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MSFT

Microsoft

$136.29

0.06 (0.04%)

, NFLX

Netflix

$325.14

-37.36 (-10.31%)

08:55
07/19/19
07/19
08:55
07/19/19
08:55

Notable open interest changes for July 19th

Thursday's total option volume of 20.6 million contracts resulted in net open interest growth of 2.75 million calls and 3.34 million puts. Microsoft (MSFT), Netflix (NFLX), Comcast (CMCSA) and Monster Beverage (MNST) saw the greatest growth. Top five new positions opened include 39k Monster Beverage (MNST) Jan-20 50 puts, 37k Hasbro (HAS) Jan-20 75 puts, 33k Comcast (CMCSA) Jan-21 30 puts, 31k CBRE Group (CBRE) Dec-19 45 puts and 25k General Electric (GE) Aug-19 10 calls.

MSFT

Microsoft

$136.29

0.06 (0.04%)

NFLX

Netflix

$325.14

-37.36 (-10.31%)

CMCSA

Comcast

$44.56

0.13 (0.29%)

MNST

Monster Beverage

$64.96

-0.77 (-1.17%)

  • 25

    Jul

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  • 08

    Aug

MSFT Microsoft
$136.29

0.06 (0.04%)

07/19/19
MSCO
07/19/19
NO CHANGE
Target $155
MSCO
Overweight
Microsoft price target raised to $155 from $145 at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss raised his price target on Microsoft shares to $155 from $145, stating that company's commercial momentum drove outperformance across all revenue segments in a "strong end to a very strong year." Given the highly recurring nature of its commercial revenues and the very high renewal rate for core enterprise systems, Microsoft should prove much less cyclical than the current multiple would imply, contends Weiss, who continues to believe the company remains "the best positioned name in tech for the emerging Hybrid Cloud architecture." Weiss maintains an Overweight rating on Microsoft shares.
07/19/19
WELS
07/19/19
NO CHANGE
Target $160
WELS
Outperform
Microsoft still has 'more ahead' following 'great year,' says Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Phil Winslow noted that Microsoft reported EPS and revenue in all segments that was near the high end of guidance and above consensus estimates, citing both strong execution and robust demand. Following the report and guidance on the call from CFO Amy Hood, Winslow raised his FY2020 estimates for revenue and EPS to $140.98B and $5.26 from $139.5B and $5.25, respectively. After what he called "a great year," he thinks "there's more ahead" for Microsoft given that recurring subscription revenue from Azure and Office 365 continue to "grow robustly" and he sees headwinds abating from a declining PC market and the transition to the cloud. Winslow keeps an Outperform rating and $160 price target on Microsoft shares.
07/19/19
OPCO
07/19/19
NO CHANGE
Target $160
OPCO
Outperform
Microsoft price target raised to $160 from $145 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan raised his price target for Microsoft to $160 from $145 and maintained an Outperform rating following the company's "impressive" Q4 beat. In a research note to investors, Horan says Microsoft's cloud-based business keeps building momentum, and its legacy and consumer businesses are healthy. With its large installed base of enterprise customers, hybrid cloud services and lack of channel conflicts, Horan views Microsoft as the best- positioned provider of cloud for enterprise adoption, which is accelerating and is a very large opportunity.
07/19/19
FBCO
07/19/19
NO CHANGE
Target $155
FBCO
Outperform
Microsoft price target raised to $155 from $145 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Brad Zelnick raised his price target for Microsoft to $155 from $145 and maintained an Outperform rating following the company's "strong" Q4 results, which came in ahead of expectations, driven by broad-based strength with Azure. In a research note to investors, Zelnick says it is still "early days" of public cloud adoption, and expects Microsoft will continue to to benefit from its hybrid strength and longstanding enterprise relationships.
NFLX Netflix
$325.14

-37.36 (-10.31%)

