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M

Macy's

$28.05

0.6 (2.19%)

, BAM

Brookfield

$40.01

-0.25 (-0.62%)

11:12
02/27/18
02/27
11:12
02/27/18
11:12

Macy's rises as turnaround plan fuels better-than-expected earnings

Shares of Macy's (M) rallied after the company reported better-than-expected earnings, including a surprise increase in same-store sales, and offered 2018 guidance. EARNINGS AND GUIDANCE: Macy's reported fourth quarter adjusted earnings per share of $2.82, beating analysts' estimates of $2.71, on revenue of $8.67B, essentially in line with the $8.68B consensus but up 1.8% from the year-ago period. Comparable sales on an owned basis were up 1.3% and up 1.4% on an owned plus licensed basis. Macy's also offered guidance for 2018, including EPS of $3.55-$3.75, excluding anticipated settlement charges related to the company's defined benefit plans, which compares to analyst estimates of $3.66. The retailer sees comp sales on both an owned and an owned plus licensed basis flat to up 1% and expects total sales to decline 0.5% to 2%. EXECUTIVE COMMENTARY: In a statement, Chairman and CEO Jeff Gennette said, "We are committed to returning Macy's to comparable sales growth in 2018 and will build on the momentum we created in the fourth quarter of 2017... We head into 2018 with an improved base business, healthy inventories, a focused and engaged organization and a clear path to return Macy's to growth." On the company's quarterly earnings call, CFO Karen Houget said Macy's expects stronger sales in the second half of 2018 than the first half and that first half owned plus licensed comp sales are expected to be "approximately flat to slightly down." UPDATE ON BROOKFIELD ALLIANCE: Macy's this morning also provided an update on its agreement with Brookfield Asset Management (BAM), noting that it recently agreed to sell seven floors of its State Street store in Chicago to a private real estate fund sponsored by Brookfield. As part of the transaction, Macy's will receive a total of $30M as well as upside participation in the ultimate value creation associated with the conversion of the upper floors to office space. The company anticipates closing this transaction in the first half of fiscal 2018. The company is also exploring opportunities to sell the approximately 240,000 gross square foot I. Magnin portion of the main Union Square building in San Francisco. The companies have also agreed to certain terms on nine assets, which Brookfield will redevelop once it has received approval. Macy's said it hopes to reach a deal on the nine assets in 2019. Macy's said it "continues to opportunistically evaluate its real estate portfolio to identify opportunities where the redevelopment value of its real estate exceeds that of non-strategic operating locations." PEERS: Macy's and other mall-based retailers and department stores have been hurt by the increasing popularity of fast-fashion retailers like Zara, Forever 21 and H&M, as well as an increase in online shopping on sites such as Amazon (AMZN). Additionally, in January, Macy's reported that its comparable sales on an owned basis increased 1% in the months of November and December 2017 combined, which lagged rivals J.C. Penney (JCP) and Kohl's (KSS). J.C. Penney posted same-store sales growth of 3.4% during the November-December holiday period, while Kohl's reported that total and comparable sales were up 6.9% for the period over the last year. Kohl's , J.C. Penney, and Nordstrom (JWN) are expected to report later this week. PRICE ACTION: Shares of Macy's are off earlier highs and are now up about 4% to $28.51 in morning trading. OTHERS TO WATCH: J.C. Penney is up 2.3%, Nordstrom is down about 2% and Kohl's is down 1.5%.

