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BA

Boeing

$355.96

1.97 (0.56%)

, SPR

Spirit AeroSystems

$78.79

-0.05 (-0.06%)

07:27
07/08/19
07/08
07:27
07/08/19
07:27

Boeing MAX recertification pushout to increase cash flow volatility, says Cowen

Cowen analyst Cai von Rumohr commented on the potential impact of the expected pushout of recertification of Boeing's (BA) MAX aircraft to late September, saying he thinks the extended timeline will increase cash flow volatility for Boeing and risk of 737 rate cut at Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) and GE (GE). The analyst tells investors in a research note that he now sees an 737 inventory cash outflow in Q2 of $3.5B-$4B with a total Q2 outflow of $1B-$2B and more in Q3, and says Boeing will overall have about 275 completed MAXes in inventory at the end of Q3, which will take time to work through since the priority is to get the 381 MAXes already sitting in fleets back into service. Selling for an 8.5% "normalized" cash flow yield, Von Rumohr says Boeing remains his top pick.

BA

Boeing

$355.96

1.97 (0.56%)

SPR

Spirit AeroSystems

$78.79

-0.05 (-0.06%)

GE

General Electric

$10.51

-0.085 (-0.80%)

  • 09

    Jul

  • 24

    Jul

  • 31

    Jul

BA Boeing
$355.96

1.97 (0.56%)

07/02/19
JEFF
07/02/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $85
JEFF
Hold
Jefferies downgrades Spirit AeroSystems to Hold on 737 Max uncertainty
Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu downgraded Spirit AeroSystems to Hold from Buy and lowered her price target for the shares to $85 from $106. The shares have "limited upside" given that the MAX plane represents ~50% of revenue, Kahyaoglu tells investors in a research note. The analyst cut her 2019 and 2020 earnings per share estimates to $6.90 and $7.25 from $7.10 and $7.70, respectively, to account for fewer 737 MAX shipset deliveries. Her prior estimate had 737 MAX production stepping up to 57 per month for Spirit in mid-2020, which she now shifted to the start of 2021. The shift in the estimates is a result of the Federal Aviation Administration notifying Boeing (BA) of additional software changes to flight controls on June 26, Kahyaoglu notes.
07/02/19
JEFF
07/02/19
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Buy
Boeing removed from Franchise Pick List at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu removed Boeing from her firm's Franchise Pick List while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. While the longer term Boeing story has changed much in the wake of the MAX issues, the software fixes requested by the Federal Aviation Administration last week likely mean that MAX deliveries won't restart until late 2019, Kahyaoglu tells investors in a research note. Further, she notes that while Boeing shares are off year-to-date highs, they are still up about 80% in the last 24 months. Delivery delays could mean near-term catalysts "are scarce," contends Kahyaoglu.
07/01/19
JPMS
07/01/19
NO CHANGE
Target $430
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan now assumes MAX deliveries will begin in December
Prior to the last week's delay, JPMorgan analyst Seth Seifman thought Boeing (BA) would resume MAX deliveries in October, possibly sooner. However, with the Federal Aviation Administration now requiring Boeing to modify the Flight Control computer, the analyst sees "heightened risk" around the timing. As such, the analyst delayed MAX deliveries to December and changed his estimates for both Boeing and Spirit AeroSystems (SPR). More delays could ultimately force another production cut, Seifman tells investors in a research note. The analyst says that while the MAX will "distort results" for Boeing through 2020, he still sees "sustainable" free cash flow of over $30 per share. That's the basis for his Overweight rating on the stock with a $430 price target. Seifman keeps a Neutral rating on Spirit with a $93 price target.
07/03/19
STFL
07/03/19
NO CHANGE
Target $90
STFL
Buy
Delta one of biggest beneficiaries of longer MAX grounding, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Joseph DeNardi noted that Delta's (DAL) updated Q2 guidance yesterday was "strong across the board," pointing out that domestic load factor for the quarter of 89% benefited from the fact that the grounding of Boeing's (BA) MAX fleet is keeping industry capacity growth constrained. He sees Delta as one of the biggest beneficiaries, second only to Spirit Airlines (SAVE) and Alaska Air (ALK), as the grounding extends further out given the company's lack of exposure and the industry's competitive capacity dynamics. DeNardi maintains a Buy rating and $90 price target on Delta shares.
SPR Spirit AeroSystems
$78.79

