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NFLX

Netflix

$324.70

-37.8 (-10.43%)

10:40
07/18/19
07/18
10:40
07/18/19
10:40

Netflix selloff exceeds implied move level following earnings

Netflix selloff exceeds implied move level following earnings. Shares starting the day down $35 this morning, nearly 10%, following results, moving well past yesterday's $25 straddle, and nearly double the 5.3% median 2yr historical move. Largest early trade was a seller of 4050 July 350 calls from 55 down to 40c for in the opening minutes, likely closing some of the 12K open.

NFLX Netflix
$324.70

-37.8 (-10.43%)

07/18/19
ADAM
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $415
ADAM
Buy
Netflix subscriber weakness likely temporary, says Canaccord
Canaccord analyst Michael Graham noted Netflix reported mixed results as the subscriber net additions missed guidance and his estimates, but revenue growth accelerated for the second straight quarter, and Q3 subscriber growth should accelerate on international strength. The analyst said the subscriber miss may weigh on the shares but he still sees a strong content strategy and room to add large numbers of international subscriptions going forward. Graham reiterated his Buy rating and $415 price target on Netflix shares.
07/18/19
WBLR
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
WBLR
Outperform
Netflix fundamentals unchanged after Q2 subscriber miss, says William Blair
In three of the last four second quarters, including last night, Netflix has missed subscriber guidance, William Blair analyst Ralph Schackart tells investors in a research note. In 2016 and 2018, misses in Q2 were both followed by "strong beats" to the tune of 1M subscribers in Q3, added the analyst. Further, he notes that management said Q3 of 2019 was off to a strong start in terms of subscriber additions, attributable to Stranger Things. Schackart believes Netflix's fundamentals have not changed as the company "continues its march into streamed TV." From here, the analyst sees roughly 18% share upside over the next 12 months using a long-term earnings valuation framework, which models compounded earnings growth of 34% through 2025 and a multiple of 26 times forward earnings. He forecasts 298M global subscribers at year-end 2025, and a stock price of roughly a $621 stock by 2024, with a discounted value today of roughly $378. Schackart keeps an Outperform rating on Netflix shares.
07/18/19
MSCO
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $450
MSCO
Overweight
Morgan Stanley offers reasons 'not to overreact' to Netflix subscriber miss
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne offered several "arguments not to overreact" to Netflix's Q2 subscriber miss, beginning by noting that the company has missed its quarterly net additions forecast once a year in each of the last three years. In all three of these cases, the company has outperformed meaningfully the following quarter, he pointed out and in two cases the miss came in the seasonally light second quarter. Additionally, the magnitude of this miss relative to the size of the business is similar to prior misses, said Swinburne, who contends that Netflix's ability to forecast has not meaningfully changed. The analyst, whose full year net additions, revenue and earnings estimates are largely unchanged following last night's report, keeps an Overweight rating and $450 price target on Netflix shares.
07/18/19
OPCO
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $410
OPCO
Outperform
Netflix early Q3 shows 'rebound,' says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Jason Helfstein reiterates an Outperform rating and a $410 price target on Netflix's shares despite weaker than expected subscriber growth. The analyst notes that Q3 global net add guidance is 11% above the Street, on stronger content releases, which should offset Q2 concerns. Additionally, fiscal year margin outlook is unchanged, and free cash flow losses are expected to moderate in 2020, he contends. Overall, Helfstein still sees Netflix on track to garner material growth in global broadband homes.

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T

AT&T

$34.98

0.64 (1.86%)

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Comcast

$43.17

0.82 (1.94%)

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Comcast

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Comcast

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Sony

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Lionsgate

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Lionsgate

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Disney

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Viacom

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Viacom

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J Sainsbury

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TSLA

Tesla

$219.92

4.27 (1.98%)

16:39
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SPX

S&P 500

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$288.79

4.12 (1.45%)

16:14
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White House says no recession in sight, Reuters reports »

White House officials…

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S&P 500

$0.00

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SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

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NVS

Novartis

$89.46

0.91 (1.03%)

16:11
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Novartis executive sold shares before data manipulation made public,Reuters says »

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MO

Altria Group

$46.48

1 (2.20%)

16:08
08/18/19
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16:08
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16:08
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CDC investigating lung illness linked to e-cigarette use, Reuters reports »

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CFB

CrossFirst Bancshares

$14.61

(0.00%)

, JFU

9F Inc

$10.09

0.52 (5.43%)

08:48
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CFB

CrossFirst Bancshares

$14.61

(0.00%)

JFU

9F Inc

$10.09

0.52 (5.43%)

NET

Cloudflare

$0.00

(0.00%)

WE

We Company

$0.00

(0.00%)

SDC

SmileDirectClub

$0.00

(0.00%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,791.82

16.72 (0.94%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$136.13

2.39 (1.79%)

SFTBF

SoftBank

$0.00

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SoftBank

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CBS

CBS

$43.83

0.5 (1.15%)