M

Macy's

$28.05

0.6 (2.19%)

BAM

Brookfield

$40.01

-0.25 (-0.62%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,521.95

21.95 (1.46%)

JCP

J.C. Penney

$4.14

-0.025 (-0.60%)

KSS

Kohl's

$65.27

-1.83 (-2.73%)

JWN

Nordstrom

$51.18

-1.2215 (-2.33%)

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M Macy's
$28.05

0.6 (2.19%)

02/05/18
JEFF
02/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $100
JEFF
Buy
Bon-Ton Stores bankruptcy benefits Kohl's, says Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Randal Konik notes that Bon-Ton Stores filed bankruptcy protection and provided the locations of the about 50 units slated for closure. The analyst now estimates near-term closures from Macy's (M), Sears (SHLD), Kmart, and Bon-Ton (BONT) should add about 18c to Kohl's (KSS) EPS and a 1.5% comp lift. Moreover, Konik believes the materialization of Bon-Ton's closures could be a "cherry on top" to accelerating fundamentals at Kohl's this year. He reiterates a Buy rating and $100 price target on Kohl's shares.
12/18/17
OTRG
12/18/17
UPGRADE
OTRG
Mixed
Macy's upgraded to Mixed from Negative at OTR Global
OTR Global upgraded Macy's to Mixed following checks that indicate sell-through is meeting or exceeding plan driven by strong ecommerce trends.
01/02/18
MSCO
01/02/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Kohl's, Macy's Q4 same-store sales estimates raised at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Kimberly Greenberger said that overall retail traffic appeared solid following Christmas, adding that store checks and third party data points suggest better performance at Kohl's (KSS) and Macy's (M) than she originally anticipated. Greenberger raised her Q4 Kohl's comparable sales estimate to down 1% from down 3% and increased her comp sales estimate for Macy's to down 2% from down 2.5%. However, she maintains an Underweight rating on Kohl's shares and an Equal Weight rating on Macy's.
01/05/18
BMOC
01/05/18
NO CHANGE
Target $38
BMOC
Outperform
Macy's price target raised to $38 from $35 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Wayne Hood raised his price target on Macy's to $38 and kept his Outperform rating after the company's Nov-Dec comps completed the first positive SSS Q4 since 2014. Hood notes "encouraging" improvement in brick-and-mortar comps as well as double digit growth in digital platforms, forecasting further upside from " improving consumer spending setup from tax reform and falling unemployment that could be far reaching". The analyst raises his FY17 EPS forecast to $3.63 from $3.53 and FY18 forecast to $3.18 from $2.63, reflecting a lower effective tax rate of about 25%.
BAM Brookfield
$40.01

-0.25 (-0.62%)

02/02/18
02/02/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $22

Sell
GGP downgraded to Sell at Sandler ONeill on lower chances of higher bid
As previously reported, Sandler ONeill analyst Alexander Goldfarb downgraded GGP (GGP) to Sell from Hold, as he believes the chances of a materially higher price bid from Brookfield (BAM) have decreased. He notes that a report this week that Brookfield may be interested in acquiring another REIT - Forest City Realty (FCE.A) - caused GGP to trade under the $23 level for the first time since November 10 and he now thinks $24 is likely the best offer for GGP. Absent a deal, the stock could trade back towards its pre-M&A level of $19, contends Goldfarb, who has a $22 price target on GGP shares.
11/13/17
SDLR
11/13/17
NO CHANGE
SDLR
GGP could be worth $28+ in a takeout, says Sandler O'Neill
Sandler O'Neill views Brookfield's (BAM) $23/share offer for GGP (GGP) as an opening bid but believes it faces an uphill battle with independent shareholders to convince them its a fair price. The firm's analyst said Brookfield has its 35% stake of GGP on the books at $30/share and believes independent shareholders should demand a NAV premium north of $28/share.
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,521.95

21.95 (1.46%)