-0.05 (-0.06%)

06/14/19
06/14/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Transocean (RIG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi with analyst Scott Gruber saying his organic cash burn analysis implies the drillers will burn cash until "at least" 2021. 2. CommScope (COMM) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James with analyst Simon Leopold saying he is concerned that performance of the acquired ARRIS business will be worse than expected. 3. Spirit AeroSystems (SPR), Astronics (ATRO), and Barnes Group (B) were downgraded to Sell from Hold at SunTrust while Woodward (WWD) and Ducommun (DCO) were downgraded to Hold from Buy. 4. Melinta Therapeutics (MLNT) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Eric Joseph saying while a market cap valuation of $20M-25M "begs the questions of whether shares have yet reached bottom," he believes the answer is "no." 5. Ashland (ASH) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan with analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas citing valuation. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
07/02/19
JEFF
07/02/19
DOWNGRADE
JEFF
Hold
Spirit AeroSystems downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu downgraded Spirit AeroSystems to Hold from Buy.
GE General Electric
$10.51

-0.085 (-0.80%)

06/14/19
JPMS
06/14/19
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Underweight
Tusa puts GE's commercial success in quotes, keeps Underweight rating
In a research note titled "Thoughts On 'Commercial Success,'" with quotes around commercial success, JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa keeps an Underweight rating on shares of General Electric. In recent months, "despite general agreement on the need to limit the focus on headlines," market share and big order wins have crept back into the GE narrative, including what appears to be a significant engine order with Indigo, Tusa writes. While admitting orders are important for growth, the analyst points out that GE has "acknowledged chasing deal announcements despite unfavorable price," and has claimed to "no longer promote market share as the main goal." As a result, recent developments "raise questions around how much change has actually occurred," according to Tusa.
06/17/19
JPMS
06/17/19
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Underweight
JPMorgan's Tusa calls GE Renewables an 'impaired' business
Despite investor focus on Power, as General Electric's portfolio is taken apart, its Renewables unit is an important $10B of revenues that is largely overlooked or assumed to be set for recovery from losses in the years ahead, as per management guidance calling for improvement in 2021, JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa tells investors in a research note. However, Renewables is "another business in this portfolio with evidence of impairment," the analyst contends in a note titled "'Gone With The Wind': Renewables Long Term Outlook Is Impaired." Tusa says his meetings with two of the competing manufacturers support his view that GE's Renewables business will likely struggle to return from losses, with headwinds both on the macro and the micro sides. He keeps an Underweight rating on shares of General Electric.
06/19/19
SBSH
06/19/19
NO CHANGE
SBSH
Buy
General Electric transformation being led by Aviation, says Citi
After hosting meetings with management, Citi analyst Andrew Kaplowitz sees GE Aviation as the continued leader in General Electric's transformation given the unit's "stability and underlying growth." GE Aviation, "while not perfect," does seem to be "operating on all cylinders," Kaplowitz tells investors in a research note. Further, the analyst senses a "new energy" in Aviation and across GE, "especially regarding cash generation" led by CEO Larry Culp. Kaplowitz keeps a Buy rating on shares of General Electric.
06/19/19
JPMS
06/19/19
NO CHANGE
JPMS
Underweight
Tusa finds support in Paris for his 'well below' bull case value of GE Aviation
JPMorgan analyst Stephen Tusa says General Electric's Paris Air Show presentation and other information gleaned from meetings support his view of fundamental value at GE Aviation, which he notes is "well below the standing Bull case." The analyst continues to see a "pattern of numbers that are adjusted several different ways," distorting what he believes GE Aviation would look like on a "true fully loaded public company basis." GE management was optimistic on continued growth in free cash flow at Aviation, putting forth metrics that "appear encouraging," but when "tethered back to a grounded analysis" show a working capital position at less than 5% of sales versus peers at ~30%, according to Tusa. The analyst notes that management did not explain fully why 2018 free cash flow ended at $4.2B versus the initial $2.9B target. He keeps an Underweight rating on shares of General Electric.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

SWDBY

Swedbank

$0.00

(0.00%)

