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JCP

J.C. Penney

$0.83

0.0645 (8.46%)

, KSS

Kohl's

$46.61

-0.11 (-0.24%)

11:30
01/16/20
01/16
11:30
01/16/20
11:30

NRF reports 2019 holiday sales up 4.1% y/y

Holiday retail sales during 2019 grew 4.1% over the same period in 2018 to $730.2B, the National Retail Federation said. The numbers exclude automobile dealers, gasoline stations and restaurants. Online and other non-store sales were up 14.6% over the year before at $167.8B and are included in the total. NRF forecast in October that 2019 holiday sales during November and December would increase between 3.8% and 4.2% for a total of between $727.9B and $730.7B. The forecast called for online sales to increase between 11% and 14% to between $162.6B and $166.9B. The growth rate reported today is nearly double the weak 2.1% seen during the 2018 holiday season, which was slowed by a government shutdown, stock market volatility and interest rate hikes. Sales during December 2018 were down 0.2% from the year before. Retail sales in December 2019 alone increased 0.5% seasonally adjusted over November and were up 6.7% unadjusted year-over-year. December's results follow November's decline of 0.1% month-over-month and increase of 1.3% year-over-year. As of December, the three-month moving average was up 4.1% over the same period a year ago, compared with 3.1% in November. Publicly traded companies in the space include J.C. Penney (JCP), Kohl's (KSS), Macy's (M), Nordstrom (JWN), Sears (SHLD), Best Buy (BBY), Costco (COST), Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT). Reference Link

JCP

J.C. Penney

$0.83

0.0645 (8.46%)

KSS

Kohl's

$46.61

-0.11 (-0.24%)

M

Macy's

$17.51

0.09 (0.52%)

JWN

Nordstrom

$40.77

0.35 (0.87%)

SHLD

Sears

$0.00

(0.00%)

BBY

Best Buy

$89.30

0.43 (0.48%)

COST

Costco

$302.38

1.61 (0.54%)

WMT

Walmart

$115.71

0.42 (0.36%)

TGT

Target

$116.32

-0.72 (-0.62%)

  • 22

    Jan

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    Feb

  • 03

    Mar

  • 05

    Mar

JCP J.C. Penney
$0.83

0.0645 (8.46%)

01/14/20
OPCO
01/14/20
NO CHANGE
Target $310
OPCO
Outperform
Ulta Beauty price target raised to $310 from $275 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh raised his price target for Ulta Beauty to $310 from $275 saying the management team continues to execute "quite well" in a challenging environment, giving him continued confidence in the longer-term profit potential of the model. The analyst notes that several media outlets have reported on Macy's (M) plans to close nearly 30 stores. After completing an analysis comparing the Macy's store closures to Ulta locations, Parikh expects share gains from the department store channel to persist as he continues to watch J.C. Penney (JCP) and any changes to its store footprint that include more than 650 Sephora stores. Given ongoing makeup category challenges, he still expects a volatile ride from here for Ulta shares. The analyst has an Outperform rating on Ulta's stock.
07/25/19
OPCO
07/25/19
NO CHANGE
Target $390
OPCO
Outperform
Ulta Beauty price target raised to $390 from $370 at Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Rupesh Parikh raised his price target for Ulta Beauty (ULTA) to $390 from $370 given the company's meaningful overlap with J.C. Penney (JCP) stores that have a Sephora inside and following media reports saying that the latter has hired advisors to explore debt restructuring options. While the company subsequently confirmed that it has not hired advisors for an in-court restructuring or bankruptcy, the analyst points out that he views Ulta Beauty as a potential beneficiary of any store rationalization down the road at J.C. Penney. Parikh says Ulta remains a top pick, and reiterates an Outperform rating on the shares.
11/18/19
DBAB
11/18/19
NO CHANGE
DBAB
Hold
Deutsche Bank stays on sidelines despite J.C. Penney's margin gains
Deutsche Bank analyst Paul Trussell, while commending J.C. Penney for making strides on margins, remains on the sidelines with respect to the shares as he waits for more detail on the "Plan for Renewal," specifically around the timing of in store initiatives as well as more color on the cost reduction opportunity. He believes the company is taking the necessary steps to stabilize the business, but finds it difficult to form a clear picture of the likely pace or level of improvement on the top-line into fiscal 2020. As such, the analyst keeps a Hold rating on the shares post the retailer's Q3 results.
KSS Kohl's
$46.61

