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YUM

Yum! Brands

$112.31

-1.83 (-1.60%)

, MCD

McDonald's

$209.44

-1.12 (-0.53%)

08:05
09/21/19
09/21
08:05
09/21/19
08:05

Fast food stock could gain if consumer spending slows, Barron's says

Despite a surge in second quarter household spending that suggested that consumers are spending with confidence, signs from Corporate America suggest otherwise, Steven Sears writes in this week's edition of Barron's. Meanwhile, business is booming in places "so far away from Wall Street that they might as well be on another planet," the author notes. Cracker Barrel (CBRL) reported good earnings and a big jump in the sale of inexpensive comfort foods, while Chipotle (CMG), McDonald's (MCD), Yum! Brands (YUM), Wendy's (WEN) and Restaurant Brands (QSR) are all performing well too. With economic and investor sentiment showing signs of shifting, restaurant stocks should still perform well, the publication notes, adding that the stocks have momentum and offer some safety if economic conditions sour. Reference Link

YUM

Yum! Brands

$112.31

-1.83 (-1.60%)

MCD

McDonald's

$209.44

-1.12 (-0.53%)

CMG

Chipotle

$835.17

3.67 (0.44%)

CBRL

Cracker Barrel

$166.12

-0.23 (-0.14%)

WEN

Wendy's

$20.77

0.22 (1.07%)

QSR

Restaurant Brands

$72.64

-1.24 (-1.68%)

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YUM Yum! Brands
$112.31

-1.83 (-1.60%)

08/02/19
BMOC
08/02/19
NO CHANGE
Target $112
BMOC
Market Perform
Yum! Brands price target raised to $112 from $98 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik raised his price target on Yum! Brands to $112 after its Q2 earnings beat and stronger comps across all brands that offset weaker operating margins. The analyst also notes that the company's two-year comp stack is now at its highest level in over 5 years, with added potential upside coming from the management's efforts to refocus Pizza Hut units on delivery. Strelzik keeps his Market Perform rating on Yum! Brands due to valuation.
08/02/19
BTIG
08/02/19
NO CHANGE
Target $130
BTIG
Buy
Yum! Brands price target raised to $130 from $114 at BTIG
BTIG analyst Peter Saleh raised his price target on Yum! Brands (YUM) to $130 and kept his Buy rating after its Q2 earnings beat. The analyst says he remains confident in the company's global sales and business momentum along with the "robust" consumer environment and "steadily unfolding" international unit development. Saleh adds that Yum! Brands is benefiting from its expanding partnership with Grubhub (GRUB).
08/12/19
MKMP
08/12/19
INITIATION
Target $125
MKMP
Neutral
Yum! Brands initiated with a Neutral at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Brett Levy started Yum! Brands with a Neutral rating and $125 price target.
08/13/19
08/13/19
INITIATION
Target $125

Neutral
Yum! Brands initiated with a Neutral at MKM Partners
As previously reported, MKM Partners analyst Brett Levy started Yum! Brands with a Neutral rating and $125 price target. The analyst says the company's "highly franchised model" has produced a "solid cash flow story" with double digit earnings growth. Levy further cites Yum! Brands driving "operational progress" at Taco Bell and KFC brands, anticipating Pizza Hut to also overcome its challenges, but believes that the company's accelerating unit growth and "solid" fundamentals are priced into the stock in the near term.
MCD McDonald's
$209.44

-1.12 (-0.53%)