21:49
07/17/19
07/17
21:49
07/17/19
21:49
Downgrade
Swedbank rating change at JPMorgan »

Swedbank downgraded to…

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FULC

Fulcrum Therapeutics

$0.00

(0.00%)

20:53
07/17/19
07/17
20:53
07/17/19
20:53
Syndicate
Fulcrum Therapeutics 4.5M share IPO priced at $16.00 »

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  • 18

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

20:50
07/17/19
07/17
20:50
07/17/19
20:50
Recommendations
Netflix analyst commentary at Pivotal Research »

Netflix price target…

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  • 17

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PSMT

PriceSmart

$61.77

-0.43 (-0.69%)

20:43
07/17/19
07/17
20:43
07/17/19
20:43
Upgrade
PriceSmart rating change at Scotiabank »

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GMAB

Genmab

$0.00

(0.00%)

20:32
07/17/19
07/17
20:32
07/17/19
20:32
Syndicate
Genmab 28.5M share IPO priced at $17.75 per ADS »

The deal size was…

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  • 18

    Jul

POWI

Power Integrations

$79.67

-0.22 (-0.28%)

20:29
07/17/19
07/17
20:29
07/17/19
20:29
Upgrade
Power Integrations rating change at Stifel »

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  • 25

    Jul

UNH

UnitedHealth

$266.71

2.11 (0.80%)

, HON

Honeywell

$168.81

-6 (-3.43%)

20:25
07/17/19
07/17
20:25
07/17/19
20:25
Earnings
Notable companies reporting before tomorrow's open »

Notable companies…

UNH

UnitedHealth

$266.71

2.11 (0.80%)

HON

Honeywell

$168.81

-6 (-3.43%)

PM

Philip Morris

$81.06

-0.49 (-0.60%)

UNP

Union Pacific

$164.05

-11.05 (-6.31%)

DHR

Danaher

$139.60

-0.22 (-0.16%)

MS

Morgan Stanley

$43.78

-0.63 (-1.42%)

BX

Blackstone

$45.27

-0.555 (-1.21%)

BBT

BB&T

$49.68

0.04 (0.08%)

STI

SunTrust

$63.99

0.08 (0.13%)

NUE

Nucor

$54.71

-0.87 (-1.57%)

GPC

Genuine Parts

$102.27

-3.07 (-2.91%)

ALLY

Ally Financial

$31.44

-0.26 (-0.82%)

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  • 04

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    Nov

ADTN

Adtran

$15.84

0.09 (0.57%)

20:07
07/17/19
07/17
20:07
07/17/19
20:07
Earnings
Adtran reports Q2 adjusted EPS 14c, consensus 8c »

Reports Q2 revenue…

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  • 18

    Jul

BHC

Bausch Health

$22.91

-0.26 (-1.12%)

, PGNX

Progenics

$5.38

0.055 (1.03%)

19:52
07/17/19
07/17
19:52
07/17/19
19:52
Hot Stocks
NJ District Court upholds validity of Relistor patent »

Bausch Health (BHC) and…

BHC

Bausch Health

$22.91

-0.26 (-1.12%)

PGNX

Progenics

$5.38

0.055 (1.03%)

TEVA

Teva

$8.11

-0.07 (-0.86%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 24

    Jul

  • 06

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  • 07

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  • 09

    Sep

EFC

Ellington Financial

$18.30

0.045 (0.25%)

19:31
07/17/19
07/17
19:31
07/17/19
19:31
Syndicate
Ellington Financial 3.5M share Spot Secondary priced at $17.66 »

Credit Suisse Securities…

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  • 18

    Jul

EPRT

Essential Properties Realty Trust

$19.83

-0.27 (-1.34%)

19:26
07/17/19
07/17
19:26
07/17/19
19:26
Syndicate
Essential Properties Realty Trust 22.86M share Secondary priced at $19.75 »

The deal size was…

03/08/13
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  • 18

    Jul

FTSV

Forty Seven

$8.77

-1.38 (-13.60%)

19:22
07/17/19
07/17
19:22
07/17/19
19:22
Syndicate
Forty Seven 9.38M share Secondary priced at $8.00 »

