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BURL

Burlington Stores

$202.49

-2.95 (-1.44%)

, DG

Dollar General

$156.21

0.31 (0.20%)

07:56
08/31/19
08/31
07:56
08/31/19
07:56

Discount stores the winners as retailers report earnings, Barron's says

The retail sector continues to split into winners and losers, with the trend toward convenience and low prices has elevated discounters and big box stores, but has left other retailers in a riskier position, Avi Salzman writes in this week's edition of Barron's. For instance, Best Buy (BBY) fell even after reporting better-than-expected earnings, Tiffany (TIF) stock wobbled after management reported higher earnings than expected but said that the pro-democracy protests in Hong Kong had disrupted business there, while Ulta Beauty (ULTA) tumbled after missing earnings forecasts and lowering its guidance. Discounters, however, continue to impress Wall Street, the author notes, with Five Below (FIVE) up even though same-store sales fell short of expectations, Dollar General (DG) reporting much better than expected results, and Burlington Stores (BURL) soaring 18%. Reference Link

BURL

Burlington Stores

$202.49

-2.95 (-1.44%)

DG

Dollar General

$156.21

0.31 (0.20%)

FIVE

Five Below

$122.83

-2.96 (-2.35%)

ULTA

Ulta Beauty

$237.57

-99.935 (-29.61%)

TIF

Tiffany

$84.89

-0.66 (-0.77%)

BBY

Best Buy

$63.67

0.16 (0.25%)

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BURL Burlington Stores
$202.49

-2.95 (-1.44%)

08/30/19
DADA
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $235
DADA
Buy
Burlington Stores price target raised to $235 from $193 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst John Morris raised his price target on Burlington Stores to $235 and kept his Buy rating after its "impressive" Q2 earnings beat and raised FY19 guidance. The analyst contends that the trade war with China has actually created a "beneficial" buying environment for the company, with the situation requiring its vendors to relinquish some of their inventory. Morris adds that the tariffs may also prompt Burlington Stores to "foster more quality vendor relationships", stating that the 7% decrease in same-store inventory will generate "firepower for open-to-buy" in the back half of the year. The analyst also raises his FY19 and FY20 EPS view for the company by 23c and 13c to $7.23 and $8.13 respectively.
08/30/19
LOOP
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $215
LOOP
Burlington Stores price target raised to $215 from $200 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine raised her price target on Burlington Stores to $215 and kept her Buy rating after its "beat and raise" results in Q2 as well as its 3.8% comps growth nearly doubling consensus. The analyst notes that the upside was driven by "increased presence" in the company's casual ladies apparel as well as its "strong" values in the back-to-school segment. Champine also maintains her Q3 and Q4 comps growth forecasts of 2.5% and 3% respectively however to reflect the conservatism around trade friction uncertainty.
08/30/19
MKMP
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $238
MKMP
Buy
Burlington Stores price target raised to $238 from $180 at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Roxanne Meyer raised her price target on Burlington Stores to $238 and kept her Buy rating after its Q2 earnings beat, above-consensus guidance for Q3, and raised FY19 outlook, saying the company has even "bigger" upside potential. The analyst notes that in addition to improvement in categories such as home, beauty, toys and kids/baby depot, the company's Ladies' business was highlighted as a key driver in the quarter with a 3.8% comp growth and likely marks an inflection in performance. Meyer adds that Burlington Stores' opening of new stores will be another "significant" earnings driver, presenting an "outsized opportunity relative to comp growth."
08/30/19
GSCO
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $197
GSCO
Neutral
Burlington Stores price target raised to $197 from $178 at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Alexandra Walvis raised her price target for Burlington Stores to $197 from $178 while reiterating a Neutral rating on the shares following the company's Q2 results. The print demonstrated "solid" fundamentals with comp outperformance indicating improvement in the ladies apparel business, Walvis tells investors in a research note. Further, improved inventory freshness and levels point to a favorable buying environment for off-price retailers, adds the analyst. The analyst, however, cites, the "elevated valuation and bullish investor sentiment" for her Neutral rating.
DG Dollar General
$156.21

