird analyst David Leiker previewed Navistar's Q1 earnings report and said he expects strong results. The analyst said medium-duty and heavy-duty industry volumes finished well above expectations in Q1 and Navistar gained significant market share in medium-duty during the quarter. He believes guidance will likely move higher given the strong industry developments and the company's market share gains. Leiker reiterated his Outperform rating and $53 price target on Navistar shares.
03/14/19
BARD
03/14/19
NO CHANGE
Target $53
BARD
Outperform
Navistar pullback on TRATON IPO pause a buying opportunity, says Baird
Baird analyst David Leiker attributed yesterday's weakness in shares of Navistar (NAV) to news that TRATON, Volkswagen's (VLKAY) truck and bus unit, had suspended its IPO plans. Although he notes there has been speculation over time that TRATON would eventually make an outright offer for Navistar, Leiker thinks it was hard to argue prior to the slide that any takeout premium was embedded in Navistar's valuation and so the selloff "makes little sense." The analyst, who thinks Navistar is worth owning in light of strong market share gains, margin expansion, and cash flow improvement, keeps an Outperform rating and $53 price target on the stock.
03/06/19
CLVD
03/06/19
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
Navistar guidance seems 'achievable/beatable,' says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Adam Uhlman reiterated a Neutral rating on Navistar ahead of the company's Q1 earnings on Friday, telling investors in a research note that he continues to see upside to Navistar's market share in 2019 as it still has some production slots available, supported by its addition of a second shift at Escobedo. Additionally, he notes that the company has guided to a 100bp improvement in share in FY19, which he says "seems achievable/beatable," given the momentum seen in Q1. Over the medium term, Uhlman says he remains bullish on the shares as market share growth and JV purchasing synergies opportunities remain significant, while a potential acquisition of Navistar by Traton is an additional upside catalyst to the shares.
CMI Cummins
$166.18

-0.64 (-0.38%)

04/16/19
SBSH
04/16/19
UPGRADE
Target $190
SBSH
Buy
Cummins upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi
Citi analyst Timothy Thein upgraded Cummins to Buy from Neutral with a $190 price target.
04/16/19
SBSH
04/16/19
UPGRADE
Target $190
SBSH
Buy
Citi upgrades Cummins to Buy with $190 price target
Citi analyst Timothy Thein upgraded Cummins to Buy from Neutral with an increased price target of $190. The analyst sees upside to 2019 estimates and thinks the company's out-year cash flows "stay higher for longer based on end market diversity and increasing contribution from the aftermarket." Further, continued improvement in China and emerging market sentiment should help to support a higher multiple for the stock, Thein tells investors in a research note.
04/16/19
04/16/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Netflix (NFLX) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Bryan Kraft saying consensus subscriber expectations for both 2019 and 2020 now seem conservative. 2. Cenovus Energy (CVE) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs with analyst Neil Mehta citing improvements to the company's leverage outlook and a more constructive commodity price environment, particularly for Canadian heavy crude. 3. Cummins (CMI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Citi with analyst Timothy Thein saying he sees upside to 2019 estimates and thinks the company's out-year cash flows "stay higher for longer based on end market diversity and increasing contribution from the aftermarket." 4. Western Digital (WDC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Sidney Ho starting to see favorable data points in both hard disk drive and NAND that will support a "solid" second half of the year recovery for Western Digital's earnings. 5. e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson with analyst Linda Bolton Weiser citing the findings of her proprietary store checks suggesting that the company products have seen a 17% increase in shelf space at Target (TGT), overtaking Coty's (COTY) Covergirl brand, while its Q1 sales "inflected from down high-single digits" in Q4 to low-single digits. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
ALSN Allison Transmission
$48.58

0.57 (1.19%)

