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UAL

United Continental

$85.15

0.22 (0.26%)

, SAVE

Spirit Airlines

$51.99

-0.12 (-0.23%)

11:22
10/30/18
10/30
11:22
10/30/18
11:22

JPMorgan says buy JetBlue, sell Southwest as market de-rates

In a research note this morning, JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker downgraded United Continental (UAL) and Spirit Airlines (SAVE) to Neutral, cut Southwest Airlines' (LUV) rating to Underweight, and upgraded JetBlue Airways (JBLU) to Overweight. While the analyst acknowledged that the industry remains on a path toward margin expansion for the first time since 2014, he argued that he cannot ignore the market's recent de-rating of nearly two multiple turns. MARGIN EXPANSION AHEAD AS MARKET DE-RATES: JPMorgan's Baker told investors this morning that he continues to believe that a "trading trifecta" has formed for U.S. Airlines in investors' favor. The analyst argued that the industry remains on a path toward margin expansion for the first time since 2014 amid lower year-over-year capacity, "robust" demand, "disciplinary" fuel, and no immediate risk to labor cost assumptions. Most stocks are "within 10% of their autumnal lows," suggesting seasonal tradewinds may lift equities as they often do, he contended. Baker also pointed out that 2019 consolidated capacity is 50 bps higher than anticipated, but still roughly a point below 2018. The analyst has trimmed 2019 earnings estimates over 10% except for Spirit Airlines, and introduced 2020 forecasts. For next year, he is above consensus for Delta, JetBlue and Spirit. In 2020, he has above consensus forecasts for American, Delta and Spirit. The analyst lowered his price target for American Airlines (AAL) to $46 from $53, Delta Air Lines (DAL) to $71 from $72, Southwest to $52 from $63, United to $95 from $98, while raising Spirit's target to $59 from $51. RATING CHANGES: After making changes to his estimates and price targets, JPMorgan's Baker downgraded United Continental and Spirit Airlines to Neutral from Overweight, downgraded Southwest Airlines to Underweight from Neutral, and upgraded JetBlue Airways to Overweight from Neutral. Southwest and United entered the year as underperformers, but may be poised to potentially exit as winners, he acknowledged. Nonetheless, he would rather focus on the "names that have not worked than pound the table on the two that have." For Southwest, Baker does not envision significant downside potential, but rather views the stock as "stalled" at current valuation levels until such time a trajectory toward higher margins can better be established. Meanwhile, JetBlue is the "cheapest" of the domestic airlines and its target multiple is the lowest, the analyst contended. He sees over 20% upside potential in the shares. Additionally, Baker reiterated a Neutral rating for American Airlines. While he agrees that most of the debt is aircraft related and at very attractive all-in rates, the analyst believes American will be left with a material non-operating expense disadvantage if the economic cycle deteriorates significantly. PRICE ACTION: In morning trading, shares of JetBlue have gained over 4% to $16.82, while both United and Spirit are fractionally up to $85.18 and $52.17, respectively. Shares of Southwest are fractionally down to $47.74.

UAL

United Continental

$85.15

0.22 (0.26%)

SAVE

Spirit Airlines

$51.99

-0.12 (-0.23%)

LUV

Southwest

$47.74

-0.18 (-0.38%)

JBLU

JetBlue

$16.77

0.6 (3.71%)

AAL

American Airlines

$34.16

1.56 (4.79%)

DAL

Delta Air Lines

$54.37

0.97 (1.82%)

  • 06

    Nov

  • 09

    Nov

UAL United Continental
$85.15

0.22 (0.26%)