, VIA

Viacom

$27.27

-0.4 (-1.45%)

08:03
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08/17
08:03
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08:03
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Viacom-CBS merger got panned by investors, Barron's says »

CBS (CBS) and Viacom…

CBS

CBS

$43.83

0.5 (1.15%)

VIA

Viacom

$27.27

-0.4 (-1.45%)

VIAB

Viacom

$26.02

0.09 (0.35%)

AAPL

Apple

$206.44

4.71 (2.33%)

DIS

Disney

$135.19

1.79 (1.34%)

T

AT&T

$34.98

0.64 (1.86%)

CMCSA

Comcast

$43.17

0.82 (1.94%)

CMCSK

Comcast

$0.00

(0.00%)

NFLX

Netflix

$302.74

6.81 (2.30%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,791.82

16.72 (0.94%)

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MYGN

Myriad Genetics

$25.36

2.14 (9.22%)

07:57
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Myriad Genetics stock might have an FDA issue, Barron's says »

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CSCO

Cisco

$46.96

0.73 (1.58%)

, NTAP

NetApp

$46.75

0.33 (0.71%)

07:50
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Trade war hitting tech stocks, Barron's says »

Cisco (CSCO) plunged 9% a…

CSCO

Cisco

$46.96

0.73 (1.58%)

NTAP

NetApp

$46.75

0.33 (0.71%)

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RDS.A

Royal Dutch Shell

$55.55

0.47 (0.85%)

, RDS.B

Royal Dutch Shell

$55.56

0.46 (0.83%)

07:47
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Energy stocks have rarely…

RDS.A

Royal Dutch Shell

$55.55

0.47 (0.85%)

RDS.B

Royal Dutch Shell

$55.56

0.46 (0.83%)

BP

BP

$36.27

0.22 (0.61%)

XOM

Exxon Mobil

$68.30

1.06 (1.58%)

CVX

Chevron

$115.79

0.08 (0.07%)

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TGT

Target

$84.20

1.67 (2.02%)

, WMT

Walmart

$112.99

0.32 (0.28%)

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Grocery Outlet thriving as rivals struggle, Barron's says »

While Dow was down 800…

TGT

Target

$84.20

1.67 (2.02%)

WMT

Walmart

$112.99

0.32 (0.28%)

GO

Grocery Outlet

$46.55

2.81 (6.42%)

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AEO

American Eagle

$15.40

0.63 (4.27%)

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American Eagle to soar despite trade war, Barron's says »

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ANGI

Angi Homeservices

$8.18

-0.18 (-2.15%)

, MTCH

Match Group

$84.53

2.08 (2.52%)

07:27
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Dating business might be IAC's best asset, greatest challenge, Barron's says »

IAC (IAC) has rallied 34%…

ANGI

Angi Homeservices

$8.18

-0.18 (-2.15%)

MTCH

Match Group

$84.53

2.08 (2.52%)

IAC

IAC

$249.17

4.21 (1.72%)

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AAPL

Apple

$206.44

4.71 (2.33%)

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Hasbro

$114.29

1.13 (1.00%)

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Apple

$206.44

4.71 (2.33%)

HAS

Hasbro

$114.29

1.13 (1.00%)

MAT

Mattel

$10.74

(0.00%)

AGR

Avangrid

$49.29

0.37 (0.76%)

JPM

JPMorgan

$107.73

2.52 (2.40%)

BAC

Bank of America

$27.04

0.79 (3.01%)

C

Citi

$63.46

2.13 (3.47%)

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NCLH

Norwegian Cruise Line

$50.48

1.38 (2.81%)

18:04
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Norwegian Cruise Line CEO sells 25K shares of common stock »

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RM

Regional Management

$27.12

0.14 (0.52%)

18:01
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Regional Management CFO buys 5K shares of common stock »

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  • 13

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RTN

Raytheon

$178.10

-0.42 (-0.24%)

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Raytheon awarded $199.59M Navy contract for MK 15 CIWS »

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WEN

Wendy's

$19.94

0.16 (0.81%)

17:57
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Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Wendy's »

Trian Fund lowers…

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BRY

Berry Petroleum

$8.59

0.39 (4.76%)

17:54
08/16/19
08/16
17:54
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17:54
Syndicate
Breaking Syndicate news story on Berry Petroleum »

Berry Petroleum files to…

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CSWI

CSW Industrials

$70.20

1.92 (2.81%)

17:52
08/16/19
08/16
17:52
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17:52
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CSW Industrials CEO sells 25K shares of common stock »

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OAS

Oasis Petroleum

$3.03

0.135 (4.66%)

17:49
08/16/19
08/16
17:49
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17:49
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Oasis Petroleum CEO buys 30K shares of common stock »

In a regulatory filing,…

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EE

El Paso Electric

$66.41

0.005 (0.01%)

17:45
08/16/19
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17:45
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El Paso Electric director Wertheimer sells 25K shares of common stock »

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