07/19/19
NEED
07/19/19
NO CHANGE
NEED
Hold
Netflix sub losses are the 'new normal', says Needham
Needham analyst Laura Martin keeps her Hold rating on Netflix (NFLX) after its Q2 net subscriber adds missed expectations with a loss of 130K U.S. subs, saying her survey of subscribers to glean the cause of churn suggests that losses may be the "new normal" for the company. The analyst notes that the churn has been linked to the "relative perceived content quality" each month with SVOD services being "not additive", as evidenced by 12% of Netflix's subscribers responding that they turned off their service to watch Game of Thrones in Q2. Martin adds that the launch of Disney+ (DIS) priced at $5.83 per month with a 1-year contract will hurt Netflix's U.S. subs unless it can also discount its service.
07/18/19
ADAM
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $415
ADAM
Buy
Netflix subscriber weakness likely temporary, says Canaccord
Canaccord analyst Michael Graham noted Netflix reported mixed results as the subscriber net additions missed guidance and his estimates, but revenue growth accelerated for the second straight quarter, and Q3 subscriber growth should accelerate on international strength. The analyst said the subscriber miss may weigh on the shares but he still sees a strong content strategy and room to add large numbers of international subscriptions going forward. Graham reiterated his Buy rating and $415 price target on Netflix shares.
07/18/19
WBLR
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
WBLR
Outperform
Netflix fundamentals unchanged after Q2 subscriber miss, says William Blair
In three of the last four second quarters, including last night, Netflix has missed subscriber guidance, William Blair analyst Ralph Schackart tells investors in a research note. In 2016 and 2018, misses in Q2 were both followed by "strong beats" to the tune of 1M subscribers in Q3, added the analyst. Further, he notes that management said Q3 of 2019 was off to a strong start in terms of subscriber additions, attributable to Stranger Things. Schackart believes Netflix's fundamentals have not changed as the company "continues its march into streamed TV." From here, the analyst sees roughly 18% share upside over the next 12 months using a long-term earnings valuation framework, which models compounded earnings growth of 34% through 2025 and a multiple of 26 times forward earnings. He forecasts 298M global subscribers at year-end 2025, and a stock price of roughly a $621 stock by 2024, with a discounted value today of roughly $378. Schackart keeps an Outperform rating on Netflix shares.
07/18/19
MSCO
07/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $450
MSCO
Overweight
Morgan Stanley offers reasons 'not to overreact' to Netflix subscriber miss
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne offered several "arguments not to overreact" to Netflix's Q2 subscriber miss, beginning by noting that the company has missed its quarterly net additions forecast once a year in each of the last three years. In all three of these cases, the company has outperformed meaningfully the following quarter, he pointed out and in two cases the miss came in the seasonally light second quarter. Additionally, the magnitude of this miss relative to the size of the business is similar to prior misses, said Swinburne, who contends that Netflix's ability to forecast has not meaningfully changed. The analyst, whose full year net additions, revenue and earnings estimates are largely unchanged following last night's report, keeps an Overweight rating and $450 price target on Netflix shares.
CMCSA Comcast
$44.56

0.13 (0.29%)

07/08/19
JPMS
07/08/19
DOWNGRADE
JPMS
Neutral
JPMorgan downgrades BCE to Neutral, Rogers to Underweight
JPMorgan analyst Richard Choe downgraded BCE (BCE) to Neutral from Overweight and Rogers Communications (RCI) to Underweight from Neutral. The analyst cut his price target for BCE to C$60 from C$63 and for Rogers to C$69 from C$71. Choe also reduced his price target for Neutral-rated Telus (TU) to C$49 from $C51. Rogers on June 12 announced the launch of its unlimited plan offering for its premium postpaid brand and BCE as well as Telus quickly followed, Choe tells investors in a research note. The analyst says he's starting to see a slowdown in subscriber growth. In addition, potential average revenue per user pressure from the migration to unlimited plans creates risk to the premium multiples the Canadian Communications companies have traded at versus U.S. and global peers, contends the analyst. He recommends stepping away from Canadian carriers at this level and prefers AT&T (T) and Comcast (CMCSA) in the U.S.
07/10/19
07/10/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Comcast (CMCSA) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with analyst Brett Feldman saying he estimates Comcast will sustain "strong growth" over next three years with annual earnings growth of 11%, free cash flow per share of 12% and dividends of 15%, driven by "healthy fundamentals across its key businesses." 2. Total (TOT) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse with analyst Thomas Adolff saying he believes the company's Strategy Day in September will serve as a catalyst. 3. DMC Global (BOOM) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Sidoti. 4. Core Laboratories (CLB) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Chase Mulvehill saying he sees the stock being set to reverse its outperformance after having fallen 10% year-to-date. 5. HCA Healthcare (HCA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with analyst Stephen Tanal saying he has a "greater appreciation for the resiliency" of the economic model of certain acute hospitals, notably HCA. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
07/10/19
STFL
07/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $10
STFL
Buy
Harmonic price target raised to $10 from $7 at Stifel
After Harmonic (HLIT) announced yesterday that a Comcast (CMCSA) affiliate committed to a $175M purchase of software licenses over the next four years, Stifel analyst John Marchetti raised his 2019 and 2020 estimates, stating that he believes the Comcast deal represents the first in several such awards. The analyst, who said he views Harmonic's vCCAP as best positioned to take share as the industry begins to deploy Distributed Access Architecture, keeps a Buy rating on Harmonic shares and raised his price target on the stock to $10 from $7.
07/10/19
GSCO
07/10/19
UPGRADE
Target $54
GSCO
Conviction Buy
Comcast upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Brett Feldman upgraded Comcast to Buy from Neutral and added the shares to his firm's Conviction List. He also boosted his price target for the stock to $54 from $44. Feldman estimates Comcast will sustain "strong growth" over next three years with annual earnings growth of 11%, free cash flow per share of 12% and dividends of 15%, driven by "healthy fundamentals across its key businesses." He expects cable margins will grow 100 basis points annually through 2024, NBC Universal revenue will grow annually at 4% through 2024, and that increasing video penetration, recent price increases and moderating increases in sports programming costs position Sky for a "material ramp" in EBITDA in the second half of 2019. Further, he views Comcast's current valuation as attractive.
MNST Monster Beverage
$64.96

