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GM

General Motors

$37.68

-0.32 (-0.84%)

, FCAU

Fiat Chrysler

$22.31

-0.27 (-1.20%)

07:22
04/09/18
04/09
07:22
04/09/18
07:22

GM upgraded to Overweight on infrastructure bill potential at Morgan Stanley

As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas upgraded General Motors (GM) to Overweight from Equal Weight, as he sees room for positive earnings revisions for GM, Ford (F) and Fiat Chrysler (FCAU) as investors better understand the impact on U.S. pick-up truck sales from a potential passage of a U.S. infrastructure bill. The firm's economics team estimates a bull case of as much as $2.4T in U.S. infrastructure spending over a 10-year period, which primarily would affect automakers through the sale of highly-profitable pickup trucks, said Jonas, who noted that greater infrastructure spending typically does coincide with increased pickup sales. Jonas raised his price target on GM shares to $48 from $45 and increased his price target on Fiat Chrysler to EUR23 from EUR22 per share.

GM

General Motors

$37.68

-0.32 (-0.84%)

FCAU

Fiat Chrysler

$22.31

-0.27 (-1.20%)

F

Ford

$11.18

-0.17 (-1.50%)

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GM General Motors
$37.68

-0.32 (-0.84%)

04/09/18
MSCO
04/09/18
UPGRADE
MSCO
Overweight
General Motors upgraded to Overweight from Equal Weight at Morgan Stanley
03/09/18
DBAB
03/09/18
NO CHANGE
DBAB
Deutshe Bank sees buying opportunities in Autos & Auto Parts
Deutsche Bank analyst Rod Lache attributes the recent selloff in Auto Industry stocks a confluence of factors, including rising rates, rising commodities/tariffs, and rising NAFTA risks. These represent a "triple-threat that has led to a resurgence of cyclical concerns," Lache tells investors in a research note. The analyst, while admitting limited visibility into the "most significant of these," the outlook for NAFTA, believes that investor concerns are overdone. He's a buyer of General Motors (GM), American Axle (AXL), and Lear (LEA) on weakness.
03/13/18
MSCO
03/13/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley compares automakers to Facebook, Apple in 'Auto 2.0' model
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas noted that auto companies' valuations have compressed to extremely low levels, but he believes that a move from a vehicle ownership model to a transportation subscriber model could expand the revenue opportunities for the potential "tollkeepers" for the monetization of content and data by "nearly an order of magnitude." Looking at U.S. technology leaders Facebook (FB) and Apple (AAPL), which are both valued on their installed base/subscriber models, can "offer valuable clues" regarding the opportunity for General Motors (GM) and other auto OEMs, said Jonas. Viewing the OEMs though the lens of a subscription model, which should be less cyclical and potentially less capital intensive over time than the current auto model, is relevant to analyzing auto stocks, according to Jonas, who adds that it is still too early to call a winner or loser in "Auto 2.0." Other publicly traded legacy automakers include Fiat Chrysler (FCAU), Ford (F), Honda (HMC), Nissan (NSANY), Toyota (TM), Volkswagen (VLKAY) and Daimler (DDAIF).
03/14/18
MSCO
03/14/18
NO CHANGE
MSCO
Morgan Stanley raises U.S. auto sales forecasts through 2021
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas raised his U.S. seasonally adjusted annual rate, or SAAR, forecast for automakers by an average of 850,000 units from 2018 through 2021, which represents slightly more than a 5% increase from his prior forecast. However, his average U.S. SAAR forecast is still well below last year's 17.3M units and 8% under the cyclical high of 17.6M units in 2016. Jonas points to U.S. tax reform and "relatively stable" recent trends in auto sales and credit as reasons for the hike, noting that while infrastructure action from the federal government could be a material positive, it is not explicitly in his new forecast. Adding that the higher view has a net positive impact on estimates and price targets for exposed auto Original Equipment Manufacturers, or OEMs, and suppliers, Jonas raised his price targets on General Motors (GM), Asbury Automotive (ABG), AutoNation (AN), Group 1 Automotive (GPI), Lithia Motors (LAD), Penske Automotive (PAH), Sonic Automotive (SAH) and Ford (F). He also double upgraded Ford, to Overweight from Underweight, this morning.
FCAU Fiat Chrysler
$22.31

-0.27 (-1.20%)

