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ALRM

Alarm.com

$43.58

0.27 (0.62%)

19:19
12/01/19
12/01
19:19
12/01/19
19:19

First Analysis reiterates Strong Buy on Alarm.com after meeting management

First Analysis analyst Howard Smith reiterated a Strong Buy rating and $75 price target on Alarm.com after meeting with CFO Steve Valenzuela and VP Investor Relations David Trone. The analyst said the meetings reinforced his confidence in "the company leveraging its leadership position in the wireless interactive security market to maintain its current momentum, which should enable above-market returns for shareholders." He added that management noted that its preliminary FY20 outlook for total revenue "essentially endorses the prior consensus 13.7% growth in SaaS & License revenue, which is modestly above what the prior-year consensus growth expectation was heading into 2019." Smith also highlighted that management discussed multiple other potential growth catalysts, including stabilizing lending standards for Alarm.com's larger accounts, improving take rates of video services and analytics, and transitioning ADT's legacy subscribers to interactive, among others.

  • 02

    Dec

  • 09

    Dec

ALRM Alarm.com
$43.58

0.27 (0.62%)

05/13/19
JEFF
05/13/19
DOWNGRADE
Target $66
JEFF
Hold
Alarm.com downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst John DiFucci downgraded Alarm.com to Hold from Buy and lowered his price target for the shares to $66 from $71. The stock closed Friday down 8%, or $5.72, to $63.94. The shares are appropriately valued given that the company's organic growth is likely to moderate, even if current guidance is exceeded by levels similar to 2018's outperformance, DiFucci tells investors in a research note. He believes Alarm.com's "incremental opportunities" have been slow to build and that do-it-yourself solutions carry continued secular risks.
07/16/19
ROTH
07/16/19
NO CHANGE
Target $55
ROTH
Neutral
Alarm.com price target lowered to $55 from $73 at Roth Capital
Roth Capital analyst Darren Aftahi lowered his price target for Alarm.com to $55 from $73, which he believes is "reasonable" given growth profile. The analyst's service provider checks suggest about 14% year over year installation growth from his Q2 survey, which leaves him comfortable with his implied 13%-plus core SaaS topline Q2 growth estimate. Checks also again suggest that video-related hardware continues to see "solid" traction, he adds. However, Aftahi says that stabilization or re-acceleration in core SaaS growth is needed for him to get constructive on the shares.
08/09/19
JEFF
08/09/19
NO CHANGE
Target $58
JEFF
Hold
Alarm.com price target lowered to $58 from $66 at Jefferies
Jefferies analyst John DiFucci lowered his price target for Alarm.com to $58 from $66 saying the company's updated guidance implies a significant decline in new subscription annual contract value for the year. Although there is likely some conservatism baked in, Alarm.com's growth initiatives could take some time to show up in the numbers, DiFucci tells investors in a research note. He keeps a Hold rating on the shares.
10/21/19
FANA
10/21/19
UPGRADE
Target $75
FANA
Strong Buy
Alarm.com upgraded to Strong Buy from Outperform at First Analysis
First Analysis analyst Howard Smith upgraded Alarm.com to Strong Buy from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $75. The analyst sees now as an "opportune time" to buy Alarm.com shares following the 33% pullback since early May. The company will exceed sales expectations near term, Smith tells investors in a research note.

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EPZM

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