Fly Intel: Top five analyst downgrades » 10:0606/0106/01/20
ABT, ALLO, MTN, CGC, AER
Catch up on today's…
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Abbott (ABT) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with analyst Amit Hazan saying the stock has overreacted to the company's COVID testing opportunity. 2. Allogene Therapeutics (ALLO) downgraded to Market Perform at Raymond James with analyst Dane Leone saying the ASCO 2020 dataset for ALLO-501 has validated his investment hypothesis and the stock price now exceeds the prior $40 price target. 3. Vail Resorts (MTN) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank with analyst Chris Woronka saying he believes the "recovery trade" in cyclicals like Vail may be close to stalling and sees a balanced risk/reward profile with the shares near the price target. 4. Canopy Growth (CGC) was downgraded to Sell from Buy at Stifel, to Sell from Neutral at Bryan Garnier and PI Financial, to Neutral from Outperformer at CIBC, and to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital. 5. AerCap (AER) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at BofA with analyst Ronald Epstein saying the stock's material underperformance since early March has been driven by concerns and uncertainties over the future of air travel post-pandemic and the company's older fleet may be under pressure in the current environment. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
Vail Resorts downgraded to Hold on valuation at Deutsche Bank » 09:2706/0106/01/20
Deutsche Bank analyst…
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Woronka downgraded Vail Resorts to Hold from Buy with a $201 price target. The analyst believes the "recovery trade" in cyclicals like Vail may be close to stalling and sees a balanced risk/reward profile with the shares near the price target.
Vail Resorts downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank » 21:4105/3105/31/20
Deutsche Bank analyst…
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Woronka downgraded Vail Resorts to Hold from Buy.
|Over a week ago|
Vail Resorts initiated with an Outperform at Credit Suisse » 07:4505/2105/21/20
Credit Suisse analyst…
Credit Suisse analyst Benjamin Chaiken initiated coverage of Vail Resorts with an Outperform rating and price target of $235. Vail is the analyst's top pick in Leisure and Gaming with 43% upside potential. Vail is one of the best managed companies, owns a collection of "irreplaceable" mountain resorts, and operates an "industry-leading" season pass program, Chaiken tells investors in a research note. The analyst thinks the company's 2021 results could lead to multiple expansion as investors recognize the "unexpected resiliency" of its operating portfolio.
|Over a month ago|
Vail Resorts price target raised to $197 from $183 at Deutsche Bank » 07:3104/2804/28/20
Deutsche Bank analyst…
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Woronka raised the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $197 from $183 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares after the company announced a tiered structure whereby pass holders for the 2019-2020 ski season will receive credits of between 20% and 80% for a pass product. The real key here, and the reason for the stock's upturn on Monday, is that Vail's liquidity apparently won't be impacted given the absence of cash refunds, Woronka tells investors in a research note. The analyst believes the news "could be viewed as something of an event-clearing/de-risking event."
Vail Resorts sees reduction in FY20 Resort Reported EBITDA of about $115M » 09:0404/2704/27/20
Vail Resorts announced…
Vail Resorts announced updates to its season pass program for the 2020/2021 North American ski season. Rob Katz, CEO, said, "Following the difficult decision to close our North American mountain resorts as a result of the unprecedented circumstances surrounding COVID-19, we have been developing a comprehensive plan to address our pass holders' concerns about the early closure this past season and provide improved coverage for the future. We are committed to providing the best passes in the ski industry and are focused on both honoring the loyalty of our guests and providing peace of mind for next season. To address last season, we are providing credits to 2019/2020 season pass holders to apply toward the purchase of a 2020/2021 season pass. Season pass holders will receive a minimum credit of 20% toward next season's pass. For season pass holders who used their pass less than five days, they will be eligible for higher credits up to a maximum of 80% for season pass holders who did not use their season pass at all. For Epic Day Pass, Edge Card and other frequency based products with unused days remaining, we will be offering credits for each unused day up to a maximum of an 80% credit. The credits will be available for our pass holders who purchase 2020/2021 passes by September 7, 2020. Looking ahead to the 2020/2021 North American ski season, we fully expect that we will all be enjoying a great ski and ride season, but we also understand that many pass holders are nervous about the future given the current uncertainty. As a result, we are redefining how we will protect season passes through the launch of 'Epic Coverage.' Epic Coverage is free for all pass holders and completely replaces the need to purchase pass insurance. Epic Coverage provides refunds in the unlikely event of certain resort closures, giving pass holders a refund for any portion of the season that is lost. Additionally, Epic Coverage provides a refund for personal circumstances covered by our pass insurance for eligible injuries, job losses and many other personal events. In addition to these changes, in order to give our pass holders the time they need to make decisions regarding next season, we are extending the deadline for pass holders to receive spring benefits (including Buddy Tickets) until September 7, 2020, and we are extending the period for pass holders to lock in their purchase with only $49 down for the next few months. As a result of the early closure this season and the meaningful credits we are offering to 2019/2020 season pass holders, we will be delaying the recognition of approximately $118 million of our deferred season pass revenue, as well as approximately $3 million of related deferred costs, that would have been recognized in the remainder of fiscal 2020 and will now be recognized in the second and third quarters of fiscal 2021. This will result in a reduction in lift revenue and Resort Reported EBITDA in fiscal 2020 of approximately $118 million and approximately $115 million, respectively, which is incremental to the negative impact previously disclosed on March 18, 2020. Fiscal 2021 lift revenue will increase by approximately $118 million, partially or fully offsetting the negative impact of the credits being offered to pass holders, depending upon the final usage of such credits towards the purchase of 2020/2021 season passes, and fiscal 2021 Resort Reported EBITDA will increase by approximately $115 million."