-0.77 (-1.17%)

05/03/19
JEFF
05/03/19
NO CHANGE
Target $70
JEFF
Buy
Monster Beverage price target raised to $70 from $65 at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Kevin Grundy raised his price target for Monster Beverage to $70 from $65 citing the company's "strong" Q1 results. The analyst believes the valuation "remains compelling" and he reiterates a Buy rating on the shares.
06/04/19
STFL
06/04/19
NO CHANGE
Target $71
STFL
Buy
Monster Beverage second half consensus view conservative, says Stifel
Stifel analyst Mark Astrachan raised his sales and EPS estimates for Monster Beverage slightly for the second half of the year based on his analysis of scanner data, which he said points to sales growth in Monster's legacy U.S. business accelerating beginning in mid-June to reflect more favorable comparisons and minimal cannibalization from the "strong" launch of Reign. He noted that Monster's U.S. sales excluding Reign have remained largely consistent since Reign's late March introduction and he thinks consensus second half sales growth expectations are conservative. Astrachan raised his price target on Monster shares to $71 from $69 and keeps a Buy rating on the stock.
06/10/19
GUGG
06/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $74
GUGG
Buy
Guggenheim positve on Monster Beverage after analyst meeting
Guggenheim analyst Laurent Grandet said he came away from Monster Beverage's analyst meeting last week even more positive on the company's long-term prospects, telling investors that the event confirmed many of his sentiments about the current strength of the business as well as its longer-term margin expansion potential. He noted that the company said the REIGN performance energy brand launched in April is doing well and found comments about expansion into functional/healthier energy, alcohol, or even cannabis "especially interesting," Grandet stated. He keeps a Buy rating and $74 price target on Monster shares.
07/16/19
WELS
07/16/19
NO CHANGE
WELS
Wells says Nielsen restatement could be positive for Monster, tobacco stocks
Wells Fargo analyst Bonnie Herzog noted that Nielsen (NLSN) just announced that it will restate data to address serious issues with its calculation methodology in the convenience store channel related to projections it applied to independent c-stores. The restated data, to be released on August 20, is expected to improve cigarette and energy drink trends and she views this as a positive for tobacco stocks and Monster Beverage (MNST). Publicly traded companies in the tobacco space include Altria Group (MO), British American Tobacco (BTI) and Philip Morris (PM).

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

BMA

Banco Macro

$35.45

-2.83 (-7.39%)

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JNUG

Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bull 3X Shrs

$71.80

-6.28 (-8.04%)

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PCG

PG&E

$10.80

-3.5 (-24.48%)

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UNT

Unit Corp.

$3.58

0.35 (10.84%)

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BE

Bloom Energy

$5.61

0.5 (9.78%)

10:00
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ARMK

Aramark

$40.78

3.71 (10.01%)

10:00
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QSR

Restaurant Brands

$74.89

0.36 (0.48%)

09:56
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08/19
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Restaurant Brands analyst commentary  »

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TGNA

Tegna

$15.70

0.62 (4.11%)

, APO

Apollo Global

$34.18

2.15 (6.71%)

09:56
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08/19
09:56
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09:56
Hot Stocks
Tegna jumps after report of Apollo deal interest »

Shares of Tegna (TGNA)…

TGNA

Tegna

$15.70

0.62 (4.11%)

