August China shipments dip ahead of Apple iPhone 11 launch, says Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Matthew Cabral says that Apple iPhone shipments in China fell 19.5% year over year in the month of August per MIIT "non-Android" data, worse than the 2.8% year over year drop in the broader Chinese smartphone market. But looking quarter-to-date, Q3 is up 5.2% year over year, which is a significant improvement versus the difficult start to the year and is tracking well toward Apple's above seasonal September guidance, he contends. The analyst believes the introduction of a triple-camera system on the Pro/Pro Max and the RMB700 price cut should help demand within China at the margin. However, Cabral views this year's feature upgrades as more incremental in nature and thinks they are unlikely to reverse the ongoing extension of replacement cycles, especially without a 5G iPhone until the second half of 2020. He reiterates a Neutral rating and $209 price target.