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ULTA

Ulta Beauty

$334.29

0.14 (0.04%)

, AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,775.60

13.15 (0.75%)

12:47
03/20/19
03/20
12:47
03/20/19
12:47

Amazon risk still manageable for beauty retailers, says Jefferies

Jefferies analyst Stephanie Wissink said Amazon's (AMZN) launch of a value priced private label skincare brand, Belei, "came as a bit of a surprise," adding that her sense from contacts inside and outside of the e-commerce company is that the launch is meant to establish a stronger presence, refine a more robust beauty platform and provide data to improve access to national brands. Wissink said it has become increasingly competitive for smaller brands to get into Sephora and Ulta (ULTA) and she expects Amazon to gain access to a growing number of small brands. Wissink points to Ulta's recent strong report as an indicator that with the right, curated assortment, the company is able to protect its position and gain share. Publicly traded skincare and beauty product makers include Estee Lauder (EL), Revlon (REV), Coty (COTY) and e.l.f. Beauty (ELF).

ULTA

Ulta Beauty

$334.29

0.14 (0.04%)

AMZN

Amazon.com

$1,775.60

13.15 (0.75%)

ELF

e.l.f. Beauty

$9.73

0.495 (5.36%)

REV

Revlon

$19.49

1.47 (8.16%)

EL

Estee Lauder

$158.67

-2.03 (-1.26%)

COTY

Coty

$11.42

-0.08 (-0.70%)

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ULTA Ulta Beauty
$334.29

0.14 (0.04%)

03/18/19
LOOP
03/18/19
NO CHANGE
Target $340
LOOP
Hold
Ulta Beauty price target raised to $340 from $315 at Loop Capital
Loop Capital analyst Anthony Chukumba raised his price target on Ulta Beauty to $340 to reflect the findings of his latest prestige beauty product pricing study that suggests retailers "continue to largely adhere to manufacturer's suggested retail prices, with discounting still virtually non-existent." The analyst sees the pricing trends as a positive for Ulta Beauty given its "wider assortment of prestige and mass market brands" relative to the competition, along with its "robust" loyalty program and many cases of exclusive brand relationships. Chukumba adds that the decline in "free gift with purchase" offers suggests "strengthening prestige beauty products demand", but also keeps his Hold rating on the shares given Ulta Beauty's valuation.
03/15/19
JEFF
03/15/19
NO CHANGE
Target $357
JEFF
Buy
Ulta Beauty price target raised to $357 from $335 at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst Stephanie Wissink raised her price target for Ulta Beauty to $357 from $335 saying the company's Q4 sales and earnings beats "were needed" and "validated a defensibility belief that was getting lost in the quarterly comp vs margin debate." The company's growth sustainability supports a higher multiple, Wissink tells investors in a post-earnings research note. She keeps a Buy rating on Ulta Beauty.
03/15/19
BMOC
03/15/19
NO CHANGE
Target $325
BMOC
Market Perform
Ulta Beauty price target raised to $325 from $280 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Shannon Coyne raised her price target on Ulta Beauty to $325 after its Q4 earnings beat, better than expected sales growth, and gross margin expansion. The analyst notes that she is more confident about re-acceleration in the company's comps as its growth initiatives - "loyalty, focus on digitally native brands, salon" - take hold. Longer term, Coyne is keeping her Market Perform rating however and anticipates "clouds on the horizon" in the overall Beauty Channel Distribution sector, suggesting that Ulta Beauty will "need to continue to increase investments in digital to drive growth."
03/15/19
BARD
03/15/19
NO CHANGE
BARD
Baird remains a buyer of Ulta Beauty after Q4 results
Baird analyst Mark Altschwager maintained an Outperform rating on Ulta Beauty and raised his price target to $365 from $325 following the company's Q4 earnings release. The analyst noted that FY19 guidance straddled the consensus, and said "the quarter demonstrated the virtues and durability of Ulta's best-in-class omnichannel model and provided greater confidence in the growth trajectory ahead".
AMZN Amazon.com
$1,775.60