03/06/19
STFL
03/06/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $48
STFL
Hold
Allison Transmission downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel
Stifel analyst Michael Baudendistel downgraded Allison Transmission to Hold from Buy, stating that he struggles to see why shares would outperform the market over the next 12 months given an expected earnings decline this year as the company faces difficult comps following a "blow-out 2018." While still considering the stock to be a solid longer-term holding given the company's free cash flow, Baudendistel lowered his price target on Allison shares to $48 from $55.
03/13/19
MELI
03/13/19
UPGRADE
MELI
Overweight
Allison Transmission upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Melius Research
04/16/19
LBOW
04/16/19
NO CHANGE
LBOW
Neutral
Allison Transmission estimates cut at Longbow on weaker NA On-Highway view
Longbow analyst Faheem Sabeiha lowered his Q1 and full-year estimates for Allison Transmission based on a lower sales outlook for Class 8 Straight and Class 6-7 trucks, stating that he expects the company to report results below consensus expectations in Q1 and reiterate its 2019 sales outlook of down 3% at the midpoint when it reports in early May. The analyst, who expects mixed performance this year in Allison Transmission's largest segment, North America On-Highway, keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
DDAIF Daimler AG
$0.00

(0.00%)

01/23/19
LEHM
01/23/19
UPGRADE
LEHM
Equal Weight
Daimler AG upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays
Barclays analyst Dorothee Cresswell upgraded Daimler AG to Equal Weight and raised her price target for the shares to EUR 65 from EUR 61. The analyst believes the challenges facing the business in 2019 are now well understood by investors.
04/02/19
JEFF
04/02/19
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Jefferies discusses potential auto mergers, downgrades VW to Hold
The prospect of mergers in the automotive manufacturer space "tends to create excitement given how overdue it is," Jefferies analyst Philippe Houchois tells investors in a research note. Among the combinations being speculated in the press, the analyst views the logic and feasibility of a Fiat Chrysler (FCAU)/Peugeot (PUGOY) deal as "overwhelming." He rates both stocks a Buy. On the other hand, Houchois sees "limited rationale" in combining BMW (BMWYY) and Daimler AG's (DDAIF) Mercedes "as the challenge is to redefine, not bulk up, premium." Further, the analyst is not sure Volkswagen (VWGAY) can execute given its "governance/balance sheet." He downgrades the shares to Hold from Buy.
04/03/19
BMOC
04/03/19
NO CHANGE
BMOC
March U.S. auto sales mix negative for Magna, says BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Peter Sklar noted that Ward's Automotive reports that the U.S. light vehicle seasonally adjusted annual rate for March was 17.5M units, topping the consensus estimate of 16.8M vehicles. Sklar also pointed out that 12 of Magna's (MGA) top 20 North American programs underperformed the industry's selling rate of 1.5%. Publicly traded automakers include Daimler AG (DDAIF), Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), Ford (F), General Motors (GM), Honda (HMC), Nissan (NSANY), Symbol now VWAGY (VLKAY) and Toyota (TM).
02/01/19
MSCO
02/01/19
UPGRADE
MSCO
Overweight
Daimler AG upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

LVMUY

LVMH

$0.00

(0.00%)

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LVMH announces partnership with Stella McCartney »

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SCHW

Charles Schwab

$40.49

0.47 (1.17%)

13:51
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AMC

AMC Entertainment

$9.45

(0.00%)

13:45
07/15/19
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13:45
Options
AMC Entertainment call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$300.31

-0.37 (-0.12%)

, SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

13:43
07/15/19
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Periodicals
Trump ponders firing Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, NBC News says »

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$300.31

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S&P 500

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MDCO

The Medicines Co.

$36.65

-0.03 (-0.08%)

13:35
07/15/19
07/15
13:35
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13:35
Options
Medicines Company put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

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NTGN

Neon Therapeutics

$4.61

0.3 (6.96%)

13:30
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13:30
Recommendations
Neon Therapeutics analyst commentary  »

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SYMC

Symantec

$21.73

-3.83 (-14.98%)

, AVGO

Broadcom

$289.18

3.79 (1.33%)

13:27
07/15/19
07/15
13:27
07/15/19
13:27
Periodicals
Broadcom was willing to pay up $28.25 per share for Symantec, Reuters reports »

Symantec (SYMC) walked…

SYMC

Symantec

$21.73

-3.83 (-14.98%)

AVGO

Broadcom

$289.18

3.79 (1.33%)

03/08/13
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CARA

Cara Therapeutics

$25.55

1.25 (5.14%)

13:25
07/15/19
07/15
13:25
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13:25
Options
Cara Therapeutics call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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13:25
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13:25
Conference/Events
Stephens consumer/poultry & egg analysts hold analyst/industry conference call »

Analysts provide an…

A

Agilent

$69.90

-1.75 (-2.44%)

