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MTN

Vail Resorts

$218.94

5.43 (2.54%)

08:06
01/12/18
01/12
08:06
01/12/18
08:06

Vail Resorts sees FY resort reported EBITDA 'modestly below' prior guidance

Commenting on the ski season to date, Rob Katz, CEO said, "Given the truly historic low snowfall across our western U.S. resorts, we are pleased with our results to date, which reflect the stability provided by our season pass program and the investments we have made in our resorts. The 2017/2018 ski season had a very challenging start across our western U.S. resorts due to poor conditions in the early season that continued through the holiday period, reducing both local and destination visitation and spending. In November and December, snowfall season to date in Vail, Beaver Creek and Park City was the lowest level recorded in over 30 years and in Vail and Beaver Creek snowfall is over 50% lower than the next lowest season, and Tahoe's snowfall was 69% below the 20-year average. Fortunately, conditions have improved at our western U.S. resorts in the last week with expanded open terrain due to recent storms, and we expect a portion of the Back Bowls at Vail Mountain and Peak 6 at Breckenridge to open this weekend. However, we still remain behind typical conditions for this time of year in terms of open terrain and base depth. Conditions and financial results at Whistler Blackcomb have been strong and are consistent with last year's record performance, and Stowe is off to a strong start in our first year of operating the resort." Katz continued, "As a result of the challenging conditions at our western U.S. resorts, we now expect full year Resort Reported EBITDA to be modestly below the low end of the guidance range we issued on December 7, 2017, assuming a continuation of the improvement in conditions that we are currently seeing, such that our western U.S. resorts reach a normal terrain package within the next few weeks. To the extent that conditions improve more slowly, there could be further downside below our guidance range. However, we are encouraged by the experiences we deliver for our guests and how we have performed financially in previous challenging seasons, such as in 2011/2012, given our constant reinvestment in the comprehensive guest experience across our resorts and the strength of our season pass program."

MTN Vail Resorts
$218.94

5.43 (2.54%)

01/03/18
JANY
01/03/18
NO CHANGE
Target $270
JANY
Buy
Vail Resorts pullback amid bad weather a buying opportunity, says Janney Capital
Janney Capital analyst Tyler Batory noted that he has fielded questions from investors about the impact of lackluster weather on Vail Resorts, noting that he believes Colorado, Tahoe and Utah have collectively had their worst start to the season since FY12. If poor weather persists in these three markets for the rest of the year, Batory thinks it could hurt his FY18 EBITDA estimate by $42M-$51M, but also noted that estimate of the weather impact could be too aggressive. Weather-related weakness in the stock is a buying opportunity, argues Batory, who notes that it would set the company up with an easier comp next year. He keeps a Buy rating and $270 fair value estimate on Vail shares.
12/13/17
DBAB
12/13/17
INITIATION
Target $265
DBAB
Buy
Vail Resorts initiated with a Buy at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Chris Woronka started Vail Resorts with a Buy rating and $265 price target. The analyst views the company as a core long-term holding in the Leisure space. Vail has "trophy assets" in an industry where supply is actually shrinking and a strong management team, Woronka contends.
09/29/17
LEHM
09/29/17
NO CHANGE
Target $247
LEHM
Overweight
Vail Resorts price target raised to $247 from $226 at Barclays
Barclays analyst Felicia Hendrix raised her price target for Vail Resorts to $247 saying the company reported another double-digit increase in season pass sales in Q4. The results show Vail's continued success in signing up new pass-holders and the value to skiers of buying its passes ahead of the season, Hendrix tells investors in a post-earnings research note. She keeps an Overweight rating on the shares.
08/30/17
KEYB
08/30/17
INITIATION
Target $250
KEYB
Overweight
Vail Resorts resumed with an Overweight at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Brett Andress resumed coverage of Vail Resorts with an Overweight rating and $250 price target.

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