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F

Ford

$9.06

-0.005 (-0.06%)

, GM

General Motors

$36.14

-0.185 (-0.51%)

12:47
10/23/19
10/23
12:47
10/23/19
12:47

Fly Intel: What to watch in auto sector earnings reports

Ford (F) is scheduled to report quarterly results after the market closes on October 23, while General Motors (GM) is scheduled to report before the market opens on October 29. What to watch for: 1. FORD OUTLOOK: When Ford reported its fiscal second quarter results on July 24, the company announced fiscal 2019 adjusted earnings per share guidance of $1.20-$1.35 against consensus estimates of $1.39 at that time. Ford also announced that it expects FY19 adjusted EBIT of $7B-$7.5B. 2. FORD Q3 U.S. SALES: On October 2, Ford reported Q3 U.S. sales down 4.9% year-over-year to 580,251 vehicles. Q3 SUV sales fell 10.5%, car sales fell 29.5% y/y. "As planned, this year is a transitional one for Ford as we move from our sedan lineup to an all-new winning portfolio of trucks and SUVs. Ranger sales continue to accelerate and the all-new Explorer and Escape are hitting dealer showrooms now. Our truck, van and commercial business continued to be strong in the third quarter, with record van sales and continued F-Series sales leadership," said Mark LaNeve, Ford VP, U.S. Marketing, Sales and Service. 3. GM OUTLOOK: During the General Motors Q2 earnings conference call, on August 1, GM affirmed its FY19 adjusted earnings per share guidance of $6.50-$7.00, against analyst expectations of $6.62 at that time. Management also backed FY19 adjusted automotive FCF of $4.5B-$6B and said execution of transformation cost savings of $2B-$2.5B through 2019 is "on track." 4. CALIFORNIA EMISSIONS WAIVER: On September 18, President Donald Trump said via Twitter that his administration is revoking California's Federal Waiver on emissions "in order to produce far less expensive cars for the consumer, while at the same time making the cars substantially SAFER." The president claimed in several tweets that the move would lead to more production because of a pricing and safety advantage as well as "the fact that older, highly polluting cars, will be replaced by new, extremely environmentally friendly cars. There will be very little difference in emissions between the California Standard and the new U.S. Standard, but the cars will be far safer and much less expensive," Trump tweeted. "Many more cars will be produced under the new and uniform standard, meaning significantly more JOBS, JOBS, JOBS! Automakers should seize this opportunity because without this alternative to California, you will be out of business." On September 20, California Attorney General Xavier Becerra, with Governor Gavin Newsom and the California Air Resources Board, led a coalition of 24 attorneys general and the cities of Los Angeles and New York in filing a lawsuit against the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. The lawsuit challenges the Trump Administration's regulation designed to preempt California's greenhouse gas emissions and zero-emission vehicle standards. "These standards - authorized in 2013 by a waiver from the Environmental Protection Agency and followed, in whole or part, by 13 other states and the District of Columbia - are a key part of state efforts to protect public health and the environment. In the lawsuit, the coalition asserts that this Preemption Rule is unlawful and should be vacated," Becerra said in a statement.

F

Ford

$9.06

-0.005 (-0.06%)

GM

General Motors

$36.14

-0.185 (-0.51%)

  • 23

    Oct

  • 29

    Oct

F Ford
$9.06

-0.005 (-0.06%)

