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SBH

Sally Beauty

$12.30

-2.49 (-16.84%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,913.43

3.01 (0.16%)

07:37
06/25/19
06/25
07:37
06/25/19
07:37

Amazon entrance to likely continue to depress Sally's multiple, says Oppenheimer

Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh notes that Amazon (AMZN) Business announced the launch of the Amazon Professional Beauty store and that he spoke with Sally Beauty (SBH) management. Given the exclusivity the BSG side of the business has with key brands, the analyst think announcement would have a minimal nearer-term impact on Sally's business. Nonetheless, Parikh believes Amazon's entrance and interest in the category will likely continue to depress Sally Beauty's multiple to even lower levels until the company can demonstrate the ability to return to positive comp growth on a sustainable base. For now, Ulta Beauty (ULTA) and Estee Lauder (EL) remain his top beauty picks. The analyst has a Perform rating on Sally Beauty's shares.

SBH

Sally Beauty

$12.30

-2.49 (-16.84%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,913.43

3.01 (0.16%)

ULTA

Ulta Beauty

$346.52

-9.25 (-2.60%)

EL

Estee Lauder

$183.95

2.65 (1.46%)

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    Aug

SBH Sally Beauty
$12.30

-2.49 (-16.84%)

06/25/19
DADA
06/25/19
NO CHANGE
Target $14
DADA
Neutral
Sally Beauty price target lowered to $14 from $16.50 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser lowered her price target for Sally Beauty (SBH) to $14 from $16.50 following the launch of Amazon's (AMZN) professional beauty store. In a research note to investors, the analyst says she estimates 19% of Sally Beauty's operating profit is directly threatened, with an additional 33% potentially at risk for increased competition.
05/03/19
BMOC
05/03/19
NO CHANGE
Target $17
BMOC
Market Perform
Sally Beauty price target lowered to $17 from $22 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Shannon Coyne lowered her price target on Sally Beauty to $17 and kept her Market Perform rating after its Q2 earnings miss, lower than expected revenue growth, and compressing margins. The analyst remains cautious on the company's "significant execution risks" and low visibility toward improvement in traffic trends, even though she is "encouraged" by the company's commitment to optimized cost structure and technology/CRM upgrades.
05/07/19
DADA
05/07/19
NO CHANGE
Target $16.5
DADA
Neutral
Sally Beauty price target lowered to $16.50 from $19 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser lowered her price target on Sally Beauty to $16.50 and kept her Neutral rating after its Q1 earnings miss and "disappointing" same-store-sales decline reported last week. The analyst notes that the comps at the Sally Beauty segment were down 0.3% after two consecutive quarters of flat/positive growth thanks in part to Brexit-related uncertainty in Europe, and she expects those challenges to persist through the back half of 2019.
06/24/19
JEFF
06/24/19
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Sally Beauty 'most exposed' to Amazon news, Ulta not hurt, says Jefferies
After Amazon (AMZN) officially launched a business-to-business platform for professional stylists, Jefferies analyst Stephanie Wissink called Sally Beauty (SBH) "most exposed." The Beauty Systems Group accounts for 40% of Sally's total sales, and nearly 50% of sales at Sally Beauty Supply come from professional stylists, Wissink stated, estimating that 30%-35% of Sally's business could potentially be directly impacted by a shift in stylist orders to Amazon's B2B platform. She expects a neutral impact for beauty companies with professional brands, like Coty (COTY) and L'Oreal (LORLY), and said Amazon's pro platform should have "little impact" on Ulta Beauty (ULTA), which the analyst noted does not offer wholesale value to professional stylists.
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,913.43

3.01 (0.16%)

06/25/19
PIPR
06/25/19
NO CHANGE
PIPR
CDN Tracker data positive for Akamai, says Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst James Fish said the firm's tracking of 250 of the top websites leveraging a Content Delivery Network, or CDN, was mostly positive for Akamai (AKAM), which he reiterates as his top pick in the space. The top five CDN vendors this quarter, based on his data, were Akamai, Fastly (FSLY), Amazon (AMZN), Cloudflare and Verizon (VZ), noted Fish, who believes share was taken by the "Big 4" at the expense of primarily Verizon during the period.
06/25/19
JEFF
06/25/19
NO CHANGE
Target $90
JEFF
Underperform
Microsoft Azure likely never sees AWS-like margins, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst John DiFucci said he continues to believes Microsoft (MSFT) shares are "materially overvalued," contending that evidence suggests that the widely-held assumption that Azure profit will come with scale, similar to how it did for Amazon Web Services (AMZN), is incorrect. Azure will likely never see margins similar to AWS at scale, argues DiFucci, who also thinks AWS long-term margins may be lower than most expect. The analyst, who admits that Microsoft "is one of the greatest software success stories in the short history of the sector," keeps an Underperform rating on the stock and raised his price target on the shares to $90 from $80. Microsoft shares closed Monday trading up 81c, or 0.6%, to $137.78.
ULTA Ulta Beauty
$346.52

-9.25 (-2.60%)

