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AVP

Avon Products

$3.49

0.295 (9.23%)

17:04
05/22/19
05/22
17:04
05/22/19
17:04

Natura confirms Avon Products deal with combined group's enterprise value $11B

Natura &Co announces that it is acquiring Avon Products in an all-share transaction "The group will hold leading positions in relationship selling through Avon's and Natura's over 6.3M consultants and representatives, a global footprint through 3,200 stores, as well as an expanded digital presence across all companies. The combined Group is expected to have annual gross revenues of over US$10B, over 40,000 associates and be present in 100 countries. Natura &Co expects the combination to result in target synergies estimated at $150M to $250M annually, some of which will be reinvested to further enhance capabilities in digital and social selling, research & development and brand initiatives and to continue to grow the Group's geographic footprint. As part of this transaction, a new Brazilian holding company, Natura Holding S.A., has been created. Based upon the fixed exchange ratio of 0.300 Natura Holding shares for each share of Avon common stock, Natura &Co's shareholders will own approximately 76% of the combined company, while Avon common shareholders will own approximately 24%. Based on Natura's undisturbed closing price on March 21, one day prior to Natura issuing the Material Fact confirming negotiations between Avon and Natura, the transaction represents a 28% premium to Avon shareholders and implies a 2018 EBITDA multiple of 9.5x or 5.6x assuming the full impact of Natura's expected synergies. Based on closing prices on May 21, the transaction values Avon at an enterprise value of $3.7B and the combined group would have an enterprise value of approximately US$11 billion. Upon closing, Natura Holding S.A.s' stock will be listed on B3 with a 55% public float and it will also have ADRs listed on the NYSE. Avon shareholders will have the option to receive ADRs traded on the NYSE or shares listed on B3," said the company.

AVP Avon Products
$3.49

0.295 (9.23%)

09/24/18
DADA
09/24/18
UPGRADE
Target $3.5
DADA
Buy
Avon Products upgraded to Buy at DA Davidson on operational focus of new CEO
As reported earlier, DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser upgraded Avon Products (AVP) to Buy from Hold and raised her price target to $3.50 from $1.75. The analyst cites the increased "sense of urgency" under the new CEO Jan Zijderveld displayed in his first analyst meeting, demonstrating his greater engagement in the company's operations, hiring of executives with sales experience, and "establishing a culture of accountability". Based on her increased confidence in Avon's management team, Weiser also raised her target enterprise value to expected FY20 EBITDA target multiple to 6.5-times from 4.5-times, which is still a discount to other direct sellers like Nu Skin (NUS) and Herablife (HLF) trading at 11- to 12-times
09/24/18
09/24/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Plains All American (PAA) and Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) were upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel. 2. Avon Products (AVP) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at DA Davidson with analyst Linda Bolton Weiser citing the increased "sense of urgency" under the new CEO Jan Zijderveld displayed in his first analyst meeting, demonstrating his greater engagement in the company's operations, hiring of executives with sales experience, and "establishing a culture of accountability." 3. United Natural Foods (UNFI) upgraded to Sector Perform at RBC Capital with analyst William Kirk saying while core business challenges for the company remain and the risk of the Supervalu acquisition integration continues, its 6.4-times earnings valuation likely accounts for these issues. 4. KVH Industries (KVHI) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Chardan with analyst James McIlree saying he expects "continued strong growth" from its Agile Plans that should result in improved margins and increased financial predictability. 5. RELX (RELX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Nick Dempsey saying he views the current valuation as attractive. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/25/19
DADA
03/25/19
NO CHANGE
Target $3.5
DADA
Buy
Avon Products buyout could be valued as high as $4.50/shr, says DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser kept her Buy rating and $3.50 price target on Avon Products after the latest speculation about its potential acquisition by Natura. The analyst believes that the takeout valuation could come at $3.80-$4.50 per share, but intends to assess the Brazil anti-trust rules while also noting Natura's already "leveraged balance sheet, with over $2B of debt and debt-to-EBITDA of 4.3-times".
05/10/19
SBSH
05/10/19
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Natura paying 50% premium for Avon 'not the base case,' says Citi
Citi analyst Tobias Stingelin noted that Spanish website Intereconomia.com reported, citing a source, that Santander's board has approved a loan of up to $2.1B for Natura, which he notes has already publicly announced that it is engaged in talks to buy Avon. An all cash transaction of $2.1B, or a 50% premium, is unlikely in his view and he does not believe that this is the base case, Stingelin tells investors. He believes that if a transaction were to take place for Avon it would be at a lower premium and noted that Intereconomia's source said a deal could still be for a combination of cash and stock. Stingelin has a Neutral rating on Natura shares. In afternoon trading, Avon shares are up nearly 10% to $3.18.

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