0.31 (0.20%)

08/30/19
BMOC
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $175
BMOC
Outperform
Dollar General price target raised to $175 from $140 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Kelly Bania raised her price target on Dollar General to $175 and kept her Outperform rating, saying the company's "strong" Q2 earnings was another sign that its "many initiatives" to grow its revenue and earnings are working. The analyst cites a pattern of execution by the company over the last several quarters, including its margin-enhancing efforts with DG Fresh, non-consumables, Fast Track, private label, and digital programs. Bania further contends that the valuation on Dollar General is attractive relative to its high-growth peers, with a view that the dollar store channel is the least disrupted segment in U.S. retail.
08/30/19
LOOP
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $175
LOOP
Buy
Dollar General price target raised to $175 from $156 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba raised his price target on Dollar General (DG) to $175 after its Q2 results, saying the "beat and raise" quarter featured "robust" same store sales growth and operating expansion in the company's self-proclaimed "investment year". The analyst contends that the company's strategic initiatives are paying dividends sooner and at a higher than expected rate, which is a "start contrast" to the struggles at Dollar Tree (DLTR) to turn around its Family Dollar business.
08/30/19
FBCO
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
FBCO
Dollar General price target raised to $154 from $130 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Judah Frommer maintained a Neutral rating on Dollar General, but raised his price target on shares to $154 from $130 following the company's Q2 earnings beat. The analyst called Dollar General's premium valuation "well deserved," and also raised his FY19 and FY20 EPS estimates for the company to $6.60 and $7.30, respectively.
08/30/19
BUCK
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $178
BUCK
Buy
Dollar General price target raised to $178 from $152 at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Bob Summers raised his price target for Dollar General to $178 from $152 following the company's Q2 results and reiterates a Buy rating on the shares. The analyst believes current fiscal 2020 earnings estimates are conservative and that sustained execution will drive upward revisions. His upside/downside stock price scenarios are $190 and $125, respectively. Dollar General remains part of a "stand-out set of retailers" that continue to deliver within the current retail and macroeconomic environment, Summers tells investors in a research note titled "Players Play; Winners Win."
FIVE Five Below
$122.83

-2.96 (-2.35%)

07/01/19
MSCO
07/01/19
INITIATION
Target $135
MSCO
Overweight
Five Below resumed with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman resumed coverage of Five Below with an Overweight rating and $135 price target. The company offers a differentiated value proposition, best-in-class store returns, and "long unit runway," Gutman tells investors in a research note. He views the stock's current valuation as "reasonable" and believes the company's compounding earnings growth and "scarcity value" should drive outperformance.
08/29/19
RBCM
08/29/19
NO CHANGE
Target $130
RBCM
Outperform
Five Below price target raised to $130 from $126 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Scot Ciccarelli raised his price target on Five Below to $130 and kept his Outperform rating after its "solid" Q2 results, saying that while its comp growth of 1.4% was below his expected 2.8%, sales were not greatly impacted by the shortfall because of the company's new store growth. The analyst further cites the management maintaining its FY19 guidance in spite of the "significant" concerns among investors about the potential negative impact of U.S.-China trade tensions, saying that the guidance already reflects all of the previously announced tariffs. Ciccarelli states that the company's pricing tests have been "successful", and the unit elasticity has been "in line or better", adding that the expected gross margin shortfall in Q3 will be made up in Q4.
08/29/19
GUGG
08/29/19
NO CHANGE
Target $135
GUGG
Buy
Five Below one of the best values among growth retailers, says Guggenheim
Five Below is managing through tariff-centric macro uncertainty with vendor relief, selective price increases, and proactive, non-product cost containment, Guggenheim analyst John Heinbockel tells investors in a research note. Following last night's Q2 results, the analyst raised his estimates and calls the company one of the best values among growth retailers. He reiterates a Buy rating on Five Below with a $135 price target.
07/01/19
MSCO
07/01/19
INITIATION
Target $135
MSCO
Overweight
Five Below resumed with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman resumed coverage of Five Below (FIVE) with an Overweight rating and $135 price target, calling it as a "best-in-class discount retailer" with about 20% annual unit growth. The analyst, who said "high quality growth stories are increasingly scarce across retail," called out Five Below as one of only two "pure brick and mortar" retailers growing top line and EBITDA over 20% with no leverage, identifying Floor & Decor (FND) as the other.
ULTA Ulta Beauty
$237.57