02/23/18
WOLF
02/23/18
UPGRADE
Target $2000
WOLF
Outperform
Amazon upgraded to Outperform with $2,000 target at Wolfe Research
As previously reported, Wolfe Research analyst Scott Mushkin upgraded Amazon.com to Outperform from Peer Perform and set a calendar year-end 2018 price target of $2,000 on the stock. He believes that if Amazon can "get grocery right," it can lead to unprecedented growth, create a halo effect for the rest of Amazon's categories and drive stronger than expected revenue growth, Mushkin tells investors. The analyst, who predicts Amazon can grow its North American EBIT margins to 8% by 2028, sees the implications for other retailers, especially those who offer staples, as "very negative."
02/26/18
MSCO
02/26/18
NO CHANGE
Target $99
MSCO
Equal Weight
Morgan Stanley says Walmart may need investment step up to compete with Amazon
Morgan Stanley analyst Simeon Gutman said Walmart's (WMT) e-commerce systems and infrastructure were not equipped to handle seasonal demand. For context, he noted that in the fourth quarter of 2015, Amazon (AMZN) endured execution issues related to greater than expected Fulfilled By Amazon demand. However, Amazon's issues at that time resulted in cost pressure, whereas Walmart's resulted in lost sales, Gutman tells investors. He thinks any solution will result in increased spending by Walmart, either through software, logistics or new fulfillment centers. Additionally, Walmart faces an uphill battle in resonating with a broader base of e-commerce consumers, which may require stepped up marking spending, he adds. Gutman lowered his price target on Walmart to $99 from $106 and keeps his Equal Weight rating on the shares.
02/26/18
02/26/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. UPS (UPS) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Loop Capital by analyst Rick Paterson, who attributed the recent selloff, in part, to news on February 9 that Amazon (AMZN) plans to offer some limited parcel delivery services to third parties. The analyst believes concerns around Amazon "may be a little overblown." Paterson believes Amazon represents about 4%-6% of "lower margin" revenues at UPS. If all of that is ultimately brought into Amazon's own network, "that's hardly a disaster," he contended. 2. Schlumberger (SLB) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill by analyst Timna Tanners, who said shares underperformed and fund ownership fell in 2017 as investor focus shifted towards more shale-focused names. Tanners believes the oil/gas price recovery cycle will shift focus to International with activity slowing recovering and pricing firming more in 2019. Further, the analyst believes SPM's contribution is underappreciated and expects a project payoff and/or stake sale in 2019. 3. HP Inc (HPQ) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan by analyst Paul Coster, who cited valuation following the company's Q1 results. The analyst believes the shares may now look attractive for value investors and sees U.S. tax reform and foreign currency moves as tailwinds. 4. Finish Line (FINL) upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna by analyst Sam Poser, who said channel checks indicate that sales and promotional trends in Q4 were not as bad as its guidance anticipated. He believes management has better positioned the company's marketing and promotional calendar as an adjustment to the late tax refund checks. 5. Duke Energy (DUK) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank (DB) by analyst Jonathan Arnold, who said Friday's constructive order from the North Carolina Utilities Commission in the Duke Energy Progress rate case effectively allows recovery of a majority of the utility's historical costs related to coal ash basin closures. He sees the order as largely resolving the outstanding regulatory risk associated with coal ash cost recovery in North Carolina and likely offering a positive read-across to the larger Duke Energy Carolinas rate case. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
02/27/18
COWN
02/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $1700
COWN
Outperform
Amazon ramping automation, still in early innings of private label, says Cowen
Cowen analyst John Blackledge met with industry participants to discuss various Amazon products. They contend Amazon is still in the early innings of it private label buildup, it can capture 25-40% market share for a new SKU, and Softlines, Consumables, and Groceries are growth areas. The analyst, who sees leaner inventories and continual automation of the buying process, reiterated his Outperform rating and $1,700 price target on Amazon.com shares.
JCP J.C. Penney
$4.14

-0.025 (-0.60%)

