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NFLX

Netflix

$344.70

13.08 (3.94%)

, CMCSA

Comcast

$31.87

-0.64 (-1.97%)

18:03
05/23/18
05/23
18:03
05/23/18
18:03

Netflix market value now higher than Comcast, Recode says

Netflix's (NFLX) market value jumped to roughly $150B today, surpassing that of media giant Comcast (CMCSA), Recode reports. Comcast has been shedding video subscribers as people cut the cord and move to streaming services, the report notes. Reference Link

NFLX

Netflix

$344.70

13.08 (3.94%)

CMCSA

Comcast

$31.87

-0.64 (-1.97%)

CMCSK

Comcast

$0.00

(0.00%)

NFLX Netflix
$344.70

13.08 (3.94%)

04/30/18
MSCO
04/30/18
INITIATION
Target $190
MSCO
Overweight
Spotify initiated with an Overweight at Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne initiated coverage of Spotify with an Overweight rating and $190 price target, projecting that its premium user base can grow from 70M to about 200M by the end of 2022, with revenue growing over 20% per year. Swinburne, who notes that there are 1.3B smartphone users in Spotify's 65 existing markets, also pointed out that time spent on Spotify Premium is "nearing Netflix levels."
05/15/18
PIPR
05/15/18
NO CHANGE
Target $367
PIPR
Overweight
Piper survey shows most Netflix subscribers willing to pay more
Piper Jaffray analyst Michael Olson says his firm's survey of 1,100 domestic Netflix subscribers shows that most would be willing to pay more to remain subscribers of the service, with some willing to pay significantly more. Specifically, 64% of subscribers surveyed indicated that they would not cancel Netflix until it reaches a price of greater than $15 per month. Among those, 23% said they wouldn't cancel until pricing reached greater than $20 per month, and 5% would only cancel if pricing was well above $20 per month. The conclusion is that Netflix could raise monthly prices to $15 or more today and approximately two-thirds of subs would absorb the increase and remain on the service, Olson tells investors in a research note. Compared to a similar survey taken in mid-2016, a higher percentage of subscribers are willing to pay a higher monthly fee, suggesting Netflix content has improved, the analyst adds. Olson reiterates an Overweight rating on Netflix with a $367 price target. The streaming service closed yesterday up $2.07 to $328.53.
04/17/18
RBCM
04/17/18
NO CHANGE
Target $360
RBCM
Outperform
Netflix price target raised to $360 from $350 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Mark Mahaney raised his price target on Netflix to $360 after the company's "very strong" Q1 results, saying 2018 looks to be an "inflection year" for the stock. The analyst cites Q1 net subscriber adds' consensus beat of 32% for domestic and 9% for international segments, while the outlook for Q2 was above the Street by 23% and 19% respectively. Mahaney also points to improving profitability, as Netflix domestic contribution margin expanded by 400bps to 38% and international margin reached a record high of 15%. The analyst keeps his Outperform rating on Netflix, maintaining his view of the company's "King of Content" position amid a rapid global ramp in demand for internet TV.
04/18/18
ARGS
04/18/18
NO CHANGE
ARGS
Hold
Netflix valuation remains 'significantly higher' than peers, says Argus
Argus analyst Joseph Bonner kept his Hold rating on Netflix (NFLX) but raised his FY18 EPS view to $2.89 from $2.73 after the company's Q1 earnings beat. The analyst says the company is benefiting from the "secular growth of internet-delivered on-demand video" but also warns that it is taking on more debt, resulting in a "stunning" cash-burn rate. Bonner adds that the market is still judging the company by its subscriber growth while overlooking the costs associated with the ramp in content production and content licensing. The analyst is also cautious on Netflix valuation as its trailing enterprise value to EBITDA multiple is 136-times relative to 29-times peer average and 48-times at Amazon (AMZN).
CMCSA Comcast
$31.87

-0.64 (-1.97%)