05/31/19
BARD
05/31/19
NO CHANGE
Target $395
BARD
Outperform
Ulta Beauty remains on track to meet/exceed growth targets, says Baird
Baird analyst Mark Altschwager said Ulta Beauty delivered a solid start to the year with comps at the high end of annual guidance ranges, healthy incremental gross margins, and good flow-through. The analyst said he continues to like the risk/reward as he believes Ulta has a durable, share-winning, best in class model. Altschwager reiterated his Outperform rating and $395 price target on Ulta Beauty shares.
05/14/19
COWN
05/14/19
NO CHANGE
COWN
Tariffs to yield major EPS cuts, higher customer prices, says Cowen
Amid the U.S./China trade battle, Cowen analyst Oliver Chen says negative EPS impact could be (10%-(30%) or worse as retailers are unlikely to be able to pass on all of potential cost of goods sold increases. The analyst believes the best positioned Outperform rated stocks are Planet Fitness (PLNT), Walmart (WMT), Ulta Beauty (ULTA), LVMH (LVMUY), and Costco (COST) as these have lower China sourcing risk and greater scale. He sees the most potential vulnerability at apparel and department store retailers. Further, Chen believes that consumers could experience price increases by as much as 10%-15% across impacted categories, which would yield up to $100B or more of incremental cost to consumers, depending on the breadth and depth of goods impacted. These factors are likely to impact supply/demand planning for back to school and holiday, he contends.
05/31/19
OPCO
05/31/19
NO CHANGE
Target $370
OPCO
Outperform
Ulta Beauty price target lowered to $370 from $400 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh lowered his price target for Ulta Beauty to $370 from $400 while maintaining an Outperform rating following the company's Q1 results, saying he overall looks "favorable" on the report. In a research note to investors, Parikh says he would take advantage of Ulta trading in the sub-$320 level after market. Ulta's efforts continue to drive meaningful share gains lately and have required less gross margin investment suggesting a much healthier level of growth, but says he lowered his price target given a more difficult beauty backdrop and retail re-rating lately.
EL Estee Lauder
$183.95

2.65 (1.46%)

06/04/19
MSCO
06/04/19
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley suggests pair trade of long Coca-Cola, short Keurig Dr Pepper
Morgan Stanley analyst Dara Mohsenian is suggesting a pair trade of being Overweight Coca-Cola (KO) and Underweight Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP), citing his view that Coke has "much higher" growth potential and Keurig has "much greater" risk even though both stocks trade at similar 2021 EV/EBITDA valuations. Mohsenian contends this mispricing of two companies in the same sector is the greatest he has seen since December 2015 when he made a call to favor Estee Lauder (EL) over Coty (COTY), the analyst noted. Mohsenian has a $55 price target on shares of Coca-Cola and a $24 price target on Keurig.
05/02/19
05/02/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Hilton (HLT) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Carlo Santarelli saying he's making a stock call on valuation, not a company call. He expects the stock to take a "breather" following the post-earnings rally. 2. Estee Lauder (EL) was downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital and to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson. 3. Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Christopher Carey saying Scotts reported "solid" Q1 results, but he is concerned about difficult comps ahead and market expectations for a guidance raise. 4. GrubHub (GRUB) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst John Staszak saying he believes that the company will see higher costs and margin pressure as it enters new markets and also warns that differentiation challenges relative to the emerging competition could slow its growth rate over the coming several years. 5. Cree (CREE) downgraded to Perform from Outperform at Oppenheimer wth analyst Colin Rusch saying management has executed well on its turnaround plan, but this is currently reflected in the shares. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
05/02/19
FBCO
05/02/19
NO CHANGE
Target $185
FBCO
Outperform
Estee Lauder price target raised to $185 from $175 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti raised his price target for Estee Lauder to $185 from $175 as he believes Q3 beat should force a positive revision to the first half of 2020 revenue estimates. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
05/02/19
DADA
05/02/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $155
DADA
Neutral
Estee Lauder downgraded to Neutral from Buy at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser downgraded Estee Lauder to Neutral and lowered her price target to $155 from $179. The analyst notes that while the company beat on Q3 organic sales and operating profit, its performance in the Americas is "not improving" and the growth in e-commerce channels is "not offsetting declines in department stores." After a 38% run-up in Estee Lauder stock price from its December low, Weiser believes that the stock is richly valued at 27.6-times her forward expected earnings, which is toward the high end of its 5-year 19.9 to 31.4-times multiple range.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

COT

Cott Corp.

$12.34

0.05 (0.41%)

20:29
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20:29
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COT

Cott Corp.