08/29/19
CLVD
08/29/19
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
McDonald's Q3 comps tracking better than consensus, says Cleveland Research
Research analyst Steven Gojak says McDonald's Q3 comps are tracking better than the 5.2% consensus estimate on strong check growth and throughput improvements. The analyst maintains his 6% comp estimate and thinks the company's momentum can continue in Q4. However, Gojak believes McDonald's 2020 outlook "is a bit cloudier at this point" and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares.
08/14/19
LBOW
08/14/19
NO CHANGE
LBOW
Neutral
McDonald's checks point to continued 'robust' U.S. comp growth, says Longbow
Longbow analyst Alton Stump said his conversations with McDonald's franchisees in the U.S. lead him to believe same-store sales are up 5%-5.5% to date in Q3. The analyst, who noted that consensus is for McDonald's U.S. comps to grow 5.2% in the current quarter, keeps a Neutral rating on McDonald's shares.
08/20/19
BMOC
08/20/19
UPGRADE
Target $36
BMOC
Outperform
Pilgrim's Pride upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Kenneth Zaslow upgraded Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) to Outperform and raised his price target to $36 from $31, citing the management's implementation of a "successful execution" of its chicken strategy. The analyst also points to the improvement in "underlying chicken fundamentals" around the shortage of U.S. beef production, record high levels in China hog prices, and a "more normal" promotional activity that includes increased features with McDonald's (MCD) upcoming chicken promotion - its first in over a year.
08/23/19
SPHN
08/23/19
NO CHANGE
SPHN
McDonald's 'notably missing' from 'chicken sandwich wars,' says Stephens
Stephens analyst Will Slabaugh said he believes the combination of Popeye's new chicken sandwich and its "well-executed social media blitz" have helped drive same-store sales growth for the brand into the high-single to low-double digits since the product launch. While Popeye's only represents 12% of parent Restaurant Brands' (QSR) store base, he still thinks the "chicken sandwich wars," which have made the news, are important for the story as he believes the brand will become a larger part of the company, and Restaurant Brands licensee Carrols Restaurant (TAST), over time. Slabaugh also said he views this as a missed opportunity at McDonald's (MCD), where a quality chicken sandwich product could help guest counts. The analyst keeps Overweight ratings on shares of both franchisor Restaurant Brands and franchisee Carrols.
CMG Chipotle
$835.17

3.67 (0.44%)

09/09/19
WEDB
09/09/19
UPGRADE
WEDB
Outperform
Chipotle upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush
08/30/19
GSCO
08/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $1100
GSCO
Conviction Buy
Chipotle 'got it right' with Queso Blanco, bullish Goldman analyst says
Chipotle Mexican Grill's menu innovation is showing positive early reads while digital metrics suggest continued strong traffic growth this quarter on the digital ecosystem, Goldman Sachs analyst Katherine Fogertey tells investors in a research note. The analyst's 12-month price target of $1,000 points to 18% upside potential and she keeps a Conviction Buy rating on Chipotle. She see signs that Chipotle "has got it right" with Queso Blanco. The feedback from the testing sites has been overwhelmingly positive, with sell outs and restocks being a repeated issue, Fogertey notes after speaking to store employees and customers. The analyst believes the new Queso could drive comps and remains confident in her bullish view on Chipotle.
09/09/19
09/09/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Las Vegas Sands (LVS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank with analyst Carlo Santarelli saying Bearish Macau sentiment has created an opportunistic entry point for medium to longer term investors. 2. Genesco (GCO) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Pivotal Research with analyst Mitch Kummetz citing the company's Q2 beat and guidance increase. 3. Entergy (ETR) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Christopher Tenure saying unlike some of its large premium valuation peers, Entergy has potential for both high rate base growth and improving earned returns on equity. 4. SAIC (SAIC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen with analyst Cai Von Rumohr saying the "sharp selloff" in shares has resulted in favorable risk/reward and raised its price target to $102.00. 5. Chipotle (CMG) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Wedbush with analyst Nick Setyan saying as the industry transitions towards a larger mix of digital transactions, the analyst believes Chipotle is in a leading position to establish a digital moat. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
09/09/19
09/09/19
UPGRADE
Target $980

Outperform
Chipotle upgraded to Outperform at Wedbush
As previously reported, Wedbush analyst Nick Setyan upgradec Chipotle to Outperform from Neutral and raised his price target on the shares to $980 from $780. As the industry transitions towards a larger mix of digital transactions, the analyst believes Chipotle is in a leading position to establish a digital moat. Setyan not only continues to see near-term momentum as management executes towards this transition, he believes Chipotle is poised to sustain outsized same-store sales and EPS growth in the medium- to long-term in an industry where a dearth of growth is likely to command an increasing premium.
CBRL Cracker Barrel
$166.12

