JPMorgan analyst C. Stephen Tusa keeps an Underweight rating and $16 price target on General Electric following an analysis of the company's Q4 results. "We are scratching our heads as to how the implied profit guide for 2018 is intact" with the $900M of miss in Q4, Tusa tells investors in a research note. He views GE's annual guidance as "a stretch." Further, the analyst does not know a how a value investor or ratings agency analyst "can have confidence in the ultimate value of the assets here." He continues to see a "levered industrial company with weak levels of FCF, with a side dish of levered finco, with a management team in the tough position, working to prevent a 'hard landing' in which bond investors start to worry about liquidity."
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Says all segments contributed to growth in Q1. Says "great confidence" in forward trajectory. Says demand "remained resilient" in Q1. Says can track about 80% of delivery challenges to 15 suppliers. Comments taken from Q1 earnings conference call.
Sees FY24 revenue growth LDD+, consensus $36.43B. Sees FY24 free cash flow greater than $5B, greater than 100% conversion. Commercial Engines & Services: Continue to expect revenue growth of mid-to-high teens and increasing operating profit to a range of $6.1 to $6.4 billion, up from our original guidance of $6.0 to $6.3 billion. Defense & Propulsion Technologies: Continue to expect revenue growth of mid-single-digits to high-single-digits and operating profit of $1.0 to $1.3 billion. Corporate: Continue to expect cost of approximately $1 billion, including $600 million of expense and $400 million of eliminations.
Reports Q1 revenue $16.1B, consensus $15.34B. GE Aerospace Chairman and CEO H. Lawrence Culp, Jr. said, "We marked a new beginning in early April with the successful spin-off of GE Vernova and launch of GE Aerospace, completing our multi-year transformation. Our teams achieved this milestone while delivering strong results in the first quarter led by significant profit and cash growth at GE Aerospace." Culp continued, "At GE Aerospace, Commercial Engines & Services and Defense & Propulsion Technologies drove double-digit revenue, profit and free cash flow growth in the quarter. Given our solid start to the year and outlook for the remainder of 2024, we are raising our full-year profit and free cash flow guidance. Moving forward as a focused global aerospace leader, we will continue to prioritize safety, quality, delivery, and cost - always in that order - while also investing in our future and driving long term profitable growth."