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HOG

Harley-Davidson

$39.46

-0.57 (-1.42%)

10:35
10/23/19
10/23
10:35
10/23/19
10:35

Harley Davidson put volume heavy and directionally bearish

Bearish flow noted in Harley Davidson with 2,168 puts trading, or 3x expected. Most active are 11/1 weekly 37.5 puts and 10/25 weekly 40 puts, with total volume in those strikes near 890 contracts. The Put/Call Ratio is 2.70, while ATM IV is up nearly 2 points on the day. Earnings are expected on January 28th.

HOG Harley-Davidson
$39.46

-0.57 (-1.42%)

04/24/19
04/24/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Harley-Davidson (HOG) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with analyst David Tamberrino saying he views Harley as the "worst positioned" within his Powersports coverage given its concentration in a "secularly declining" motorcycle market. 2. TowerJazz (TSEM) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse with analyst Quang Tung Le saying to reflect ongoing weakness at the company's "key" radio frequency and power customers along with revised three- year deal extension with Panasonic, the analyst reduced his sales estimates. 3. Marriott (MAR) downgraded to In Line from Outperform at Evercore ISI with analyst Rich Hightower saying approaching Q1 earnings season, the analyst finds himself "incrementally negative" on hotel stocks overall - and even more so with respect to the C-Corps than the REITs - given the sector's substantial recent outperformance against the relevant benchmarks, coupled with no obvious shift in fundamentals over the last 60-90 days. 4. Kraft Heinz (KHC) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst Michael Lavery saying expectations for the company's 2020 earnings are likely too high as it plans divestitures of underperforming businesses, which could be 20c-30c dilutive on a per share basis. 5. Hyatt (H) and Hilton (HLT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Wells Fargo. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
06/04/19
NRCS
06/04/19
NO CHANGE
NRCS
Neutral
Harley-Davidson U.S. retail checks weak in May, says Northcoast
Northcoast analyst Brandon Rolle said his recent checks on Harley-Davidson for May showed continued weakness in U.S. retail despite easy comparisons and "aggressive" lending from its financing arm. Persistent weakness in U.S. retail sales has also hurt dealers' willingness to take on the company's new electric vehicles, said Rolle, who keeps a Neutral rating on Harley shares.
09/23/19
LBOW
09/23/19
NO CHANGE
LBOW
Neutral
Harley-Davidson dealer checks point to late Q3 promotional push, says Longbow
Longbow analyst David MacGregor said his recent checks with Harley-Davidson dealers revealed a late Q3 promotional push to cut inventories. Following his checks, he forecasts Q3 new retail sales to be down 6%-8%, but expects a stronger than previously forecasted mix, noted MacGregor, who keeps Neutral rating on Harley shares.
10/22/19
WBLR
10/22/19
NO CHANGE
WBLR
Market Perform
Harley-Davidson estimates lowered at William Blair on Q4 margin guidance
William Blair analyst Sharon Zackfia lowered her estimates for Harley-Davidson, noting that lower shipments, unfavorable mix, tariffs, and currency headwinds resulted in Q4 GAAP motorcycle margin guidance for a decline of 5.5% that was worse than her projected 2% decline. Full-year margins, as a result, will likely be at the lower end of the company's reiterated margin guidance of 6%-7%, said Zackfia, who keeps a Market Perform rating on Harley shares. While investors have sent the stock up 9% following the company's report, she sees risk to the consensus assumption for a return to positive shipments in 2020, added the analyst.

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