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10:35
01/20/20
01/20
10:35
01/20/20
10:35

Taking an "irrationally bullish" view of U.S. and global stock markets

Taking an "irrationally bullish" view of U.S. and global stock markets may become a phrasal adjective of choice for those feeling giddy by surge in major indices in the U.S. and Europe to record highs, and with the S&P 500 already exceeding gains forecast for the entire 2020 by nearly half of the 18 analysts surveyed by MarketWatch. BoA research, as cited by MarketWatch and Reuters, described themselves as being "irrationally bullish" -- that is until "peak positioning and peak liquidity incite a spike in bond yields." The Fed's efforts to stamp down on repo rates, which has seen its balance sheet swell by 11% since last September, along with the central bank having turned neutral after hiking the funds rate three times last year, have been positive for stock market sentiment, in addition to the signing of the phase-1 U.S.-China trade deal and market conjecture that President Trump will, at least in actions if not in tweet, go easy on China and other major trading partners until the presidential election in November. Regarding Fed policy expectations, the CME's FedWatch tool is showing that positioning in Fed Fund futures are implying about a 50% probability for the Fed to cut the funds rate by 25 bp or more at the final FOMC meeting of the year, on December 16th. Ongoing benign inflationary pressure is a key ingredient in this view. So long as inflation remains contained, global economies continue to grow, central banks maintain accommodative policy, and trade and geopolitical troubles remain limited, it is perhaps not so "irrational" to be bullish on stock markets.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

Hot Stocks
Marriott CEO Sorsenson says had surgery in November, undergoing chemotherapy » 10:16
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MAR

Marriott

$117.86 /

-2.02 (-1.69%)

CEO Arne Sorenson says…

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Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary » 10:16
02/27/20
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10:16
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10:16
$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00 /

+ (+0.00%)

Volume is above average…

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General news
U.S. pending home sales index climbed 5.2% to 108.8 in January » 10:15
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FX Action: USD-JPY » 10:15
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General news
Week of 2/21 EIA Natural Gas Report to be released at 10:30  10:15
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General news
Week of 2/21 EIA Natural Gas Report to be released at 10:30  10:15
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Recommendations
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ZGNX

Zogenix

/

+

After speaking with…

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Recommendations
Former Salesforce co-CEO Block could end up at Workday, Oracle, says RBC Capital » 10:13
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CRM

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$172.49 /

-6.34 (-3.55%)

RBC Capital tells…

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Recommendations
Orbcomm valuation, fundamentals should provide support, says Roth Capital » 10:13
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ORBC

Orbcomm

$3.29 /

-0.01 (-0.30%)

Roth Capital analyst…

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Hot Stocks
Marriott: Guidance doesn't reflect any impact from coronavvirus  10:12
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MAR

Marriott

$117.55 /

-2.33 (-1.94%)

 
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Options
Put spread sale in Financial Sector ETF rolls winner down in strike » 10:10
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XLF

Financial Select Sector

$27.90 /

-0.67 (-2.35%)

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Options
Zoom Video Communications call volume above normal and directionally bullish » 10:05
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10:05
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ZM

Zoom Video

$111.39 /

+4.61 (+4.32%)

Bullish option flow…

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Conference/Events
Morgan Stanley tobacco analysts to hold an analyst/industry conference call » 10:03
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BTI

British American Tobacco

$41.14 /

-0.02 (-0.05%)

, IMBBY

Imperial Brands

$0.00 /

+ (+0.00%)

, MO

Altria Group

$41.95 /

-0.18 (-0.43%)

Global Tobacco Analysts…

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Hot Stocks
Marriott CEO says 'still a great deal we do not know' about coronavirus » 10:03
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MAR

Marriott

$115.13 /

-4.75 (-3.96%)

Comments taken from Q4…

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Hot Stocks
Moderna trading resumes  10:03
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MRNA

Moderna

$34.69 /

+5.52 (+18.92%)

 
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General news
Pending Home Sales Index data reported » 10:02
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January Pending Home…

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Hot Stocks
Virgin Galactic falls -21.7% » 10:00
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SPCE

Virgin Galactic

$22.53 /

-6.165 (-21.49%)

Virgin Galactic is down…

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Anaplan falls -22.0% » 10:00
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Anaplan

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-12.68 (-21.87%)

Anaplan is down -22.0%,…

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EQT Midstream Partners falls -24.1% » 10:00
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EQT Midstream Partners

$16.28 /

-5.315 (-24.62%)

EQT Midstream Partners is…

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Britannia Bulk rises 13.0% » 10:00
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$7.45 /

+0.92 (+14.09%)

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Teladoc rises 19.3% » 10:00
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TDOC

Teladoc

$139.51 /

+22.625 (+19.36%)

Teladoc is up 19.3%, or…

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Gain Capital rises 66.0% » 10:00
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GCAP

Gain Capital

$5.87 /

+2.285 (+63.83%)

Gain Capital is up 66.0%,…

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Recommendations
Stifel reiterates Buy on Zogenix as FDA extends Dravet PDUFA » 09:58
02/27/20
02/27
09:58
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09:58
ZGNX

Zogenix

$19.35 /

-6.695 (-25.71%)

Stifel analyst Paul…

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Hot Stocks
Moderna trading halted, volatility trading pause  09:58
02/27/20
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MRNA

Moderna

$34.82 /

+5.65 (+19.37%)

 
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Options
Carnival put volume heavy and directionally bearish » 09:55
02/27/20
02/27
09:55
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09:55
CCL

Carnival

$31.82 /

-1.33 (-4.01%)

Bearish flow noted in…

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