The deal priced below the…

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  • 09

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  • 18

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SNDE

Sundance Energy

$1.67

-0.17 (-9.24%)

19:20
07/17/19
07/17
19:20
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19:20
Hot Stocks
Sundance Energy to sell Dimmit County assets for $29.5M »

Sundance Energy Australia…

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NYMT

New York Mortgage

$6.25

-0.01 (-0.16%)

19:18
07/17/19
07/17
19:18
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19:18
Syndicate
New York Mortgage 20M share Spot Secondary priced at $6.11 »

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  • 18

    Jul

IBKC

Iberiabank

$74.44

-0.7 (-0.93%)

18:57
07/17/19
07/17
18:57
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18:57
Hot Stocks
Iberiabank raises quarterly dividend by 5% to 45c per share »

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  • 19

    Jul

  • 23

    Sep

IBKC

Iberiabank

$74.44

-0.7 (-0.93%)

18:56
07/17/19
07/17
18:56
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Hot Stocks
Iberiabank authorizes 1.6M share repurchase program »

Iberiabank announced the…

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  • 19

    Jul

  • 23

    Sep

EBAY

eBay

$39.03

-0.87 (-2.18%)

, LLNW

Limelight Networks

$2.77

0.18 (6.95%)

18:52
07/17/19
07/17
18:52
07/17/19
18:52
Hot Stocks
Fly Intel: After Hours Movers »

UP AFTER EARNINGS: eBay…

EBAY

eBay

$39.03

-0.87 (-2.18%)

LLNW

Limelight Networks

$2.77

0.18 (6.95%)

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

URI

United Rentals

$131.55

-6.05 (-4.40%)

CCK

Crown Holdings

$59.38

-0.88 (-1.46%)

AA

Alcoa

$23.15

-0.18 (-0.77%)

KMI

Kinder Morgan

$20.60

-0.3 (-1.44%)

TCBI

Texas Capital

$58.67

-0.76 (-1.28%)

IBM

IBM

$143.07

-0.47 (-0.33%)

AMRN

Amarin

$21.06

-0.68 (-3.13%)

ROKU

Roku

$109.33

-2.575 (-2.30%)

NYMT

New York Mortgage

$6.25

-0.01 (-0.16%)

03/08/13
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  • 17

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  • 07

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    Sep

  • 18

    Jul

  • 19

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

18:42
07/17/19
07/17
18:42
07/17/19
18:42
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Netflix »

Netflix says will add $5B…

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  • 17

    Jul

  • 17

    Jul

MIRM

Mirum Pharmaceuticals

$0.00

(0.00%)

18:42
07/17/19
07/17
18:42
07/17/19
18:42
Syndicate
Mirum Pharmaceuticals 5M share IPO priced at $15.00 »

The deal priced at the…

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  • 18

    Jul

GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp

$57.85

-0.78 (-1.33%)

18:31
07/17/19
07/17
18:31
07/17/19
18:31
Earnings
Great Southern Bancorp reports Q2 adjusted EPS $1.28, two estimates $1.15 »

Reports Q2 NII $44.9M,…

03/08/13
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  • 18

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

18:28
07/17/19
07/17
18:28
07/17/19
18:28
Hot Stocks
Netflix makes 'large investment' in original animation »

Says "Stranger…

03/08/13
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  • 17

    Jul

  • 17

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

18:17
07/17/19
07/17
18:17
07/17/19
18:17
Hot Stocks
Netflix says European shows reaching 12M-15M viewers »

Says European shows…

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  • 17

    Jul

  • 17

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

18:13
07/17/19
07/17
18:13
07/17/19
18:13
Hot Stocks
Netflix says rate of investment 'extremely high' »

Says has some discretion…

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  • 17

    Jul

  • 17

    Jul

NFLX

Netflix

$362.50

-3.22 (-0.88%)

18:08
07/17/19
07/17
18:08
07/17/19
18:08
Hot Stocks
Netflix says overall additions have returned to normal in Q3 »

Says it's easy to…

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  • 17

    Jul

  • 17

    Jul

IBM

IBM

$143.07

-0.47 (-0.33%)

17:53
07/17/19
07/17
17:53
07/17/19
17:53
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on IBM »

IBM pares initial…

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  • 17

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