13.15 (0.75%)

03/20/19
EVER
03/20/19
INITIATION
Target $1965
EVER
Outperform
Amazon.com initiated with an Outperform at Evercore ISI
Evercore ISI analyst Greg Melich initiated co-coverage of Amazon.com with the firm's Internet Team, led by Anthony DiClemente. They have an Outperform rating and $1,965 base case price target on the stock, citing the view that the company will continue to change "the way we shop and live." While the company's percentage growth might slow, its dollar growth and profitability are improving, Melich noted.
03/20/19
KEYB
03/20/19
NO CHANGE
KEYB
Google's Stadia announcement potentially disruptive, says KeyBanc
KeyBanc analyst Evan Wingren attended Google's (GOOG; GOOGL) keynote at Game Developer's Conference, where it announced a new video game streaming service, new gaming hardware, and intentions to make games. The analyst believes the announcement has potential to be disruptive if Google executes well on the service, and sees it as mostly positive for video game publishers in the near and long term as it increases global access, removes value added by hardware, and increases value of key content. Google's ambitions to make games join other distributors like Sony (SNE), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN), and could provide some incremental competition for time in the medium to long term, Wingren contends.
03/15/19
03/15/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Amazon.com (AMZN) upgraded to Overweight from Sector Weight at KeyBanc with analyst Edward Yruma saying Amazon is taking a number of operational moves to improve profitability in core retail, which could drive mid-term earnings above current consensus estimates. 2. AT&T (T) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James with analyst Frank Louthan saying AT&T shares trade at a relative discount and expects shares to be driven by positive earnings growth combined with a strong de-levering story. 3. Colfax (CFX) upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays with analyst Julian Mitchell saying he views the company's turnaround story as underappreciated. 4. Rent-A-Center (RCII) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Raymond James with analyst Budd Bugatch citing the trial win regarding the terminated buyout with Vintage Capital and a strong fundamental outlook for the upgrade. 5. Global Net Lease (GNL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at B. Riley FBR with analyst Bryan Maher citing the stock's attractive relative valuation as well as management's acquisition "acumen" for the upgrade to Buy. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/15/19
KEYB
03/15/19
UPGRADE
Target $2100
KEYB
Overweight
KeyBanc upgrades Amazon to Overweight on improving retail profitability
KeyBanc analyst Edward Yruma upgraded Amazon.com to Overweight from Sector Weight with a price target of $2,100. The stock in premarket trading is up $22.78 to $1,709.00. Amazon is taking a number of operational moves to improve profitability in core retail, which could drive mid-term earnings above current consensus estimates, Yruma tells investors in a research note. He believes Amazon is "pivoting to a company with accelerating profitability." And in addition to $5B in incremental retail profitability, growth and margins remain "very strong" in the combined Web Services and advertising businesses, says the analyst. Amazon's profits over the next three years could inflect, driven by improving retail margin expansion coupled with the mix shift to higher margin AWS and Advertising segments that combined could top $100B by 2022, Yruma contends.
ELF e.l.f. Beauty
$9.73

0.495 (5.36%)

