2022-01-27 09:25:02 $ECON Economic Data
01/27/22 01/2709:25 01/27/2209:25 | The 6.9% U.S. Q4 GDP growth paceThe 6.9% U.S. Q4 GDP growth pace slightly beat our 6.8% estimate, but more sharply exceeded market estimates thanks to a bigger than expected $240.3 B Q4 inventory contribution, and a huge 24.5% export surge alongside a 17.7% import rise that left a smaller than assumed net export subtraction of -$21.4 B. Consumption posted the largely expected moderate Q4 growth pace of 3.3%. Analysts saw downside surprises for construction, with a -0.8% drop for residential construction and a -11.4% decline for nonresidential construction that left a restrained 1.3% Q4 fixed investment rise. Analysts saw a bigger than expected -2.9% contraction rate for government purchases. The mix left a 1.9% Q4 final sales growth pace, and an inventory accumulation rate of a robust $173.5 B after liquidation in 5 of the last 7 quarters. Analysts lowered our Q1 GDP growth estimate to 2.5% from 2.8%, though analysts will fine-tune the figure after tomorrow's personal income report. |
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