-0.11 (-0.24%)

01/08/20
COWN
01/08/20
DOWNGRADE
Target $53
COWN
Market Perform
Cowen downgrades Kohl's to Market Perform amid traffic 'volatility'
Cowen analyst Oliver Chen downgraded Kohl's to Market Perform from Outperform with a price target of $53, down from $56. The analyst is cautious on the company's traffic "volatility" and elevated promotions as well as the weakness in women's apparel. While the valuation is inexpensive and the cash flow yield is 12%, the stock may be range bound until there is better visibility to consistent comps and margins, Chen tells investors in a research note.
01/07/20
JEFF
01/07/20
DOWNGRADE
Target $52
JEFF
Hold
Jefferies downgrades Kohl's to Hold on poor comps, declining margins
Jefferies analyst Randal Konik downgraded Kohl's to Hold from Buy with a price target of $52, down from $65, as he expects its comps continuing to underwhelm and margins declining as the business loses share and its key categories continue to be weak. While he likes management's traffic driving partnership initiatives, Konik noted that the company's investments have been slow to bear fruit.
01/09/20
BOFA
01/09/20
DOWNGRADE
Target $50
BOFA
Neutral
Kohl's downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA
BofA analyst Lorraine Hutchinson downgraded Kohl's to Neutral from Buy after the company reported that its Holiday comps declined 0.2%, which she reads as suggesting that its new product launches, incremental traffic from the Amazon (AMZN) returns program and investments to drive sales are not enough to offset secular retail headwinds. She has lowered her FY20 estimates after the company updated its FY19 guidance and lowered her price target on Kohl's shares to $50 from $55.
01/08/20
COWN
01/08/20
DOWNGRADE
COWN
Market Perform
Kohl's downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at Cowen
Cowen analyst Oliver Chen downgraded Kohl's to Market Perform from Outperform.
M Macy's
$17.51

0.09 (0.52%)

01/09/20
ATLE
01/09/20
UPGRADE
Target $18
ATLE
Neutral
Macy's upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at Atlantic Equities
Atlantic Equities analyst Daniela Nedialkova upgraded Macy's to Neutral from Underweight with an $18 price target.
12/30/19
MSCO
12/30/19
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Retail store traffic worsened in third week of December, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Kimberly Greenberger said her checks on specialty retail and department stores' traffic showed that it decelerated to a decline of 10.7% year-over-year in the third week of December, leaving her to lower her estimate of the Q4 to-date result to down 7.4% year-over-year. Traffic appeared "solid" during her store checks at the end of December week four, but a tough comparison to last year in week five leaves her "overall cautious" on the traffic view for the month, Greenberger tells investors. Looking at specific retailers, Greenberger said she found that clearance levels ticked slightly higher year-over year at only Kohl's (KSS) and L Brands' (LB) Victoria's Secret, ,while post-Christmas clearance moderated at Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) and Macy's (M) compared to last year. She also found that clearance depth increased year-over-year for both of Tapestry's (TPR) Coach and Kate Spade brands.
12/18/19
CLVD
12/18/19
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
Macy's Q4 owned comps look 'slightly better' than Q3, says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Rusty Wilson said his checks on Macy's indicate that its owned comp growth in Q4-to-date looks "slightly better" than in Q3 and in line with consensus. He is projecting November/December comps to be down 2.5% and Q4 overall to be down 2.5%, which he notes is in line with consensus. Wilson has a Neutral rating on Macy's shares.
JWN Nordstrom
$40.77

0.35 (0.87%)