09/10/19
BOFA
09/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $13
BOFA
Buy
Ford downgrade by Moody's may be sign of things to come, says BofA/Merrill
BofA Merrill Lynch analyst John Murphy said Ford's corporate borrowing costs will likely remain unchanged in the near-term despite Moody's downgrade of the company's senior unsecured rating to Ba1, or a junk status, since Ford faces no significant near-term debt maturities. While the financial implications seem "somewhat de minimis at present," Moody's move on Ford's credit rating could be a harbinger of future downgrades for the company and even for the broader automotive value chain, particularly for those undergoing turnaround efforts, said Murphy. While he does not disagree with many of the concerns raised by Moody's, Murphy thinks Ford's dividend will be maintained for the foreseeable future and views the near-term product cycle as robust. He also believes improved execution and communication may help Ford's multiple to recover despite the "somewhat disappointing" downgrade news, leading Murphy to keep a Buy rating on Ford shares.
09/18/19
MSCO
09/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $12
MSCO
Overweight
Ford details on EVs, cost savings to be catalysts, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas, in a note to investors titled "Ford Ready to Shock with BEV and Cost Savings?," said his conviction has increased, based on investor positioning and low expectations for Ford in the equity and debt market, that the company offering details around its battery electric vehicle plans and cost savings expectations can be catalysts for the stock. Ford has communicated $11B of restructuring charges, but hasn't made clear any annual savings targets so that consensus forecasts don't include them, Jonas said. He currently gives Ford credit for roughly $1B of restructuring savings and expects the company to outline its savings forecasts to the investment community within the next two quarters. Jonas, who also expect Ford's electrification strategy to shift from hybrids to battery electric over the next 24 months, reiterated his Overweight rating and $12 price target on Ford shares.
09/27/19
MSCO
09/27/19
NO CHANGE
Target $12
MSCO
Overweight
Ford Q3 may lack 'punch,' but weakness would be opportunity, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas lowered his 2019 EPS forecast for Ford to $1.22 from $1.30 to account for his inclusion of estimated UAW contract ratification costs and also pointed to headwinds related to a challenging ramp-up of Explorer in Q3 and more losses from China imports in the second half. While he thinks Ford's Q3 report "may not pack a big punch," Jonas would see any related weakness in Ford shares as a buying opportunity as he is attracted to low expectations for Ford in the equity and debt markets. Jonas, who added that he likes the current setup for Ford "very much," reiterated his Overweight rating and $12 price target on the shares.
10/01/19
BUCK
10/01/19
NO CHANGE
Target $8
BUCK
Neutral
Ford price target lowered to $8 from $9 at Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Joseph Amaturo maintained a Neutral rating on Ford and lowered his price target to $8 from $9, citing a more cautious view of earnings per share and free cash flow for the second half of the year as well as heightened concerns for 2020. Amaturo tells investors in a research note that he is "pretty confident" Ford will fall meaningfully short of EPS and adjusted free cash flow expectations for the third quarter when it reports on October 23, and says he is becoming increasingly concerned about end market demand in many of the markets it participates in.
GM General Motors
$36.14

-0.185 (-0.51%)

09/30/19
KEYB
09/30/19
NO CHANGE
Target $150
KEYB
Overweight
Lear price target lowered to $150 from $160 at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst James Picariello lowered his price target for Lear (LEA) to $150 from $160 as he expects the company to reduce its guidance as a result of the General Motors (GM)/UAW strike impact. Further, he would not be surprised to see the shares facing some pressure from the "headline cut," but would be a buyer of any weakness. The analyst reiterates an Overweight rating on Lear's stock.
10/11/19
FBCO
10/11/19
NO CHANGE
FBCO
Many auto suppliers likely to cut 2019 guidance due to GM, says Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse analyst Dan Levy said he expects many auto suppliers to cut 2019 guidance due to the strike at General Motors (GM), noting that his estimates are below the low end of the guide for American Axle (AXL), Aptiv (APTV), Lear (LEA), Delphi Technologies (DLPH) and Dana (DAN). However, he also thinks investors may look through GM-related guidance cuts and shift focus to 2020, but he also sees risk of negative earnings revisions for next year related to China, Europe, and foreign exchange impacts.
10/14/19
MSCO
10/14/19
NO CHANGE
Target $46
MSCO
Overweight
Morgan Stanley doesn't yet sense 'capitulation' from GM investors
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the General Motors investors with which he has engaged with are comfortable with an extended strike and potential upfront multi-billion dollar financial impact and he does not sense "capitulation" among investors as long as 2020 forecasts remain intact and the company preserves its long-term flexibility on strategy and costs. However, he does think GM had passed the point of its ability to make up lost production shortly after the first week of the strike. At 28 days in, Jonas believes GM could "largely refill the dealer pipeline to adequate levels" through the first half of 2020 but thinks that if the strike were to last through all of October, days' supply could fall to the low- or mid-60 day level, which he thinks would hit at availability and hurt retail share, the analyst said. He maintains an Overweight rating on GM shares.
10/18/19
BUCK
10/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $32
BUCK
Neutral
Strike 'didn't accomplish much' for General Motors, says Buckingham
Buckingham analyst Joseph Amaturo believes the UAW strike "didn't accomplish much" for General Motors, which seems to be on the "short-end of the stick" based on information that has leaked out regarding the company purportedly agreeing to terms meaningfully higher than their original labor offer, "almost across the board." He remains concerned about the pricing and volume cycle in the U.S. and thinks the agreement, as reported, inflates fixed hourly labor rates while the higher rates and signing bonuses will hurt the company's liquidity in the near term, Amaturo tells investors. He keeps a Neutral rating and $32 price target on GM shares, though he also contends that the new labor terms are "not overwhelming for GM given its sheer size" and sees a worst case scenario for GM shares being $26.