05/08/18
05/08/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Comcast (CMCSA) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at Atlantic Equities. 2. Zillow (Z, ZG) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with analyst Mark Mahaney citing the recent stock price appreciation. 3. XL Group (XL) downgraded to Sector Perform from Outperform at RBC Capital with analyst Mark Dwelle saying the company's first quarter earnings did not contain any red flags around the sale of the company to AXA (AXAHY), which is on track to close in late second quarter or in the third quarter. 4. Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS) downgraded to In Line from Outperform at Evercore ISI with analyst Josh Schimmer citing the safety concerns around volanesorsen discussed in the latest FDA briefing documents, which also "dismantled the company's claims" that the treatment leads to benefits in pancreatis. 5. Sapiens (SPNS) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at William Blair with analyst Justin Furby saying consensus estimates for 2019 could be a "too aggressive." This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
05/10/18
OPCO
05/10/18
NO CHANGE
Target $42
OPCO
Outperform
Comcast acquisition of Fox would make strategic, financial sense, says Oppenheimer
Oppenheimer analyst Timothy Horan notes that press reports stated Comcast (CMCSA) has lined up $60B in financing to make an all-cash offer for Fox's (FOXA) entertainment assets, representing a 15% premium to Disney's (DIS) offer. While he thinks this has caused half the 30% decline in Comcast's stock year to date, the analyst believes it does make strategic and financial sense, and Comcast has a great track record on acquisitions. Horan thinks a joint NBC/Fox is a content powerhouse while expanding the company's presence in Europe through Sky (SKYAY), and slashing OTT video risk. The analyst reiterates an Outperform rating and $42 price target on Comcast's shares.
05/16/18
KEYB
05/16/18
INITIATION
Target $38
KEYB
Overweight
Comcast coverage transferred with an Overweight at KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Brandon Nispel started coverage on Comcast with an Overweight and $38 price target telling investors uncertainty about its media M&A aspirations has created a buying opportunity. Nispel said Comcast's cable business is undervalued, or investors get NBCU for almost free, creating an attractive valuation.
05/17/18
KEYB
05/17/18
UPGRADE
Target $38
KEYB
Overweight
KeyBanc upgrades Comcast to Overweight on coverage transfer
KeyBanc upgraded Comcast to Overweight from Sector Weight after transferring coverage to Brandon Nispel. The analyst has a $38 price target for the shares. Uncertainty about Comcast's acquisition aspirations in media has created a buying opportunity, Nispel told investors last night in a research note. Either the company's cable business is undervalued, or investors get NBCU for essentially free, the analyst contends. He believes Comcast is trading at attractive valuation relative to peers.
CMCSK Comcast
$0.00

(0.00%)