01/06/20
JPMS
01/06/20
UPGRADE
Target $41
JPMS
Neutral
Nordstrom upgraded to Neutral with $41 price target at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Matthew Boss upgraded Nordstrom to Neutral from Underweight with a price target of $41, up from $26. The analyst sees "signs of structural change" at the company and he believes its transitory headwinds are in the "later innings." Further, Boss points out that the stock has underperformed the the S&P 500 Index by 45% over the past 12 months.
01/08/20
GDHS
01/08/20
NO CHANGE
GDHS
Gordon Haskett shakes up 'Shades of Grey' portfolio with downgrades, upgrade
Gordon Haskett analysts Chuck Grom, John Parke, and Garrett Greenblatt have updated the firm's 'Shades of Grey' portfolio by downgrading four stocks -- Dollar Tree (DLTR) to Reduce from Accumulate, Five Below (FIVE) to Accumulate from Buy, BJ's (BJ) to Hold from Buy, and Tractor Supply (TSCO) to Accumulate from Buy -- and upgrading one stock -- Nordstrom (JWN) to Accumulate from Hold. They also called Dollar General (DG), Target (TGT), and Walmart (WMT) their top ideas. The analysts said the recalibrations were made "very cautiously" and receommended leaning into the new year slowly until more data is released and we have a better grasp on the Q4 and holiday results, 2020 guidance, and overall positioning. The analysts added that they are "sticking to [their] playbook, which is rooted in identifying companies in good retail verticals with strong company-specific comp/GPM drivers to support profitable market share gains."
01/08/20
GDHS
01/08/20
UPGRADE
Target $48
GDHS
Accumulate
Nordstrom upgraded to Accumulate from Hold at Gordon Haskett
Gordon Haskett analyst John Parke upgraded Nordstrom to Accumulate from Hold with a price target of $48, up from $36.
01/09/20
01/09/20
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Starbucks (SBUX) upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Barclays with analyst Jeffrey Bernstein saying he expects a "fundamental reacceleration" into fiscal 2020 and views the shares as attractively valued at current levels. 2. AMD (AMD) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho with analyst Vijay Rakesh saying the 2020 server market could be stronger than current "muted" consensus expectations. 3. Kellogg (K) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital with analyst Kenneth Zaslow saying Kellogg has become a "compelling investment" as it continues its evolution into a snacking company with growing exposure to emerging markets. 4. Snap (SNAP) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Jefferies and to Outperform from Market Perform at Cowen. 5. Nordstrom (JWN) upgraded to Accumulate from Hold at Gordon Haskett. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
SHLD Sears
$0.00

(0.00%)

12/24/19
MSCO
12/24/19
NO CHANGE
Target $185
MSCO
Overweight
DieHard deal a 'modest positive' for Advance Auto, says Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman said he views Advance Auto Parts' (AAP) $200M acquisition of DieHard as "a modest positive" as the brand seems like a good fit and still has "powerful name recognition" with consumers despite its declining market share under Sears' ownership. However, his enthusiasm is tempered Advance Auto's mixed track record with partnerships, the fact that DieHard has been a declining brand and he view that the deal has to be evaluated against other potential uses of cash, such as share buybacks. Gutman, who believes the DieHard brand should boost traffic to Advance Auto stores in the way that the introduction of the previously Sears-owned Craftsman product helped traffic in Lowe's (LOW) stores in 2017, keeps an Overweight rating on Advance Auto with a $185 price target.
BBY Best Buy
$89.30

0.43 (0.48%)