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20:20
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General news
Treasury Market Summary »

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LYV

Live Nation

$66.17

-1.55 (-2.29%)

20:08
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Periodicals
Live Nation 'looking forward' to taking part in Congress review of ticket market 

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DRH

DiamondRock

$9.86

-0.085 (-0.86%)

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OOMA

Ooma

$11.18

-0.01 (-0.09%)

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i3 Verticals

$22.29

-0.52 (-2.28%)

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i3 Verticals

$22.29

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JWN

Nordstrom

$34.29

0.35 (1.03%)

SCVL

Shoe Carnival

$37.18

1.36 (3.80%)

SPLK

Splunk

$126.80

-0.04 (-0.03%)

GPS

Gap

$16.22

-0.05 (-0.31%)

ROST

Ross Stores

$111.81

1.39 (1.26%)

PSTG

Pure Storage

$19.84

-0.22 (-1.10%)

WSM

Williams-Sonoma

$68.76

0.195 (0.28%)

PNNT

PennantPark

$5.95

0.01 (0.17%)

ENTA

Enanta

$63.27

1.55 (2.51%)

INTU

Intuit

$270.01

-3.38 (-1.24%)

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    Dec

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    Mar

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    Mar

AES

AES Corp.

$18.50

-0.115 (-0.62%)

19:08
11/21/19
11/21
19:08
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19:08
Earnings
AES backs FY19 adjusted EPS view $1.30-$1.38, consensus $1.33 »

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  • 04

    Dec

WM

Waste Management

$111.23

-1.305 (-1.16%)

, RSG

Republic Services

$86.78

-0.91 (-1.04%)

19:07
11/21/19
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19:07
Initiation
Waste Management, Republic Services, Waste Connections, Clean Harbors, Stericycle, Casella Waste, Covanta initiated  »

Jefferies initiates…

WM

Waste Management

$111.23

-1.305 (-1.16%)

RSG

Republic Services

$86.78

-0.91 (-1.04%)

WCN

Waste Connections

$89.54

-0.28 (-0.31%)

CLH

Clean Harbors

$84.70

-0.75 (-0.88%)

SRCL

Stericycle

$62.49

0.76 (1.23%)

CWST

Casella Waste

$43.70

-0.39 (-0.88%)

CVA

Covanta

$14.43

-0.14 (-0.96%)

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AES

AES Corp.

$18.50

-0.115 (-0.62%)

19:07
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19:07
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19:07
Hot Stocks
AES Corp. says PUCO has modified DP&L rates »

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  • 04

    Dec

ICE

IntercontinentalExchange

$93.89

-0.58 (-0.61%)

, BTC

Bitcoin

$0.00

(0.00%)

19:02
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19:02
Hot Stocks
ICE announces launch of Bakkt Bitcoin Cash Settled Monthly Futures contract »

Intercontinental Exchange…

ICE

IntercontinentalExchange

$93.89

-0.58 (-0.61%)

BTC

Bitcoin

$0.00

(0.00%)

BITCOIN

Bitcoin

$0.00

(0.00%)

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MAN

ManpowerGroup

$92.05

-0.355 (-0.38%)

18:51
11/21/19
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18:51
Initiation
ManpowerGroup initiated at Jefferies »

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RHI

Robert Half

$58.01

-0.38 (-0.65%)

18:48
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18:48
Initiation
Robert Half initiated at Jefferies »

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HTZ

Hertz

$15.37

0.265 (1.76%)

18:46
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Initiation
Hertz initiated at Jefferies »

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CAR

Avis Budget

$28.71

0.16 (0.56%)

18:44
11/21/19
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18:44
Initiation
Avis Budget initiated at Jefferies »

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AMD

AMD

$39.52

-1.45 (-3.54%)

18:42
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AMD CEO: The key for us is product generation »

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  • 09

    Dec

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    Dec

CTAS

Cintas

$253.61

-5.78 (-2.23%)

, BFAM

Bright Horizons

$148.62

-3.92 (-2.57%)

18:42
11/21/19
11/21
18:42
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18:42
Initiation
Cintas, Bright Horizons, Aramark, H&R Block, BrightView, Rollins, ServiceMaster initiated at Jefferies »