10/30/18
10/30/18
DOWNGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst downgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst downgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. LabCorp (LH) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst Jasper Hellweg saying the company is faced with pressure from "lower lab testing payment rates mandated by the Protecting Access to Medicaid Act of 2014" along with business disruptions and the impact of acquisitions which resulted in lowers margins for the quarter. 2. E-Trade (ETFC) downgraded to Outperform from Strong Buy at Raymond James with analyst Patrick O'Shaughnessy saying the recent board decision not to sell the business and remain a standalone company takes a sales scenario off the table. The analyst remains positive on shares ans believes there is plenty of upside as management executes on its operating plan. 3. Southwest (LUV) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan while United Continental (UAL) and Spirit Airlines (SAVE) downgraded to Neutral from Overweight. 4. Flex (FLEX) downgraded to Hold from Buy at Argus with analyst Jim Kelleher citing the expected impact from the "shutdown of Mexican operations with key customer Nike (NKE), which he expects to be fully unwound," as well as the retirement of the company CEO Mike McNamara who had presided over the company's business expansion. 5. Elevate Credit (ELVT) downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform at JMP Securities and William Blair. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
NO CHANGE
JPMS
JPMorgan downgrades three airlines, upgrades JetBlue to Overweight
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker continues to believe that a "trading trifecta" has formed for U.S. Airlines in investors' favor. The case for industry margin expansion remains the best we've seen in four years, and most stocks are within 10% of their autumnal lows, "suggesting seasonal trade-winds may lift equities as they often do," Baker tells investors in a research note. He thinks the industry remains on a path towards margin expansion for the first time since 2014 amid lower year-over-year capacity, "robust" demand, "disciplinary" fuel, and no immediate risk to labor cost assumptions. After making changes to his estimates and price targets, Baker downgraded United Continental (UAL) and Spirit Airlines (SAVE) to Neutral from Overweight, downgraded Southwest Airlines (SAVE) to Underweight from Neutral, and upgraded JetBlue Airways (JBLU) to Overweight from Neutral. Southwest and United entered the year as underperformers, but appear poised to potentially exit as winners, says Baker. From here, he'd rather focus on the "names that haven't worked than pound the table on the two that have." For Southwest, the analyst does not envision significant downside potential, but rather views the stock as "stalled at current valuation levels until such time a trajectory towards higher margins can better be established." Meanwhile, JetBlue is the "cheapest" of the domestic airlines and its target multiple is the lowest, Baker says. He sees over 20% upside potential in the shares.
10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $95
JPMS
Neutral
United Continental downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker downgraded United Continental Holdings to Neutral and lowered his price target for the shares to $95 from $98.
10/18/18
10/18/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Nike (NKE) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer with analyst Brian Nagel saying Nike represents an "already dominant, legacy global brand that is now aggressively embracing the power of digital to enhance most facets of its business." 2. United Continental (UAL) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie and to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens. 3. Generac (GNRC) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at Goldman Sachs with analyst Jerry Revich saying the company's organic growth outlook is improving amid rising power disturbances. 4. Proteostasis (PTI) upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital with analyst Brian Abrahams citing an "impressive" set of data from its phase 2 cystic fibrosis doublet trial. 5. Safe Bulkers (SB) upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI with analyst Jonathan Chappell saying the disconnect between dry bulk equity prices and spot rates continues to widen due to global trade/macro fears. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
SAVE Spirit Airlines
$51.99

-0.12 (-0.23%)

10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $59
JPMS
Neutral
Spirit Airlines downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker downgraded Spirit Airlines to Neutral while raising his price target for the shares to $59 from $51.
10/26/18
IMPC
10/26/18
NO CHANGE
Target $90
IMPC
Outperform
Spirit Airlines price target raised to $90 from $72 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Derchin raised his price target for Spirit Airlines to $90 after the company indicated that Q4 TRASM is expected to increase to 6%, well ahead of expectations. The analyst believes investors are "significantly underestimating" Spirit's earnings potential considering "moderate capacity growth, positive industry trends, robust ancillary revenues, and operational improvements." He keeps an Outperform rating on the shares following the Q3 earnings report.
LUV Southwest
$47.74

-0.18 (-0.38%)