03/21/18
NOMU
03/21/18
INITIATION
NOMU
Neutral
Fiat Chrysler initiated with a Neutral at Nomura Instinet
Nomura Instinet started Fiat Chrysler with a Neutral rating and EUR 19 price target.
01/15/18
LEHM
01/15/18
NO CHANGE
LEHM
Barclays likes American Axle, Fiat Chrysler in 'back-to-basics world'
After the Consumer Electronics Show focused on autonomous driving, Barclays analyst Brian Johnson expects the North American International Auto Show in Detroit "will get back to the here and now earnings drivers." The focus will be on trucks, tariffs, and taxes, Johnson tells investors in a research note on the U.S. Autos & Auto Parts sector. This includes a focus on key pickup truck launches, the potential for a North American Free Trade Agreement withdrawal to re-impose tariffs on autos and auto parts, and the impact of tax reform on earnings. In this "back-to-basics world," Johnson likes shares of American Axle (AXL) and Fiat Chrysler (FCAU). He sees Fiat as benefiting the most from tax reform and notes American Axle, his top pick, is the most levered to the U.S. large pickup market of any supplier he covers. The analyst says he's more confident in his Top Pick call and $25 price target on American Axle.
01/19/18
EXAN
01/19/18
UPGRADE
EXAN
Neutral
Fiat Chrysler upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Exane BNP Paribas
F Ford
$11.18

-0.17 (-1.50%)

03/14/18
03/14/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Ford (F) double upgraded to Overweight from Underweight, with analyst Adam Jonas saying sentiment on Ford has reached a cyclical low and this has taken valuation to attractive levels, estimating that the F-150 franchise alone may be worth more than 150% of the company's total current enterprise value. 2. Sabra Health Care (SBRA) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Mizuho with analyst Richard Anderson citing "deeply" discounted valuation and a possible near-term catalyst from its Genesis sales. 3. Oceaneering (OII) upgraded to Hold from Underperform at Jefferies with analyst Eduardo Royes saying he no longer sees ample downside to medium-term estimates. 4. RH (RH) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James with analyst Budd Bugatch saying he believes the company's "sizable" business transformation is behind it and the share decline year-to-date provides attractive risk/reward. 5. BHP Billiton (BHP) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/26/18
DBAB
03/26/18
NO CHANGE
DBAB
Hold
Deutsche sees no 'easy fix' for Ford, but likes near-term risk/reward
After spending a few weeks examining Ford's competitive position, Deutsche Bank analyst Rod Lache says the company's "predicament does not lend itself to an easy fix." A large proportion of Ford's portfolio resides in mass market segments that are structurally challenged, Lache tells investors in a research note. He believes a "durable organic turnaround would be costly and take several years to achieve." The analyst, however, believes Ford will show progress in North America over the near-to-intermediate term. Further, Ford may surprise the market in articulating a plan that does not jeopardize current dividend levels, Lache adds. He likes the stock's near-term risk/reward profile with "catalysts on the horizon" but keeps a Hold rating on the name.
03/14/18
03/14/18
UPGRADE
Target $15

Overweight
Morgan Stanley double upgrades Ford, says estimates may have bottomed
As previously reported, Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas upgraded Ford to Overweight from Underweight, where he has had his rating since 2014. Sentiment on Ford has reached a cyclical low, and Jonas said this has taken valuation to attractive levels, estimating that the F-150 franchise alone may be worth more than 150% of the company's total current enterprise value. While noting that Ford still has "a lot of room" to improve its performance compared to peers, Jonas raised his underlying earnings forecasts "by the greatest amount in nearly five years" and noted that he thinks estimates may have bottomed. The analyst, who also raised his U.S. SAAR forecast in a separate note to investors this morning by an average of 850,000 units from 2018 through 2021, increased his price target on Ford shares to $15 from $10.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

DHI

D.R. Horton

$44.28

0.77 (1.77%)

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M

Macy's

$41.80

1.72 (4.29%)

, PFGC

Performance Food Group

$38.05

1.15 (3.12%)

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M

Macy's

$41.80

1.72 (4.29%)

PFGC

Performance Food Group

$38.05

1.15 (3.12%)

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AIV

Aimco

$43.25

0.5 (1.17%)

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Aimco management to meet with Jefferies »

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A

Agilent

$67.14

1.19 (1.80%)

, CREE

Cree

$49.96

-0.32 (-0.64%)

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1.19 (1.80%)

CREE

Cree

$49.96

-0.32 (-0.64%)

VIAV

Viavi

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0.13 (1.19%)

