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13:15
01/03/19
01/03
13:15
01/03/19
13:15

Fed policy outlook: the markets have boxed Fed Chair Powell into a corner

Fed policy outlook: the markets have boxed Fed Chair Powell into a corner. He will be interviewed Friday at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association, and will be joined by ex-Fed chiefs Yellen and Bernanke. Of course the markets want to hear the Fed will be pausing its tightening posture and may be done with hikes for the year (in contrast to the dots showing 2 increases) due to concerns over signs of slowing growth, weakness in interest sensitive sectors, and tightening financial conditions (worries noted by Dallas Fed's Kaplan earlier). However, analysts suspect he will disappoint the markets and won't say what the markets want to hear. This isn't the venue for such policy comments, especially with the next policy meeting just a few weeks ahead. Look for him to reiterate the Fed is monitoring everything and will act as necessary. Analysts believe he was surprised at how the markets interpreted his December 19 comments on balance sheet normalization, that it is on "auto pilot," and maybe regrets the cavalier tone he took. But until that point, the markets hadn't really shown any worry over how the QE runoff was initially laid out, that the unwind would be on a "gradual and predictable" course. Even Chair Yellen said in her June 14, 2017 presser that it would be "like watching paint dry." Analysts do expect the FOMC to move to the sidelines at the January 28, 29 FOMC, as was the pattern evidenced all of last year. Powell will have the opportunity at that presser to more fully convey his thinking.

TODAY'S FREE FLY STORIES

BRY

Berry Petroleum

$8.68

-2.625 (-23.22%)

15:38
11/19/19
11/19
15:38
11/19/19
15:38
Hot Stocks
Berry Petroleum says CA moratorium to have no impact on 2019 performance »

Berry Petroleum confirmed…

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HON

Honeywell

$180.19

0.39 (0.22%)

15:38
11/19/19
11/19
15:38
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15:38
Conference/Events
Honeywell to hold a two day investor webcast »

Management holds a two…

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TGT

Target

$110.50

-0.09 (-0.08%)

15:37
11/19/19
11/19
15:37
11/19/19
15:37
Technical Analysis
Technical Preview: Target before earnings has a potential bearish pattern »

On the daily chart there…

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  • 20

    Nov

BRY

Berry Petroleum

$8.61

-2.695 (-23.84%)

15:36
11/19/19
11/19
15:36
11/19/19
15:36
Hot Stocks
Breaking Hot Stocks news story on Berry Petroleum »

Berry Petroleum says CA…

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BA

Boeing

$367.88

-1.62 (-0.44%)

15:35
11/19/19
11/19
15:35
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15:35
Hot Stocks
Boeing says working on enhancements that address NTSB recommendations »

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ESE

Esco Technologies

$86.89

2.12 (2.50%)

15:34
11/19/19
11/19
15:34
11/19/19
15:34
Options
ESCO Technologies options imply 8.1% move in share price post-earnings »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 19

    Nov

DIS

Disney

$148.53

0.88 (0.60%)

15:31
11/19/19
11/19
15:31
11/19/19
15:31
Periodicals
Disney sees $100M domestic opening weekend for 'Frozen 2,' Bloomberg says »

Disney said it anticipate…

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MYOV

Myovant Sciences

$13.98

7.96 (132.23%)

15:28
11/19/19
11/19
15:28
11/19/19
15:28
Recommendations
Myovant Sciences analyst commentary  »

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  • 19

    Nov

ACM

Aecom

$42.75

0.11 (0.26%)

15:26
11/19/19
11/19
15:26
11/19/19
15:26
Conference/Events
Aecom participates in a conference call with BofA/Merrill »

Aecom discusses…

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MSFT

Microsoft

$150.52

0.17 (0.11%)

15:20
11/19/19
11/19
15:20
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15:20
Hot Stocks
Microsoft's Mixer says Partners now can gate ability to clip streams »

Microsoft's (MSFT)…

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  • 20

    Nov

  • 04

    Dec

  • 09

    Dec

ALC

Alcon

$59.24

0.35 (0.59%)

15:19
11/19/19
11/19
15:19
11/19/19
15:19
Options
Alcon options imply 6.2% move in share price post-earnings »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 20

    Nov

  • 02

    Dec

$NSD

NASDAQ Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

15:17
11/19/19
11/19
15:17
11/19/19
15:17
Technical Analysis
NASDAQ market internals summary »