-0.23 (-0.14%)

09/18/19
RHCO
09/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $165
RHCO
Hold
Cracker Barrel price target raised to $165 from $161 at SunTrust
SunTrust analyst Jake Bartlett raised his price target on Cracker Barrel to $165 but kept his Hold rating, saying the company's "impressive" Q4 earnings and strong 3.8% comps were offset by the sector-weakened initial FY20 same-store sales forecast of 2%-3%. The analyst notes that the guidance also implies "flat to 2%" annual growth while modeling a 2.0%-2.5% commodity inflation outlook, which he warns may prove to be too low.
09/11/19
WELS
09/11/19
NO CHANGE
Target $150
WELS
Market Perform
Cracker Barrel price target lowered to $150 from $156 at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Jon Tower lowered his price target for Cracker Barrel to $150 from $156 ahead of quarterly results. The analyst believes Cracker Barrel will post Q4 restaurant same-store sales that best Street expectations, report EPS that are in-line with the Street and offer initial 2020 guidance that captures estimates, but also implies generally flat op margin growth year over year on higher inflation and tariff pressure with the Punch Bowl Social non-controlling interest weighing on EPS growth. Tower reiterates a Market Perform rating on the shares.
06/05/19
RHCO
06/05/19
NO CHANGE
Target $161
RHCO
Hold
Cracker Barrel price target lowered to $161 from $170 at SunTrust
SunTrust analyst Jake Bartlett lowered his price target on Cracker Barrel to $161 and kept his Hold rating after its Q3 results. The analyst says that the company beat on earnings and revenues, with guidance for an increase in national TV advertising also leading him to increase his Q4 comps forecast to 2.5% from 2.0%, but he is concerned by the impact of trade tensions already starting to increase costs as well as margin uncertainty in Q4 coming from higher pork prices.
09/18/19
WELS
09/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $155
WELS
Market Perform
Cracker Barrel price target raised to $155 from $150 at Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo analyst Jon Tower raised his price target for Cracker Barrel to $155 from $150 after the company posted better than expected top and bottom line performance in Q4, primarily due to the launch of Southern Fried Chicken. The analyst reiterates a Market Perform rating on the shares.
WEN Wendy's
$20.77

0.22 (1.07%)

09/10/19
BMOC
09/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $21
BMOC
Outperform
Wendy's breakfast plan increases operational risk, says BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Andrew Strelzik kept his Outperform rating and $21 price target on Wendy's after the company announced plans to launch a national breakfast offering in 2020 and lowered its FY19 guidance to reflect the $20M upfront franchisee investment. The analyst notes that the announcement represents a growth opportunity, even though it introduces a layer of operational and financial risk that he had previously not assumed. Strelzik intends to review his forecasts after Wendy's offers mode detail on its plans at the upcoming October Investor Day.
09/10/19
GUGG
09/10/19
DOWNGRADE
GUGG
Neutral
Guggenheim downgrades Wendy's to Neutral on risky breakfast expansion
As previously reported, Guggenheim analyst Matthew DiFrisco downgraded Wendy's to Neutral from Buy following the company's announcement of plans to enter breakfast with a nationwide offering. The analyst, who noted that management reduced its 2019 outlook to account for a $20M upfront investment relating to launching breakfast across the U.S. system, views the day-part expansion as a sign of slowing near-term momentum in the lunch and dinner business. He also notes that Wendy's previous attempts to establish a breakfast business in 1985, 2006 and 2010 were unsuccessful and pressured franchise margins, calling the new attempt "a potentially risky way to add topline growth."
09/13/19
LBOW
09/13/19
NO CHANGE
Target $25
LBOW
Buy
Wendy's franchisees 'surprisingly positive' on breakfast plans, says Longbow
Longbow analyst Alton Stump said his conversations with U.S. Wendy's franchisees leads him to believe that the sharp negative reaction by investors to the company's breakfast announcement was unwarranted. His contacts expressed "an admittedly surprisingly positive view" of plans to re-launch breakfast nationwide in 2020, pointing to a simpler menu, lower food cost as a percentage of sales, expectations for only a modestly higher labor spend and a nationwide rollout as key reasons for their optimism, said Stump. He also noted that his checks make him believe domestic franchised same-store sales were up 3-3.5% in Q3 to date, which is tracking ahead of his and consensus estimates. Stump has a Buy rating and $25 price target on Wendy's shares.
09/10/19
09/10/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Wendy's (WEN) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Guggenheim and BTIG. 2. The Stars Group (TSG) downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays. 3. Whiting Petroleum (WLL) and Jagged Peak Energy (JAG) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA/Merrill. 4. Dollar General (DG) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Bernstein with analyst Brandon Fletcher saying he believes its future story is well understood, and the upside is probably priced into the stock already. 5. Wells Fargo (WFC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS with analyst Saul Martinez citing his reduced estimates for earnings and lower net interest income along with the continued uncertainty and low visibility around the progress in the management's efficiency improvements. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
QSR Restaurant Brands
$72.64