APO

Apollo Global

$34.18

2.15 (6.71%)

NXST

Nexstar

$96.12

2.07 (2.20%)

TRCO

Tribune Media

$46.48

(0.00%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
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03/06/13
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  • 05

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  • 13

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EL

Estee Lauder

$193.74

14.48 (8.08%)

, DO

Diamond Offshore

$6.19

0.365 (6.27%)

09:55
08/19/19
08/19
09:55
08/19/19
09:55
Options
Early notable gainers among liquid option names on August 19th »

Notable gainers among…

EL

Estee Lauder

$193.74

14.48 (8.08%)

DO

Diamond Offshore

$6.19

0.365 (6.27%)

NVDA

Nvidia

$166.49

7.01 (4.40%)

WYNN

Wynn Resorts

$109.82

4.24 (4.02%)

TGNA

Tegna

$15.61

0.53 (3.51%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 19

    Aug

  • 19

    Aug

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    Aug

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    Aug

  • 05

    Sep

  • 09

    Sep

  • 23

    Sep

PCG

PG&E

$11.12

-3.18 (-22.24%)

09:52
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08/19
09:52
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09:52
Downgrade
PG&E rating change  »

Citi double downgrades…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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03/06/13
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03/06/13
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UVXY

ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF

$31.70

-2.48 (-7.26%)

09:47
08/19/19
08/19
09:47
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09:47
Hot Stocks
ProShares Trust Ultra VIX Short Term Futures ETF falls -7.2% »

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JNUG

Direxion Daily Jr Gld Mnrs Bull 3X Shrs

$71.82

-6.26 (-8.02%)

09:47
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PCG

PG&E

$10.40

-3.9 (-27.27%)

09:47
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PG&E falls -27.3% »

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EL

Estee Lauder

$198.05

18.785 (10.48%)

09:47
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Estee Lauder rises 10.4% »

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  • 19

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TGNA

Tegna

$16.42

1.34 (8.89%)

09:47
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  • 05

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ARMK

Aramark

$41.24

4.17 (11.25%)

09:47
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PCG

PG&E

$14.30

(0.00%)

09:43
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WB

Weibo

$37.05

(0.00%)

, IQ

iQIYI

$17.08

(0.00%)

09:40
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Options
Unusually active option classes on open August 19th »

Unusual total active…

WB

Weibo

$37.05

(0.00%)

IQ

iQIYI

$17.08

(0.00%)

LYFT

Lyft

$52.37

(0.00%)

XLU

Utilities SPDR

$61.35

(0.00%)

UAL

United Continental

$82.96

(0.00%)

WYNN

Wynn Resorts

$105.58

(0.00%)

EA

Electronic Arts

$89.56

(0.00%)

DB

Deutsche Bank

$6.95

(0.00%)

NVDA

Nvidia

$159.48

(0.00%)

MSFT

Microsoft

$136.13

(0.00%)

03/08/13
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  • 19

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  • 13

    Nov

OMCL

Omnicell

$70.48

0.475 (0.68%)

09:38
08/19/19
08/19
09:38
08/19/19
09:38
Conference/Events
Omnicell management to meet with Benchmark »

Meeting to be held in…

03/08/13
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  • 05

    Sep

CHU

China Unicom

$9.93

0.155 (1.59%)

09:35
08/19/19
08/19
09:35
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09:35
Downgrade
China Unicom rating change at New Street »

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09:35
08/19/19
08/19
09:35
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09:35
General news
FX Action: USD-CAD »

FX Action: USD-CAD pulled…

REDU

Rise Education

$7.88

-0.13 (-1.62%)

09:34
08/19/19
08/19
09:34
08/19/19
09:34
Downgrade
Rise Education rating change at Morgan Stanley »

Rise Education downgraded…

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TGNA

Tegna

$15.08

1.465 (10.76%)

09:31
08/19/19
08/19
09:31
08/19/19
09:31
Upgrade
Tegna rating change at Wolfe Research »

Tegna upgraded to…

03/08/13
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03/06/13
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  • 05

    Sep

CLNC

Colony Credit Real Estate

$13.04

0.165 (1.28%)

09:31
08/19/19
08/19
09:31
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09:31
Recommendations
Colony Credit Real Estate analyst commentary at Raymond James »

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ZS

Zscaler

$80.84

1.67 (2.11%)

09:30
08/19/19
08/19
09:30
08/19/19
09:30
Downgrade
Zscaler rating change at OTR Global »

Zscaler downgraded to…

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