Volume is average for…

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$NYE

NYSE Market Internals

$0.00

(0.00%)

15:16
11/19/19
11/19
15:16
11/19/19
15:16
Technical Analysis
NYSE market internals summary »

Volume is average for…

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INFN

Infinera

$6.63

-0.17 (-2.50%)

15:15
11/19/19
11/19
15:15
11/19/19
15:15
Options
Infinera put volume heavy and directionally bearish »

Bearish flow noted in…

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  • 09

    Dec

HD

Home Depot

$226.30

-12.68 (-5.31%)

15:10
11/19/19
11/19
15:10
11/19/19
15:10
Recommendations
Home Depot analyst commentary  »

Home Depot price target…

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 11

    Dec

URBN

Urban Outfitters

$28.49

-1.67 (-5.54%)

15:04
11/19/19
11/19
15:04
11/19/19
15:04
Options
Urban Outfitters options imply 18.0% move in share price post-earnings »

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 05

    Dec

CRON

Cronos Group

$6.87

0.74 (12.07%)

, MO

Altria Group

$47.20

-1.14 (-2.36%)

14:57
11/19/19
11/19
14:57
11/19/19
14:57
Periodicals
Altria Group filing points to increased Cronos stake, Canadian Insider says »

A post to the website…

CRON

Cronos Group

$6.87

0.74 (12.07%)

MO

Altria Group

$47.20

-1.14 (-2.36%)

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  • 30

    Jan

GRUB

GrubHub

$40.59

-0.42 (-1.02%)

, UBER

Uber

$27.06

0.3 (1.12%)

14:55
11/19/19
11/19
14:55
11/19/19
14:55
Hot Stocks
Food delivery service DoorDash sued by DC attorney general on tip policy »

Washington, D.C. Attorney…

GRUB

GrubHub

$40.59

-0.42 (-1.02%)

UBER

Uber

$27.06

0.3 (1.12%)

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 21

    Nov

  • 04

    Dec

BRY

Berry Petroleum

$10.23

-1.075 (-9.51%)

14:54
11/19/19
11/19
14:54
11/19/19
14:54
Recommendations
Berry Petroleum analyst commentary  »

Berry Petroleum shares…

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BRY

Berry Petroleum

$10.23

-1.075 (-9.51%)

, HAL

Halliburton

$19.94

-0.21 (-1.04%)

14:49
11/19/19
11/19
14:49
11/19/19
14:49
Periodicals
CA governor stops approval of new fracking pending review, L.A. Times says »

California Governor Gavin…

BRY

Berry Petroleum

$10.23

-1.075 (-9.51%)

HAL

Halliburton

$19.94

-0.21 (-1.04%)

BHGE

Ticker changed to BKR

$0.00

(0.00%)

CJ

C&J Energy Services

$0.00

(0.00%)

XOM

Exxon Mobil

$67.91

-0.6 (-0.88%)

CHK

Chesapeake

$0.56

-0.085 (-13.20%)

DVN

Devon Energy

$21.52

-0.44 (-2.00%)

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  • 21

    Jan

PAGS

PagSeguro Digital

$37.06

-0.79 (-2.09%)

14:49
11/19/19
11/19
14:49
11/19/19
14:49
Options
PagSeguro Digital options imply 12.0% move in share price post-earnings »

Pre-earnings options…

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 17

    Dec

ET

Energy Transfer LP

$11.22

-0.105 (-0.93%)

14:45
11/19/19
11/19
14:45
11/19/19
14:45
Options
Energy Transfer call volume above normal and directionally bullish »

Bullish option flow…

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BHE

Benchmark Electronics

$33.59

-0.05 (-0.15%)

14:40
11/19/19
11/19
14:40
11/19/19
14:40
Downgrade
Benchmark Electronics rating change  »

Benchmark Electronics…

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  • 09

    Dec

KSS

Kohl's

$47.23

-11.16 (-19.11%)

14:37
11/19/19
11/19
14:37
11/19/19
14:37
Downgrade
Kohl's rating change  »

Kohl's downgraded to…

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  • 19

    Nov

  • 05

    Dec

FB

Facebook

$199.49

2.04 (1.03%)

14:34
11/19/19
11/19
14:34
11/19/19
14:34
Periodicals
Facebook caters to young users with meme-making app Whale, Information says »

As part of an effort to…

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  • 26

    Nov

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