-99.935 (-29.61%)

08/30/19
08/30/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top analyst downgrade
Catch up on today's top analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Ulta Beauty (ULTA) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Citi, to Neutral from Overweight at Piper Jaffray and Atlantic Equities, to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas, to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo, and to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley. 2. Toronto-Dominion (TD) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst Sohrab Movahedi saying he views the company's Q4 results as a "low-quality meet" and believes the stock's total return potential is now in line with other similarly rated banks. 3. Novo Nordisk (NVO) downgraded to Underperform from Hold at Jefferies with analyst Peter Welford saying he believes the shares at current levels are becoming expensive. 4. UBS (UBS) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Exane BNP Paribas. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
08/30/19
JEFF
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $310
JEFF
Buy
Ulta Beauty price target lowered to $310 from $370 at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Stephanie Wissink lowered her price target for Ulta Beauty to $310 from $370 while keeping a Buy rating on the shares following last night's results. The model and multiple are moving lower due to an elongation of a soft backdrop in makeup, Wissink tells investors in a post-earnings research note titled "Cracks But Not Broken; Cycle Slowdown Catches Market Leader."
08/30/19
LOOP
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $270
LOOP
Hold
Ulta Beauty price target lowered to $270 from $340 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba lowered his price target on Ulta Beauty to $270 and kept his Hold rating, saying that after "relatively strong" performance over the past few quarters, the earnings miss and lowered guidance were surprising. The analyst contends that slow cosmetics sales trends are not expected to reverse in the near future, even though he sees Ulta Beauty as well positioned given the "continued deterioration of the mall-based department store channel" and thanks to its "top-notch customer loyalty program."
08/30/19
FBCO
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
FBCO
Ulta Beauty price target lowered to $286 from $380 at Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Michael Binetti maintained an Outperform rating on Ulta Beauty, but lowered his price target on shares to $286 from 380 following the company's Q2 EPS miss and lowered FY19 EPS guidance. The analyst noted that he was unclear as to why Ulta Beauty cut its second half guidance "so significantly after what sounds like a very short-term change in the trend line."
TIF Tiffany
$84.89

-0.66 (-0.77%)

08/22/19
COWN
08/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $107
COWN
Outperform
Tiffany price target lowered to $107 from $115 at Cowen
Cowen analyst Oliver Chen lowered his price target on tiffany to $107 from $115 as he is cautious heading into Q2 results. The analyst cited a tough comps comparison, weak Chinese tourism into the US, disruptions in Hong Kong, and a lack of product newness. Chen maintained his Outperform rating on Tiffany shares.
08/22/19
OPCO
08/22/19
NO CHANGE
Target $100
OPCO
Outperform
Tiffany price target lowered to $100 from $115 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Brian Nagel lowered his price target for Tiffany to $100 from $115 ahead of quarterly results. The analyst is increasingly concerned that weaker spending on the part of foreign tourists likely weighed further upon comp sales growth at Tiffany in Q2 and could now impact topline trends at the brand in coming quarters, more than previously anticipated. Nagel reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
08/29/19
WELS
08/29/19
NO CHANGE
Target $80
WELS
Market Perform
Tiffany price target lowered to $80 from $88 at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Ike Boruchow lowered his price target for Tiffany to $80 from $88 following quarterly results. The analyst reiterates a Market Perform rating on the shares.
08/29/19
LOOP
08/29/19
NO CHANGE
Target $85
LOOP
Hold
Tiffany price target lowered to $85 from $95 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Laura Champine lowered her price target on Tiffany to $85 and kept her Hold rating after its Q2 results and the 4% decline in comps. The analyst believes that the macroeconomic weakness has grown since her last downgrade and cites "weak tourist traffic" weighing on global demand, cutting her FY19 comps forecast to flat from up 2%. Champine still sees Tiffany shares as "attractive" in the longer term, but she is concerned that wealthy customers will delay purchases in a "more volatile" environment highlighted by tariff uncertainty and worries about global growth.
BBY Best Buy
$63.67