10/30/17
10/30/17
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. General Motors (GM) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Goldman Sachs with analyst David Tamberrino saying his price target of $32 offers 28% potential downside. The analyst continues to believe the North America auto cycle has peaked and he remains cautious on the sector. 2. Merck (MRK) downgraded to Hold from Buy at SunTrust and to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley, as well as Barclays. 3. J.C. Penney (JCP) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi, to Neutral from Buy at Northcoast, and to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna. 4. Macy's (M) downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Citi with analyst Paul Lejuez saying the retailer's sales and margins have been pressured for several years, and J.C. Penney's weak third quarter preannouncement on Friday serves as reminder of just how challenging the department store space is. 5. Under Armour (UAA, UA) downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at BofA/Merrill with analyst Robert Ohmes saying he expects management to lower fourth quarter guidance on its Q3 conference call due to the highly promotional environment. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
11/13/17
SBSH
11/13/17
NO CHANGE
Target $1.5
SBSH
Sell
J.C. Penney quarter raises several concerns, says Citi
Although the better than expected sales in J.C. Penney's Q3 led to a short squeeze, the quarter raised several concerns, Citi analyst Paul Lejuez tells investors in a post-earnings research note. Transactions were still down even with all the promotions and higher penetration of credit in appliances is a risk, the analyst contends. Further, he believes the comp boost from appliances is likely to slow meaningfully in Q4. Lejuez continues to believe Penny's "high amount of debt on the business leaves little value left for equity holders." He keeps a Sell rating on the shares with a $1.50 price target.
11/30/17
COWN
11/30/17
NO CHANGE
Target $4
COWN
Market Perform
J.C. Penney taking steps toward a comeback, says Cowen
Cowen analyst Oliver Chen met with J.C. Penney and said he is confident the company's liquidity, its multi-year ability to drive free cash flow, and controlled capital expenditures will mitigate some risk. He likes management's simplification of marketing, its value messaging and execution, and leveraging of non-apparel categories, which should drive greater consistency in traffic and growth. Chen maintains his Market Perform rating and $4 price target on J.C. Penney shares as he looks for visibility on greater consistency in traffic trends.
12/22/17
MSCO
12/22/17
NO CHANGE
MSCO
TJX stands to benefit from Bon-Ton closures, says Morgan Stanley
After analyzing which department stores and off-price retailers have the greatest overlap with troubled retailer Bon-Ton Stores (BONT), Morgan Stanley analyst Kimberly Greenberger found that over 40% of Bon-Ton's have a TJX (TJX) concept within a one mile radius and she sees it as the retailer that could benefit the most from a Bon-Ton liquidity event. Though Sears (SHLD) has the greatest overlap overall, there is no evidence to suggest it, nor Kohl's (KSS) and J.C. Penney (JCP), have been able to capitalize on Bon-Ton's struggles so far, added Greenberger.
KSS Kohl's
$65.27

-1.83 (-2.73%)

01/19/18
JEFF
01/19/18
NO CHANGE
Target $100
JEFF
Buy
Jefferies sees Kohl's rallying another 50%, ups target to $100
Jefferies analyst Randal Konik raised his price target for Kohl's (KSS) to $100 from $66 and says the stock could rise at least another 50%. The shares closed yesterday up 26c to $64.85. The retailer is "addressing the digital revolution head on" and surpassing peers with more emphasis on proprietary brands, partnering with Amazon.com (AMZN) and rightsizing square footage, Konik tells investors in a research note. He expects Kohl's sales growth to accelerate and margins to rise, and views current consensus estimates as "way too low." The company's off-mall real estate is an additional positive, as is the closing of peer stores, Konik adds. He remains a buyer of the stock.
02/13/18
MKMP
02/13/18
NO CHANGE
Target $63
MKMP
Neutral
Kohl's price target raised to $63 from $57 at MKM Partners
MKM Partners analyst Patrick McKeever raised his price target on Kohl's to $63 ahead of Q4 earnings, forecasting a 6% SSS increase for the quarter after the company's ICR presentation disclosed 6.9% rise in the November-December period. The analyst also anticipates some modest gross margin improvement thanks to better sales in higher-margin private label along with low-single-digit SSS outlook for the first half due to easy comparisons. McKeever keeps his Neutral rating on Kohl's, citing some lingering concerns about sustainability due to "less disposable income going to apparel and online pure-plays" competition.
01/17/18
BARD
01/17/18
NO CHANGE
Target $70
BARD
Outperform
Kohl's price target raised to $70 from $61 at Baird
Baird analyst Mark Altschwager raised his price target on Kohl's to $70 from $61 as he continues to like the 12-month value case. The analyst noted the stock's big run, but said free cash flow is strong, valuation is not stretched when considering its earnings power, and there is momentum in the business entering 2018. Altschwager reiterated his Outperform rating on Kohl's shares.
JWN Nordstrom
$51.18