01/09/20
GUGG
01/09/20
NO CHANGE
Target $100
GUGG
Buy
Guggenheim adds Best Buy to Best Idea list, ups price target to $100
Guggenheim analyst Steven Forbes raised his price target for Best Buy (BBY) to $100 from $90 and added the shares to his firm's Best Idea list. In the Consumer space, the analyst prefers companies with "solid, but reasonable," expectations, "compelling" relative EBITDA multiples, and idiosyncratic potential catalysts. His picks for 2020 include Best Buy, Dollar Tree (DLTR), Five Below (FIVE), Lowe's (LOW), Performance Food Group (PFGC) and RH (RH).
01/10/20
CLVD
01/10/20
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
Cleveland Research raises Best Buy Q4 comp estimate, sees EPS upside
Cleveland Research analyst Scott Bender said he believes Best Buy's strategy of starting promotions earlier, combined with very strong performance in the final week before Christmas, offset the impact from fewer selling days and he raised his Q4 Enterprise comp sales growth estimate to 2.5% from 2.3%, which is above the 1.8% consensus growth forecast. The analyst, who is maintaining his Q4 EPS estimate of $2.80, noted this represents upside to consensus and guidance. He maintains a Neutral rating on Best Buy shares.
01/06/20
JEFF
01/06/20
NO CHANGE
Target $101
JEFF
Buy
Best Buy price target raised to $101 from $91 at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Jonathan Matuszewski raised his price target for Best Buy to $101 from $91 to reflect a higher multiple and slightly increased fiscal 2021 EPS estimates. The stock has rallied on the back of improving trade sentiment, and more progress there should also support Best Buy's multiple as investors find fewer reasons to own a new-age "category killer," Matuszewski tells investors in a research note. He keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
01/07/20
BOFA
01/07/20
NO CHANGE
Target $85
BOFA
Buy
Aaron's, Lowe's positioned for outperformance in 2020, says BofA
In a research note on retailers, BofA analyst Elizabeth Suzuki said she thinks the stocks that are best positioned for outperformance in 2020 are Aaron's (AAN), Advance Auto Parts (AAP), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Lowe's (LOW) and Tempur Sealy (TPX). Conversely, the analyst thinks several hardline retail stocks are poised to underperform in 2020, including Floor & Decor (FND), GameStop (GME), Michael's (MIK) and Sleep Number (SNBR). The firm's proprietary RENO barometer suggests that renovation spending may sequentially improve through 1H before tapering off in 2H. While she nots that essentially every company in her coverage universe stands to gain from a trade war resolution, the biggest beneficiaries would likely be Michael's, Floor & Decor, Best Buy (BBY), RH (RH) and Williams-Sonoma (WSM). Suzuki raised her price target for Aaron's to $85 from $80.
COST Costco
$302.38

1.61 (0.54%)

11/07/19
NOMU
11/07/19
INITIATION
Target $300
NOMU
Neutral
Costco initiated with a Neutral at Nomura Instinet
Nomura Instinet analyst Michael Baker initiated coverage of Costco with a Neutral rating and $300 price target. The analyst says the company is "one of the highest quality" retailers worldwide with market-share-gaining comps as well as a "stable recurring" income stream from its membership fees. Baker warns however that shares trade at "top-end valuation and sees some "subtle" signs of peaking trends.
11/29/19
RAJA
11/29/19
NO CHANGE
RAJA
Holiday shopping season appears to have started out strong, says Raymond James
Raymond James analyst Matthew McClintock said his checks on Thursday evening indicate that physical store traffic was strong at both Best Buy (BBY) and Target (TGT), which he thinks "should be viewed as even more impressive than initial indications that e-commerce sales have been stronger than expected." He also noted that some retailers had such strong e-commerce traffic that website performance suffered, listing Facebook (FB), Nordstrom (JWN) and Costco (COST) as some examples. The Fly notes that the S&P Retail Index SPDR (XRT) may react today to headlines regarding checks on retail spending on Thanksgiving and Black Friday.
12/12/19
EVER
12/12/19
NO CHANGE
EVER
Outperform
Home Depot looks like its 'next' to break out to upside, says Evercore
Evercore ISI analyst Greg Melich noted that Home Depot (HD) reset both sales and margin expectations for 2020 at its analyst day and he believes consensus estimates are likely to come down 3%-5% for 2020 following the event. However, the strength seen in the firm's Home Improvement Lead Indicator leads him to believe Home Depot's sales are likely to accelerate next year and its 3.5%-4% comp sales growth guidance could prove conservative. Walmart (WMT) and Costco (COST) shares have "broken out on upside valuation" based on their high returns, traffic growth, and share gains and "Home Depot looks like the next one to us," concluded Melich, who keeps an Outperform rating on Home Depot shares.
12/13/19
RBCM
12/13/19
NO CHANGE
Target $334
RBCM
Outperform
Costco price target raised to $334 from $329 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Scot Ciccarelli raised his price target on Costco to $334 and kept his Outperform rating after its "solid" Q1 comps and better than expected gross margins, even as its SG&A costs remained "elevated" amid continued investment in IT and vertical integration capabilities. The analyst calls the stock the "ultimate rinse and repeat model" as the company continues growing its sales base and scale while extending its competitive moat.
WMT Walmart
$115.71