10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
DOWNGRADE
Target $52
JPMS
Underweight
Southwest downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker downgraded Southwest Airlines to Underweight and lowered his price target for the shares to $52 from $63.
10/26/18
IMPC
10/26/18
NO CHANGE
Target $56
IMPC
In-Line
Southwest price target lowered to $56 from $66 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Derchin lowered his price target for Southwest Airlines to $56 and maintains an In-Line rating on the shares following yesterday's Q3 results. The company indicated fiscal 2019 CASM ex-fuel is expected to increase 3% due to necessary investments throughout the business, Derchin tells investors in a research note. He believes Southwest is likely to face margin pressures in fiscal 2019 from higher costs and unit revenue headwinds from its Hawaii operation.
JBLU JetBlue
$16.77

0.6 (3.71%)

10/24/18
IMPC
10/24/18
NO CHANGE
Target $24
IMPC
Outperform
JetBlue price target lowered to $24 from $26 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Derchin lowered his price target for JetBlue Airways to $24 to reflect "conservative valuations" following the company's Q3 results. The analyst, however, believes JetBlue can reach its 2020 earnings target despite higher fuel prices due to higher fares and ancillaries from segmentation, growth in focus cities, and executing its costs program. JetBlue shares "continue to present an attractive risk-reward given low valuations," the analyst contends. He keeps an Outperform rating on the name.
10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
UPGRADE
Target $20
JPMS
Overweight
JetBlue upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker upgraded JetBlue Airways to Overweight with a $20 price target.
10/30/18
10/30/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Nvidia (NVDA) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Harlan Sur saying the stock is down 36% since October 1 on fears of GPU channel inventory impacting near-term demand as well as views by the market that the company's new gaming platform may not see much of an upgrade cycle in the near term. 2. Werner (WERN) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc with analyst Todd Fowler saying after his annual shipper survey, he is incrementally confident in his 2019 estimates given more favorable pricing commentary relative to his expectations. 3. Beach Energy (BEPTF) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan, to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs, to Neutral from Underperform at Macquarie, and to Hold from Sell at Canaccord. 4. JetBlue (JBLU) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan. 5. Schneider National (SNDR) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel with analyst David Ross saying sentiment has worsened on the stock since earlier this year despite the fact that the company's numbers have come in better than expected. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
AAL American Airlines
$34.16

1.56 (4.79%)

10/30/18
JPMS
10/30/18
NO CHANGE
Target $46
JPMS
Overweight
American Airlines added to Analyst Focus List at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Jamie Baker added American Airlines to his firm's Analyst Focus List. Baker this morning lowered his price target for the shares to $46 from $53 and kept an Overweight rating on the name.
10/17/18
10/17/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Infosys (INFY) upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at William Blair WITH analyst Maggie Nolan citing Q2 results. 2. American Airlines (AAL), Delta Air Lines (DAL), and United Continental (UAL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank. 3. Akorn (AKRX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at Piper Jaffray with analyst David Amsellem saying based on trends associated with a number of its notable products, as well as his recent conversation with management, he believes a picture of sustainable EBITDA is emerging at Akorn that is better than what he had previously envisioned. 4. Workday (WDAY) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Bernstein with analyst Mark Moerdler saying he determined that even if the ERP market moves reasonably slowly to the Cloud, it is large enough and the fact there are only a few vendors with a competitive SaaS solution should allow Workday to continue to gain share. 5. Domino's Pizza (DPZ) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Maxim with analyst Stephen Anderson saying the pullback in the stock price is overdone and expects accelerated cost savings and solid comps to yield higher earnings, raising his FY20 EPS view to $12.01 from $11.72. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
10/17/18
DBAB
10/17/18
UPGRADE
Target $47
DBAB
Buy
American Airlines upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Linenberg upgraded American Airlines Group to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $47 from $40. The analyst cites the company's better than expected fuel expense for the upgrade.
10/16/18
IMPC
10/16/18
NO CHANGE
Target $45
IMPC
Outperform
American Airlines price target lowered to $45 from $50 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Derchin lowered his price target for American Airlines to $45 from $50 while keeping an Outperform rating on the shares. American is likely to lower its fiscal 2018 earnings guidance due to higher oil prices, but this is already factored into the stock, Derchin tells investors in a research note. He estimates the company will lowered its earnings per share outlook to $4.00-$4.50 from $4.50-$5.00. However, the analyst sees an attractive risk/reward at current shares levels considering that American is likely to grow unit revenues in the mid-single digits in fiscal 2019.
DAL Delta Air Lines
$54.37