-1.24 (-1.68%)

09/17/19
09/17/19
INITIATION

Fly Intel: Top five analyst initiations
Catch up on today's top five analyst initiations with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Match Group (MTCH) initiated with a Buy at Citi. 2. Restaurant Brands (QSR) initiated with a Buy at Argus. 3. Orchard Therapeutics (ORTX) initiated with a Buy at Guggenheim. 4. Axonics (AXNX) initiated with an Outperform at SVB Leerink. 5. Cellular Biomedicine (CBMG) initiated with a Buy at BTIG. This list is just a portion of The Fly's analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
09/17/19
ARGS
09/17/19
INITIATION
ARGS
Buy
Restaurant Brands initiated with a Buy at Argus
09/17/19
ARGS
09/17/19
INITIATION
Target $90
ARGS
Buy
Restaurant Brands initiated with a Buy at Argus
Argus analyst John Staszak initiated Restaurant Brands with a Buy rating and a price target of $90. The analyst contends that the company's acquired brands Tim Horton's and Popeye's Louisiana Kitchen can grow in international markets through master franchise joint venture agreements similarly to the growth seen at Burger King. Staszak further contends that the management of Restaurant Brands will have the ability to open new stores and drive higher comps with initiatives around deliveries, daypart expansion, and plant-based products.
09/05/19
PIPR
09/05/19
NO CHANGE
Target $90
PIPR
Overweight
Restaurant Brands price target raised to $90 from $80 at Piper Jaffray
Piper Jaffray analyst Nicole Miller Regan raised her price target for Restaurant Brands to $90 from $80 saying the company continues to perform fundamentally and benefit from franchise and portfolio value in relation to the restaurant cycle. Investors should continue buying the shares for both growth through organic development as well as potential acquisitions, Regan tells investors in a research note. She reiterates an Overweight rating on Restaurant Brands.

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State Street

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State Street says reigniting servicing fee revenue growth remains a top priority »

Comments taken from the…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
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  • 18

    Oct

10:02
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General news
Leading Indicators data reported »

September Leading…

SXT

Sensient

$60.60

-5.97 (-8.97%)

10:00
10/18/19
10/18
10:00
10/18/19
10:00
Hot Stocks
Sensient falls -8.8% »

Sensient is down -8.8%,…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
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Citigroup
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  • 18

    Oct

NNA

Navios Acquisition

$8.58

-1.78 (-17.18%)

10:00
10/18/19
10/18
10:00
10/18/19
10:00
Hot Stocks
Navios Acquisition falls -17.6% »

Navios Acquisition is…

03/08/13
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Credit Suisse
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Citigroup
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GIL

Gildan Activewear

$26.26

-9.12 (-25.78%)

10:00
10/18/19
10/18
10:00
10/18/19
10:00
Hot Stocks
Gildan Activewear falls -25.8% »

Gildan Activewear is down…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
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Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
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Barclays

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  • 31

    Oct

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