-1.2215 (-2.33%)

01/12/18
BMOC
01/12/18
NO CHANGE
Target $50
BMOC
Market Perform
Nordstrom price target raised to $50 from $44 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Wayne Hood raised his price target on Nordstrom to $50 after the company's better than expected November-December comps. Hood says the management has pointed to improving sales at both full-line and Racks stores as well as improving merchandise margins, indicating a slowdown in the discounting trend. The analyst keeps his Market Perform rating on Nordstrom while raising his FY18 EPS forecast to $3.31 from $2.96 to reflect improved performance and a lower anticipated tax rate.
01/23/18
WBLR
01/23/18
DOWNGRADE
WBLR
Market Perform
William Blair downgrades Nordstrom with shares nearing fair value
William Blair analyst Dylan Carden downgraded Nordstrom to Market Perform from Outperform saying the shares are approaching what he considers fair value in the mid-$50 range. The analyst sees risk to the company's initial 2018 margin guidance and would look to get more constructive later in the year. He also remains skeptical that the Nordstrom family can arrange the necessary financing to take the company private.
02/08/18
KEYB
02/08/18
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Sector Weight
Amazon new denim brands a 'modest negative' for Gap/Nordstrom, says KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma notes that Amazon (AMZN) recently launched two premium private-label denim brands, namely Hale and Denim Crush. Importantly, the price points, details, and construction point to a foray into premium women's denim, he notes, adding that he thinks this is a "modest negative" for Gap (GPS) and Nordstrom (JWN). Yruma reiterates a Sector Weight rating on Amazon's shares.
01/23/18
WBLR
01/23/18
DOWNGRADE
WBLR
Market Perform
Nordstrom downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair
William Blair analyst Dylan Carden downgraded Nordstrom to Market Perform.

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BHLB

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$40.80

0.15 (0.37%)

22:34
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22:34
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Procter & Gamble

$79.71

-0.34 (-0.42%)

22:34
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Grainger

$338.99

33.78 (11.07%)

22:33
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MS

Morgan Stanley

$50.54

1.34 (2.72%)

22:32
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  • 18

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ESTA

Establishment Labs

$0.00

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CNST

Constellation Pharmaceuticals

$0.00

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CARB

Carbonite

$37.90

0.6 (1.61%)

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$0.00

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  • 19

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JBLU

JetBlue

$19.97

0.44 (2.25%)

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$0.00

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JetBlue

$19.97

0.44 (2.25%)

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$0.00

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  • 24

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PTC

PTC

$98.51

-0.4 (-0.40%)

20:28
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PTC analyst commentary at MUFG »

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PM

Philip Morris

$82.16

-0.17 (-0.21%)

, UNP

Union Pacific

$141.26

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FFKT

Farmers Capital Bank

$53.50

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07/18/18
20:00
Recommendations
Hess Corp. analyst commentary at MUFG »

Hess Corp price target…

03/08/13
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  • 25

    Jul

NBL

Noble Energy

$34.34

-0.11 (-0.32%)

19:52
07/18/18
07/18
19:52
07/18/18
19:52
Recommendations
Noble Energy analyst commentary at MUFG »

Noble Energy price target…

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  • 03

    Aug

NDLS

Noodles & Company

$11.80

-0.35 (-2.88%)

, IBM

IBM

$144.44

0.98 (0.68%)

19:08
07/18/18
07/18
19:08
07/18/18
19:08
Hot Stocks
On The Fly: After Hours Movers »