0.97 (1.82%)

10/17/18
DBAB
10/17/18
UPGRADE
Target $60
DBAB
Buy
Delta Air Lines upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analyst Michael Linenberg upgraded Delta Air Lines to Buy and raised his price target for the shares to $60 from $53. The analyst cites the company's better than expected fuel expense for the upgrade.
10/15/18
WBLR
10/15/18
NO CHANGE
WBLR
Market Perform
Delta CEO comments positive data point for Gogo, says William Blair
William Blair analyst Louie DiPalma points out that Delta Air Lines (DAL) CEO Ed Bastian said a few weeks ago at the Skift Global Forum that Gogo (GOGO) has "really stepped up to the plate." The full interview was posted on YouTube just last week. An endorsement from the CEO of the largest airline in the world by revenue is a positive data point for Gogo, DiPalma tells investors in a research note. The analyst finds the commentary especially noteworthy given Gogo's recent service issues and as it evaluates strategic alternatives. Shares of Gogo are up 5%, or 27c, to $5.77 in afternoon trading. DiPalma has a Market Perform rating on the name. Reference Link
09/27/18
IMPC
09/27/18
NO CHANGE
Target $78
IMPC
Outperform
Delta Air Lines price target raised to $78 from $71 at Imperial Capital
Imperial Capital analyst Michael Derchin raised his price target for Delta Air Lines (DAL) to $78 and maintains an Outperform rating on the shares. Delta on September 19 announced a $5 hike in baggage fees following JetBlue (JBLU) and United (UAL), and is likely to benefit from industry pricing and capacity trends to offset higher fuel prices, Derchin tells investors in a research note. He expects Delta to return to generate strong unit revenue growth through fiscal 2019.

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NVS

Novartis

$87.74

0.52 (0.60%)

, DBVT

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CHD

Church & Dwight

$65.42

-0.39 (-0.59%)

BSX

Boston Scientific

$37.22

0.75 (2.06%)

03/08/13
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    Nov

  • 30

    Nov

  • 02

    Dec

  • 03

    Dec

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  • 28

    Jan

  • 11

    Mar

  • 22

    Mar

  • 28

    Apr

  • 13

    May

MSI

Motorola Solutions

$129.97

0.72 (0.56%)

18:48
11/16/18
11/16
18:48
11/16/18
18:48
Hot Stocks
Motorola Solutions: ITC confirms Hytera products infringe Motorola patents »

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    Nov

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PCG

PG&E

$24.39

6.62 (37.25%)

18:23
11/16/18
11/16
18:23
11/16/18
18:23
Periodicals
CPUC isn't ruling out board shuffle, breakup for PG&E, Bloomberg says »

The California Public…

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ABX

Barrick Gold

$13.04

0.05 (0.38%)

18:00
11/16/18
11/16
18:00
11/16/18
18:00
Periodicals
Barrick Gold looking to add more copper, bullion assets, Reuters reports »

Barrick Gold is…

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WTR

Aqua America

$33.05

0.165 (0.50%)

17:57
11/16/18
11/16
17:57
11/16/18
17:57
Hot Stocks
Aqua America CEO acquires over 25,000 common shares »

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XLRE

Real Estate SPDR

$33.45

0.445 (1.35%)