0.42 (0.36%)

12/31/19
MSCO
12/31/19
NO CHANGE
Target $130
MSCO
Overweight
Walmart price target raised to $130 from $125 at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman raised his price target on Walmart shares to $130 from $125, explaining that $3 of the increase is related to higher U.S. brick & mortar EBITDA estimates, $1 is related to lower corporate expenses, $2 is due to other items like net debt and share count and $1 was deducted to account for lower Sam's Club EBITDA. He maintains an Overweight rating on Walmart shares.
01/10/20
CLVD
01/10/20
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
Cleveland Research lowers Walmart Q4 U.S. comp estimate
Cleveland Research analyst Scott Bender lowered his Q4 U.S. comp growth estimate for Walmart to 2.7% from 2.9%, which he notes is closer to the consensus call for 2.6% growth. His checks suggests overall holiday sales came in a bit softer than he previously expected, noted Bender, who has a Neutral rating on Walmart shares.
TGT Target
$116.32

-0.72 (-0.62%)

01/10/20
CLVD
01/10/20
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Target Q4 'appeared to finish strong,' says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Scott Bender said he continues to see upside to consensus comp expectations for Target as his checks indicate that the company seemed to outperform channel expectations and gain share in key holiday categories. The analyst, whose unchanged comp growth and EPS estimates for Target are both above consensus, has a Neutral rating on the shares.
12/12/19
CLVD
12/12/19
NO CHANGE
CLVD
Neutral
Target Q4 comps tracking ahead of guidance, says Cleveland Research
Cleveland Research analyst Scott Bender's research indicates Target's comps in Q4 are on pace to exceed both the company's guidance and consensus estimates. Holiday sales to date are trending well despite the Thanksgiving timing shift, and most in the channel expect a strong final two weeks before Christmas, Bender tells investors in a research note. The analyst, despite seeing upside to Q4 earnings estimates, keeps a Neutral rating on Target shares.
12/10/19
JEFF
12/10/19
NO CHANGE
Target $2180
JEFF
Buy
Amazon one-day offerings outperformed Target, Walmart in test, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Brent Thill said he sampled delivery times during Thanksgiving weekend across popular gifts and grocery products in five key metro areas for Amazon (AMZN), Target (TGT) and Walmart (WMT) and found that Amazon offered one/same-day delivery in meaningfully more markets than either of the brick-and-mortar rivals. Target and Walmart also provided same or next-day shipping on significantly fewer popular gift items, said Thill, who concluded that "one-day delivery isn't created equal." The analyst, who thinks Amazon's superior one-day delivery offering widens its competitive moat, particularly during this year's shortened holiday season, keeps a Buy rating and $2,180 price target on Amazon shares.

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HD

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$231.90

3.07 (1.34%)

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-0.02 (-0.17%)

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First Defiance Financial

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$38.36

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EFSC

Enterprise Financial

$48.49

0.16 (0.33%)

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16:31
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Hot Stocks
Western Midstream announces Q4 2019 distribution »

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  • 28

    Feb

CPG

Crescent Point Energy

$4.20

-0.08 (-1.87%)

16:29
01/20/20
01/20
16:29
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16:29
Hot Stocks
Crescent Point closes sale of gas infrastructure assets »

Crescent Point announced…

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CHSCP

CHS Inc.