UP AFTER EARNINGS:…

NDLS

Noodles & Company

$11.80

-0.35 (-2.88%)

IBM

IBM

$144.44

0.98 (0.68%)

BHLB

Berkshire Hills Bancorp

$40.80

0.15 (0.37%)

CL

Colgate-Palmolive

$64.81

-0.76 (-1.16%)

EGAN

eGain

$13.15

-0.75 (-5.40%)

EBAY

eBay

$37.95

0.13 (0.34%)

CCK

Crown Holdings

$45.12

-0.265 (-0.58%)

PTC

PTC

$98.51

-0.4 (-0.40%)

AXP

American Express

$102.98

1.84 (1.82%)

URI

United Rentals

$155.14

2.94 (1.93%)

AA

Alcoa

$47.90

-0.105 (-0.22%)

SPWH

Sportsman's Warehouse

$5.23

-0.16 (-2.97%)

RUN

Sunrun

$15.16

-0.02 (-0.13%)

CLX

Clorox

$129.50

-5.5 (-4.07%)

03/08/13
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  • 18

    Jul

  • 18

    Jul

  • 18

    Jul

  • 18

    Jul

  • 18

    Jul

  • 18

    Jul

  • 19

    Jul

  • 19

    Jul

  • 19

    Jul

  • 27

    Jul

  • 02

    Aug

  • 06

    Aug

  • 08

    Aug

  • 09

    Aug

  • 19

    Jul

GSBC

Great Southern Bancorp

$58.55

-0.2 (-0.34%)

19:03
07/18/18
07/18
19:03
07/18/18
19:03
Earnings
Great Southern Bancorp reports Q2 EPS 97c, consensus 94c »

Reports Q2 NII $41.2M,…

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OMAB

OMA Airports

$45.82

-0.48 (-1.04%)

18:40
07/18/18
07/18
18:40
07/18/18
18:40
Hot Stocks
OMA Airports reports Q2 passenger traffic up 9.6% »

OMA generated a 25.7%…

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OPTN

Optinose

$26.97

0.36 (1.35%)

18:35
07/18/18
07/18
18:35
07/18/18
18:35
Recommendations
Optinose analyst commentary at BMO Capital »

Optinose's Xhance…

03/08/13
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T

AT&T

$31.73

-0.02 (-0.06%)

18:29
07/18/18
07/18
18:29
07/18/18
18:29
Periodicals
DOJ: AT&T-Time Warner ruling ignored 'basic economics,' FT reports »

The U.S. Department of…

03/08/13
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  • 24

    Jul

  • 09

    Aug

SBGI

Sinclair Broadcast

$27.35

-0.65 (-2.32%)

, TRCO

Tribune Media

$34.09

0.79 (2.37%)

18:26
07/18/18
07/18
18:26
07/18/18
18:26
Hot Stocks
FCC votes unanimously to adopt hearing order on Sinclair-Tribune deal »

This evening, the Federal…

SBGI

Sinclair Broadcast

$27.35

-0.65 (-2.32%)

TRCO

Tribune Media

$34.09

0.79 (2.37%)

03/08/13
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  • 08

    Aug

  • 06

    Sep

RUN

Sunrun

$15.16

-0.02 (-0.13%)

, JKS

JinkoSolar

$13.70

-0.1 (-0.72%)

18:25
07/18/18
07/18
18:25
07/18/18
18:25
Downgrade
Sunrun, JinkoSolar, Canadian Solar, Vivint Solar rating change at Goldman Sachs »

Sunrun downgraded to…

RUN

Sunrun

$15.16

-0.02 (-0.13%)

JKS

JinkoSolar

$13.70

-0.1 (-0.72%)

CSIQ

Canadian Solar

$12.83

0.15 (1.18%)

VSLR

Vivint Solar

$5.20

(0.00%)

03/08/13
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  • 07

    Aug

  • 09

    Aug

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