Jefferies initiates…

CTAS

Cintas

$253.61

-5.78 (-2.23%)

BFAM

Bright Horizons

$148.62

-3.92 (-2.57%)

ARMK

Aramark

$42.42

-1.37 (-3.13%)

HRB

H&R Block

$24.34

-0.15 (-0.61%)

BV

BrightView

$16.79

-2.525 (-13.08%)

ROL

Rollins

$35.77

-0.8 (-2.19%)

SERV

ServiceMaster

$36.16

-0.42 (-1.15%)

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  • 21

    Nov

  • 04

    Dec

PINE

Alpine Income Properties

$0.00

(0.00%)

18:34
11/21/19
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18:34
Syndicate
Alpine Income Properties 7.5M share IPO priced at $19.00 »

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  • 22

    Nov

OTTW

Ottawa Bancorp

$13.39

-0.39 (-2.83%)

18:28
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18:28
Hot Stocks
Ottawa Bancorp approves stock buyback of 317,307 shares »

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MSFT

Microsoft

$149.46

-0.14 (-0.09%)

18:27
11/21/19
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18:27
Periodicals
Microsoft says granted U.S. license to do business with Huawei, Bloomberg says »

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  • 02

    Dec

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SITC

Site Centers

$14.28

-0.275 (-1.89%)

18:24
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18:24
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Site Centers rating change at Stifel »

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UAL

United Airlines

$90.96

-0.72 (-0.79%)

, BA

Boeing

$366.47

-4.275 (-1.15%)

18:23
11/21/19
11/21
18:23
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18:23
Hot Stocks
United Airlines CEO: We don't think we are near a recession »

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UAL

United Airlines

$90.96

-0.72 (-0.79%)

BA

Boeing

$366.47

-4.275 (-1.15%)

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  • 03

    Dec

FAST

Fastenal

$35.15

-0.1 (-0.28%)

, GWW

Grainger

$312.66

0.305 (0.10%)

18:20
11/21/19
11/21
18:20
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18:20
Initiation
Fastenal, Grainger, HD Supply, MSC Industrial, Wesco initiated at Jefferies »

Jefferies initiates…

FAST

Fastenal

$35.15

-0.1 (-0.28%)

GWW

Grainger

$312.66

0.305 (0.10%)

HDS

HD Supply

$39.10

-0.21 (-0.53%)

MSM

MSC Industrial

$73.66

-0.125 (-0.17%)

WCC

Wesco

$53.09

-0.02 (-0.04%)

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  • 10

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SPGI

S&P Global

$264.34

-3.6 (-1.34%)

, INFO

IHS Markit

$71.62

-0.38 (-0.53%)

18:06
11/21/19
11/21
18:06
11/21/19
18:06
Initiation
S&P Global, IHS Markit, Verisk Analytics, Gartner, FactSet, Equifax, TransUnion, CoStar Group initiated at Jefferies »

Jefferies initiates…

SPGI

S&P Global

$264.34

-3.6 (-1.34%)

INFO

IHS Markit

$71.62

-0.38 (-0.53%)

VRSK

Verisk Analytics

$144.45

0.12 (0.08%)

IT

Gartner

$158.00

0.06 (0.04%)

FDS

FactSet

$258.20

-3.65 (-1.39%)

EFX

Equifax

$137.97

-1.15 (-0.83%)

TRU

TransUnion

$84.90

-1.34 (-1.55%)

CSGP

CoStar Group

$587.66

-7.45 (-1.25%)

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  • 02

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  • 19

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  • 07

    Jan

GPS

Gap

$16.22

-0.05 (-0.31%)

17:59
11/21/19
11/21
17:59
11/21/19
17:59
Periodicals
Gap to pull Old Navy brand from China in early 2020, Reuters reports »

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  • 21

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  • 05

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LB

L Brands

$17.18

1.78 (11.56%)

17:50
11/21/19
11/21
17:50
11/21/19
17:50
Hot Stocks
L Brands cancels Victoria's Secret Fashion Show for 'more current platforms' »

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WCC

Wesco

$53.09

-0.02 (-0.04%)

17:47
11/21/19
11/21
17:47
11/21/19
17:47
Initiation
Wesco initiated at Jefferies »

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MAN

ManpowerGroup

$92.05

-0.355 (-0.38%)

17:47
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11/21
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17:47
Initiation
ManpowerGroup initiated at Jefferies »

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