0.16 (0.25%)

07/11/19
GSCO
07/11/19
INITIATION
Target $73
GSCO
Neutral
Best Buy initiated with a Neutral at Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs analyst Kate McShane started Best Buy with a Neutral rating and $73 price target. The analyst sees limited upside to valuation at current share levels.
07/08/19
07/08/19
INITIATION

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Best Buy (BBY) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim. 2. Cabot Microelectronics (CCMP) was initiated with a Buy at Goldman Sachs and a Neutral at CL King. 3. Crowdstrike (CRWD) was initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer, Macquarie and JMP Securities, an Overweight at JPMorgan, Piper Jaffray and Barclays, a Buy at BofA/Merrill, Needham, Stifel, and Mizuho, a Neutral at Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs, a Sector Perform at RBC Capital, and a Hold at SunTrust and Jefferies. 4. TriplePoint Venture (TPVG) initiated with a Buy at Nomura Instinet. 5. Fiverr (FVRR) was initiated with an Outperform at Oppenheimer and JMP Securities, a Buy at Needham, as well as a Neutral at JPMorgan, UBS and Citi. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
07/16/19
LOOP
07/16/19
NO CHANGE
Target $70
LOOP
Buy
Aaron's price target raised to $70 from $64 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba raised his price target on Aaron's (AAN) to $70 and kept his Buy rating ahead of its Q2 earnings next week, saying he is turning increasingly more bullish on its Progressive Leasing business given the growth in its volume per active door metric and early results from its Best Buy (BBY) partnership. The analyst adds that the premium valuation on Aaron's stock is warranted by Progressive's "substantial 'white space'" opportunity and his expectation of continued sequential improvement in its core business.
08/26/19
BOFA
08/26/19
NO CHANGE
Target $75
BOFA
Neutral
Best Buy comps likely to hit high end of guidance, says BofA/Merrill
BofA/Merrill analyst Curtis Nagle believes Best Buy's comps will likely to come in at high end of guidance when the company reports Q2 results on August 29. He estimates comparable sales of 2.3%, which compares to guidance of 0.5%-2.5% and the consensus estimate of 2.0%. However, if Best Buy does beat Q2 expectations, there is a chance it does not raise guidance given the high Q4 earnings weighting and continued uncertainty over tariffs, Nagle tells investors in a research note. He keeps a Neutral rating on the shares with a $75 price target.

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Danaher

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MSFT

Microsoft

$137.34

-2.34 (-1.68%)

, CRM

Salesforce

$144.18

-1.995 (-1.36%)

05:15
10/21/19
10/21
05:15
10/21/19
05:15
Recommendations
Microsoft, Salesforce, Intuit, SailPoint, Zuora, Varonis analyst commentary  »

High growth software…

MSFT

Microsoft

$137.34

-2.34 (-1.68%)

CRM

Salesforce

$144.18

-1.995 (-1.36%)

INTU

Intuit

$262.54

-4.03 (-1.51%)

SAIL

SailPoint

$18.32

-0.34 (-1.82%)

ZUO

Zuora

$13.63

-0.5 (-3.54%)

VRNS

Varonis

$62.36

-1.56 (-2.44%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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XLRN

Acceleron

$42.16

-1.02 (-2.36%)

05:09
10/21/19
10/21
05:09
10/21/19
05:09
Recommendations
Acceleron analyst commentary  »

Piper sees near-term…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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  • 04

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TLSNF

Telia

$0.00

(0.00%)

05:04
10/21/19
10/21
05:04
10/21/19
05:04
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Telia rating change  »

Telia downgraded to Buy…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
Barclays

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ALRM

Alarm.com

$47.23

-0.5 (-1.05%)

05:01
10/21/19
10/21
05:01
10/21/19
05:01
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Alarm.com rating change  »

Alarm.com upgraded to…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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