13:25
07/15/19
07/15
13:25
07/15/19
13:25
Conference/Events
The Brookings Institution to hold a conference »

8th annual Municipal…

03/08/13
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  • 15

    Jul

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,146.02

1.47 (0.13%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,146.04

0.74 (0.06%)

13:24
07/15/19
07/15
13:24
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13:24
Periodicals
Trump administration 'taking aim' at Google, FBN's Gasparino says »

Charles Gasparino of Fox…

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,146.02

1.47 (0.13%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,146.04

0.74 (0.06%)

03/08/13
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$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

13:17
07/15/19
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13:17
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ market internals summary »

Volume is average for…

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

13:16
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Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary »

Volume is below average…

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HLF

Herbalife Nutrition

$41.12

-0.47 (-1.13%)

13:15
07/15/19
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13:15
Options
Herbalife put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

Bearish flow noted in…

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  • 01

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OSAGY

Osram

$0.00

(0.00%)

13:09
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Osram announces interest from AMS, sees 'rather low' probability of deal »

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BAESY

BAE Systems

$0.00

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13:09
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BAE Systems reports award of $45M contract from U.S. Army »

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SBGI

Sinclair Broadcast

$58.58

-0.46 (-0.78%)

, GIII

G-III Apparel

$28.05

-0.36 (-1.27%)

13:07
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On The Fly
Fly Insider: G-III, Target among week's notable insider transactions »

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SBGI

Sinclair Broadcast

$58.58

-0.46 (-0.78%)

GIII

G-III Apparel

$28.05

-0.36 (-1.27%)

OPK

Opko Health

$2.14

-0.025 (-1.15%)

THO

Thor Industries

$58.96

-0.4 (-0.67%)

GEF

Greif

$33.90

-0.68 (-1.97%)

INSG

Inseego

$5.19

0.03 (0.58%)

FDS

FactSet

$293.90

-2.66 (-0.90%)

TREE

LendingTree

$428.63

-4.28 (-0.99%)

MKC

McCormick

$159.84

1.31 (0.83%)

TGT

Target

$86.80

-0.73 (-0.83%)

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YELP

Yelp

$35.68

-0.37 (-1.03%)

13:05
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13:05
Options
Yelp call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

Bullish option flow…

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CONN

Conn's

$18.07

-0.21 (-1.15%)

13:03
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13:03
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Conn's settles with SEC over underwriting policies, bad debt provisions »

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  • 19

    Sep

ET

Energy Transfer LP

$14.82

(0.00%)

13:02
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13:02
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13:02
Hot Stocks
Energy Transfer LP announce binding supplemental open season for Bakken »

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BX

Blackstone

$45.86

-0.17 (-0.37%)

13:02
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13:02
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Blackstone agrees to acquire Vungle, terms not disclosed »

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  • 18

    Jul

BIDU

Baidu

$115.31

0.41 (0.36%)

, SNAP

Snap

$15.59

-0.01 (-0.06%)

13:02
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07/15
13:02
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13:02
Hot Stocks
Baidu, Snap renew sales partnership »

Baidu (BIDU) and Snap…

BIDU

Baidu

$115.31

0.41 (0.36%)

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Snap

$15.59

-0.01 (-0.06%)

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  • 18

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INTC

Intel

$49.91

(0.00%)

, AMD

AMD

$34.42

1.22 (3.67%)

12:56
07/15/19
07/15
12:56
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12:56
Recommendations
Intel, AMD analyst commentary at RBC Capital »

RBC sees AMD continuing…

INTC

Intel

$49.91

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AMD

AMD

$34.42

1.22 (3.67%)

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  • 25

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FB

Facebook

$203.64

-1.265 (-0.62%)

12:52
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Hot Stocks
Facebook's Marcus says company won't immediately profit from Libra »

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    Jul

CYTK

Cytokinetics

$11.04

0.02 (0.18%)

, AMGN

Amgen

$177.08

2.21 (1.26%)

12:51
07/15/19
07/15
12:51
07/15/19
12:51
Recommendations
Cytokinetics, Amgen analyst commentary at Piper Jaffray »

Piper reiterates…

CYTK

Cytokinetics

$11.04

0.02 (0.18%)

AMGN

Amgen

$177.08

2.21 (1.26%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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