02/28/18
02/28/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Celgene (CELG) downgraded to Hold from Buy at SunTrust by analyst Yatin Suneja after the company received a refusal to file letter from the FDA on ozanimod for relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis. Suneja said that following pipeline setbacks in late 2017, ozanimod was central to his "bull thesis to re-accelerate growth" and provide "much needed diversification away from myeloma." Given the delay, he lowered his ozanimod peak sales estimate to $3.5B from $5B. The refusal to file letter could result in a 24-month or longer delay for ozanimod's launch in relapsing forms of multiple sclerosis, Suneja said. 2. Frontier Communications (FTR) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies by analyst Scott Goldman. With the dividend now suspended and EBITDA stabilization "still a work in progress," the shares have no near-term catalyst, Goldman said. He believes "significant challenges" remain for Frontier following the dividend suspension. 3. Comcast (CMCSA, CMCSK) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie by analyst Amy Young, who cited uncertainty around the M&A playbook and increased net leverage. Young said Comcast's intention to acquire Sky (SKYAY) diversifies its portfolio and increases international revenues to 25% of total from 9% currently, but exposes it to satellite TV, which faces secular pressures. The analyst views the 12x price tag for Sky as high, questions the synergies, and believes the unpredictability could cap near-term upside. 4. e.l.f. Beauty (ELF) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at BMO Capital by analyst Shannon Coyne, who cited the "near-term challenges in the mass category" and heightened competition yielding further pressure on results and the stock in the near term. The analyst also points to the management having lowered its expectations for the 3rd time in 6 months, adding that it may take some time for investor confidence to return. Despite the downgrade, the analyst believes that e.l.f "has material white space in existing and new retailers" as well as an "unmatched strong value proposition." 5. Maxim Integrated (MXIM) downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Macquarie by analyst Srini Pajjuri, who said shares have significantly outperformed the SOX index year-to-date and believes healthy fundamentals are now backed in, combined with some M&A premium. Pajjuri believes further upside is limited on a fundamental basis and believes comps will get tougher in the second half of 2018 and sees risk of higher volatility in Consumer as Samsung GS9 builds fade. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/14/18
MACQ
03/14/18
UPGRADE
MACQ
Outperform
Sky upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie
Macquarie analyst Guy Peddy upgraded Sky (SKYAY) to Outperform from Neutral after he raised his FY19/20 and FY20/21 EPS by about 16% due to the lower EPL costs. His valuation analysis suggests the current 1075p offer from 21st Century Fox (FOXA) "materially undervalues" Sky and even Comcast's (CMCSA) indicative offer at 1250p "fractionally undervalues" it, Peddy tells investors. What happens next is up to Comcast and Disney (DIS), as Fox is just an intermediary, he added. Peddy raised his price target on Sky shares to 1450p, as he believes tension between those two could lift the offer price at least 10% above his fair value estimate of 1287p.
03/07/18
WELS
03/07/18
NO CHANGE
WELS
Wells Fargo expects bidding war for Sky
Wells Fargo analyst Marci Ryvicker expects a bidding war for Sky (SKYAY). The analyst believes Sky appears to be more accretive to Disney (DIS)-Fox (FOXA) but more strategic for Comcast (CMCSA; CMCSK). Ultimately, Ryvicker thinks the latter with win but not without a fight from Disney/Fox.

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UNP

Union Pacific

$164.03

7.3 (4.66%)

, FTI

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MBFI

MB Financial

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Union Pacific

$163.89

7.16 (4.57%)

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FATE

Fate Therapeutics

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AZO

AutoZone

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-30.53 (-4.08%)

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BRC

Brady

$43.45

-1.9 (-4.19%)

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WK

Workiva

$34.60

-3.2 (-8.47%)

09:47
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SMG

Scotts Miracle-Gro

$79.42

0.45 (0.57%)

09:47
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09:47
Conference/Events
Scotts Miracle-Gro management to meet with SunTrust »

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UNP

Union Pacific

$164.33

7.6 (4.85%)

09:47
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Union Pacific rises 4.8% »

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CRC

California Resources

$38.68

1.91 (5.19%)

09:47
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California Resources rises 5.5% »

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  • 03

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THO

Thor Industries

$109.35

11.78 (12.07%)

09:47
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Thor Industries rises 12.3% »

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Housing Market Index to be reported at 10:00 »

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ATHN

Athenahealth

$143.26

(0.00%)

09:43
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ELF

e.l.f. Beauty

$13.41

(0.00%)

, AVP

Avon Products

$2.09

(0.00%)

09:40
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Periodicals
Dealreporter speculates on interest in e.l.f. Beauty after report about Avon »

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ELF

e.l.f. Beauty

$13.41

(0.00%)

AVP

Avon Products

$2.09

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DXJ

WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund

$55.06

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SunPower

$6.58

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SPWR

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ORCL

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FDX

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FIT

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CALM

Cal-Maine Foods

$51.00

0.15 (0.29%)

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GPRO

GoPro

$6.38

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LGND

Ligand

$253.55

-1.17 (-0.46%)

, VKTX

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VKTX

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CALM

Cal-Maine Foods

$51.00

0.15 (0.29%)

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KFY

Korn/Ferry

$48.23

-1.91 (-3.81%)

09:32
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ASYS

Amtech Systems

$5.13

0.01 (0.20%)

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CTSH

Cognizant

$75.95

-0.33 (-0.43%)

09:31
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09/18
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Cognizant rating change  »

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TRU

TransUnion

$74.86

-1.43 (-1.87%)

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AAPL

Apple

$217.86

-5.98 (-2.67%)

09:30
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Apple CEO: 'Not great' to tariff Apple products, CNBC reports »

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