01/28/19
DADA
01/28/19
NO CHANGE
Target $9.25
DADA
Neutral
e.l.f. Beauty price target lowered to $9.25 from $13.50 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser lowered her price target on e.l.f. Beauty to $9.25 and kept her Neutral rating after the latest letter sent by activist investor Marathon Partners. Unlike the first letter, which urged the board to put the company up for sale, the analyst notes that the latest letter focused on cost reduction, including executive compensation. The analyst adds that while e.l.f Beauty looks lie a "very profitable company", a closer examination reveals its elevated cost structure and relatively low profitability, further noting that the visibility on its revenue growth remains limited.
02/27/19
BMOC
02/27/19
NO CHANGE
Target $7
BMOC
Market Perform
e.l.f. Beauty price target lowered to $7 from $14 at BMO Capital
BMO Capital analyst Shannon Coyne lowered her price target on e.l.f. Beauty to $7 and kept her Market Perform rating after its Q4 revenue miss, saying the company will continue to face weakness amid intensifying competitive environment. With a lack of earnings visibility, the analyst also expects the company to close its unprofitable stores and focus marketing spending on digital and national retailers, adding that she is also concerned with execution risks related to the recently announced packaging initiative called Project Unicorn.
03/05/19
JEFF
03/05/19
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Hold
Revlon sales declines reported to worsen in February, says Jefferies
After reviewing Nielsen data through Feb. 23, Jefferies Stephanie Wissink noted that mass beauty sales decelerated to down 4% in the trailing 4 week period, with all categories stepping lower. By brand, Revlon sales decline of 15% was a deceleration, L'Oreal's (LRCLY) 2% decline was a slight deceleration, e.l.f. Beauty's (ELF) decline of 3% was stable and Coty's (COTY) 4% decline was improved, Wissink tells investors. She keeps Hold rating on all four mass beauty product makers mentioned. In morning trading, shares of Revlon are down $4.95. or 19.4%, to $20.62.
03/12/19
DADA
03/12/19
NO CHANGE
Target $7
DADA
Neutral
e.l.f. Beauty price target lowered to $7 from $9.25 at DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser lowered her price target on e.l.f. Beauty to $7 and kept her Neutral rating, also lowering her FY20 EBITDA outlook to $55M from $69M after its disappointing most recent quarter reported last month. The analyst is positive on the company's brand support investment and its search for a new CFO, but warns that the probability of it being bought is reduced the longer its sales decline continues. Weiser intends to remain at neutral until she sees improved "top-line growth visibility through better category and market share performance."
REV Revlon
$19.49

1.47 (8.16%)

03/05/19
JEFF
03/05/19
NO CHANGE
JEFF
Nielsen data shows worsening trends for Revlon, says Jefferies
EL Estee Lauder
$158.67

-2.03 (-1.26%)

03/07/19
DADA
03/07/19
NO CHANGE
Target $179
DADA
Buy
Estee Lauder top line growth target may be conservative, says DA Davidson
DA Davidson analyst Linda Bolton Weiser kept her Buy rating and $179 price target on Estee Lauder after its Analyst Day meeting, saying that barring a recession, the company's long-term revenue growth target of 6%-8% may be conservative. The analyst cites Estee Lauder's "substantial growth opportunity in travel retail", outlook for prestige beauty market growth in China / emerging markets, and the majority of North American sales coming in the company's fast-growing channels.
03/07/19
JPMS
03/07/19
UPGRADE
Target $175
JPMS
Overweight
JPMorgan upgrades Estee Lauder to Overweight, boosts target to $175
JPMorgan analyst Andrea Teixeira upgraded Estee Lauder to Overweight from Neutral and raised her price target for the shares to $175 from $160. The analyst left the company's analyst day more confident that both its fiscal 2019 and long term sales growth algorithm and earnings goals are "not only achievable but actually conservative." Estee is seeing continued strength in China despite difficult compares and has "ample runway" for further expansion ahead in Emerging Markets and travel, Teixeira tells investors in a research note. Further, innovation for Clinique should sustain double digits skincare growth in the developed markets and mitigate low-single-digit growth in makeup, adds the analyst. She believes concerns over Estee Lauder's growth deceleration are overdone.
03/07/19
03/07/19
UPGRADE