, XLB

S&P Select Materials SPDR

$55.23

0.53 (0.97%)

17:39
11/16/18
11/16
17:39
11/16/18
17:39
General news
Week ending ETF scorecard: Real Estate leads, Consumer Discretionary slumps »

S&P500 SECTORS: Real…

XLRE

Real Estate SPDR

$33.45

0.445 (1.35%)

XLB

S&P Select Materials SPDR

$55.23

0.53 (0.97%)

XLU

Utilities SPDR

$54.86

0.77 (1.42%)

XLI

Industrial Select Sector SPDR

$72.00

(0.00%)

XLV

Health Care Select Sector SPDR

$92.05

0.91 (1.00%)

XLF

Financial Select Sector

$26.78

0.03 (0.11%)

XLP

Consumer Staples Sector SPDR

$56.04

0.15 (0.27%)

XLE

Energy Select Sector SPDR

$67.23

0.76 (1.14%)

XLC

Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund

$44.88

-0.2 (-0.44%)

XLK

Technology Select Sector SPDR

$68.22

-0.1 (-0.15%)

XLY

Consumer Discretionary Sector SPDR

$106.37

-0.43 (-0.40%)

GLD

SPDR Gold Shares

$115.56

0.82 (0.71%)

SLV

iShares Silver Trust

$13.55

0.115 (0.86%)

USO

United States Oil Fund

$12.07

0.08 (0.67%)

UNG

United States Natural Gas Fund

$35.43

3.63 (11.42%)

HYG

iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond

$83.24

-0.27 (-0.32%)

LQD

iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond

$111.73

0.23 (0.21%)

TLT

iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

$114.65

0.61 (0.53%)

IEF

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

$101.13

0.3 (0.30%)

SHY

iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond

$83.13

0.08 (0.10%)

03/08/13
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AQST

Aquestive Therapeutics

$17.02

0.23 (1.37%)

17:36
11/16/18
11/16
17:36
11/16/18
17:36
Hot Stocks
Aquestive receives CRL from FDA for tadalafil oral film »

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  • 19

    Jan

DAKT

Daktronics

$7.67

0.07 (0.92%)

17:35
11/16/18
11/16
17:35
11/16/18
17:35
Hot Stocks
Daktronics adopts new shareholder rights agreement »

Daktronics announced that…

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  • 21

    Nov

TI

Telecom Italia

$6.02

0.12 (2.03%)

17:33
11/16/18
11/16
17:33
11/16/18
17:33
Periodicals
Gubitosi viewed as frontrunner for Telecom Italia CEO job, Reuters says »

Veteran Italian manager…

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MAXR

Maxar Technologies

$18.77

-0.59 (-3.05%)

17:30
11/16/18
11/16
17:30
11/16/18
17:30
Hot Stocks
Maxar Technologies shareholders approve U.S. domestication »

Maxar Technologies…

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PLUG

Plug Power

$1.83

(0.00%)

17:28
11/16/18
11/16
17:28
11/16/18
17:28
Syndicate
Breaking Syndicate news story on Plug Power »

Plug Power files to sell…

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GSB

GlobalSCAPE

$4.55

-0.02 (-0.44%)

17:22
11/16/18
11/16
17:22
11/16/18
17:22
Syndicate
Breaking Syndicate news story on GlobalSCAPE »

GlobalSCAPE files to sell…

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EQIX

Equinix

$388.18

2.67 (0.69%)

17:19
11/16/18
11/16
17:19
11/16/18
17:19
Hot Stocks
Equinix's Lee sells 2,792 common shares »

In a regulatory filing,…

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  • 26

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LMT

Lockheed Martin

$301.06

-4.42 (-1.45%)

17:17
11/16/18
11/16
17:17
11/16/18
17:17
Hot Stocks
Lockheed Martin awarded $282.09M Naval Sea Systems Command contract »

Lockheed Martin has been…

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