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KO

Coca-Cola

$45.93

0.11 (0.24%)

, PEP

PepsiCo

$112.80

-0.22 (-0.19%)

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Coca-Cola

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PEP

PepsiCo

$112.80

-0.22 (-0.19%)

KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper

$23.61

-0.14 (-0.59%)

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X

U.S. Steel

$30.23

0.025 (0.08%)

, AKS

AK Steel

$4.20

-0.06 (-1.41%)

13:05
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Periodicals
Canada near to imposing broad steel tariffs, Dow Jones says »

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X

U.S. Steel

$30.23

0.025 (0.08%)

AKS

AK Steel

$4.20

-0.06 (-1.41%)

NUE

Nucor

$63.53

0.4 (0.63%)

STLD

Steel Dynamics

$43.57

-0.1 (-0.23%)

03/08/13
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IGT

International Game

$20.44

-0.12 (-0.58%)

13:05
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13:05
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Options
International Game call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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CLI

Mack-Cali Realty

$19.99

0.92 (4.82%)

13:03
08/14/18
08/14
13:03
08/14/18
13:03
Periodicals
Land & Buildings likely to push for Mack-Cali sale, Bloomberg reports »

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TSLA

Tesla

$356.33

0.29 (0.08%)

, GS

Goldman Sachs

$229.95

3.12 (1.38%)

12:56
08/14/18
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Periodicals
Goldman not hired officially by Tesla at time of tweet, Bloomberg reports »

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TSLA

Tesla

$356.33

0.29 (0.08%)

GS

Goldman Sachs

$229.95

3.12 (1.38%)

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DOMO

Domo

$18.38

-0.1 (-0.54%)

12:53
08/14/18
08/14
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12:53
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Domo »

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WMT

Walmart

$90.91

1.25 (1.39%)

12:50
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12:50
Options
8.8K Walmart Sep 92.5 - Oct 95 call spreads bought for 29c »

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AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,916.80

21.29 (1.12%)

12:49
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Periodicals
U.K's ASA says Amazon Prime's one-day claim misled customers, CNBC reports »

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CCXI

ChemoCentryx

$11.12

-1.54 (-12.16%)

12:47
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AEO

American Eagle

$28.00

0.66 (2.41%)

12:45
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American Eagle call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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GOOG

Alphabet

$1,240.12

5.02 (0.41%)

, GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,255.80

7.04 (0.56%)

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Alphabet invests $375M in Obamacare startup Oscar, Bloomberg reports »

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GOOG

Alphabet

$1,240.12

5.02 (0.41%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,255.80

7.04 (0.56%)

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STXB

Spirit of Texas Bancshares

$21.48

(0.00%)

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EKSO

Ekso Bionics

$2.84

0.16 (5.97%)

12:35
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Ekso Bionics awarded $5M Department of Veterans Affairs contract 

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12:35
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FX Action: USD-JPY »

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ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$71.54

1.02 (1.45%)

, EA

Electronic Arts

$131.76

0.47 (0.36%)

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ATVI

Activision Blizzard

$71.54

1.02 (1.45%)

EA

Electronic Arts

$131.76

0.47 (0.36%)

GOOG

Alphabet

$1,239.50

4.4 (0.36%)

GOOGL

Alphabet Class A

$1,255.19

6.43 (0.51%)

SSNLF

Samsung

$0.00

(0.00%)

TCEHY

Tencent

$0.00

(0.00%)

DIS

Disney

$112.93

0.82 (0.73%)

CCOEY

Capcom

$0.00

(0.00%)

NTDOY

Nintendo

$0.00

(0.00%)

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URBN

Urban Outfitters

$47.93

0.51 (1.08%)

12:30
08/14/18
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Options
Put spreads in Urban Outfitters ahead of earnings next week »

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YUMC

Yum China

$35.81

1.59 (4.65%)

12:25
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Yum China call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

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  • 10

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ACRS

Aclaris Therapeutics

$16.86

-0.27 (-1.58%)

12:25
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Cantor consumer products analysts to hold analyst/industry conference call »

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  • 14

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CLI

Mack-Cali Realty

$19.42

0.35 (1.84%)

12:22
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Breaking Periodicals news story on Mack-Cali Realty »

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ANSS

Ansys

$172.90

1.87 (1.09%)

12:22
08/14/18
08/14
12:22
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12:22
Recommendations
Ansys analyst commentary  »

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