Fly Intel: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan with analyst Matthew Boss saying the company's Q4 beat shows it is executing in a "tough tape." 2. Estee Lauder (EL) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Andrea Teixeira saying she left the company's analyst day more confident that both its fiscal 2019 and long term sales growth algorithm and earnings goals are "not only achievable but actually conservative." 3. Baytex Energy (BTE) upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Macquarie. 4. Armstrong Flooring (AFI) upgraded to Hold from Sell at Zelman. 5. World Fuel Services (INT) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Seaport Global with analyst Kevin Sterling saying management is "culling low-margin" businesses as it focuses on profitability above volume growth and market share gains. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.
03/07/19
RBCM
03/07/19
NO CHANGE
Target $173
RBCM
Outperform
Estee Lauder price target raised to $173 from $168 at RBC Capital
RBC Capital analyst Nik Modi raised his price target on Estee Lauder to $173 and kept his Outperform rating after its Analyst Day. The analyst sees the company's Leading Beauty Forward cost saving initiative "ramping nicely", allowing for its investment in brand spending, promotional activities, and digital marketing. Modi is also positive on Estee Lauder management striking the "right balance between margin expansion and top line" growth.
COTY Coty
$11.42

-0.08 (-0.70%)

01/04/19
JPMS
01/04/19
UPGRADE
Target $7
JPMS
Neutral
Coty upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Andrea Teixeira upgraded Coty to Neutral with a $7 price target. The analyst's sum-of-the-parts analysis indicates Coty's valuation is "flushed out" at current levels. Teixeira, however, still sees potential downside to consensus estimates.
02/11/19
JPMS
02/11/19
NO CHANGE
Target $10
JPMS
Neutral
Coty price target raised to $10 from $7 at JPMorgan
JPMorgan analyst Andrea Teixeira raised her price target for Coty to $10 following the company's Q2 beat and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The analyst found "renewed energy from new management encouraging," but points out there there were "no major financial strings or timing attached to the turnaround at this point." Teixeira sees "massive execution risks" for the company, which keeps her on the sidelines post Friday's 32% "relief rally."
11/15/18
11/15/18
UPGRADE

On The Fly: Top five analyst upgrades
Catch up on today's top five analyst upgrades with this list compiled by The Fly: 1. Mylan (MYL) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Argus with analyst Jasper Hellweg saying the stock appears to be close to an inflection after several quarters of underperformance. 2. CopyTele (COPY) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital. 3. Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR) upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at Raymond James. 4. Athenex (ATNX) upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan with analyst Leon Chik saying more clinical data and progress in new drug trials should boost investor sentiment in 2019. 5. Coty (COTY) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at BMO Capital with analyst Shannon Coyne saying that her downgrade in August was driven by concerns around the company's supply chain issues, but believes that these factors have now been fully priced in after the management withdrew its guidance and consensus earnings have been pulled back by about 30%. This list is just a portion of The Fly's full analyst coverage. To see The Fly's full Street Research coverage, click here.

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LMT

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ConocoPhillips

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LYFT

Lyft

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Comments from Q1 earnings…

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
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Citigroup
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  • 23

    Apr

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XRX

Xerox

$34.17

0.35 (1.03%)

, HPQ

HP Inc.

$19.83

-0.05 (-0.25%)

11:01
04/23/19
04/23
11:01
04/23/19
11:01
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Xerox names Naresh Shanker SVP, Chief Technology Officer »

Xerox (XRX) announced the…

XRX

Xerox

$34.17

0.35 (1.03%)

HPQ

HP Inc.

$19.83

-0.05 (-0.25%)

03/08/13
Wedge Partners
03/08/13
Credit Suisse
03/06/13
Citigroup
03/06/13
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AXL

American Axle

$15.52

0.03 (0.19%)

11:00
04/23/19
04/23
11:00
04/23/19
11:00
Options
American Axle attracts call buying as shares lift »

American Axle attracts…

03/08/13
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Citigroup
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  • 02

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CVE

Cenovus Energy

$10.34

-0.09 (-0.86%)

10:50
04/23/19
04/23
10:50
04/23/19
10:50
Options
Size call spread in Cenovus ahead of earnings »

Size call spread in…

03/08/13
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03/08/13
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Citigroup
03/06/13
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  • 24

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