$12.34

0.05 (0.41%)

20:15
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20:15
Upgrade
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RARX

RA Pharmaceuticals

$33.58

-2.43 (-6.75%)

20:11
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Syndicate
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CUTR

Cutera

$24.40

0.19 (0.78%)

20:04
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ITCI

Intra-Cellular

$8.18

-3.81 (-31.78%)

19:44
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SCHW

Charles Schwab

$43.54

0.38 (0.88%)

19:28
07/23/19
07/23
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19:28
Periodicals
Charles Schwab CMO, EVP of investor services to leave, BI says »

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FB

Facebook

$202.38

0.06 (0.03%)

19:26
07/23/19
07/23
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19:26
Periodicals
Facebook CEO must certify compliance under FTC privacy agreement, WSJ says »

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  • 24

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AXP

American Express

$128.20

2.19 (1.74%)

19:24
07/23/19
07/23
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19:24
Periodicals
AmEx to refund $1.6M after finding salespeople misrepresented pricing, WSJ says »

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OBE

Obsidian Energy

$1.00

0.0087 (0.88%)

19:22
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Hot Stocks
Obsidian Energy regains compliance with NYSE listing standards »

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EEFT

Euronet

$165.34

1.22 (0.74%)

19:16
07/23/19
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Earnings
Breaking Earnings news story on Euronet »

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EEFT

Euronet

$165.34

1.22 (0.74%)

19:16
07/23/19
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Earnings
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CALX

Calix

$7.30

0.155 (2.17%)

19:13
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Earnings
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CALX

Calix

$7.30

0.155 (2.17%)

19:12
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Earnings
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WE

We Company

$0.00

(0.00%)

19:06
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WeWork eyes September IPO, WSJ reports »

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EIC

Eagle Point Income Company

$0.00

(0.00%)

19:03
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Syndicate
Eagle Point Income Company 1.2M share IPO priced at $19.89 »

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TTS

Tile Shop

$3.08

-0.88 (-22.22%)

18:57
07/23/19
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18:57
Downgrade
Tile Shop rating change at Telsey Advisory »

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  • 23

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AAPL

Apple

$208.85

1.64 (0.79%)

, GOOG

Alphabet

$1,146.62

8.53 (0.75%)

18:57
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AAPL

Apple

$208.85

1.64 (0.79%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,146.62

8.53 (0.75%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,148.77

9.25 (0.81%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$139.29

0.88 (0.64%)

FB

Facebook

$202.38

0.06 (0.03%)

HPQ

HP Inc.

$21.64

0.2 (0.93%)

QCOM

Qualcomm

$74.10

-1.83 (-2.41%)

INTC

Intel

$51.76

0.4 (0.78%)

AVGO

Broadcom

$300.79

4.68 (1.58%)

MRVL

Marvell

$26.50

0.64 (2.47%)

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JNCE

Jounce Therapeutics

$4.10

-0.1 (-2.38%)

, TER

Teradyne

$48.09

1.26 (2.69%)

18:56
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Fly Intel: After Hours Movers »

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JNCE

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$4.10

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TER

Teradyne

$48.09

1.26 (2.69%)

EW

Edwards Lifesciences

$195.47

1.55 (0.80%)

MANH

Manhattan Associates

$72.91

1.16 (1.62%)

SNAP

Snap

$14.85

0.71 (5.02%)

TXN

Texas Instruments

$120.05

1.89 (1.60%)

OLBK

Old Line Bancshares

$26.14

(0.00%)

CSL

Carlisle

$132.30

2.445 (1.88%)

CMG

Chipotle

$740.42

-1.88 (-0.25%)

CNI

Canadian National

$91.05

-0.07 (-0.08%)

DFS

Discover

$84.54

2.205 (2.68%)

NAVI

Navient

$13.71

0.27 (2.01%)

WFC

Wells Fargo

$47.20

0.7 (1.51%)

IRBT

iRobot

$89.64

-2.7 (-2.92%)

RHI

Robert Half

$58.81

1.45 (2.53%)

V

Visa

$180.89

0.34 (0.19%)

SGEN

Seattle Genetics

$75.88

-0.22 (-0.29%)

FB

Facebook

$202.38

0.06 (0.03%)

TWTR

Twitter

$37.90

0.32 (0.85%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,994.44

8.51 (0.43%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,146.62

8.53 (0.75%)

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DB

Deutsche Bank

$7.95

0.16 (2.05%)

18:45
07/23/19
07/23
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Periodicals
Deutsche Bank's credit derivatives seen as hard to offload, Reuters says »

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NHI

National Health Investors

$79.63

0.91 (1.16%)

18:35
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Hot Stocks
National Health Investors to invest $7.6M in Colorado community »

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03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 08

    Aug

RGLS

Regulus

$1.13

-0.07 (-5.83%)

18:32
07/23/19
07/23
18:32
07/23/19
18:32
Hot Stocks
Regulus announces a program update for RGLS4326 »

Regulus Therapeutics…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 01

    Aug

MPW

Medical Properties Trust

$17.67

0.12 (0.68%)

18:26
07/23/19
07/23
18:26
07/23/19
18:26
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Medical Properties Trust rating change at Stifel »

Medical Properties Trust…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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HAS

Hasbro

$119.22

10.68 (9.84%)

18:24
07/23/19
07/23
18:24
07/23/19
18:24
Hot Stocks
Hasbro CEO: We have a great management team »

In an interview on…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 23

    Jul

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