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AA

Alcoa

$20.18

-0.18 (-0.88%)

15:04
01/15/20
01/15
15:04
01/15/20
15:04

Alcoa options imply 9.0% move in share price post-earnings

Pre-earnings options volume in Alcoa is 1.4x normal with calls leading puts 8:5. Implied volatility suggests the market is anticipating a move near 9.0%, or $1.81, after results are released. Median move over the past eight quarters is 4.8%.

  • 15

    Jan

AA Alcoa
$20.18

-0.18 (-0.88%)

11/13/19
11/13/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Skyworks (SWKS) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Canaccord with analyst T. Michael Walkley saying he believes the company is well positioned to grow faster than the broader semi market for the next several years due to smartphone mix among Chinese OEMs requiring integrated Rf solutions, growing IoT opportunities, and the ramping 5G market opportunities. 2. D.R. Horton (DHI) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Buckingham. 3. Diplomat Pharmacy (DPLO) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays with analyst Steven Valiquette saying Diplomat's strategic review is ongoing, which could lead to a sale of the entire company, or simultaneous asset sales that could unlock value. 4. Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Timna Tanners citing limited catalysts and a cautious aluminum view, adding that while the stock price has risen about 16% since reporting Q3, aluminum price was up only about 6% in that time frame. 5. J.M. Smucker (SJM) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse with analyst Robert Moskow saying with consensus already below management's FY20 guidance of $8.35-$8.55, it is fair to say that J.M. Smucker is already an out-of-favor stock, but he believes that consensus and the market underestimate the extent to which earnings will need to be revised lower as structural challenges continue to mount. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
12/17/19
BMOC
12/17/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $23
BMOC
Market Perform
Alcoa downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst David Gagliano downgraded Alcoa to Market Perform from Outperform with a price target of $23, down from $25. The analyst says BMO's reduced aluminum price forecasts for the entirety of the aluminum supply chain leave "little incremental upside potential" moving forward in the underlying price forecasts. With Alcoa shares highly sensitive to underlying price forecasts, there are limited price-related catalysts to push the stock higher in 2020, Gagliano tells investors in a research note.
12/17/19
12/17/19
DOWNGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Pentair (PNR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel with analyst Nathan Jones saying Pentair's 2020 prospects look improved over 2019 where discrete headwinds, particularly in the Aquatics business, create easy comparisons in the first half of 2020. 2. Alcoa (AA) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital with analyst David Gagliano saying BMO's reduced aluminum price forecasts for the entirety of the aluminum supply chain leave "little incremental upside potential" moving forward in the underlying price forecasts. 3. SciPlay (SCPL) was double downgraded to Sell from Buy at Goldman Sachs while Groupon (GRPN) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral. 4. Lennar (LEN) and Fortune Brands (FBHS) were downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital while D.R. Horton (DHI) was downgraded to Underperform from Sector Perform. 5. Alexion (ALXN) downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley with analyst Matthew Harrison saying while he thinks the company can effectively transition Soliris to Ultomiris and maintain its large and emerging neurology franchise, he does not see the "major overhang of concentration risk" as one the company will be able to address in the near-term. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
12/20/19
RILY
12/20/19
NO CHANGE
Target $25
RILY
Buy
Alcoa price target lowered to $25 from $28 at B. Riley FBR
B. Riley FBR analyst Lucas Pipes lowered his price target for Buy-rated Alcoa (AA) to $25 from $28 and for Buy-rated Century Aluminum (CENX) to $11 from $12. The new price targets reflect tweaks to FBR's commodity price assumptions for aluminum and alumina. However, the analyst notes his firm's long-term price deck for aluminum is still 11% above spot prices, reflecting optimism that lower exchange inventories in China and an improved economic outlook could contribute to a price recovery.

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  • 29

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AVASF

Avast

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NFLX

Netflix

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0.89 (0.26%)

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HD

Home Depot

$231.90

3.07 (1.34%)

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Mexican trade union suspends strike threat against Home Depot, Reuters says »

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  • 25

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UCFC

United Community Financial

$11.56

-0.02 (-0.17%)

, FDEF

First Defiance Financial

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-0.1 (-0.32%)

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UCFC

United Community Financial

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-0.02 (-0.17%)

FDEF

First Defiance Financial

$31.12

-0.1 (-0.32%)

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  • 21

    Jan

FDEF

First Defiance Financial

$31.12

-0.1 (-0.32%)

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  • 21

    Jan

T

AT&T

$38.36

0.33 (0.87%)

, CMCSA

Comcast

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T

AT&T

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SNE

Sony

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LGF.B

Lionsgate

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DIS

Disney

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VIACA

ViacomCBS

$43.26

-0.855 (-1.94%)

VIAC

ViacomCBS

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STIM

Neuronetics

$4.38

-0.01 (-0.23%)

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TCMD

Tactile Systems

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EFSC

Enterprise Financial

$48.49

0.16 (0.33%)

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  • 21

    Jan

TGP

Teekay LNG

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WES

Western Midstream

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-0.55 (-2.60%)

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  • 28

    Feb

CPG

Crescent Point Energy

$4.20

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CHSCP

CHS Inc.

$28.85

0.13 (0.45%)

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GMAB

Genmab

$22.73

-0.13 (-0.57%)

, JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

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Genmab

$22.73

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Johnson & Johnson

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PRPO

Precipio

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  • 20

    Jan

TILE

Interface

$17.37

0.23 (1.34%)

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IBCP

Independent Bank

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JAZZ

Jazz Pharmaceuticals

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  • 29

    Jan

AMRN

Amarin

$19.91

-0.15 (-0.75%)

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SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$331.98

1.08 (0.33%)

, SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

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1.08 (0.33%)

SPX

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$0.00

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