$28.85

0.13 (0.45%)

16:26
01/20/20
01/20
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16:26
Hot Stocks
CHS Inc. names Olivia Nelligan as Chief Financial Officer »

CHS Inc. announced it has…

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GMAB

Genmab

$22.73

-0.13 (-0.57%)

, JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

$149.07

0.82 (0.55%)

16:25
01/20/20
01/20
16:25
01/20/20
16:25
Hot Stocks
Genmab announces European Marketing Authorization for DARZALEX »

Genmab A/S (GMAB)…

GMAB

Genmab

$22.73

-0.13 (-0.57%)

JNJ

Johnson & Johnson

$149.07

0.82 (0.55%)

03/08/13
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  • 22

    Jan

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  • 17

    Mar

PRPO

Precipio

$2.09

-0.02 (-0.95%)

16:25
01/20/20
01/20
16:25
01/20/20
16:25
Conference/Events
Precipio to host shareholder update conference call »

Conference call to…

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  • 20

    Jan

TILE

Interface

$17.37

0.23 (1.34%)

16:22
01/20/20
01/20
16:22
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16:22
Hot Stocks
Interface names Dan Hendrix as President, CEO »

Interface announced that…

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IBCP

Independent Bank

$22.51

-0.26 (-1.14%)

16:19
01/20/20
01/20
16:19
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16:19
Hot Stocks
Independent Bank announces 11% increase in quarterly cash dividend »

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  • 23

    Jan

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    Feb

JAZZ

Jazz Pharmaceuticals

$151.00

-0.56 (-0.37%)

16:17
01/20/20
01/20
16:17
01/20/20
16:17
Hot Stocks
Jazz Pharmaceuticals receives EU Marketing Authorization for Sunosi »

Jazz Pharmaceuticals…

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  • 29

    Jan

AMRN

Amarin

$19.91

-0.15 (-0.75%)

16:13
01/20/20
01/20
16:13
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16:13
Recommendations
Amarin analyst commentary at Jefferies »

Amarin remains in…

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SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$331.98

1.08 (0.33%)

, SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

16:09
01/20/20
01/20
16:09
01/20/20
16:09
Periodicals
Macron, Trump declare truce in digital tax dispute, Reuters reports »

French President Emmanuel…

SPY

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

$331.98

1.08 (0.33%)

SPX

S&P 500

$0.00

(0.00%)

03/08/13
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XOM

Exxon Mobil

$68.55

-0.26 (-0.38%)

, HES

Hess Corp.

$69.87

-0.45 (-0.64%)

16:07
01/20/20
01/20
16:07
01/20/20
16:07
Periodicals
Guyana's first oil cargo to be refined by Exxon in the U.S., Reuters reports »

A vessel carrying…

XOM

Exxon Mobil

$68.55

-0.26 (-0.38%)

HES

Hess Corp.

$69.87

-0.45 (-0.64%)

03/08/13
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  • 29

    Jan

  • 31

    Jan

  • 23

    Mar

TSLA

Tesla

$510.34

-3.065 (-0.60%)

16:04
01/20/20
01/20
16:04
01/20/20
16:04
Periodicals
Tesla rebuffs U.S. safety recall petition, Reuters reports »

Tesla said there was no…

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  • 29

    Jan

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    Mar

EADSY

Airbus

$0.00

(0.00%)

16:02
01/20/20
01/20
16:02
01/20/20
16:02
Periodicals
Airbus unit to offer product to help airlines with revenue risk, Reuters says »

A subsidiary of Airbus is…

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AAPL

Apple

$318.66

3.33 (1.06%)

15:41
01/20/20
01/20
15:41
01/20/20
15:41
Periodicals
Apple CEO says global corporate tax system must be overhauled, Reuters reports »

Baking changes to global…

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  • 28

    Jan

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