Vail Resorts price target lowered to $183 from $238 at Deutsche Bank » 08:0704/0204/02/20
Deutsche Bank analyst…
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Woronka lowered the firm's price target on Vail Resorts to $183 from $238 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Despite inherent uncertainty currently, the analyst believes the stocks risk/reward skews positively.
Vail Resorts suspends dividend for next two quarters, reduces CapEx » 16:0304/0104/01/20
Vail Resorts provided an…
Vail Resorts provided an update on its response to the evolving impact of COVID-19 on its business. Rob Katz, CEO, said, "The circumstances surrounding COVID-19 are unprecedented and the financial impact to our Company and the broader travel industry has been significant. Following the difficult decision to close our North American mountain resorts, retail stores and lodging properties for the remainder of the 2019/2020 North American ski season, we have quickly transitioned to evaluating the longer-term impacts for our Company and our resort operations. While we will continue to assess our ability to reopen select resorts for late-season skiing, we are keenly aware that the current travel restrictions may stay in place beyond that timeframe and could ultimately impact the timing of our ability to open our North American resorts for their summer season and our Australian resorts for their winter season. And once we are able to reopen, we assume weaker travel demand may continue, impacting our fourth fiscal quarter of 2020 and our first fiscal quarter of 2021. The company went into this challenging time period with a strong financial position and based on recent events, we are currently incorporating more challenging scenarios into our planning for our fourth fiscal quarter of 2020 and the first fiscal quarter of 2021. As mentioned in our March 18, 2020 press release, we are taking additional proactive steps to align our capital spending and return of capital approach to ensure that we remain positioned for long-term success. We are also taking steps to address our operating costs and the inability of many of our employees to perform their roles in the current environment. We are reducing our capital plan for calendar 2020 by approximately $80-$85 million, with the vast majority of these savings coming from the deferral of many of our discretionary capital projects. We are planning to defer all new chair lifts, terrain expansions and other mountain and base area improvements, while continuing with the vast majority of our maintenance capital spending. In this moment, we believe that maintaining liquidity is in the best long-term interests of the company and our shareholders, and, as such, the company's Board of Directors has made the decision to suspend our quarterly cash dividend for the next two quarters, preserving over $140 million of liquidity for our business. We remain committed to returning excess capital to shareholders and will re-evaluate decisions on capital allocation in December 2020. The company's previously announced dividend payment occurring on April 9, 2020, is not affected by this suspension. To ensure we can navigate the financial challenges ahead and because of the reality of their inability to work at their locations, we have made the difficult decision to furlough the majority of our U.S. year-round hourly employees for at least a month, and potentially longer depending on when we are able to reopen our operations. We will be continuing healthcare coverage for these employees, including covering the entire cost of their healthcare premiums and hope to bring these employees back to work as soon as possible. Additionally, we will be implementing a six-month salary reduction for all U.S. salaried employees, with reductions beginning at 5% and rising to 25% for our top executives. As CEO, I will be foregoing my full salary for the next six months and our Board of Directors will also be foregoing 100% of their cash compensation during this period. We also may announce potential changes for our Canadian-based and Australian-based employees, but our approach will be based on the unique challenges faced by those resorts and any other local considerations. We have also communicated with our season pass holders and indicated that we have heard their frustration about the early closure to the 2019/2020 ski season and are committed to identifying an approach for them that acknowledges this past season and retains their loyalty for the future. We intend to share more details about our season pass plans with our guests by the end of April and are deferring all auto-renew charges and all spring deadlines for Buddy Tickets into May. This is one of the most challenging times many of us can remember, and it is disappointing to announce these changes, especially those impacting our employees. However, we also recognize that the impacts of the current crisis have certainly hit the travel industry and our Company quite hard. We believe that the actions we are announcing today will allow the Company to maintain cushion on our liquidity and financial covenants under our credit facilities through the upcoming quarters and position the Company for success in the future. I am evermore grateful for the commitment and loyalty of our employees, guests and community members during this challenging time."
Wolfpack Research says Vail Resorts could be 'insolvent in the next quarter' » 14:4503/2303/23/20
In a tweet, short seller…
In a tweet, short seller Wolfpack Research said that, "Short Vail Resorts $MTN. They are facing the potential for zero revenue the rest of this year, refunds of its $109mm of def. revenue and $26mm of quarterly interest expense. With only $127mm cash on its balance sheet on Jan 31, 2020. $MTN could be insolvent in the next quarter." In afternoon trading, shares of Vail Resorts are fractionally down at $144.55.Reference Link
Vail Resorts 'could be insolvent in next quarter,' short-seller Wolfpack says 14:4203/2303/23/20